My Hypothetical 2022 Pacific typhoon season | |
---|---|
Seasonal boundaries | |
First system formed | March 20, 2022 |
Last system dissipated | December 25, 2022 |
Strongest storm | |
Name | Yamaneko |
• Maximum winds | 315 km/h (195 mph) (10-minute sustained) |
• Lowest pressure | 890 hPa (mbar) |
Seasonal statistics | |
Total depressions | 34 |
Total storms | 26 |
Typhoons | 13 |
Super typhoons | 5 (unofficial) |
Total fatalities | 389 total |
Total damage | $8.073 billion (2022 USD) |
Related articles | |
The 2022 Pacific typhoon season was an average season that produced a total of 26 named storms, 13 typhoons, and five super typhoons. The season's first named storm, Malakas, developed on March 20, while the last-named storm, Sanvu, dissipated on December 25. The season's first typhoon, Chaba, reached typhoon status on April 10. It became the first super typhoon of the year four days afterwards, also becoming the second strongest tropical cyclone in 2022. Chaba was also the second most powerful tropical cyclone on record in the Northern Hemisphere for the month of April. Typhoons Chaba, Muifa, and Yamaneko are responsible for most of the total damage this season, adding up to a combined total of $8.073 billion.
The scope of this article is limited to the Pacific Ocean to the north of the equator between 100°E and 180th meridian. Within the northwestern Pacific Ocean, there are two separate agencies that assign names to tropical cyclones, which can often result in a cyclone having two names. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) names a tropical cyclone should it be judged to have 10-minute sustained wind speeds of at least 65 km/h (40 mph) anywhere in the basin, whilst the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) assigns names to tropical cyclones which move into or form as a tropical depression in their area of responsibility located between 135°E and 115°E and between 5°N and 25°N, regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone has already been given a name by the JMA. Tropical depressions that are monitored by the United States' Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) are given a number with a "W" suffix.
Seasonal forecasts
editDuring the year several national meteorological services and scientific agencies forecast how many tropical cyclones, tropical storms, and typhoons will form during a
TSR forecasts
Date |
Tropical
storms |
Total
Typhoons |
Intense
TCs |
ACE | Ref. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Average (1965–2021) | 25.9 | 16.2 | 8.8 | 293 | [1] |
May 5, 2022 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 293 | [1] |
July 6, 2022 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 217 | [2] |
August 9, 2022 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 166 | [3] |
Other forecasts
Date |
Forecast
Center |
Period | Systems | Ref. | |
December 22, 2021 | PAGASA | January–March | 0–3 tropical cyclones | [4] | |
December 22, 2021 | PAGASA | April–June | 1–4 tropical cyclones | [4] | |
June 29, 2022 | PAGASA | July–September | 3–6 tropical cyclones | [5] | |
June 29, 2022 | PAGASA | October–December | 5–9 tropical cyclones | [5] | |
2022 season | Forecast
Center |
Tropical
cyclones |
Tropical
storms |
Typhoons | |
Actual activity: | JMA | 24 | 16 | 8 | |
Actual activity: | JTWC | 18 | 13 | 8 | |
Actual activity: | PAGASA | 11 | 9 | 5 |
season and/or how many tropical cyclones will affect a particular country. These agencies included the Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) Consortium of University College London, PAGASA and Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau. The first forecast was released by PAGASA on December 22, 2021, in their monthly seasonal climate outlook predicting the first half of 2022.[6] They predicted that only 0–3 tropical cyclones were expected to form or enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility between January and March, while 1–4 tropical cyclones are expected to form between April and June. PAGASA also stated that ongoing La Niña conditions could last until it transitions back into ENSO-neutral conditions by the second quarter of 2022.[6]
On May 5, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) issued its first forecast for the 2022 season with ongoing La Niña still anticipated until roughly the third quarter of the year, TSR predicted that tropical activity for 2022 will be slightly below average predicting 23 named storms, 13 typhoons and 7 intense typhoons.[7] TSR remained constant with their prediction in their second forecast in July.[8] On August 9, TSR released their third and final forecast for the season, with the only changes is increasing their typhoon numbers by 14, and decreasing the intense typhoon numbers down to 6. The ACE Index forecast was significantly lowered to 166, and was based on the then-current index as of early August and the reduction of cyclonic activity in the month of June.[9]
Seasonal summary
edit
Tropical Storm Julia is currently threatening many areas in the Caribbean. The tenth named storm of the sea
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As of: | 2:00 p.m. EDT (18:00 UTC) October 7 | ||
Location: | 12°54′N 73°54′W / 12.9°N 73.9°W ± 20 nm About 150 mi (240 km) NNE of Barranquilla, Colombia About 505 mi (815 km) E of Isla de Providencia, Colombia | ||
Sustained winds: | 35 knots (40 mph; 65 km/h) (1-min mean) gusting to 45 knots (50 mph; 85 km/h) | ||
Pressure: | 1002 mbar (29.59 inHg) | ||
Movement: | W at 16 knots (18 mph; 30 km/h) | ||
See more detailed information. |
son, it originated as an invest in the Main Development Region.
