Wikipedia

Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

The states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, and Virginia, with Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin considered to be tossups.[1]

Forecasts

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Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.

State EVs PVI[2] 2020
result 		2020
margin[3] 		IE
May 8,
2024[4] 		Cook
August 8,
2024[5] 		CNalysis
August 5,
2024[6] 		Sabato
August 7,
2024[7] 		CNN
January 31,
2024[8] 		DDHQ
July 9,
2024[9] 		538
July 19,
2024[10] 		Economist
July 19,
2024[11]
Alaska 3 R+8 52.8% R 10.06% Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Likely R Likely R Solid R
Arizona 11 R+2 49.4% D 0.31% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip)
Colorado 10 D+4 55.4% D 13.50% Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D
Florida 30 R+3 51.2% R 3.36% Lean R Likely R Very Likely R Likely R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R
Georgia 16 R+3 49.5% D 0.24% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
Iowa 6 R+6 53.1% R 8.20% Likely R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Likely R Likely R Safe R
Maine[a] 2 D+2 53.1% D 9.07% Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Solid D Lean D Likely D Tossup
ME–02[a] 1 R+6 52.3% R 7.44% Lean R Likely R Solid R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R
Michigan 15 R+1 50.6% D 2.78% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
Minnesota 10 D+1 52.4% D 7.11% Lean D Lean D Solid D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup
NE–02[a] 1 EVEN 52.0% D[b] 6.50% Lean D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Tossup Lean D Lean D Tossup
Nevada 6 R+1 50.1% D 2.39% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
New Hampshire 4 D+1 52.7% D 7.35% Lean D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup
New Jersey 14 D+6 57.3% D 15.94% Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Likely D Likely D Lean D
New Mexico 5 D+3 54.3% D 10.79% Solid D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D
North Carolina 16 R+3 49.9% R 1.35% Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R
Ohio 17 R+6 53.3% R 8.03% Likely R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Likely R Likely R Safe R
Oregon 8 D+6 56.4% D 16.08% Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D
Pennsylvania 19 R+2 50.0% D 1.16% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
Texas 40 R+5 52.1% R 5.58% Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Solid R Likely R Likely R Likely R
Virginia 13 D+3 54.1% D 10.11% Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup
Wisconsin 10 R+2 49.5% D 0.63% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
Overall D – 226
R – 235
77 tossups 		D – 226
R – 235
77 tossups 		D – 226
R – 235
77 tossups 		D – 226
R – 235
77 tossups 		D – 225
R – 272
41 tossups 		D – 226
R – 235
77 tossups 		D – 226
R – 246
66 tossups 		D – 196
R – 312
30 tossups

Polling

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Alabama

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Alabama
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
WPA Intelligence[12] August 23–24 & 26, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 57% 32% 12%

Alaska

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Alaska
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[13] February 23 – March 2, 2024 1,120 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 41% 6%
Alaska Survey Research[14] October 13–18, 2023 1,375 (LV) – 45% 37% 19%
Alaska Survey Research[15] July 18–21, 2023 1,336 (LV) – 43% 36% 21%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research[14] October 13–18, 2023 1,375 (LV) – 37% 29% 17% 17%

Arizona

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)[16] August 6 – 8, 2024 1,092 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 48% 5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[17] July 26 – August 8, 2024 435 (LV) – 48% 46% 6%
HighGround[18] July 30 – August 5, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 42% 14%[d]
Public Policy Polling (D)[19][A] July 29 – 30, 2024 618 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 49% 4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[20][B] July 23 – 29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 48% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21] July 24 – 28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
Emerson College[22] July 22 – 23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 49% 7%
800 (RV) ± 3.4% 47%[e] 53% –
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his withdrawal; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[23] July 15 – 16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 48% 10%
Public Policy Polling (D)[24][A] July 10 – 11, 2024 596 (RV) – 44% 52% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] May 7 – 13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 51% 7%
Emerson College[26] February 16 – 19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 48% 12%
New York Times/Siena College[27] October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.4% 43% 48% 9%
603 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 48% 9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[28] July 26 – August 8, 2024 435 (LV) – 46% 42% 7% 1% 0% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[29] July 31 – August 3, 2024 567 (LV) – 44% 43% 4% – 0% 0% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21] July 24–28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 44% 5% – 0% 2% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[30] July 22–24, 2024 510 (LV) – 43% 46% 4% – 0% 1% 6%
Emerson College[22] July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 48% 5% 1% 1% 1% 4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[31][C] July 17–20, 2024 738 (RV) ± 3.6% 40% 46% 7% 1% 6%

Arkansas

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Arkansas
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[32] October 1–4, 2023 435 (RV) ± 4.7% 57% 24% 19%
Echelon Insights[33] August 31 – September 7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 7.7% 58% 33% 9%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights[34] August 31 – September 7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 7.7% 49% 31% 20%

California

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in California

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[35][D] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 38% 15%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Institute of California[36] June 24 – July 2, 2024 1,261 (LV) ± 3.7% 55% 30% 15%[f]
Public Policy Institute of California[37] May 23 – June 2, 2024 1,098 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 31% 14%[g]
Public Policy Institute of California[38] March 19–25, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 3.9% 54% 31% 14%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[39][D] February 24–27, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 57% 35% 8%
UC Berkeley IGS[40] February 22–26, 2024 6,536 (LV) ± 1.5% 52% 34% 14%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[41][D] February 16–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55% 33% 12%
Public Policy Institute of California[42] February 6–14, 2024 1,075 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 32% 13%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[43][D] January 11–14, 2024 1,087 (RV) ± 2.9% 54% 34% 12%
UC Berkeley IGS[44] January 1–4, 2024 4,471 (LV) ± 2.0% 56% 37% 19%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[35][D] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 37% 13%
Public Policy Institute of California[45] November 9–16, 2023 1,113 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 30% 16%
UC Berkeley IGS[46] October 24–30, 2023 4,506 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 31% 23%
Public Policy Institute of California[47] October 3–19, 2023 1,377 (LV) ± 4.0% 60% 29% 12%
Data Viewpoint[48] October 1, 2023 533 (RV) ± 4.3% 67% 33% –
Public Policy Institute of California[49] August 25 – September 5, 2023 1,146 (LV) ± 3.7% 57% 26% 17%
UC Berkeley IGS[50] August 24–29, 2023 6,030 (RV) ± 2.0% 51% 31% 18%
Public Policy Institute of California[51] June 7–29, 2023 1,089 (LV) ± 3.8% 57% 31% 12%
Public Policy Institute of California[52] May 17–24, 2023 1,062 (LV) ± 3.9% 58% 25% 17%
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times[53] February 14–20, 2023 5,149 (LV) ± 2.0% 59% 29% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[39][D] February 24–27, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 32% 6% 2% 1% 8%
UC Berkeley IGS[40] February 22–26, 2024 6,536 (LV) ± 1.5% 40% 28% 11% 3% 2% 16%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[41][D] February 16–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 31% 8% 1% 1% 10%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[43][D] January 11–14, 2024 1,087 (RV) ± 2.9% 47% 32% 6% 1% 1% 13%
UC Berkeley IGS[44] January 1–4, 2024 4,471 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 31% 7% 2% 2% 11%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[35][D] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 31% 8% 1% 2% 15%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
UC Berkeley IGS[46] October 24–30, 2023 4,506 (LV) ± 2.5% 43% 29% 9% 4% 15%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times[53] February 14–20, 2023 5,149 (LV) ± 2.0% 56% 34% 10%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Data Viewpoint[48] October 1, 2023 533 (RV) ± 4.3% 58% 42% –

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[35][D] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 35% 13%

Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Probolsky Research[54] August 4–9, 2022 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 55% 38% 7%

