Wikipedia:Twenty-million pool

This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 20,000,000 (twenty million). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of eternal fame). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 6,842,859.

This pool will be closed for entries when the English Wikipedia article count reaches 16,000,000 (80%), so be sure to place your guess before then. This pool opened on September 9, 2007, shortly before the 2,000,000th article was created.

In the Past

• By the time Wikipedia has 20M articles, time travel will have been invented, and the last article will be posted by someone researching (on-location) something that happened in the past. --Ye Olde Luke 23:53, 15 November 2007 (UTC)
  • But that will be original research, and will therefore be deleted. DitzyNizzy (aka Jess) (talk) 10:36, 15 August 2008 (UTC)

1901

• December 13th, 1901. Please see the Year 2038 Problem. 24.14.73.183 (talk) 23:12, 18 November 2011 (UTC)
• December 14th, 1901. International Date Line... 24.14.73.183 (talk) 23:16, 18 November 2011 (UTC)

1970

• January 1st, 1970 (00:00:00). The moment Wikipedia attains 20M articles, some troll will reset the UTC clock. [ EnigmaLord515 (talk) 21:07, 25 October 2015 (UTC) ]

2007–2010

• September 21, 2007. Marlith ^T/C 03:27, 18 November 2007 (UTC)

2011

• September 22, 2011. David Remahl 07:42, 11 September 2007 (UTC)

2012

• November 19th, 2012. • Lawrence Cohen 20:37, 10 September 2007 (UTC)
• December 21, 2012. Then, the world ends. ~ PHDrillSergeant...§ 20:28, 12 August 2008 (UTC)
  • No it doesn't — pythoncoder  (talk | contribs) 19:02, 29 May 2018 (UTC)

2013

• January 20, Presidential Inauguration Day. User:MrMarkTaylor ^{What's that?/What I Do/Feed My Box} 02:37, 22 August 2008 (UTC)
• 13 April 2013 -- ZZ ^Claims ~ Evidence 19:08, 10 November 2007 (UTC)

2014

• January 1st. GroundHog 17:39, 9 September 2007 (UTC)
• May 7 137.205.74.230 (talk) 19:50, 26 November 2008 (UTC)
• December 22. 69.140.157.227 (talk) 06:09, 24 February 2008 (UTC)

2015–2025

• March 2, 2017. Aridd (talk) 13:56, 17 August 2008 (UTC)
• September 24, 2017 -- Twthmoses (talk) 06:21, 19 December 2007 (UTC)
• Ides of March, 2018. Spencer^T♦C 19:14, 10 May 2008 (UTC)
• June 2 2020. Which will be hard, when the world ends in 2012. Hiding T 20:12, 19 August 2008 (UTC)
• January 13, 2022 - --junafani 22:25, 15 September 2007 (UTC)
• October 23, 2023. Slow growth and a few million new articles created by bots will help pass the 20 million mark. Mahanga^Talk 02:16, 22 September 2009 (UTC)
• J.K. Rowling Assassination Conspiracy - Pinkbladder 13 August 2009 (UTC)
• December 22, 2023 - Acs4b ^{T C U} 12:15, 21 September 2007 (UTC)
• May 18 2024 RCSprinter123 (talk) 11:44, 6 March 2011 (UTC)
• 18 August 2025! JaumeBG 11:38, 15 October 2010 (UTC)

2026–2100

• May 20, 2027 _EricLeb⁰¹ (Page | Talk) 20:21, 25 June 2010 (UTC)
• 1 April 2028 pbp 22:20, 20 July 2013 (UTC)
• 1 January 2030. Why? I don't know. 99.247.137.108 20:24, 28 September 2007 (UTC)
• October 31, 2034 - the 20,000,000th article will be written.
• 2036 February 29. SYSS Mouse 01:53, 10 September 2007 (UTC)
• February 29th, 2036Qazox (talk) 06:20, 17 August 2009 (UTC)
• 03:14:07 UTC on Tuesday, January 20, 2038. 24 hours previously a vast number, perhaps 80%, or all websites will have crashed, hard. Wikipedia will of course be one of those that remains, and the dispossed of other sites will overrun Wikipedia, creating a blitzkrieg of articles totally irrelevant to the purpose of an encyclopedia, but the rate will overwhelm our defences, and in this maelstrom the 20 millionth article will be created.

After this event all these pages will be moved to the new Asylum: namespace, thus allowing a second 20 millionth article to be created in the distant future. M0ffx 00:24, 3 November 2007 (UTC)

04:14:07 on 19th January 2038 for the above reason (although it'll only be an hour afterwards). DitzyNizzy (aka Jess) (talk) 10:38, 15 August 2008 (UTC)

