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Taiwanese municipal elections, 2018
← 2014 November 24, 2018 2022 →
 
Party Kuomintang DPP
Popular vote 6,102,876 4,897,730
Percentage 48.79% 39.16%
  Kuomintang (15, 48.79%)
  Democratic Progressive Party (6, 39.16%)
  Independent (1, 11.30%)
Taiwan local election 2018 vote distribution:
  Kuomintang
  Democratic Progressive Party
  Minkuotang
  Independent
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Chen Chien-jen (DPP)
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Han Kuo-yu (KMT)
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Chen Chu
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Lee Hung-chun

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The 2018 Taiwanese municipal elections for both mayoral and magisterial candidates were held on November 24, 2018, as part of the larger local elections in Taiwan.

2018 municipal election candidate nominations edit

Nominations for 2018 municipal elections
Date Party/wave Nominations and details
August 20, 2017 KMT Kuomintang (KMT) held its 20th National Congress, mainly to gain support in the upcoming local and municipal elections, giving the incumbent a priority to be nominated.[1]
September 24, 2017 DPP The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) held its national congress, mainly to gain support in the upcoming local and municipal elections, giving the incumbent a priority to be nominated.[2]
November 29, 2017 DPP/01
December 20, 2017 KMT/01
Primary winner Wang Huei-mei (Changhua County)[4]
December 27, 2017 DPP/02
January 31, 2018 KMT/02
February 7, 2018 KMT/03 Hsieh Li-kung (Keelung City) after negotiation due to opinion poll error[7]
February 21, 2018 KMT/04 Lu Shiow-yen (Taichung City)[8]
February 27, 2018 KMT/05 Huang Min-hui (Chiayi City)[9]
March 14, 2018 DPP/03
March 21, 2018 KMT/06 Lai Feng-wei (Penghu County)[11]
April 11, 2018 KMT/07
April 25, 2018 KMT/08
April 25, 2018 DPP/04
May 9, 2018 KMT/09
May 23, 2018 KMT/10
May 30, 2018 DPP/05 Pasuya Yao (Taipei City)
June 13, 2018 KMT/11 Yang Wen-ke (Hsinchu County)

Opinion polls edit

2018 Taiwan municipal elections nationwide opinion poll
Poll organization Date completed KMT DPP   Others Ind
Taiwan Brain Trust July 28, 2018 29.5% 38.6% 0.4% 10.5%
Trend Survey November 6, 2018 36.4% 25.9% 0.8% 15.2%
TPOF November 8, 2018 33.9% 24.2% － 14.9%

Results summary edit

Bold represents incumbent re-elected.

Elected special municipalities mayors and county magistrates
County/City Elected candidate Party
Keelung City Lin Yu-chang DPP
New Taipei Hou You-yi KMT
Taipei Ko Wen-je Ind
Taoyuan Cheng Wen-tsan DPP
Hsinchu County Yang Wen-ke KMT
Hsinchu City Lin Chih-chien DPP
Miaoli Hsu Yao-chang KMT
Taichung Lu Shiow-yen KMT
Nantou Lin Ming-chen KMT
Changhua Wang Huei-mei KMT
Yunlin Chang Li-shan KMT
Chiayi Weng Chang-liang DPP
Chiayi City Huang Min-hui KMT
Tainan Huang Wei-cher DPP
Kaohsiung Han Kuo-yu KMT
Pingtung Pan Men-an DPP
Yilan Lin Zi-miao KMT
Hualien Hsu Chen-wei KMT
Taitung Rao Ching-ling KMT
Penghu Lai Feng-wei KMT
Kinmen Yang Cheng-wu KMT
Lienchiang Liu Cheng-ying KMT
Changes in seats
Party Seats in 2018 Seats in 2014 Change
DPP 6 13   7
KMT 15 6   9
Ind/Other 1 3   2
Special municipalities/County/City re-elected incumbent
County/City Previous control New Control
Taipei Ko Wen-je Ind
Keelung City Lin Yu-chang DPP
Taoyuan Cheng Wen-tsan DPP
Hsinchu City Lin Chih-chien DPP
Miaoli Hsu Yao-chang KMT
Nantou Lin Ming-chen KMT
Pingtung Pan Men-an DPP
Lienchiang Liu Cheng-ying KMT
Special municipalities/County/City switching control
County/City Previous control New Control
Taichung DPP KMT
Kaohsiung DPP KMT
Changhua DPP KMT
Yunlin DPP KMT
Chiayi City DPP KMT
Yilan DPP KMT
Hualien Ind KMT
Penghu DPP KMT
Kinmen Ind KMT

