This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
The states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, and Virginia, with Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin considered to be tossups.[1]
Forecasts
editElections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.
State | EVs | PVI[2] | 2020 result |
2020 margin[3] |
IE May 8, 2024[4] |
Cook August 8, 2024[5] |
CNalysis August 5, 2024[6] |
Sabato August 7, 2024[7] |
CNN January 31, 2024[8] |
DDHQ July 9, 2024[9] |
538 July 19, 2024[10] |
Economist July 19, 2024[11] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska | 3 | R+8 | 52.8% R | 10.06% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R |
Arizona | 11 | R+2 | 49.4% D | 0.31% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) |
Colorado | 10 | D+4 | 55.4% D | 13.50% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
Florida | 30 | R+3 | 51.2% R | 3.36% | Lean R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R |
Georgia | 16 | R+3 | 49.5% D | 0.24% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
Iowa | 6 | R+6 | 53.1% R | 8.20% | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R |
Maine[a] | 2 | D+2 | 53.1% D | 9.07% | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Tossup |
ME–02[a] | 1 | R+6 | 52.3% R | 7.44% | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
Michigan | 15 | R+1 | 50.6% D | 2.78% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
Minnesota | 10 | D+1 | 52.4% D | 7.11% | Lean D | Lean D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup |
NE–02[a] | 1 | EVEN | 52.0% D[b] | 6.50% | Lean D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup |
Nevada | 6 | R+1 | 50.1% D | 2.39% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
New Hampshire | 4 | D+1 | 52.7% D | 7.35% | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup |
New Jersey | 14 | D+6 | 57.3% D | 15.94% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
New Mexico | 5 | D+3 | 54.3% D | 10.79% | Solid D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
North Carolina | 16 | R+3 | 49.9% R | 1.35% | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R |
Ohio | 17 | R+6 | 53.3% R | 8.03% | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R |
Oregon | 8 | D+6 | 56.4% D | 16.08% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
Pennsylvania | 19 | R+2 | 50.0% D | 1.16% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
Texas | 40 | R+5 | 52.1% R | 5.58% | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
Virginia | 13 | D+3 | 54.1% D | 10.11% | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup |
Wisconsin | 10 | R+2 | 49.5% D | 0.63% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
Overall | D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 225 R – 272 41 tossups |
D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 226 R – 246 66 tossups |
D – 196 R – 312 30 tossups |
Polling
editAlabama
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence[12] | August 23–24 & 26, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 32% | 12% |
Alaska
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D)[13] | February 23 – March 2, 2024 | 1,120 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
Alaska Survey Research[14] | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 45% | 37% | 19% |
Alaska Survey Research[15] | July 18–21, 2023 | 1,336 (LV) | – | 43% | 36% | 21% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research[14] | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 37% | 29% | 17% | 17% |
Arizona
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group (R)[16] | August 6 – 8, 2024 | 1,092 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[17] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 435 (LV) | – | 48% | 46% | 6% |
HighGround[18] | July 30 – August 5, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 42% | 14%[d] |
Public Policy Polling (D)[19][A] | July 29 – 30, 2024 | 618 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[20][B] | July 23 – 29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21] | July 24 – 28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
Emerson College[22] | July 22 – 23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47%[e] | 53% | – | ||
Biden announces his withdrawal; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
InsiderAdvantage (R)[23] | July 15 – 16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[24][A] | July 10 – 11, 2024 | 596 (RV) | – | 44% | 52% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | May 7 – 13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 51% | 7% |
Emerson College[26] | February 16 – 19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
New York Times/Siena College[27] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
603 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[28] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 435 (LV) | – | 46% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 4% | |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[29] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 567 (LV) | – | 44% | 43% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 44% | 5% | – | 0% | 2% | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[30] | July 22–24, 2024 | 510 (LV) | – | 43% | 46% | 4% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
Emerson College[22] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 48% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[31][C] | July 17–20, 2024 | 738 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 46% | 7% | 1% | 6% |
Arkansas
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[32] | October 1–4, 2023 | 435 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Echelon Insights[33] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 58% | 33% | 9% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[34] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 49% | 31% | 20% |
California
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[35][D] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Institute of California[36] | June 24 – July 2, 2024 | 1,261 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 30% | 15%[f] |
Public Policy Institute of California[37] | May 23 – June 2, 2024 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 31% | 14%[g] |
Public Policy Institute of California[38] | March 19–25, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 31% | 14% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[39][D] | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
UC Berkeley IGS[40] | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[41][D] | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 33% | 12% |
Public Policy Institute of California[42] | February 6–14, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[43][D] | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
UC Berkeley IGS[44] | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 37% | 19% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[35][D] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Public Policy Institute of California[45] | November 9–16, 2023 | 1,113 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 30% | 16% |
UC Berkeley IGS[46] | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 31% | 23% |
Public Policy Institute of California[47] | October 3–19, 2023 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 29% | 12% |
Data Viewpoint[48] | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 67% | 33% | – |
Public Policy Institute of California[49] | August 25 – September 5, 2023 | 1,146 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 57% | 26% | 17% |
UC Berkeley IGS[50] | August 24–29, 2023 | 6,030 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 31% | 18% |
Public Policy Institute of California[51] | June 7–29, 2023 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 31% | 12% |
Public Policy Institute of California[52] | May 17–24, 2023 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 58% | 25% | 17% |
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times[53] | February 14–20, 2023 | 5,149 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 59% | 29% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[39][D] | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 32% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% |
UC Berkeley IGS[40] | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 40% | 28% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 16% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[41][D] | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[43][D] | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
UC Berkeley IGS[44] | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 31% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[35][D] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Berkeley IGS[46] | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 29% | 9% | 4% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times[53] | February 14–20, 2023 | 5,149 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 34% | 10% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Viewpoint[48] | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 58% | 42% | – |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[35][D] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 35% | 13% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Probolsky Research[54] | August 4–9, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 55% | 38% | 7% |
Colorado
editJoe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group (D)[55][E] | June 17–24, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
McLaughlin and Associates (R)[56] | June 9–11, 2024 | 725 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