Colorado

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Colorado
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[55][E] June 17–24, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 40% 10%
McLaughlin and Associates (R)[56] June 9–11, 2024 725 (LV) – 45% 43% 12%
John Zogby Strategies[57] April 13–21, 2024 529 (LV) – 49% 43% 8%
New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)[58][F] March 15–19, 2024 632 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%
Florida Atlantic University[59] February 29 – March 3, 2024 170 (LV) – 48% 44% 8%
179 (RV) – 48% 43% 9%
Emerson College[60] January 23–28, 2024 1,856 (RV) ± 2.2% 41% 35% 24%
Global Strategy Group (D)[61][E] January 22–28, 2024 801 (RV) ± 4.2% 49% 41% 10%
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder[62] December 1–18, 2023 800 (A) ± 4.2% 47% 40% 13%
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)[63][F] November 26–27, 2023 652 (LV) ± 3.8% 45% 36% 19%
Emerson College[64] October 1–4, 2023 477 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 38% 20%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[65] May 7–9, 2023 500 (LV) – 49% 39% 12%
Emerson College[66] October 26–29, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 39% 14%
Emerson College[67] September 18–19, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 36% 18%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[68] July 24–26, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% 6%
Blueprint Polling (D)[69] April 6–8, 2022 612 (V) ± 4.0% 43% 43% 14%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[55][E] June 17–24, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 36% 12% 2% 3% 5%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder[62] December 1–18, 2023 800 (A) ± 4.2% 46% 33% 21%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[65] May 7–9, 2023 500 (LV) – 44% 41% 15%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D)[69] April 6–8, 2022 612 (V) ± 4.0% 43% 42% 16%

Connecticut

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[70] October 19–21, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11%
Emerson College[71] September 7–9, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 36% 15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[72] July 26–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 39% 9%
Emerson College[73] May 10–11, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 38% 11%

Delaware

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Delaware
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[74][G] April 13–21, 2024 310 (LV) – 46% 42% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[74][G] April 13–21, 2024 310 (LV) – 51% 40% 9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[74][G] April 13–21, 2024 310 (LV) – 42% 36% 22%

Florida

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Florida

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[75] August 10–11, 2024 1,055 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%[h]
1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 47% 3%[i]
University of North Florida[76] July 24–27, 2024 774 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 42% 9%[j]
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[77][k] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%[l]
Suffolk University[78] September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) – 46% 44% 10%
Victory Insights[79] September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 51% –

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University/USA Today[H][80] August 7–11, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 42% 5% 0% 0% 1% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[81] July 31 – August 3, 2024 976 (LV) – 47% 41% 5% – 0% 1% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[82] July 22–24, 2024 572 (LV) – 47% 39% 5% – 0% 1% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[83] August 10–11, 2024 1,055 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 44% 5% 4%[m]
1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 45% 5% 3%[n]
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[I] August 6–8, 2024 800 (LV) – 52% 44% 3% 1%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)[77][k] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 44% 6%[o]
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[84] June 8–9, 2024 883 (A) ± 3.3% 46% 42% 13%
771 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 43% 8%
The Tyson Group (R)[85] June 6–9, 2024 1,050 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 36% 18%
Fox News[86] June 1–4, 2024 1,075 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 46% 4%
CBS News/YouGov[87] May 10–16, 2024 1,209 (RV) ± 3.9% 54% 45% 1%
Prime Group[88][J] May 9–16, 2024 486 (RV) – 53% 47% –
Cherry Communications (R)[89][K] April 28 – May 7, 2024 609 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 42% 7%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[90] April 15–17, 2024 865 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 42% 8%
815 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 43% 6%
Emerson College[91] April 9–10, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 56% 44% –
St. Pete Polls[92] March 11–13, 2024 1,963 (LV) ± 2.2% 48% 42% 10%
Cygnal (R)[93] November 13–15, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 43% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[94] October 27 – November 11, 2023 946 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 39% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[95] October 7–9, 2023 1,100 (RV) – 44% 39% 17%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[96] June 27 – July 1, 2023 933 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 39% 2%
Metropolitan Research Services[97] March 15–19, 2023 1,001 (RV) – 47% 43% 10%
Emerson College[98] March 13–15, 2023 1,153 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 44% 12%
University of North Florida[99] February 25 – March 7, 2023 1,452 (RV) ± 2.6% 50% 43% 7%
Victory Insights[100] November 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 49% 51% –
Rasmussen Reports (R)[101] November 8–9, 2022 1,224 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11%
Florida Atlantic University[102] October 12–16, 2022 719 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 41% 14%
Suffolk University[78] September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) – 47% 44% 9%
Echelon Insights[103] August 31 – September 7, 2022 815 (LV) ± 4.3% 49% 41% 10%
Suffolk University[104] January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 44% 9%
Victory Insights[79] September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 51% –
St. Pete Polls[105] August 16–17, 2021 2,068 (RV) ± 2.2% 47% 48% 5%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[106] August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 50% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Fox News[86] June 1–4, 2024 1,075 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% 7% 2% 1% 3%
Prime Group[88][J] May 9–16, 2024 486 (RV) – 48% 39% 9% 3% 1% –

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[84] June 8–9, 2024 883 (A) ± 3.3% 43% 37% 10% 10%
771 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 40% 8% 6%
Cherry Communications (R)[89][K] April 28 – May 7, 2024 609 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 37% 10% 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[107] May 2–4, 2024 586 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 38% 6% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[90] April 15–17, 2024 865 (RV) ± 3.3% 48% 38% 7% 7%
815 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 40% 6% 5%
USA Today/Ipsos[108] April 5–7, 2024 1,014 (A) ± 4.1% 39% 31% 7% 23%
Emerson College[91] April 9–10, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 35% 6% 11%[p]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[109] March 14–17, 2024 815 (LV) – 46% 39% 7% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[110] December 28–30, 2023 1,147 (LV) – 45% 34% 9% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111] November 27–29, 2023 897 (LV) – 44% 34% 9% 13%
Cygnal (R)[93] November 13–15, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 37% 11% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[95] October 7–9, 2023 1100 (LV) – 44% 37% 8% 11%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Hillary
Clinton
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University[104] January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 42% 9%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111] November 27–29, 2023 897 (LV) – 27% 32% 16% 24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111] November 27–29, 2023 897 (LV) – 38% 34% 12% 16%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[93] November 13–15, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 11%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[94] October 27 – November 11, 2023 946 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 39% 15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[96] June 27 – July 1, 2023 933 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 36% 15%
Emerson College[98] March 13–15, 2023 1,153 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 43% 11%
University of North Florida[99] February 25 – March 7, 2023 1,452 (RV) ± 2.6% 51% 42% 8%
Cherry Communications[112] February 10–19, 2023 608 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 38% 13%
Victory Insights[100] November 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 53% 47% –
Suffolk University[78] September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) – 52% 44% 4%
Echelon Insights[103] August 31 – September 7, 2022 815 (LV) ± 4.3% 51% 42% 7%
Suffolk University[104] January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 44% 4%
Victory Insights[79] September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 51% –
The Political Matrix/The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[113] September 11–12, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 55% –
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[106] August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 47% 49% 4%

Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University[78] September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) – 52% 40% 8%
Victory Insights[79] September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 49% –

Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Hillary
Clinton
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University[104] January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 53% 40% 7%

Georgia

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[114] July 26 – August 8, 2024 405 (LV) – 48% 48% 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[L] July 24–31, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R) July 29–30, 2024 – (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 49% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 29–30, 2024 662 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 47% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 5%
SoCal Research (R)[M] July 25–26, 2024 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 50% 4%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 48% 6%
800 (RV) ± 3.4% 49%[e] 51% –
Landmark Communications July 22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 47% 48% 5%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[N] July 9–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 51% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[q] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.1% 37% 47% 16%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–15, 2024 640 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 46% 12%
549 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 49% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 49% 10%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 51% 8%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 45% 11%
629 (LV) ± 4.5% 44% 47% 9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[115] July 26 – August 8, 2024 405 (LV) – 46% 46% 4% 1% 1% – 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 1,128 (LV) – 44% 46% 3% – 1% 0% 6%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[L] July 24–31, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% 4% 2% 1% 0% 3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 4% – 0% 4% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 1,180 (LV) – 42% 47% 3% – 1% 0% 7%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 46% 4% 1% 1% 0% 5%
Landmark Communications July 22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 44% 46% 4% 1% 0% 0% 5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–15, 2024 640 (RV) ± 3.6% 37% 46% 8% 9%
549 (LV) ± 3.6% 38% 49% 6% 7%