Meteorological history
editOn October 2, the National Hurricane Center began monitoring a tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic for possible gradual development.[10] A broad area of low pressure with an ill-defined center formed within the wave on October 4, as it approached the southern Windward Islands.[11] A hurricane hunter mission into the disturbance the following day found tropical storm-strength surface winds, but determined that it did not have a well-defined circulation center.[12] Due to the threat the developing system posed to land areas in the southern Caribbean, the NHC initiated advisories on it as Potential Tropical Cyclone Thirteen on October 6.[13] Later that day, after satellite imagery and radar data indicated that the disturbance had attained sufficient circulation and organized convection, and after hurricane hunter survey data showed the presence of 30–35 mph (45–55 km/h) winds north of the center, it was designated as a tropical depression.[14]
On October 5, the disturbance brought heavy thunderstorms to several of the Windward Islands and the Caribbean coast of South America.
Current storm information
editAs of 2:00 p.m. EDT (18:00 UTC) October 7, Tropical Storm Julia is located within 20 nautical miles of 12°54′N 73°54′W / 12.9°N 73.9°W, about 150 mi (240 km) north-northeast of Barranquilla, Colombia and about 505 mi (815 km) east of Isla de Providencia, Colombia. Maximum sustained winds are about 35 knots (40 mph; 65 km/h), with gusts up to 45 knots (50 mph; 85 km/h). The minimum barometric pressure is 1002 mbar (29.59 inHg), and the system is moving west at 16 knots (18 mph; 30 km/h). Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center of Julia.
For the latest official information, see:
- The NHC's latest public advisory on Tropical Storm Julia
- The NHC's latest forecast advisory on Tropical Storm Julia
- The NHC's latest forecast discussion on Tropical Storm Julia
Watches and warnings
edit{{HurricaneWarningsTable|TRW=*'''[[Nicaragua]]''' **South of [[Laguna de Perlas]] to [[Bluefields]] **North of [[Puerto Cabezas]] to the [[Honduras]]–[[Nicaragua]] border|HUW=*'''[[Colombia]]'''|HUA=*'''[[Nicaragua]]''' **South of [[Laguna de Perlas]] to [[Bluefields]] **North of [[Puerto Cabezas]] to the [[Honduras]]–[[Nicaragua]] border **[[Archipelago of San Andrés, Providencia and Santa Catalina|San Andrés, Providencia and Santa Catalina Islands]] *'''[[Nicaragua]]''' **[[Laguna de Perlas]] to [[Puerto Cabezas]]|TRA=*'''[[Honduras]] **From the [[Nicaragua]]–[[Honduras]] border to Punta Patuca}}
Preparations and impact
editTrinidad and Tobago
editAs a result of the storm, schools were closed in Trinidad and Tobago.[15] Two people were swept away by floodwaters, one was rescued, while the other person drowned.[16] More than 2 in (51 mm) of rain fell in Trinidad and Tobago in less than a half hour, causing significant flash flooding.[12] The government reported 75 flooding incidents and 18 landslides from the storm.[15]
Colombia
editVenezuela
editNicaragua
editSee also
edit- Tropical Storm Bret (2017) – originated in a similar area, also was a Potential Tropical Cyclone.