John Zogby Strategies[57] | April 13–21, 2024 | 529 (LV) | – | 49% | 43% | 8% |
New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)[58][F] | March 15–19, 2024 | 632 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Florida Atlantic University[59] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 170 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
179 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% | ||
Emerson College[60] | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,856 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 41% | 35% | 24% |
Global Strategy Group (D)[61][E] | January 22–28, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder[62] | December 1–18, 2023 | 800 (A) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)[63][F] | November 26–27, 2023 | 652 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 36% | 19% |
Emerson College[64] | October 1–4, 2023 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[65] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Emerson College[66] | October 26–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Emerson College[67] | September 18–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[68] | July 24–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | 6% |
Blueprint Polling (D)[69] | April 6–8, 2022 | 612 (V) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group (D)[55][E] | June 17–24, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 36% | 12% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder[62] | December 1–18, 2023 | 800 (A) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[65] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blueprint Polling (D)[69] | April 6–8, 2022 | 612 (V) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 16% |
Connecticut
editJoe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[70] | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Emerson College[71] | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[72] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
Emerson College[73] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Delaware
editJoe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[74][G] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[74][G] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[74][G] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 42% | 36% | 22% |
Florida
editDonald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[75] | August 10–11, 2024 | 1,055 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5%[h] |
1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | 3%[i] | ||
University of North Florida[76] | July 24–27, 2024 | 774 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 42% | 9%[j] |
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
InsiderAdvantage (R)[77][k] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12%[l] |
Suffolk University[78] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Victory Insights[79] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University/USA Today[H][80] | August 7–11, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[81] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 976 (LV) | – | 47% | 41% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[82] | July 22–24, 2024 | 572 (LV) | – | 47% | 39% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[83] | August 10–11, 2024 | 1,055 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 5% | 4%[m] |
1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 45% | 5% | 3%[n] | ||
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[I] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | 3% | 1% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
InsiderAdvantage (R)[77][k] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 44% | 6%[o] |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[84] | June 8–9, 2024 | 883 (A) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 42% | 13% |
771 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 43% | 8% | ||
The Tyson Group (R)[85] | June 6–9, 2024 | 1,050 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
Fox News[86] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
CBS News/YouGov[87] | May 10–16, 2024 | 1,209 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 45% | 1% |
Prime Group[88][J] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
Cherry Communications (R)[89][K] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[90] | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 42% | 8% |
815 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 43% | 6% | ||
Emerson College[91] | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 44% | – |
St. Pete Polls[92] | March 11–13, 2024 | 1,963 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Cygnal (R)[93] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[94] | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[95] | October 7–9, 2023 | 1,100 (RV) | – | 44% | 39% | 17% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[96] | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 2% |
Metropolitan Research Services[97] | March 15–19, 2023 | 1,001 (RV) | – | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Emerson College[98] | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
University of North Florida[99] | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
Victory Insights[100] | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 51% | – |
Rasmussen Reports (R)[101] | November 8–9, 2022 | 1,224 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Florida Atlantic University[102] | October 12–16, 2022 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Suffolk University[78] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 9% |
Echelon Insights[103] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Suffolk University[104] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
Victory Insights[79] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
St. Pete Polls[105] | August 16–17, 2021 | 2,068 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[106] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News[86] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Prime Group[88][J] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 48% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 1% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[84] | June 8–9, 2024 | 883 (A) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 37% | 10% | 10% |
771 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 40% | 8% | 6% | ||
Cherry Communications (R)[89][K] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 37% | 10% | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[107] | May 2–4, 2024 | 586 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 9% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[90] | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 38% | 7% | 7% |
815 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 40% | 6% | 5% | ||
USA Today/Ipsos[108] | April 5–7, 2024 | 1,014 (A) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 31% | 7% | 23% |
Emerson College[91] | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 35% | 6% | 11%[p] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[109] | March 14–17, 2024 | 815 (LV) | – | 46% | 39% | 7% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[110] | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,147 (LV) | – | 45% | 34% | 9% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 44% | 34% | 9% | 13% |
Cygnal (R)[93] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 37% | 11% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[95] | October 7–9, 2023 | 1100 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 8% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University[104] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 27% | 32% | 16% | 24% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 16% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[93] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[94] | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 39% | 15% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[96] | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
Emerson College[98] | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
University of North Florida[99] | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
Cherry Communications[112] | February 10–19, 2023 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Victory Insights[100] | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – |
Suffolk University[78] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | 4% |
Echelon Insights[103] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Suffolk University[104] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
Victory Insights[79] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
The Political Matrix/The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[113] | September 11–12, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[106] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University[78] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Victory Insights[79] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 49% | – |
Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University[104] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 40% | 7% |
Georgia
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[114] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[L] | July 24–31, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R) | July 29–30, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | July 29–30, 2024 | 662 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 5% |
SoCal Research (R)[M] | July 25–26, 2024 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49%[e] | 51% | – | ||