Idaho

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Idaho
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[116] October 1–4, 2023 490 (RV) ±4.4% 55% 26% 19%

Illinois

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Illinois
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Cor Strategies[117] August 24–27, 2023 811 (RV) – 53% 35% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[118] October 1–4, 2023 468 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 34% 23%
Cor Strategies[117] August 24–27, 2023 811 (RV) – 55% 35% 10%
Emerson College[119] October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 37% 14%
Public Policy Polling[120] October 10–11, 2022 770 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 42% 7%
Emerson College[121] September 21–23, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 38% 11%

J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		J. B.
Pritzker
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[120] October 10–11, 2022 770 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 42% 7%

Indiana

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[122] March 2–5, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55% 34% 11%
Emerson College[123] October 1–4, 2023 462 (RV) ± 4.5% 48% 29% 24%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[122] March 2–5, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44.5% 28.7% 26.8%

Iowa

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Iowa
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[124][O] July 8–9, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 39% 10%
Selzer & Co.[125][P] February 25–28, 2024 640 (LV) ± 3.9% 48% 33% 19%[r]
Cygnal (R)[126][O] February 13–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 40% 11%
John Zogby Strategies[127] January 2–4, 2024 500 (LV) – 51% 39% 10%
Emerson College[128] December 15–17, 2023 1,094 (RV) ± 2.9% 48% 40% 12%
Emerson College[129] May 19–22, 2023 1,064 (RV) ± 2.9% 49% 38% 13%
Emerson College[130] October 2–4, 2022 959 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 39% 14%
Cygnal (R)[131][O] October 2–4, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 8%
Cygnal (R)[132][O] July 13–14, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 40% 9%
Cygnal (R)[133][s][O] February 20–22, 2022 610 (LV) ± 3.9% 53% 38% 9%
Selzer & Co.[134] November 7–10, 2021 658 (LV) ± 3.8% 51% 40% 9%
Cygnal (R)[135][O] October 18–19, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 54% 41% 5%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Selzer & Co.[136][P] June 9–14, 2024 632 (LV) ± 3.9% 50% 32% 9% 2% 7%[t]

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[129] May 19–22, 2023 1,064 (RV) ± 2.9% 45% 38% 17%

Kansas

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Kansas
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[137] October 1–4, 2023 487 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 31% 22%
Emerson College[138] October 27–29, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 37% 13%
Emerson College[139] September 15–18, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 36% 12%
Echelon Insights[140] August 31 – September 7, 2022 392 (LV) ± 7.5% 52% 41% 7%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights[140] August 31 – September 7, 2022 392 (LV) ± 7.5% 50% 39% 11%

Kentucky

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[141] October 1–3, 2023 450 (RV) ± 4.6% 55% 26% 19%
Public Policy Polling (D)[142] August 9–10, 2023 737 (V) – 55% 34% 11%
co/efficient (R)[143] May 18–19, 2023 987 (LV) ± 3.1% 57% 33% 10%

Louisiana

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Faucheux Strategies[144][Q] April 22–26, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 52% 38% 10%
Echelon Insights[145] August 31 – September 7, 2022 506 (LV) ± 6.5% 51% 36% 13%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Faucheux Strategies[144][Q] April 22–26, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 33% 10% 2% 1% 6%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights[145] August 31 – September 7, 2022 506 (LV) ± 6.5% 46% 33% 21%

Maine

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[146] July 23–25, 2024 1,445 (LV) ± 2.6% 54% 45% 1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[146] July 23–25, 2024 1,445 (LV) ± 2.6% 48% 40% 4% 1% 1% 1% 5%[u]
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research[147] February 6–14, 2024 791 (LV) ± 3.5% 31% 38% 30%[v]
Digital Research[148] October 3 – November 2, 2023 614 (RV) ± 3.9% 36% 35% 29%[w]
Emerson College[149] September 19–20, 2022 1,164 (LV) ± 2.8% 51% 40% 9%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		RCV
count 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Digital Research[150] April 8–30, 2024 809 (RV) ± 4.0% 1 40% 41% 10% 1% 6% 2%
2 41% 41% 11% 1% 6% –
3 41% 42% 11% – 6% –
4 42% 43% 15% – – –
5 51% 49% – – – –

Maine's 1st congressional district

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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research[147] February 6–14, 2024 791 (LV) ± 3.5% 39% 31% 31%[x]
Digital Research[148] October 3 – November 2, 2023 307 (RV) – 43% 27% 30%

Maine's 2nd congressional district

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Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research[147] February 6–14, 2024 791 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 25% 30%[y]
Digital Research[148] October 3 – November 2, 2023 307 (RV) – 42% 28% 30%

Maryland

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[z] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[151] June 19–20, 2024 635 (V) ± 3.9% 56% 30% 15%
Emerson College[152] May 6–8, 2024 1,115 (RV) ± 2.9% 56% 35% 9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[153][R] May 6–7, 2024 719 (V) ± 3.7% 60% 32% 8%
Emerson College[154] February 12–13, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55% 32% 13%
Gonzales Research[155] January 23 – February 2, 2024 815 (RV) ± 3.5% 53% 32% 15%
Gonzales Research[156] September 18–28, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.5% 56% 30% 13%
Gonzales Research[157] May 30 – June 6, 2023 841 (RV) ± 3.5% 52% 35% 13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[z] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[152] May 6–8, 2024 1,115 (RV) ± 2.9% 50% 33% 6% 4% 1% 6%
Emerson College[154] February 12−13, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 32% 6% 1% 1% 13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[z] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Gonzales Research[155] January 23 – February 2, 2024 815 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 28% 18% 9%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[z] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Gonzales Research[155] January 23 – February 2, 2024 815 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 36% 14%
Gonzales Research[156] September 18–28, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 36% 11%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[z] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Gonzales Research[156] September 18–28, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.5% 56% 35% 9%
Gonzales Research[157] May 30 – June 6, 2023 841 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 37% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[z] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Gonzales Research[156] September 18–28, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.5% 56% 29% 15%

Massachusetts

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University[158][S] July 16–18, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 29% 24%
University of New Hampshire[159] May 16–20, 2024 526 (LV) ± 4.3% 68% 32% –
University of Massachusetts Lowell[160] October 18–25, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 4.1% 58% 32% 10%
Emerson College[161] September 7–8, 2022 708 (LV) ± 3.6% 54% 34% 12%
University of Massachusetts Lowell[162] June 7–15, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 4.0% 60% 31% 9%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[159] May 16–20, 2024 526 (LV) ± 4.3% 55% 26% 10% 1% 2% 6%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
YouGov/UMass Amherst[163] May 17–30, 2024 700 (A) ± 4.4% 48% 27% 9% 16%
Suffolk University[164][S] April 16–20, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 22% 8% 18%
Suffolk University[165] February 2–5, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 26% 9% 21%
YouGov[166][T] October 13–20, 2023 700 (V) ± 5.1% 43% 21% 17% 19%

Michigan

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
The Bullfinch Group[U] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 48% 43% 9%
InsiderAdvantage (R) August 6–8, 2024 800 (LV) – 49% 47% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[167] August 5–8, 2024 619 (RV) ± 4.8% 45% 48% 7%
619 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 46% 5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[168] July 26 – August 8, 2024 406 (LV) – 49% 46% 6%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[169][B] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[170] July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 4%
SoCal Research[171][V] July 25–26, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 49% 5%
Fox News[172] July 22–24, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
Emerson College[173] July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 45% 46% 9%
800 (RV) ± 3.4% 49%[e] 51% –
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Public Policy Polling (D)[174][A] July 11–12, 2024 568 (RV) – 46% 48% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[175] May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College[176] October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 47% 8%
616 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
The Bullfinch Group[U] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 40% 7% 1% 1% – 5%
New York Times/Siena College[177] August 5–8, 2024 619 (RV) ± 4.8% 44% 43% 5% 0% 1% 0% 6%
619 (LV) ± 4.8% 48% 43% 4% 0% 1% 0% 3%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[178] July 26 – August 8, 2024 406 (LV) – 46% 44% 6% 1% 0% – 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[179] July 31 – August 3, 2024 771 (LV) – 41% 42% 5% – 1% 0% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[170] July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 39% 5% – 1% 2% 2%
Fox News[172] July 22–24, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 7% 1% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[180] July 22–24, 2024 512 (LV) – 41% 44% 7% – 0% 0% 8%
Glengariff Group[181][W] July 22–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 41% 10% – 1% 1% 5%
Emerson College[173] July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 44% 5% 1% 1% 0% 5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[182][C] July 17–18, 2024 650 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 46% 5% 1% 7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Civiqs[183][X] July 13–16, 2024 532 (RV) ± 5.3% 46% 46% 5% 3%