- Hurricane Bonnie (2022) – took a similar track.
- Hurricane Ian – went through the Caribbean before Julia.
References
edit- ^ a b Saunders, Mark; Lea, Adam (May 5, 2022). Extended Range Forecast for Northwest Pacific Typhoon Activity in 2022 (PDF) (Report). Tropical Storm Risk Consortium. Retrieved May 5, 2022.
- ^ Saunders, Mark; Lea, Adam (July 6, 2022). July Forecast Forecast Update for Northwest Pacific Typhoon Activity in 2022 (PDF) (Report). Tropical Storm Risk Consortium. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
- ^ Saunders, Mark; Lea, Adam (August 9, 2022). August Forecast Forecast Update for Northwest Pacific Typhoon Activity in 2022 (PDF) (Report). Tropical Storm Risk Consortium. Retrieved August 9, 2022.
- ^ a b 143rd Climate Forum Climate Outlook January–June 2022 (PDF) (Seasonal Climate Outlook). Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration. December 22, 2021. p. 32. Archived from the original (PDF) on December 30, 2021. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
- ^ a b 149th Climate Forum July–December 2022 (PDF) (Seasonal Climate Outlook). Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration. June 29, 2022. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 30, 222. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
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timestamp mismatch; June 30, 2022 suggested (help) - ^ a b 143rd Climate Forum Climate Outlook January–June 2022 (PDF) (Seasonal Climate Outlook). Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration. December 22, 2021. p. 32. Archived from the original (PDF) on December 30, 2021. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
- ^ Saunders, Mark; Lea, Adam (May 5, 2022). Extended Range Forecast for Northwest Pacific Typhoon Activity in 2022 (PDF) (Report). Tropical Storm Risk Consortium. Retrieved May 5, 2022.
- ^ Saunders, Mark; Lea, Adam (July 6, 2022). July Forecast Forecast Update for Northwest Pacific Typhoon Activity in 2022 (PDF) (Report). Tropical Storm Risk Consortium. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
- ^ Saunders, Mark; Lea, Adam (August 9, 2022). August Forecast Forecast Update for Northwest Pacific Typhoon Activity in 2022 (PDF) (Report). Tropical Storm Risk Consortium. Retrieved August 9, 2022.
- ^ Zelinsky, Dave (October 2, 2022). Tropical Weather Outlook (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 6, 2022.
- ^ Berg, Robbie (October 4, 2022). Tropical Weather Outlook (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 6, 2022.
- ^ a b Masters, Jeff; Henson, Bob (October 5, 2022). "Disturbance 91L drenches the Windward Islands". New Haven, Connecticut: Yale Climate Connections. Retrieved October 6, 2022.
- ^ Berg, Robbie (October 6, 2022). Potential Tropical Cyclone Thirteen Advisory Number 1 (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 6, 2022.
- ^ Beven, Jack (October 6, 2022). Tropical Depression Thirteen Advisory Number 3 (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved October 6, 2022.
- ^ a b Masters, Jeff (October 6, 2022). "Potential Tropical Cyclone 13 drenching southern Caribbean". Yale Climate Connections. Retrieved October 7, 2022.
- ^ "Tropical wave dumps rain over Trinidad and Tobago – Flooded". Trinidad and Tobago Newsday. October 6, 2022. Retrieved October 6, 2022.
Typhoon Names that I wish were never retired
edit- Vamei
- Pongsona
- Sonamu
- Haima
- Imbudo | Molave is good too.
- Parma
- Ketsana
- Molave
- Roskas (PAGASA)
- Harurot (PAGASA)
- Sarika
- Hambalos (PAGASA)
Penha -> Patua
Peilou -> Paochok
Sink Rate
PULL UP
Glide Slope
Bank Angle
Overspeed
Caution, Terrain
Minimums
My bus number: 374
I knew Hinnamnor would be dangerous!