Landmark Communications | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[N] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[q] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
549 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 49% | 8% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
629 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[115] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[L] | July 24–31, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 4% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,180 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 7% |
Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Landmark Communications | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 46% | 8% | 9% |
549 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 49% | 6% | 7% |
Idaho
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[116] | October 1–4, 2023 | 490 (RV) | ±4.4% | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Illinois
editJoe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cor Strategies[117] | August 24–27, 2023 | 811 (RV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[118] | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 34% | 23% |
Cor Strategies[117] | August 24–27, 2023 | 811 (RV) | – | 55% | 35% | 10% |
Emerson College[119] | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling[120] | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Emerson College[121] | September 21–23, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[120] | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Indiana
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[122] | March 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 34% | 11% |
Emerson College[123] | October 1–4, 2023 | 462 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 29% | 24% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[122] | March 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44.5% | 28.7% | 26.8% |
Iowa
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[124][O] | July 8–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Selzer & Co.[125][P] | February 25–28, 2024 | 640 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 33% | 19%[r] |
Cygnal (R)[126][O] | February 13–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
John Zogby Strategies[127] | January 2–4, 2024 | 500 (LV) | – | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Emerson College[128] | December 15–17, 2023 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Emerson College[129] | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Emerson College[130] | October 2–4, 2022 | 959 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Cygnal (R)[131][O] | October 2–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
Cygnal (R)[132][O] | July 13–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Cygnal (R)[133][s][O] | February 20–22, 2022 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
Selzer & Co.[134] | November 7–10, 2021 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Cygnal (R)[135][O] | October 18–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 41% | 5% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co.[136][P] | June 9–14, 2024 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 32% | 9% | 2% | 7%[t] |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[129] | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 38% | 17% |
Kansas
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[137] | October 1–4, 2023 | 487 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 31% | 22% |
Emerson College[138] | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Emerson College[139] | September 15–18, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
Echelon Insights[140] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[140] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
Kentucky
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[141] | October 1–3, 2023 | 450 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[142] | August 9–10, 2023 | 737 (V) | – | 55% | 34% | 11% |
co/efficient (R)[143] | May 18–19, 2023 | 987 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | 33% | 10% |
Louisiana
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Faucheux Strategies[144][Q] | April 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
Echelon Insights[145] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Faucheux Strategies[144][Q] | April 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 33% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[145] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Maine
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[146] | July 23–25, 2024 | 1,445 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 54% | 45% | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[146] | July 23–25, 2024 | 1,445 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 40% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5%[u] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pan Atlantic Research[147] | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 38% | 30%[v] |
Digital Research[148] | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 614 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 35% | 29%[w] |
Emerson College[149] | September 19–20, 2022 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
RCV count |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Digital Research[150] | April 8–30, 2024 | 809 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 1 | 40% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 6% | 2% |
2 | 41% | 41% | 11% | 1% | 6% | – | ||||
3 | 41% | 42% | 11% | – | 6% | – | ||||
4 | 42% | 43% | 15% | – | – | – | ||||
5 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Maine's 1st congressional district
editJoe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pan Atlantic Research[147] | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 31% | 31%[x] |
Digital Research[148] | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 307 (RV) | – | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Maine's 2nd congressional district
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pan Atlantic Research[147] | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 25% | 30%[y] |
Digital Research[148] | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 307 (RV) | – | 42% | 28% | 30% |
Maryland
editJoe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[151] | June 19–20, 2024 | 635 (V) | ± 3.9% | 56% | 30% | 15% |
Emerson College[152] | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[153][R] | May 6–7, 2024 | 719 (V) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 32% | 8% |
Emerson College[154] | February 12–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
Gonzales Research[155] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 15% |
Gonzales Research[156] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 30% | 13% |
Gonzales Research[157] | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[152] | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 33% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
Emerson College[154] | February 12−13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research[155] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 28% | 18% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research[155] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Gonzales Research[156] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research[156] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
Gonzales Research[157] | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research[156] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 29% | 15% |
Massachusetts
editJoe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University[158][S] | July 16–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
University of New Hampshire[159] | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 68% | 32% | – |
University of Massachusetts Lowell[160] | October 18–25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 58% | 32% | 10% |
Emerson College[161] | September 7–8, 2022 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell[162] | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[159] | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 55% | 26% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/UMass Amherst[163] | May 17–30, 2024 | 700 (A) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 27% | 9% | 16% |
Suffolk University[164][S] | April 16–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 22% | 8% | 18% |
Suffolk University[165] | February 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 21% |
YouGov[166][T] | October 13–20, 2023 | 700 (V) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
Michigan
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bullfinch Group[U] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | 4% |
New York Times/Siena College[167] | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
619 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 46% | 5% | ||
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[168] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 6% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[169][B] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[170] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | 4% |
SoCal Research[171][V] | July 25–26, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
Fox News[172] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
Emerson College[173] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49%[e] | 51% | – | ||
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