Minnesota

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
DFL 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
August 6, 2024 Harris announces Tim Walz as her running mate
SurveyUSA[184][Y] July 23–25, 2024 656 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 40% 10%[aa]
Fox News[185] July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% 2%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
DFL 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[186] July 31 – August 3, 2024 538 (LV) – 46% 41% 3% – 0% 0% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[187] July 22–24, 2024 475 (LV) – 44% 41% 6% – 1% 0% 8%
Fox News[185] July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 41% 7% 1% 1% – 3%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
DFL 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[188] June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 10%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 51%[e] 49% –
SurveyUSA[189][Y] June 12–16, 2024 626 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 41% 12%[ab]
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[190][Z] June 9–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 47% 8%
SurveyUSA[191][Y] May 8–11, 2024 625 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 42% 14%[ac]
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[192][Z] April 29 – May 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 49% 5%
SurveyUSA[193][Y] April 3–7, 2024 608 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 42% 14%[ad]
SurveyUSA[194][Y] February 23–28, 2024 1,603 (LV) ± 2.8% 42% 38% 20%
SurveyUSA[195][Y] January 24–29, 2024 1,594 (LV) ± 2.8% 42% 39% 19%
Embold Research/MinnPost[196] November 14–17, 2023 1,519 (LV) ± 2.6% 45% 42% 13%
Emerson College[197] October 1–4, 2023 477 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 38% 22%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[198] May 6–8, 2023 500 (LV) – 48% 40% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
DFL 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[188] June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 42% 6% 1% 1% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[190][Z] June 9–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 41% 7% 2% 2% 11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[192][Z] April 29 – May 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 40% 9% 1% 1% 9%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
DFL 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Mason-Dixon[199][AA] June 3–5, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 41% 6% 9%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Gretchen
Whitmer
DFL 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Fox News[185] July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Josh
Shapiro
DFL 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Fox News[185] July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 45% 6%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
DFL 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[198] May 6–8, 2023 500 (LV) – 45% 43% 12%

Mississippi

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights[200] August 31 – September 7, 2022 409 (LV) ± 7.8% 54% 36% 10%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights[200] August 31 – September 7, 2022 409 (LV) ± 7.8% 49% 37% 14%

Missouri

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Missouri
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[201] June 17–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 40% 7%
Emerson College[202] January 23–28, 2024 1,830 (RV) ± 2.2% 49% 32% 19%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[203] October 10–11, 2023 806 (RV) ± 3.6% 52% 39% 9%
SurveyUSA[204] October 27 – November 1, 2022 991 (RV) ± 3.7% 52% 34% 14%
Emerson College[205] October 26–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 37% 9%
Emerson College[206] September 23–27, 2022 1,160 (LV) ± 2.8% 51% 37% 12%
SurveyUSA[207] September 14–18, 2022 830 (RV) ± 3.9% 52% 35% 13%
SurveyUSA[208] July 24–27, 2022 1,981 (RV) ± 2.7% 51% 35% 14%
SurveyUSA[209] May 11–15, 2022 1,412 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 35% 15%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[210] September 18–20, 2021 1,014 (LV) ± 2.9% 55% 36% 9%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[211] April 21–22, 2021 933 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 38% 9%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[201] June 17–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 35% 7% 1% 1% 6%

Montana

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Montana

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College August 5–6, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55% 40% 5%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 58%[e] 43% –

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College August 5–6, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 39% 5% 0% 0% 0% 2%
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R) June 29 – July 1, 2024 570 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 36% 8%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[AB] June 22–26, 2024 649 (RV) ± 3.9% 51% 35% 14%[ae]
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[AC] June 11–13, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 57% 37% 6%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[AD] June 3–5, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 36% 10%
Emerson College[AE] February 26 – March 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 56% 35% 9%
SurveyUSA[AF] February 12–15, 2024 549 (LV) ± 4.5% 51% 29% 20%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 447 (RV) ± 4.6% 49% 28% 23%
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,451 (RV) – 54% 37% 9%
J.L. Partners August 12–17, 2023 741 (LV) – 51% 39% 10%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 320 (LV) ± 6.6% 49% 36% 15%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[AE] February 26 – March 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 28% 8% 1% 1% 13%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,451 (RV) – 51% 30% 7% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Joe
Manchin
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,451 (RV) – 49% 28% 6% 4% 13%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
J.L. Partners August 12–17, 2023 741 (LV) – 50% 36% 14%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 320 (LV) ± 6.6% 42% 35% 23%

Nebraska

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Torchlight Strategies (R)[212][AG] July 8–11, 2024 698 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 33% 15%[af]
Public Policy Polling (D)[213] April 24–25, 2024 737 (V) ± 3.6% 57% 34% 9%
Change Research (D)[214][AH] November 13–16, 2023 1,048 (LV) – 53% 35% 12%
Emerson College[215] October 1–4, 2023 423 (RV) ± 4.7% 47% 31% 23%

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Torchlight Strategies (R)[212][AG] July 8–11, 2024 300 (LV) – 42% 42% 16%[ag]
Public Policy Polling (D)[213] April 24–25, 2024 – – 43% 46% 11%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[213] April 24–25, 2024 – – 34% 37% 9% 4% 4% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Iron Light Intelligence[216][AI] May 17–22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 42% 37% 13% 8%

Nevada

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)[217] August 6–8, 2024 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 48% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[218] July 26 – August 8, 2024 403 (LV) – 45% 48% 7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[219][B] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 46% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[220] July 24–28, 2024 454 (RV) ± 5.0% 47% 45% 7%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his withdrawal; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[221] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 50% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[222] May 7–13, 2024 459 (RV) ± 5.0% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College[223] February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 48% 13%
New York Times/Siena College[224] October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 48% 10%
611 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 50% 8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[225] July 26 – August 8, 2024 403 (LV) – 42% 47% 5% 0% 1% – 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[226] July 31 – August 3, 2024 470 (LV) – 40% 40% 5% – 1% 0% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[220] July 24–28, 2024 454 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 43% 7% – 1% 3% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[227] July 22–24, 2024 435 (LV) – 43% 45% 5% – 1% 0% 6%

New Hampshire

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[228] July 26–28, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 46% 4%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 52%[e] 48% –
University of New Hampshire[229] July 23–25, 2024 2,875 (LV) ± 1.8% 53% 46% 1%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
The Trafalgar Group (R)[230] December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[228] July 26–28, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 41% 6% 0% 1% – 4%
Saint Anselm College[231] July 24–25, 2024 2,083 (RV) ± 2.1% 50% 44% 3% 0% 0% 0% 3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[229] July 23–25, 2024 2,875 (LV) ± 1.8% 49% 43% 4% 8%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
NHJournal/Praecones Analytica[232] July 19–21, 2024 601 (V) – 39% 40% 21% –

New Jersey

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
United 2024 (R)[233] July 1–2, 2024 477 (RV) ± 4.5% 41% 43% 16%
co/efficient (R)[234] June 26–27, 2024 810 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 41% 20%[ah]
Emerson College[235] March 26–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 39% 15%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
United 2024 (R)[233] July 1–2, 2024 477 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 43% 8% — 3% 3%
Emerson College[235] March 26–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 36% 8% 1% 1% 13%

New Mexico

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[236] July 31 – August 3, 2024 493 (LV) – 44% 37% 8% – 0% 0% 11%
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
1892 Polling (R)[237][AJ] June 19–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[238][AK] June 13–14, 2024 555 (V) ± 4.2% 48% 41% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D)[239] August 23–24, 2023 767 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 41% 10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[240] May 6–8, 2023 500 (LV) – 49% 38% 13%
Emerson College[241] October 25–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 38% 14%
Emerson College[242] September 8–11, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 41% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver vs. Randall Terry