• July 4, 2038 Growth trends... and rounded to the nearest significant day. --cuckooman (talk) 02:41, 31 March 2008 (UTC)
• Quebec's moon colony - Pinkbladder 13 August 2009 (UTC)
• march 16 2042 --ÐeadΣyeДrrow (Talk|Contribs) 16:48, 31 December 2007 (UTC)
• November 8, 2043 at 20:28:06.24 (8:28:06.24 PM) - Based on exponential growth. Whaatt^uSpeak_{what iDone} 18:56, 9 May 2009 (UTC)
• November 13, 2043
• July 24, 2044. Simply an educated guess. GVnayR (talk) 03:45, 15 March 2011 (UTC)
  • Based on some rough calculations, this gets my vote.Ack! Ack! Pasta bomb! (talk) 00:44, 20 April 2014 (UTC)
• January 23, 2045 - Or 1/23/45. Coincidentally, also the day Wikipedia takes over the world. --For An Angel (talk) 18:00, 22 February 2008 (UTC)
• January 15, 2047 - Date reason obvious, year completely random. Or maybe not. Lanthanum-138 (talk) 11:39, 10 February 2011 (UTC)
• Obviously 2048.Seonookim (What I've done so far) (I'm busy here) (Tell me your requests) 06:35, 23 July 2013 (UTC)
• November 21, 2048 1:34:24 AM UTC+0 Brightgalrs (/braɪtˈɡæl.ərˌɛs/)^[1] 10:11, 1 July 2012 (UTC)
• 1 January, 2050. Why? I also bet this date for Wikipeida reaching 50,000,000 articles. Workster (talk) 19:07, 17 May 2014 (UTC)
• April 8, 2053 --Proud User (talk) 19:41, 13 December 2015 (UTC)
• October 3, 2057 11:35 GCT (by then, a new timezone system will have been developed, in result of colonization of other planets, hence Galactic Coordinated Time) Crad0010 21:45, 6 October 2007 (UTC)
• August 20, 2059 - my 60th birthday, it would be a nice birthday present :) StevenD99 03:51, 25 July 2014 (UTC)
• June 11, 2064 2679D (talk) 03:26, 24 January 2020 (UTC)
• September 6, 2064 m'encarta (t) 00:47, 8 June 2012 (UTC)
• 25 January 2065. JIP | Talk 10:22, 23 June 2024 (UTC)
• 8th September, 2066. my 75th birthday, weird to think about. -Fcb981^{(talk:contribs)} 01:56, 17 October 2007 (UTC)
• September 15, 2068.--T. Anthony (talk) 10:34, 28 September 2013 (UTC)
• December 10, 2074 Benica11 (talk) 22:54, 23 January 2020 (UTC)
• July 4th 2076 The tricentenial of the United States. The article will be about a tricentenial celebration. --Qazox (talk) 05:27, 25 February 2008 (UTC)
• 31 August 2082. DuyWilliam1985 (talk) 02:53, 11 December 2021 (UTC)
• 25 March 2083. Jc86035 (talk) 09:07, 18 May 2020 (UTC)
• 30 July 2087. --Pithon314 (talk) 16:19, 4 January 2021 (UTC)
• 1 April 2094, happy April Fools Days for predictions! Thingofme (talk) 03:17, 10 July 2022 (UTC)
• 2100 december 19 Blacksmith ^talk 07:57, 10 September 2007 (UTC)

2101 or later

• September 7, 2119 - Trevor Andersen (talk) 02:31, 4 July 2009 (UTC)
  • Was about to predict 1 January 2120 so apparently I agree with my former self - Trevoran (talk) 03:21, 24 January 2020 (UTC)
• 2300, after we establish a new human habitat on Mars, there will be a whole new world of articles to create. --User101010 11:09, 14 September 2007 (UTC)
• September 12, 2300 Nillanilla3ee 19:16, 9 December 2007 (UTC)
• 18 September 2307 Fardell 08:40, 18 September 2007 (UTC)
• Stardate 43711.5 65.121.141.34 (talk) 19:11, 26 May 2009 (UTC)
• 3797 CE Nostradamus 00:00, 2 July 1566 (UTC)
• 96 Dodecember, 404404 Kayau David Copperfield MOBY DICK the great gatsby 07:01, 2 August 2009 (UTC)
• 64.6294.4245, 935. 015F universe lighttime. the month are gone, year 0 is when the first universe in 015F multiverse created(015Fx0000, local name:Aaron universe), 1 year is 1728(12^3) days, we use constant light-clock to unitize time. we lives in some rock planet revolving red dwarf, we are ready to leave any time soon, but it'll not going to happen until some trillion years. so year 6462944245, 935th day is when it will reach 20M.
• February 28, 584554051223 'Cause I feel like it, y'all. 24.14.73.183 (talk) 23:37, 18 November 2011 (UTC)

Never

• I feel quite sure Wikipedia is now so developed that it might be too finished before reaching 20M articles. Georgia guy 14:59, 9 September 2007 (UTC)
• 20 million is too many! Chenzw (talk · contribs) 07:56, 1 April 2008 (UTC)
• Never. See my reasons at Wikipedia:Ten-million_pool#Never. I will check this page in 10 years and see if I need and/or can change this prediction. HenkvD (talk) 21:40, 29 July 2008 (UTC)

As promised: now 10 years later(!) I don't see any reason to change my prediction HenkvD (talk) 17:43, 29 July 2018 (UTC)

• I highly doubt 20 million is possible Alexfusco⁵ 02:49, 9 January 2009 (UTC)
• 20 Million? That's Numberwang! Ten Pound Hammer, his otters and a clue-bat • ^{(Many otters • One bat • One hammer)} 02:36, 18 August 2009 (UTC)
• The moment Wikipedia reaches 19,999,999 articles, an alien force will take over the world and demand that every next number in a list will be increased by 1/2 instead of 1 or else Earthlings will be obliterated. Once this is done, they will change the requirement to 1/4, then 1/8, then 1/16, then 1/32, then...the geometric series is such that we'll never reach 20,000,000 till the heat death of the universe. ²³¹₉₁Pa (chat me!) 08:26, 23 November 2009 (UTC)
  • Or 2/3, 2/9, 2/27... 24.14.73.183 (talk) 23:10, 18 November 2011 (UTC)
• Never, 2062. Perseus, Son of Zeus 16:47, 27 November 2010 (UTC)
• Never. Because the limit is ~12-13 million, I think. --Brateevsky ^{(talk to me)} 20:07, 14 January 2013 (UTC)

When hell freezes over

• Actually, it can get quite cold in the winter..._Unusual ^Gazelle 19:40, 25 November 2008 (UTC)