Public Policy Polling (D)[174][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[175] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College[176] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bullfinch Group[U] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
New York Times/Siena College[177] | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
619 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 43% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | ||
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[178] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[179] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 771 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[170] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 5% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
Fox News[172] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[180] | July 22–24, 2024 | 512 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | – | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Glengariff Group[181][W] | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 41% | 10% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Emerson College[173] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[182][C] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs[183][X] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
Minnesota
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harris announces Tim Walz as her running mate | ||||||
SurveyUSA[184][Y] | July 23–25, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | 10%[aa] |
Fox News[185] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[186] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 538 (LV) | – | 46% | 41% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[187] | July 22–24, 2024 | 475 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 6% | – | 1% | 0% | 8% |
Fox News[185] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[188] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51%[e] | 49% | – | ||
SurveyUSA[189][Y] | June 12–16, 2024 | 626 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 41% | 12%[ab] |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[190][Z] | June 9–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
SurveyUSA[191][Y] | May 8–11, 2024 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 42% | 14%[ac] |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[192][Z] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
SurveyUSA[193][Y] | April 3–7, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 42% | 14%[ad] |
SurveyUSA[194][Y] | February 23–28, 2024 | 1,603 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
SurveyUSA[195][Y] | January 24–29, 2024 | 1,594 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
Embold Research/MinnPost[196] | November 14–17, 2023 | 1,519 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Emerson College[197] | October 1–4, 2023 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[198] | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[188] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[190][Z] | June 9–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[192][Z] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon[199][AA] | June 3–5, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 41% | 6% | 9% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News[185] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News[185] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden DFL |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[198] | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Mississippi
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[200] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 54% | 36% | 10% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[200] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Missouri
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[201] | June 17–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 40% | 7% |
Emerson College[202] | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,830 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[203] | October 10–11, 2023 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
SurveyUSA[204] | October 27 – November 1, 2022 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
Emerson College[205] | October 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 9% |
Emerson College[206] | September 23–27, 2022 | 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
SurveyUSA[207] | September 14–18, 2022 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
SurveyUSA[208] | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,981 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
SurveyUSA[209] | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[210] | September 18–20, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 36% | 9% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[211] | April 21–22, 2021 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[201] | June 17–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 35% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
Montana
editDonald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 5–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 40% | 5% |
1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 58%[e] | 43% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 5–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 39% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group (R) | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 570 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 36% | 8% |
Torchlight Strategies (R)[AB] | June 22–26, 2024 | 649 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 35% | 14%[ae] |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[AC] | June 11–13, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 37% | 6% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[AD] | June 3–5, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 36% | 10% |
Emerson College[AE] | February 26 – March 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
SurveyUSA[AF] | February 12–15, 2024 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 54% | 37% | 9% |
J.L. Partners | August 12–17, 2023 | 741 (LV) | – | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[AE] | February 26 – March 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 28% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 51% | 30% | 7% | 12% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 49% | 28% | 6% | 4% | 13% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.L. Partners | August 12–17, 2023 | 741 (LV) | – | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 42% | 35% | 23% |
Nebraska
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Torchlight Strategies (R)[212][AG] | July 8–11, 2024 | 698 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 33% | 15%[af] |
Public Policy Polling (D)[213] | April 24–25, 2024 | 737 (V) | ± 3.6% | 57% | 34% | 9% |
Change Research (D)[214][AH] | November 13–16, 2023 | 1,048 (LV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Emerson College[215] | October 1–4, 2023 | 423 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 31% | 23% |
Nebraska's 2nd congressional district
editJoe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Torchlight Strategies (R)[212][AG] | July 8–11, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 42% | 42% | 16%[ag] |
Public Policy Polling (D)[213] | April 24–25, 2024 | – | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[213] | April 24–25, 2024 | – | – | 34% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iron Light Intelligence[216][AI] | May 17–22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 37% | 13% | 8% |
Nevada
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group (R)[217] | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[218] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[219][B] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[220] | July 24–28, 2024 | 454 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | 7% |
Biden announces his withdrawal; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
InsiderAdvantage (R)[221] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[222] | May 7–13, 2024 | 459 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Emerson College[223] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 48% | 13% |
New York Times/Siena College[224] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
611 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[225] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 5% | 0% | 1% | – | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[226] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 470 (LV) | – | 40% | 40% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[220] | July 24–28, 2024 | 454 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 43% | 7% | – | 1% | 3% | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[227] | July 22–24, 2024 | 435 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% |
New Hampshire
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[228] | July 26–28, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52%[e] | 48% | – | ||
University of New Hampshire[229] | July 23–25, 2024 | 2,875 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 53% | 46% | 1% |
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
The Trafalgar Group (R)[230] | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[228] | July 26–28, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 6% | 0% | 1% | – | 4% |
Saint Anselm College[231] | July 24–25, 2024 | 2,083 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 50% | 44% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[229] | July 23–25, 2024 | 2,875 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 49% | 43% | 4% | 8% |