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Randall
Terry
Constitution 		Other /
Undecided
1892 Polling (R)[237][AJ] June 19–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 42% 8% 3% 2% 1% 3%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[239] August 23–24, 2023 767 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 43% 9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[240] May 6–8, 2023 500 (LV) – 45% 43% 12%

New York

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in New York

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Siena College[243] July 28 – August 1, 2024 1,199 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 39% 8%
SoCal Research[244][M] July 18–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 41% 7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Siena College[243] July 28 – August 1, 2024 1,199 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 37% 7% 1% 2% 1% 10%
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
SoCal Research[244][M] July 18–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 41% 7%
Siena College[245] June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024 805 (RV) ± 4.1% 47% 39% 14%
Emerson College[246][D] May 28–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 41% 11%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55%[e] 45% –
Siena College[247] May 13–15, 2024 1,191 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 38% 15%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[248] May 2–3, 2024 1,059 (RV) ± 5.0% 56% 37% 17%
Siena College[249] April 15–17, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.1% 47% 37% 16%
Siena College[250] February 12–14, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 36% 16%
Siena College[251] January 14–17, 2024 807 (RV) ± 4.5% 46% 37% 17%
Siena College[252] November 12–15, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.6% 46% 36% 18%
Siena College[253] October 15–19, 2023 1,225 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 37% 17%
Siena College[254] August 13–16, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 34% 19%
Siena College[255] June 20–25, 2023 817 (RV) ± 3.9% 50% 28% 21%
SurveyUSA[256] November 3–6, 2022 918 (RV) ± 4.1% 46% 34% 20%
Emerson College[257][D] October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% 13%
SurveyUSA[258] October 14–18, 2022 1,018 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 37% 21%
Emerson College[259] September 4–6, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 37% 10%
SurveyUSA[260] August 17–21, 2022 715 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 29% 22%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[261] August 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 40% 8%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Siena College[250] February 12–14, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.2% 42% 32% 13% 6% 7%
Siena College[251] January 14–17, 2024 807 (RV) ± 4.5% 41% 32% 13% 3% 11%
Siena College[252] November 12–15, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.6% 37% 28% 18% 5% 11%
Siena College[253] October 15–19, 2023 1,225 (RV) ± 3.4% 38% 31% 13% 5% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[246][D] May 28–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44.1% 37.6% 5.7% 1.5% 0.7% 10.5%

North Carolina

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)[262] August 6–8, 2024 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 45% 6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[263] July 26 – August 8, 2024 403 (LV) – 47% 48% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[264] July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[265] May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 40% 10%
Emerson College[266] February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 41% 9%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
YouGov (D)[AL] August 5–9, 2024 802 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 46% 2% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[267] July 26 – August 8, 2024 403 (LV) – 44% 46% 4% 0% 1% – 5%
Cygnal (R)[268][AM] August 4–5, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 4% – 0% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[269] July 31 – August 3, 2024 714 (LV) – 44% 41% 4% – 0% 1% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[264] July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 5% – 0% 4% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[270] July 22–24, 2024 586 (LV) – 46% 43% 4% – 0% 0% 7%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[271][C] July 17–20, 2024 573 (RV) ± 4.1% 48% 44% 2% 2% 4%

North Dakota

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies[272][ai] June 15–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 62% 28% 10%
Emerson College[273] October 1–4, 2023 419 (RV) ± 4.8% 54% 17% 28%

Key

  • A – all adults
  • RV – registered voters
  • LV – likely voters
  • V – unclear

Ohio

edit
Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[274][L] July 23–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% 6%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Ohio Northern University[275] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 38% 11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[274][L] July 23–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 39% 9% – 1% 1% 2%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)[276] June 29 – July 1, 2024 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 8%
National Public Affairs[277] May 28–29, 2024 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 46% –
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[278] March 13–15, 2024 818 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 40% 9%
Ohio Northern University[275] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 38% 12%
Emerson College[279][AN] March 7–10, 2024 1,300 (RV) ± 2.6% 55% 45% –
Emerson College[280][AN] January 23–25, 2024 1,844 (RV) ± 2.3% 47% 36% 17%
Emerson College/WJW-TV[281] November 10–13, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 38% 12%
Data for Progress (D)[282] October 31 – November 2, 2023 597 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 6%
Ohio Northern University[283] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 45% 40% 15%[aj]
Emerson College[284] October 2–4, 2023 438 (RV) ± 4.5% 45% 33% 23%
Change Research/Change Research/Future Majority (D)[285] September 16–19, 2023 1,559 (RV) – 48% 43% 9%
Ohio Northern University[286] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 49% 39% 12%
Targoz Market Research[287] November 2–6, 2022 505 (LV) ± 4.3% 57% 40% 3%
Emerson College[288] October 30 – November 1, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 38% 12%
Ohio Northern University/Lucid[disambiguation needed][289] October 11–15, 2022 668 (LV) – 55% 35% 10%
Emerson College[290] October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 40% 12%
Emerson College[291] September 12–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 40% 10%
Echelon Insights[292] August 31 – September 7, 2022 831 (LV) ± 4.3% 49% 41% 10%
Emerson College[293] August 15–16, 2022 925 (LV) ± 3.2% 53% 39% 8%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[294][AO] July 22–24, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 42% 44% 14%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Marist College[295] June 3–6, 2024 1,137 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 41% 5% 1% 1% 4%
National Public Affairs[277] May 28–29, 2024 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 40% 7% 2% 3% –
East Carolina University[296] March 8–11, 2024 1,298 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 38% 5% 1% 1% 7%
Emerson College[279][AN] March 7–10, 2024 1,300 (RV) ± 2.6% 47% 38% 6% 1% 1% 7%
Emerson College/WJW-TV[281] November 10–13, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 31% 8% 1% 2% 13%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden. vs. Robert F Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[275] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% 32% 13% 11%
Ohio Northern University[297] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 42% 35% 11% 12%[ak]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Cornel
West
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Change Research/Future Majority (D)[285] September 16–19, 2023 1,559 (RV) – 45% 36% 9% 10%
Suffolk University[298] July 9–12, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 38% 2% 16%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Joe
Manchin
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Change Research/Future Majority (D)[285] September 16–19, 2023 1,559 (RV) – 42% 34% 6% 6% 12%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Gretchen Whitmer

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[275] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 34% 15%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[297] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 34% 36% 30%[al]
Ohio Northern University[286] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 38% 38% 24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[297] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 41% 21%[am]
Ohio Northern University[286] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 41% 39% 20%
Emerson College[290] October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 38% 13%
Emerson College[291] September 12–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 38% 14%
Echelon Insights[292] August 31 – September 7, 2022 831 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 40% 14%

Ron Desantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
Desantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Cornel
West
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University[298] July 9–12, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 39% 37% 2% 22%

Chris Christie vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Christie
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[286] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 33% 39% 28%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Mike
Pence
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[297] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 38% 24%[an]
Ohio Northern University[286] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 37% 38% 25%

Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Tim
Scott
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[286] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 38% 39% 23%

Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Causeway Solutions[299] May 19–27, 2023 1,639 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 33% 22%

Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[275] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 33% 16%

Oklahoma

edit
Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[300] April 11–12, 2024 615 (LV) ± 3.83% 61% 30% 9%
Emerson College[301] October 1–3, 2023 447 (RV) ± 4.6% 55% 27% 18%
Emerson College[302] October 25–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 30% 11%
SoonerPoll[303] October 4–6, 2022 301 (LV) ± 5.7% 53% 41% 6%
Echelon Insights[304] August 31 – September 7, 2022 522 (LV) ± 6.3% 63% 30% 7%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[300] April 11–12, 2024 615 (LV) ± 3.83% 56% 24% 7% 2% 1% 10%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights[304] August 31 – September 7, 2022 522 (LV) ± 6.3% 53% 28% 19%

Oregon

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Hoffman Research[305] July 24–26, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 44% 7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Hoffman Research[305] July 24–26, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 40% 7% 1% 7%
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[306] October 31 – November 1, 2022 975 (LV) ± 3.1% 51% 35% 14%
Emerson College[307] September 30 – October 1, 2022 796 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 41% 9%