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||||||
NHJournal/Praecones Analytica[232] | July 19–21, 2024 | 601 (V) | – | 39% | 40% | 21% | – |
New Jersey
editJoe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United 2024 (R)[233] | July 1–2, 2024 | 477 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
co/efficient (R)[234] | June 26–27, 2024 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 41% | 20%[ah] |
Emerson College[235] | March 26–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United 2024 (R)[233] | July 1–2, 2024 | 477 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 43% | 8% | — | 3% | 3% |
Emerson College[235] | March 26–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 36% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
New Mexico
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[236] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 493 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 8% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1892 Polling (R)[237][AJ] | June 19–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[238][AK] | June 13–14, 2024 | 555 (V) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[239] | August 23–24, 2023 | 767 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[240] | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Emerson College[241] | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
Emerson College[242] | September 8–11, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver vs. Randall Terry
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Randall Terry Constitution |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1892 Polling (R)[237][AJ] | June 19–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[239] | August 23–24, 2023 | 767 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[240] | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
New York
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College[243] | July 28 – August 1, 2024 | 1,199 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
SoCal Research[244][M] | July 18–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College[243] | July 28 – August 1, 2024 | 1,199 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoCal Research[244][M] | July 18–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Siena College[245] | June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Emerson College[246][D] | May 28–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55%[e] | 45% | – | ||
Siena College[247] | May 13–15, 2024 | 1,191 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[248] | May 2–3, 2024 | 1,059 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 56% | 37% | 17% |
Siena College[249] | April 15–17, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
Siena College[250] | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
Siena College[251] | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
Siena College[252] | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
Siena College[253] | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
Siena College[254] | August 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
Siena College[255] | June 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 28% | 21% |
SurveyUSA[256] | November 3–6, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Emerson College[257][D] | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
SurveyUSA[258] | October 14–18, 2022 | 1,018 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 37% | 21% |
Emerson College[259] | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
SurveyUSA[260] | August 17–21, 2022 | 715 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 29% | 22% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[261] | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College[250] | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 7% |
Siena College[251] | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 32% | 13% | 3% | 11% |
Siena College[252] | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 37% | 28% | 18% | 5% | 11% |
Siena College[253] | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[246][D] | May 28–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44.1% | 37.6% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 10.5% |
North Carolina
editDonald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group (R)[262] | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[263] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[264] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[265] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Emerson College[266] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov (D)[AL] | August 5–9, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[267] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | – | 5% |
Cygnal (R)[268][AM] | August 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 4% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[269] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 714 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 4% | – | 0% | 1% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[264] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 5% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[270] | July 22–24, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 46% | 43% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[271][C] | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 44% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
North Dakota
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies[272][ai] | June 15–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 62% | 28% | 10% |
Emerson College[273] | October 1–4, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 17% | 28% |
Key
- A – all adults
- RV – registered voters
- LV – likely voters
- V – unclear
Ohio
editDonald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[274][L] | July 23–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
Ohio Northern University[275] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[274][L] | July 23–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 9% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group (R)[276] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
National Public Affairs[277] | May 28–29, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 46% | – |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[278] | March 13–15, 2024 | 818 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Ohio Northern University[275] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
Emerson College[279][AN] | March 7–10, 2024 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 55% | 45% | – |
Emerson College[280][AN] | January 23–25, 2024 | 1,844 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Emerson College/WJW-TV[281] | November 10–13, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
Data for Progress (D)[282] | October 31 – November 2, 2023 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | 6% |
Ohio Northern University[283] | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 40% | 15%[aj] |
Emerson College[284] | October 2–4, 2023 | 438 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 33% | 23% |
Change Research/Change Research/Future Majority (D)[285] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Ohio Northern University[286] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Targoz Market Research[287] | November 2–6, 2022 | 505 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 57% | 40% | 3% |
Emerson College[288] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
Ohio Northern University/Lucid[disambiguation needed][289] | October 11–15, 2022 | 668 (LV) | – | 55% | 35% | 10% |
Emerson College[290] | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Emerson College[291] | September 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Echelon Insights[292] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Emerson College[293] | August 15–16, 2022 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
PEM Management Corporation (R)[294][AO] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist College[295] | June 3–6, 2024 | 1,137 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 41% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
National Public Affairs[277] | May 28–29, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 3% | – |
East Carolina University[296] | March 8–11, 2024 | 1,298 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 38% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Emerson College[279][AN] | March 7–10, 2024 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Emerson College/WJW-TV[281] | November 10–13, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 13% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden. vs. Robert F Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University[275] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 32% | 13% | 11% |
Ohio Northern University[297] | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 35% | 11% | 12%[ak] |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Change Research/Future Majority (D)[285] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 45% | 36% | 9% | 10% |
Suffolk University[298] | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 38% | 2% | 16% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Change Research/Future Majority (D)[285] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 42% | 34% | 6% | 6% | 12% |
Donald Trump vs. Gretchen Whitmer
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University[275] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 34% | 15% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University[297] | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 36% | 30%[al] |