Pennsylvania

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Quinnipiac University August 8–12, 2024 1,738 (LV) ± 2.4% 50% 47% 3%
The Bullfinch Group[U] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 45% 6%
New York Times/Siena College[308] August 6–9, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.2% 49% 46% 5%
693 (LV) ± 4.2% 50% 46% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[309] August 6–8, 2024 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 46% 10%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[310] July 26 – August 8, 2024 411 (LV) – 49% 48% 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[311][AP] July 29 – August 1, 2024 600 (LV) – 48% 48% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[312][A] July 29–30, 2024 627 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 48% 5%
GQR Research (D)[313] July 26–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 46% 4%[ao]
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[314][B] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 45% 7%
Quantus Polls and News July 27–28, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 48% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[315] July 24–28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 50% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[316][AQ] July 23–25, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% 5%
Fox News[317] July 22–24, 2024 1,034 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
Emerson College[318] July 22–23, 2024 850 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 48% 6%
850 (RV) ± 3.3% 49%[e] 51% –
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
North Star Opinion Research[319][AR] July 20–23, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 47% 9%
SoCal Research[320][M] July 20–21, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 50% 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[321] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 47% 13%
Public Policy Polling (D)[322][A] July 11–12, 2024 537 (RV) – 45% 51% 4%
New York Times/Siena College[323] July 9–11, 2024 872 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 48% 6%
872 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 48% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[324] May 7–13, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 50% 7%
Emerson College[325] February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 49% 11%
New York Times/Siena College[326] October 22 – November 3, 2023 600 (RV) ± 4.6% 44% 47% 9%
600 (LV) ± 4.6% 44% 48% 8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Quinnipiac University August 8–12, 2024 1,738 (LV) ± 2.4% 48% 45% 4% – 0% 0% 3%
The Bullfinch Group[U] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 41% 6% 2% 0% – 6%
New York Times/Siena College[327] August 6–9, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.2% 45% 43% 5% 0% 2% 1% 5%
693 (LV) ± 4.2% 46% 44% 4% 0% 1% 1% 3%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[328] July 26 – August 8, 2024 411 (LV) – 48% 43% 5% 0% 0% – 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[329] July 31 – August 3, 2024 743 (LV) – 44% 46% 3% – 0% 0% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[315] July 24–28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% 3% – 1% 4% 2%
The Bullfinch Group[316][AQ] July 23–25, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 44% 6% – 1% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[330] July 22–24, 2024 851 (LV) – 42% 46% 5% – 0% 0% 7%
Fox News[317] July 22–24, 2024 1,034 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 43% 7% 1% 1% – 3%
Emerson College[318] July 22–23, 2024 850 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 46% 3% 1% 1% 0% 5%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Public Policy Polling (D)[331][C] July 17–18, 2024 624 (RV) ± 3.8% 43% 45% 4% – 2% – 6%
New York Times/Siena College[323] July 9–11, 2024 872 (RV) ± 3.7% 40% 42% 7% 0% 3% – 8%
872 (LV) ± 3.7% 42% 43% 6% 0% 2% – 7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[311][AP] July 29 – August 1, 2024 600 (LV) – 45% 45% 4% 6%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[332] July 22–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 43% 3% 7%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Civiqs[333][X] July 13–16, 2024 536 (RV) ± 4.7% 44% 46% 5% 5%

Rhode Island

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[334] May 16–20, 2024 538 (LV) ± 4.2% 60% 40% –
Fleming & Associates[335] September 29 – October 2, 2022 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 32% 19%
Echelon Insights[336] August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 51% 37% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[334] May 16–20, 2024 538 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 33% 6% 1% 0% 8%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Embold Research[337][AS] June 5–14, 2024 1,450 (LV) ± 2.8% 40% 33% 12% 15%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights[336] August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 47% 36% 17%

South Carolina

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[338] February 14–16, 2024 1,197 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 37% 12%
The Citadel[339] February 5–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 4.1% 54% 35% 11%
Winthrop University[340] February 2–10, 2024 1,717 (RV) ± 2.4% 50% 35% 15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[341] February 1–8, 2024 679 (RV) ± 3.8% 52% 34% 14%
643 (LV) ± 3.8% 54% 36% 10%
Echelon Insights[342] August 31 – September 7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 5.1% 51% 39% 10%
Blueprint Polling (D)[343] August 24–25, 2022 721 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 34% 20%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Joe
Manchin
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
The Citadel[339] February 5–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 4.1% 49% 32% 9% 3% 4% 3%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
The Citadel[339] February 5–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 4.1% 50% 28% 22%
Winthrop University[340] February 2–10, 2024 1,717 (RV) ± 2.4% 47% 29% 24%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Joe
Manchin
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
The Citadel[339] February 5–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 4.1% 41% 25% 20% 3% 4% 7%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights[342] August 31 – September 7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 5.1% 42% 42% 16%

South Dakota

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[344] January 23–28, 2024 1,777 (RV) ± 2.2% 55% 26% 18%
Emerson College[345] October 1–4, 2023 432 (RV) ± 4.7% 50% 28% 22%
Emerson College[346] October 19–21, 2022 1,500 (LV) ± 2.4% 53% 33% 14%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Mason-Dixon[347][AT] May 10–13, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.5% 50% 31% 11% 8%

Tennessee

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research[348][AU] March 15 – April 2, 2024 974 (LV) ± 2.8% 55% 31% 14%
Targoz Market Research[349][AU] December 14–28, 2023 929 (LV) ± 2.7% 63% 31% 5%
Siena College[350][AV] November 5–10, 2023 805 (A) – 49% 20% 31%
Targoz Market Research[351][AU] October 5–16, 2023 872 (LV) ± 2.8% 61% 30% 9%
Emerson College[352] October 1–4, 2023 410 (RV) ± 4.8% 55% 22% 23%
Targoz Market Research[353][AU] June 14–22, 2023 1,046 (V) ± 2.9% 54% 34% 11%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University[354] April 19–23, 2023 502 (RV) – 42% 26% 31%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
SSRS/Vanderbilt University[355] April 26 – May 9, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 29% 8% 16%[ap]
Targoz Market Research[348][AU] March 15 – April 2, 2024 974 (LV) ± 2.7% 47% 28% 15% 10%
Targoz Market Research[349][AU] December 14–28, 2023 933 (LV) ± 2.7% 51% 25% 16% 8%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University[356] November 14 – December 2, 2023 1,005 (RV) ± 3.4% 45% 26% 12% 17%
Targoz Market Research[351][AU] October 5–16, 2023 872 (LV) ± 2.8% 48% 23% 19% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin as an Independent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Joe
Manchin
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research[351][AU] October 5–16, 2023 844 (LV) ± 2.8% 53% 23% 6% 18%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research[353][AU] June 14–22, 2023 977 (V) ± 2.9% 52% 36% 11%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University[354] April 19–23, 2023 502 (RV) – 33% 24% 40%

Texas

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Texas

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[357] July 31 – August 13, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 47% –
July 2024 – Harris becomes the presumptive nominee
YouGov[358][AW] January 11–24, 2024 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 52% 39% 9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[359] May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 46% 39% 15%[aq]
Polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
ActiVote[360] June 25 – July 18, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46% –
Remington Research Group (R)[361] June 29 – July 1, 2024 589 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%
Manhattan Institute[362] June 25–27, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 41% 7%
UT Tyler[363] June 11–20, 2024 1,144 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 40% 14%
931 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 43% 9%
YouGov[364][AX] May 31 – June 9, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 39% 15%[ar]
YouGov[365][AX] April 12–22, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 3.3% 48% 40% 12%[as]
Cygnal (R)[366] April 4–6, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 51% 42% 7%
Marist College[367] March 18–21, 2024 1,117 (RV) ± 3.8% 55% 44% 1%
UT Tyler[368] February 18–26, 2024 1,167 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 42% 12%
YouGov[369][AX] February 2–12, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 41% 11%[at]
University of Houston[370] January 11–24, 2024 1,145 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 40% 11%
Emerson College[371][AY] January 13–15, 2024 1,315 (RV) ± 2.6% 49% 41% 10%
YouGov[372][AX] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 39% 16%
YouGov[373][AX] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 37% 18%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[359] May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 44% 42% 14%[au]
CWS Research (R)[374] April 17–21, 2023 677 (LV) ± 3.8% 45% 42% 13%
Emerson College[375] October 17–19, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% 13%
Emerson College[376] September 20–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11%
Echelon Insights[377] August 31 – September 7, 2022 813 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 43% 9%
Blueprint Polling (D)[378] June 8–10, 2022 603 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 38% 17%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
YouGov[379][AZ] June 20 – July 1, 2024 1,484 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 40% 5% – 2% 4%[av]
Manhattan Institute[362] June 25–27, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 36% 7% 1% 0% 11%[aw]
UT Tyler[363] June 11–20, 2024 1,144 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 38% 12% – 1% 3%[ax]
931 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 41% 8% – 1% 3%[ay]
YouGov[364][AX] May 31 – June 9, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 43% 34% 8% 2% 2% 11%
YouGov[365][AX] April 12–22, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 36% 8% 2% 2% 7%
Texas Lyceum[380] April 12–21, 2024 926 (RV) ± 3.2% 41% 31% 11% 1% 1% 15%[az]
Cygnal (R)[366] April 4–6, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 46% 37% 8% 1% 2% 6%
UT Tyler[368] February 18–26, 2024 1,167 (RV) ± 3.2% 41% 37% 13% 6% 3% –
YouGov[369][AX] February 2–12, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 3.4% 45% 36% 6% 3% 2% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[381] February 1–3, 2024 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 35% 6% 1% 1% 13%
Emerson College[371][AY] January 13–15, 2024 1,315 (RV) ± 2.6% 46% 36% 5% 1% 1% 11%
YouGov[372][AX] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 42% 34% 8% 3% 2% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[382] April 5–10, 2024 1,600 (LV) ± 2.45% 46% 34% 9% 11%[ba]
Marist College[367] March 18–21, 2024 1,117 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 36% 15% 1%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[382] April 5–10, 2024 1,600 (LV) ± 2.45% 48% 36% 3% 13%[bb]
YouGov[358][AW] January 11–24, 2024 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 40% 3% 8%[bc]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Joe
Manchin
No Labels 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
National Public Affairs[383] February 6–8, 2024 807 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 35% 6% 4% 3% 9%
Polling with other candidates

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
UT Tyler[368] February 18–26, 2024 1,167 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 36% 22%
YouGov[369][AX] February 2–12, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 3.4% 31% 40% 29%[bd]
YouGov[358][AW] January 11–24, 2024 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 43% 39% 18%
YouGov[372][AX] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 33% 36% 31%
YouGov[373][AX] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 32% 34% 34%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
UT Tyler[368] February 18–26, 2024 1,167 (RV) ± 3.2% 33% 36% 20% 7% 3% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[381] February 1–3, 2024 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 30% 32% 14% 0% 0% 24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
YouGov[372][AX] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 37% 24%
YouGov[373][AX] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 38% 24%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[359] May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 44% 42% 14%[be]
CWS Research (R)[374] April 17–21, 2023 677 (LV) ± 3.8% 44% 40% 16%
Echelon Insights[377] August 31 – September 7, 2022 813 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 41% 15%

Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[359] May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 45% 40% 15%[bf]

Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
YouGov[372][AX] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 34% 37% 30%
YouGov[373][AX] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 33% 36% 32%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Mike
Pence
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
YouGov[373][AX] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 29% 36% 36%

Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Tim
Scott
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
YouGov[373][AX] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 33% 34% 33%

Utah

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Utah
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[384] June 4–7, 2024 857 (RV) ± 3.4% 57% 25% 18%
Noble Predictive Insights[385] April 8–16, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 26% 20%
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[386] January 16–21, 2024 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 33% 24%
Emerson College[387] October 25–28, 2022 825 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 34% 19%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[384] June 4–7, 2024 857 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 20% 21% 11%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights[385] April 8–16, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 23% 13% 1% 1% 15%

Virginia

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[388] July 14–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[389] July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 41% 14%
544 (LV) ± 3.9% 46% 42% 12%
New York Times/Siena College[390] July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 44% 8%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 44% 7%
SoCal Research[391][M] July 6–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 47% 47% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[390] July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 41% 38% 9% 0% 1% 11%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 39% 7% 0% 1% 10%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[389] July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 37% 10% 12%
544 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 38% 10% 9%

Vermont

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Vermont
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample

size[c]

Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Other / Undecided
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research[392] February 29 – March 3, 2024 117 (RV) ± 4.6% 58% 28% 14%
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research[392] February 29 – March 3, 2024 111 (LV) ± 4.5% 59% 28% 13%

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample size[c] Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[393] April 13 – 21, 2024 272 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 42% -

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample

size[c]

Margin
of error 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[393] April 13 – 21, 2024 272 (LV) ± 4.3% 52% 29% -

Washington

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Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[394][bg] July 10–13, 2024 708 (LV) ± 5.0% 51% 36% 13%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[395][BA] July 24–25, 2024 581 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 38% 6% 4%
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[394][bh] July 10–13, 2024 708 (LV) ± 5.0% 50% 36% 14%
Public Policy Polling (D)[396][BA] May 15–16, 2024 615 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 39% 6%
The Independent Center[397] April 16–23, 2024 250 (RV) ± 6.2% 45% 46% 9%
Echelon Insights[398][BB] March 18–21, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.7% 48% 37% 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[399][BA] February 13–14, 2024 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 38% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[400][BA] November 14–15, 2023 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 38% 10%
Crosscut/Elway[401] October 30 – November 3, 2023 403 (RV) ± 5.0% 39% 29% 31%[bi]
Public Policy Polling (D)[402][BA] June 7–8, 2023 773 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 36% 11%
Emerson College[403] September 30 – October 1, 2022 782 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 39% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[404] August 15–17, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 41% 6%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Crosscut/Elway[401] October 30 – November 3, 2023 403 (RV) ± 5.0% 37% 25% 9% 3% 26%[bj]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Cascade PBS/Elway Research[405] May 13–16, 2024 403 (RV) ± 5.0% 42% 34% 3% 1% 0% 17%
The Independent Center[397] April 16–23, 2024 250 (RV) ± 6.2% 35% 40% 13% 1% 4% 8%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[402][BA] June 7–8, 2023 773 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 39% 10%

West Virginia

edit
Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[406] October 1–4, 2023 539 (RV) ± 4.2% 59% 23% 18%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jill
Stein
Mountain 		Other /
Undecided
Kaplan Strategies[407] June 4, 2024 464 (LV) ± 4.6% 55% 28% 2% 15%

Wisconsin

edit
Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
The Bullfinch Group[U] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 51% 42% 7%
InsiderAdvantage (R) August 6–8, 2024 800 (LV) – 48% 49% 3%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[408] July 26 – August 8, 2024 404 (LV) – 49% 46% 5%
New York Times/Siena College August 5–8, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.3% 50% 46% 4%
661 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 46% 3%
RMG Research July 31 – August 5, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 45% 7%
Marquette University Law School July 24 – August 1, 2024 877 (RV) ± 4.6% 47% 44% 9%
877 (RV) ± 4.6% 49%[e] 50% 1%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 49% 45% 6%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 50%[e] 49% 1%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 46% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 845 (RV) ± 3.3% 47% 47% 6%
845 (RV) ± 3.3% 51%[e] 49% –
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) – 48% 49% 3%
North Star Opinion Research[AR] July 6–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 49% 10%
Emerson College February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 46% 47% 7%
603 (LV) ± 4.8% 46% 48% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
The Bullfinch Group[U] August 8–11, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 40% 3% 1% 1% – 6%
New York Times/Siena College August 5–8, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.3% 49% 42% 6% 0% 1% 1% 2%
661 (LV) ± 4.3% 49% 43% 5% 0% 1% 1% 2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[409] July 26 – August 8, 2024 404 (LV) – 48% 43% 5% 1% 0% – 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 597 (LV) – 43% 43% 3% – 0% 0% 11%
Marquette University Law School July 24 – August 1, 2024 877 (RV) ± 4.6% 45% 43% 8% 0% 1% 1% 2%
801 (LV) ± 4.8% 46% 45% 6% 0% 1% 1% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 6% – 0% 3% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 523 (LV) – 44% 44% 5% – 1% 1% 5%
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 46% 5% 1% 1% – 1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 845 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 45% 3% 1% 6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Civiqs[X] July 13–16, 2024 514 (RV) ± 4.8% 48% 48% 2% 2%