Ohio Northern University[286] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 38% | 24% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University[297] | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 41% | 21%[am] |
Ohio Northern University[286] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
Emerson College[290] | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Emerson College[291] | September 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
Echelon Insights[292] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Ron Desantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron Desantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University[298] | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 37% | 2% | 22% |
Chris Christie vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University[286] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 33% | 39% | 28% |
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University[297] | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 38% | 24%[an] |
Ohio Northern University[286] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 38% | 25% |
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University[286] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 39% | 23% |
Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Causeway Solutions[299] | May 19–27, 2023 | 1,639 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 33% | 22% |
Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University[275] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 33% | 16% |
Oklahoma
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[300] | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
Emerson College[301] | October 1–3, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 27% | 18% |
Emerson College[302] | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 30% | 11% |
SoonerPoll[303] | October 4–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
Echelon Insights[304] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 63% | 30% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[300] | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 56% | 24% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[304] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 53% | 28% | 19% |
Oregon
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hoffman Research[305] | July 24–26, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hoffman Research[305] | July 24–26, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[306] | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | 975 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
Emerson College[307] | September 30 – October 1, 2022 | 796 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Pennsylvania
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | August 8–12, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
The Bullfinch Group[U] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
New York Times/Siena College[308] | August 6–9, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
693 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 46% | 4% | ||
Trafalgar Group (R)[309] | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[310] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 49% | 48% | 3% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[311][AP] | July 29 – August 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[312][A] | July 29–30, 2024 | 627 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
GQR Research (D)[313] | July 26–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 4%[ao] |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[314][B] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Quantus Polls and News | July 27–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[315] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
The Bullfinch Group[316][AQ] | July 23–25, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
Fox News[317] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
Emerson College[318] | July 22–23, 2024 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 49%[e] | 51% | – | ||
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
North Star Opinion Research[319][AR] | July 20–23, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 9% |
SoCal Research[320][M] | July 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[321] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[322][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 45% | 51% | 4% |
New York Times/Siena College[323] | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
872 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 48% | 5% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[324] | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 50% | 7% |
Emerson College[325] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
New York Times/Siena College[326] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
600 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | August 8–12, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 45% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 3% |
The Bullfinch Group[U] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 41% | 6% | 2% | 0% | – | 6% |
New York Times/Siena College[327] | August 6–9, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
693 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 44% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[328] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 0% | – | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[329] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 743 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[315] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% | 4% | 2% |
The Bullfinch Group[316][AQ] | July 23–25, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 44% | 6% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[330] | July 22–24, 2024 | 851 (LV) | – | 42% | 46% | 5% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Fox News[317] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
Emerson College[318] | July 22–23, 2024 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D)[331][C] | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 45% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 6% |
New York Times/Siena College[323] | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | 7% | 0% | 3% | – | 8% |
872 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 0% | 2% | – | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[311][AP] | July 29 – August 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | 4% | 6% |
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[332] | July 22–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 7% |
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||||||
Civiqs[333][X] | July 13–16, 2024 | 536 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 46% | 5% | 5% |
Rhode Island
editJoe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[334] | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 60% | 40% | – |
Fleming & Associates[335] | September 29 – October 2, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
Echelon Insights[336] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[334] | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Embold Research[337][AS] | June 5–14, 2024 | 1,450 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 33% | 12% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[336] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
South Carolina
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[338] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
The Citadel[339] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 35% | 11% |
Winthrop University[340] | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[341] | February 1–8, 2024 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
643 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 36% | 10% | ||
Echelon Insights[342] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Blueprint Polling (D)[343] | August 24–25, 2022 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Citadel[339] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 32% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Citadel[339] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Winthrop University[340] | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Citadel[339] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 25% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 7% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[342] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
South Dakota
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[344] | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,777 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 55% | 26% | 18% |
Emerson College[345] | October 1–4, 2023 | 432 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Emerson College[346] | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 53% | 33% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon[347][AT] | May 10–13, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 31% | 11% | 8% |
Tennessee
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research[348][AU] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 55% | 31% | 14% |
Targoz Market Research[349][AU] | December 14–28, 2023 | 929 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 63% | 31% | 5% |
Siena College[350][AV] | November 5–10, 2023 | 805 (A) | – | 49% | 20% | 31% |
Targoz Market Research[351][AU] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
Emerson College[352] | October 1–4, 2023 | 410 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 22% | 23% |