Wyoming

edit
Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[410] October 1–4, 2023 478 (RV) ±4.5% 68% 15% 18%

See also

edit

Notes

edit
  1. ^ a b c Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
  2. ^ The boundaries of Nebraska's 2nd congressional district have since changed due to redistricting.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj dk dl dm dn do dp dq dr ds dt du dv dw dx dy dz ea eb ec ed ee ef eg eh ei ej ek el em en eo ep eq er es et eu ev ew ex ey ez fa fb fc fd fe ff fg fh fi fj fk fl fm fn fo fp fq fr fs ft fu fv Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 11%
  7. ^ "Someone else" with 13%
  8. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  9. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  10. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  11. ^ a b Poll conducted for WTVT
  12. ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
  13. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  14. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  15. ^ "Another candidate" with 3%
  16. ^ Cornel West & Jill Stein with 1%
  17. ^ Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
  18. ^ "Someone else" with 15%
  19. ^ Archived February 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  20. ^ "Someone else" with 3%, "would not vote" with 1%
  21. ^ "Another Candidate" with 1%
  22. ^ Other candidate with 21%
  23. ^ Other candidate with 10%
  24. ^ Other candidate with 23%
  25. ^ Other candidate with 19%
  26. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  27. ^ "Other" with 4%
  28. ^ "Other" with 6%
  29. ^ "Other" with 9%
  30. ^ "Other" with 11%
  31. ^ "Someone else" with 7%
  32. ^ "Someone else" with 11%
  33. ^ "Someone else" with 12%
  34. ^ Kennedy or other third-party candidate with 7%; Undecided with 13%
  35. ^ Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance
  36. ^ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 10%
  37. ^ Some Other Candidate at 2%; Undecided at 10%
  38. ^ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 22%
  39. ^ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 16%
  40. ^ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 16%
  41. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  42. ^ "Some other candidate" with 8%
  43. ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  44. ^ "Someone else" with 9%
  45. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  46. ^ "Someone else" with 7%
  47. ^ "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  48. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  49. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  50. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  51. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  52. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  53. ^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  54. ^ Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  55. ^ Libertarian candidate with 1%
  56. ^ "Someone else" with 21%
  57. ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  58. ^ "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  59. ^ Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
  60. ^ Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
  61. ^ "Someone else" with 22%; "Undecided" with 8%; "I would not vote" with 1%
  62. ^ "Undecided" with 14%; "Someone else" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d e f g Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
  2. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
  3. ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  5. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
  6. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute
  7. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by WSVN-TV
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by Associated Industries of Florida
  10. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump
  11. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
  12. ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by AARP
  13. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  14. ^ Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  15. ^ a b c d e f This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
  16. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
  17. ^ a b Poll commissioned by The Times-Picayune/The New Orleans Advocate
  18. ^ This poll was commissioned by EMILY's List, which supports Biden.
  19. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
  20. ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB
  21. ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  22. ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
  23. ^ Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
  24. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
  25. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
  26. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  27. ^ Poll sponsored by KARE11, Minnesota Public Radio & the Star Tribune
  28. ^ Poll commissioned by Common Sense for America PAC, which supports Republican candidates
  29. ^ Poll sponsored by the Montana Republican Party
  30. ^ Poll conducted by More Jobs, Less Government which supports Republican candidates
  31. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  32. ^ Poll sponsored by KULR-TV
  33. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. Senator Deb Fischer, who has endorsed Trump
  34. ^ Poll sponsored by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety
  35. ^ Poll commissioned by League of American Workers
  36. ^ a b Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
  37. ^ Poll commissioned by the New Mexico Political Report
  38. ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
  39. ^ Cite error: The named reference Cjournal was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  40. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  41. ^ Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
  42. ^ a b Poll commissioned by Early Vote Action PAC
  43. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
  44. ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  45. ^ Poll sponsored by Salve Regina University
  46. ^ Poll sponsored by South Dakota News Watch & Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota
  47. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
  48. ^ Poll sponsored by The Tennessean
  49. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
  50. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
  51. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  52. ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University
  53. ^ a b c d e f This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
  54. ^ Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC

References

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  371. ^ a b Mumford, Camille (January 18, 2024). "Texas 2024 Poll: Allred Leads Democratic Senate Primary, Plurality are Undecided". Emerson Polling.
  372. ^ a b c d e "YouGov" (PDF).
  373. ^ a b c d e f "YouGov" (PDF).
  374. ^ a b "23.04.24 Defend Texas Liberty Q1 2023 Texas 24 General Election Likely Voter.pdf". Google Docs.
  375. ^ Mumford, Camille (October 24, 2022). "Texas 2022: Abbott Holds Ten-Point Lead for Governor; Majority of Voters Support Migrant Busing". Emerson Polling.
  376. ^ Mumford, Camille (September 27, 2022). "Texas 2022: Greg Abbott Leads Beto O'Rourke By Eight in Gubernatorial Election". Emerson Polling.
  377. ^ a b Chavez, Krista (September 13, 2022). "New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech". NetChoice.
  378. ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
  379. ^ "YouGov" (PDF).
  380. ^ "Texas Lyceum" (PDF).
  381. ^ a b "The View from Texas: Presidential Voting Intention and Approval Rating (1-3 February 2024)". February 7, 2024.
  382. ^ a b "Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation" (PDF).
  383. ^ "National Public Affairs" (PDF). www.natpublicaffairs.com.
  384. ^ a b "Poll: Trump leads big among Utah voters". Deseret News. June 14, 2024.
  385. ^ a b Insights, Noble Predictive (May 2, 2024). "Utah 2024 Presidential Election: Trump's Commanding Lead". Noble Predictive.
  386. ^ "A new poll shows how Trump and Biden fare against a third-party candidate in Utah". Deseret News. February 12, 2024.
  387. ^ Mumford, Camille (October 31, 2022). "Utah 2022: Senator Mike Lee Holds 10-Point Lead Over Evan McMullin". Emerson Polling.
  388. ^ Mumford, Camille (July 18, 2024). "Virginia 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 43%". Emerson Polling.
  389. ^ a b "FAU/Mainstreet USA Poll – FAU PolCom Lab".
  390. ^ a b Nagourney, Adam; Igielnik, Ruth (July 15, 2024). "Biden Facing Challenges in Two Must-Win States, Times/Siena Polls Find". The New York Times – via NYTimes.com.
  391. ^ "SoCal Research Virginia Poll.pdf". Google Docs.
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  393. ^ a b "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24.
  394. ^ a b "Beneath the surface, blue WA has a massive political fault line". The Seattle Times. July 17, 2024.
  395. ^ Villeneuve, Andrew (July 26, 2024). "Vice President Kamala Harris enjoys a fourteen point lead over Donald Trump among likely Washington Top Two voters".
  396. ^ Villeneuve, Andrew (May 20, 2024). "Joe Biden's 2024 lead over Donald Trump in Washington State remains at sixteen points, with slightly fewer voters undecided".
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  403. ^ "Emerson College" (PDF).[permanent dead link]
  404. ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
  405. ^ Blankinship, Donna Gordon. "Poll: Almost half of WA voters are undecided on governor's race | Cascade PBS News". crosscut.com.
  406. ^ Mumford, Camille (October 13, 2023). "West Virginia 2024 Poll: Sen. Manchin Faces Uphill Battle Against Gov. Justice, but Leads Rep. Mooney". Emerson Polling.
  407. ^ "Kaplan Strategies" (PDF).
  408. ^ Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
  409. ^ Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
  410. ^ Mumford, Camille (October 17, 2023). "Wyoming 2024 Poll: President Biden with 13% Approval among Wyoming Residents". Emerson Polling.
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