Targoz Market Research[353][AU] | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,046 (V) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 11% |
SSRS/Vanderbilt University[354] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 42% | 26% | 31% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SSRS/Vanderbilt University[355] | April 26 – May 9, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 29% | 8% | 16%[ap] |
Targoz Market Research[348][AU] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 28% | 15% | 10% |
Targoz Market Research[349][AU] | December 14–28, 2023 | 933 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 25% | 16% | 8% |
SSRS/Vanderbilt University[356] | November 14 – December 2, 2023 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 26% | 12% | 17% |
Targoz Market Research[351][AU] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 23% | 19% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin as an Independent
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research[351][AU] | October 5–16, 2023 | 844 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 53% | 23% | 6% | 18% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research[353][AU] | June 14–22, 2023 | 977 (V) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 36% | 11% |
SSRS/Vanderbilt University[354] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 33% | 24% | 40% |
Texas
editDonald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ActiVote[357] | July 31 – August 13, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – | |||||||||||||
July 2024 – Harris becomes the presumptive nominee | |||||||||||||||||||
YouGov[358][AW] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 52% | 39% | 9% | |||||||||||||
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[359] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 39% | 15%[aq] |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ActiVote[360] | June 25 – July 18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
Remington Research Group (R)[361] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 589 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Manhattan Institute[362] | June 25–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
UT Tyler[363] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
931 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 43% | 9% | ||
YouGov[364][AX] | May 31 – June 9, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 39% | 15%[ar] |
YouGov[365][AX] | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 40% | 12%[as] |
Cygnal (R)[366] | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Marist College[367] | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 55% | 44% | 1% |
UT Tyler[368] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
YouGov[369][AX] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11%[at] |
University of Houston[370] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Emerson College[371][AY] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
YouGov[372][AX] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 39% | 16% |
YouGov[373][AX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 37% | 18% |
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[359] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14%[au] |
CWS Research (R)[374] | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Emerson College[375] | October 17–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Emerson College[376] | September 20–22, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Echelon Insights[377] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Blueprint Polling (D)[378] | June 8–10, 2022 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 38% | 17% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[379][AZ] | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,484 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 5% | – | 2% | 4%[av] |
Manhattan Institute[362] | June 25–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 36% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 11%[aw] |
UT Tyler[363] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 38% | 12% | – | 1% | 3%[ax] |
931 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 41% | 8% | – | 1% | 3%[ay] | ||
YouGov[364][AX] | May 31 – June 9, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 34% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
YouGov[365][AX] | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
Texas Lyceum[380] | April 12–21, 2024 | 926 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 15%[az] |
Cygnal (R)[366] | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
UT Tyler[368] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 37% | 13% | 6% | 3% | – |
YouGov[369][AX] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 36% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[381] | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 35% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Emerson College[371][AY] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 36% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
YouGov[372][AX] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 12% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[382] | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 46% | 34% | 9% | 11%[ba] |
Marist College[367] | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 36% | 15% | 1% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[382] | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 48% | 36% | 3% | 13%[bb] |
YouGov[358][AW] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 8%[bc] |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Manchin No Labels |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs[383] | February 6–8, 2024 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 35% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 9% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UT Tyler[368] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 36% | 22% |
YouGov[369][AX] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 40% | 29%[bd] |
YouGov[358][AW] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
YouGov[372][AX] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 31% |
YouGov[373][AX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 32% | 34% | 34% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UT Tyler[368] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 36% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[381] | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 32% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 24% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[372][AX] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
YouGov[373][AX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 38% | 24% |
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[359] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14%[be] |
CWS Research (R)[374] | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 40% | 16% |
Echelon Insights[377] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[359] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 40% | 15%[bf] |
Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[372][AX] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 34% | 37% | 30% |
YouGov[373][AX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 32% |
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[373][AX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 29% | 36% | 36% |
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[373][AX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 34% | 33% |
Utah
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[384] | June 4–7, 2024 | 857 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 57% | 25% | 18% |
Noble Predictive Insights[385] | April 8–16, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[386] | January 16–21, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 33% | 24% |
Emerson College[387] | October 25–28, 2022 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[384] | June 4–7, 2024 | 857 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 20% | 21% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights[385] | April 8–16, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 23% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 15% |
Virginia
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[388] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[389] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 42% | 12% | ||
New York Times/Siena College[390] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 44% | 7% | ||
SoCal Research[391][M] | July 6–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College[390] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[389] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 37% | 10% | 12% |
544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 38% | 10% | 9% |
Vermont
editJoe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample
size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research[392] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 117 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 58% | 28% | 14% |
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research[392] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 111 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 59% | 28% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] | Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[393] | April 13 – 21, 2024 | 272 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 42% | - |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample
size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[393] | April 13 – 21, 2024 | 272 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 29% | - |
Washington
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[394][bg] | July 10–13, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[395][BA] | July 24–25, 2024 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 38% | 6% | 4% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[394][bh] | July 10–13, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[396][BA] | May 15–16, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | 6% |
The Independent Center[397] | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
Echelon Insights[398][BB] | March 18–21, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[399][BA] | February 13–14, 2024 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 38% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[400][BA] | November 14–15, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
Crosscut/Elway[401] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 39% | 29% | 31%[bi] |
Public Policy Polling (D)[402][BA] | June 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Emerson College[403] | September 30 – October 1, 2022 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[404] | August 15–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 41% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crosscut/Elway[401] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 37% | 25% | 9% | 3% | 26%[bj] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cascade PBS/Elway Research[405] | May 13–16, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 34% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 17% |
The Independent Center[397] | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 35% | 40% | 13% | 1% | 4% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[402][BA] | June 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
West Virginia
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[406] | October 1–4, 2023 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jill Stein Mountain |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kaplan Strategies[407] | June 4, 2024 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 28% | 2% | 15% |
Wisconsin
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bullfinch Group[U] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[408] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 5% |
New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
661 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 46% | 3% | ||
RMG Research | July 31 – August 5, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49%[e] | 50% | 1% | ||
801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 45% | 6% | ||
801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50%[e] | 49% | 1% | ||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 51%[e] | 49% | – | ||
Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
North Star Opinion Research[AR] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bullfinch Group[U] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
661 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[409] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 597 (LV) | – | 43% | 43% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 45% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 6% | – | 0% | 3% | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 22–24, 2024 | 523 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs[X] | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 2% |
Wyoming
editDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[410] | October 1–4, 2023 | 478 (RV) | ±4.5% | 68% | 15% | 18% |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ a b c Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
- ^ The boundaries of Nebraska's 2nd congressional district have since changed due to redistricting.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj dk dl dm dn do dp dq dr ds dt du dv dw dx dy dz ea eb ec ed ee ef eg eh ei ej ek el em en eo ep eq er es et eu ev ew ex ey ez fa fb fc fd fe ff fg fh fi fj fk fl fm fn fo fp fq fr fs ft fu fv Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Someone else" with 11%
- ^ "Someone else" with 13%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ a b Poll conducted for WTVT
- ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Cornel West & Jill Stein with 1%
- ^ Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
- ^ "Someone else" with 15%
- ^ Archived February 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%, "would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Another Candidate" with 1%
- ^ Other candidate with 21%
- ^ Other candidate with 10%
- ^ Other candidate with 23%
- ^ Other candidate with 19%
- ^ a b c d e f Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Other" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 6%
- ^ "Other" with 9%
- ^ "Other" with 11%
- ^ "Someone else" with 7%
- ^ "Someone else" with 11%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%
- ^ Kennedy or other third-party candidate with 7%; Undecided with 13%
- ^ Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance
- ^ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 10%
- ^ Some Other Candidate at 2%; Undecided at 10%
- ^ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 22%
- ^ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 16%
- ^ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 16%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 8%
- ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ "Someone else" with 9%
- ^ "Someone else" with 6%
- ^ "Someone else" with 7%
- ^ "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
- ^ Libertarian candidate with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 21%
- ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
- ^ "Someone else" with 22%; "Undecided" with 8%; "I would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Undecided" with 14%; "Someone else" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 2%
Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
- ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by WSVN-TV
- ^ Poll sponsored by Associated Industries of Florida
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
- ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
- ^ a b c d e f This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by The Times-Picayune/The New Orleans Advocate
- ^ This poll was commissioned by EMILY's List, which supports Biden.
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
- ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB
- ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for The Independent Center
- ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
- ^ Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by KARE11, Minnesota Public Radio & the Star Tribune
- ^ Poll commissioned by Common Sense for America PAC, which supports Republican candidates
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Montana Republican Party
- ^ Poll conducted by More Jobs, Less Government which supports Republican candidates
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- ^ Poll sponsored by KULR-TV
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. Senator Deb Fischer, who has endorsed Trump
- ^ Poll sponsored by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety
- ^ Poll commissioned by League of American Workers
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
- ^ Poll commissioned by the New Mexico Political Report
- ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
Cjournal
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- ^ Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by Early Vote Action PAC
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ Poll sponsored by Salve Regina University
- ^ Poll sponsored by South Dakota News Watch & Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Tennessean
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University
- ^ a b c d e f This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
- ^ Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC
References
edit- ^ Montanaro, Domenico (2024-08-05). "Harris has momentum, but the race is still tight. Here are the paths to the presidency". NPR. Retrieved 2024-08-06.
- ^ "2022 Cook PVI: State Map and List". Cook Political Report. December 15, 2017. Archived from the original on July 13, 2022. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
- ^ "Federal Elections 2020" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. July 2023.
- ^ Gonzales, Nathan. "2024 Presidential Ratings (May 8, 2024)". Inside Elections. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report. August 8, 2024. Retrieved August 8, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CNalysis Pres. Forecast". CNalysis. July 15, 2024. Archived from the original on December 25, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ Kondik, Kyle (August 6, 2024). "Electoral College Rating Changes". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Road to 270". CNN. January 31, 2024. Archived from the original on January 30, 2024. Retrieved January 31, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". Decision Desk HQ/The Hill. Retrieved July 10, 2024.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (July 4, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
- ^ "Alabama voters support Tuberville military hold abortion protest, poll says". archive.today. September 11, 2023. Archived from the original on September 11, 2023. Retrieved August 8, 2024.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link) - ^ "Data for Progress (D)" (PDF).
- ^ a b "Alaska Survey Research" (PDF).
- ^ "x.com".
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