Special municipality edit

Taipei edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

 
Taipei City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2016 presidential election 52%
  Kuomintang 2002 local elections 64%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 51.96% 2 14.14%
  Kuomintang 37.49% 5 39.66%
  New Power Party - 1 6.60%
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 0.95%
  People First Party 10.55% 0 5.95%
  Independent/Others - 0 32.71%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Kuomintang Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place TVBS Apollo Survey & Research UDN Aggregated Result
Ting Shou-chung Nominated 48.395% 46.778% 47.741% 47.634%
Sun Ta-chien 2nd 17.891% 18.845% 17.878% 18.205%
Chang Hsien-yao 3rd 17.073% 17.909% 16.723% 17.235%
Chung Siao Ping 4th 16.651% 16.468% 17.658% 16.926%
2018 Democratic Progressive Party Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Pasuya Yao Called in Results not released
Annette Lu Results not released

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Date of completion   Ko Wen-je   Ting Shou-chung File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Pasuya Yao   Not sure Lead
TVBS May 4, 2017 40% 39% 9% 12% 1%
TVBS May 4, 2017 46% 41% – 13% 5%
Real Survey May 23, 2017 39.9% 43.1% － 17% 3.2%
TISR June 21, 2017 43.3% 32.2% – 24.5% 11.1%
Formosa July 13, 2017 47.2% 31.3% – 21.5% 15.9%
Sanli July 17, 2017 32.1% 31.8% 15.7% 20.4% 0.3%
ETtoday September 20, 2017 72.5% 17.5% – 10% 55%
TCF November 23, 2017 42.7% 36.9% – 20.4% 5.8%
Formosa December 12, 2017 46.0% 32.7% – 21.3% 15.3%
Formosa December 12, 2017 43.1% 28.2% 11.4% 17.3% 14.9%
TISR1 December 14, 2017 36.6% 15.7% 6.8% 22% 20.9%
Real Survey February 9, 2018 44.2% 26.6% 16.1% 13.1% 17.6%
Sanli February 12, 2018 39.8% 30.3% 13.9% 16% 9.5%
Sanli February 12, 2018 47.0% 39.1% – 13.9% 7.9%
Focus Survey Research February 25, 2018 47.6% 25.6% 15.2% 11.6% 22%
Focus Survey Research February 25, 2018 54.7% 31.1% – 14.2% 23.6%
ETtoday February 26, 2018 44.0% 39.2% – 16.8% 4.8%
GSSC March 7, 2018 47.5% 40.7% – 11.8% 6.8%
GSSC March 7, 2018 42.4% 30.9% 13.5% 13.2% 11.5%
Evidence-Based Survey and Research April 25, 2018 35.0% 25.6% 21.5% 17.9% 9.4%
Apollo May 2, 2018 33.0% 33.6% － 33.4% 0.6%
TVBS May 2, 2018 31% 38% － 31% 7%
Liberty Times Net May 2, 2018 30.69% 37.47% － 31.84% 6.78%
ETtoday May 3, 2018 48.5% 32.1% 4.0% 15.4% 16.4%
DPP May 3, 2018 35% 30% 25% 10% 5%
Green Party May 3, 2018 31% 35% 25% 9% 4%
China Times May 13, 2018 36.5% 42.7% － 31% 6.2%
Formosa May 14, 2018 41.0% 40.9% － 18.1% 0.1%
Formosa May 14, 2018 35.2% 33.1% 15.0% 16.7% 2.1%
ETtoday May 17, 2018 36.4% 37.5% 13.4% 12.7% 1.1%
Liberty Times Net May 21, 2018 39% 41% - 19% 2%
Liberty Times Net May 21, 2018 38% 39% 8% 16% 1%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 41.3% 36.1% － 22.6% 5.2%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 39.4% 33.6% 13.8% 13.2% 5.8%
Hsih Shin University May 28, 2018 29.0% 29.1% 13.5% 28.4% 0.1%
TVBS June 1, 2018 31% 33% 13% 23% 2%
China Times June 4, 2018 34.7% 40.2% 12.2% 12.9% 5.5%
CM Media July 11, 2018 38.9% 27.5% 11.0% 22.6% 9.4%
Formosa2 July 12, 2018 38.7% 30.5% 16.4% 6.2% 8.2%
Polls3 July 16, 2018 43.4% 31.8% 8.9% 15.9% 11.6%
TVBS July 24, 2018 40.0% 30.0% 11.0% 19.0% 10%
ETtoday July 30, 2018 42.4% 30.9% 5.4% 21.3% 11.5%
Liberty Times Net4 September 1, 2018 33.43% 24.71% 14.90% 26.96% 8.72%
ETtoday5 September 9, 2018 41.7% 29.9% 8.4% 13.3% 11.8%
Shih Hsin University6 September 12, 2018 34.9% 30.8% 10.4% 21.9% 4.1%
TVBS7 September 16, 2018 37% 32% 11% 20% 5%
Formosa8 September 18, 2018 34.6% 23.5% 11.1% 23.6% 11.1%
UDN9 September 19, 2018 37% 29% 8% 25% 8%
Sanli10 September 29, 2018 36.1% 25.8% 11.1% 25.2% 10.3%
Apollo October 5, 2018 41.6% 27.2% 15.2% 16% 14.4%
Formosa11 October 12, 2018 37.5% 25.0% 11.3% 14.7% 12.5%
Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation12 October 16, 2018 42.1% 28.5% 11.6% 15.2% 13.6%
TVBS13 October 25, 2018 40% 33% 12% 13% 7%
TVBS14 October 25, 2018 34% 29% 11% 12% 5%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum 15 October 29, 2018 36.6% 34.3% 12.7% 15.7% 2.3%
UDN16 October 30, 2018 38% 35% 8% 18% 3%
Democratic Progressive Party17 October 31, 2018 35.9% 24.4% 19.7% 17.1% 11.5%
Shih Shin University18 November 7, 2018 34.1% 31.4% 7.1% 25.9% 2.7%
Formosa19 November 7, 2018 38.6% 27.1% 8.3% 18.0% 11.5%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 38.4% 36.8% 7.6% 17.2% 1.6%
China Times November 11, 2018 33.6% 32.8% 14.6% 17.1% 0.8%
TVBS November 11, 2018 39% 36% 12% 13% 3%
Notes – results for independent candidates:

1：  Lee Si-kuen（1.4%）
2：  Lee Si-kuen（1.5%）
3：  Lee Si-kuen（2.8%）
4：  Lee Si-kuen（2.35%）
5：  Lee Si-kuen（1.1%）
6：  Lee Si-kuen（1.9%）；  Wu E-yang（0.1%）
7：  Lee Si-kuen（1%）；  Wu E-yang（0.1%）
8：  Lee Si-kuen（1.3%）；  Wu E-yang（0.1%）
9：  Lee Si-kuen（1%）；  Wu E-yang（1%）
10：  Lee Si-kuen（1.5%）；  Wu E-yang（0.3%）
11：  Lee Si-kuen（1.9%）；  Wu E-yang（0.7%）
12：  Lee Si-kuen（2.4%）；  Wu E-yang（0.2%）
13：  Lee Si-kuen（1.0%）；  Wu E-yang（0.0%）
14：  Lee Si-kuen（1.0%）；  Wu E-yang（0.0%）
15：  Lee Si-kuen（0.6%）；  Wu E-yang（0.1%）
16：  Lee Si-kuen（1.0%）；  Wu E-yang（0.1%）
17：  Lee Si-kuen（2.9%）
18：  Lee Si-kuen（1.4%）；  Wu E-yang（0.1%）
19：  Lee Si-kuen（1.5%）；  Wu E-yang（0.2%）

Predictions edit

Poll organization Date of completion Turnout   Ko Wen-je   Ting Shou-chung File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Pasuya Yao   Lee Si-kuen
Formosa September 20, 2018 >70% 47.4%-49.6% 30.7%-33.1% 16.9%-19.0% 1.3%-1.7%
TVBS October 25, 2018 71% 44% 40% 15% -
Formosa November 7, 2018 >70% 49.1% ~ 52.7% 30.2% ~ 34.4% 14.1% ~ 16.1% -
TVBS November 11, 2018 73% 46% 40% 13% -

Results edit

According to Civil Servants Election And Recall Act article 69, because Independent Ko Wen-je and Kuomintang's Ting Shou-chung vote percentages are within 0.30 margin, Kuomintang's Ting Shou-chung was entitled to, and did, call for a recount.[17][18][19]

 
District   Wu E-yang   Ting Shou-chung File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Pasuya Yao   Ko Wen-je   Lee Si-kuen
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Songshan District (松山區) 428 0.40 46,381 43.36 17,387 16.25 42,356 39.60 420 0.39
Xinyi District (信義區) 502 0.41 53,955 43.99 19,934 16.25 47,762 38.94 512 0.42
Da'an District (大安區) 585 0.37 72,325 45.73 23,651 14.95 60,939 38.53 662 0.42
Zhongshan District (中山區) 476 0.39 46,746 38.38 23,483 19.28 50,604 41.55 491 0.40
Zhongzheng District (中正區) 370 0.46 33,897 41.83 12,633 15.59 33,752 41.65 378 0.47
Datong District (大同區) 266 0.38 20,763 29.69 16,896 24.16 31,679 45.29 339 0.48
Wanhua District (萬華區) 427 0.41 38,666 37.05 21,400 20.50 43,411 41.59 464 0.44
Wenshan District (文山區) 707 0.49 68,586 47.15 18,985 13.05 56,479 38.83 713 0.49
Nangang District (南港區) 287 0.43 26,282 39.45 10,830 16.26 28,896 43.37 325 0.49
Neihu District (内湖區) 548 0.37 61,566 41.02 21,746 14.49 65,599 43.70 639 0.43
Shilin District (士林區) 522 0.34 55,954 36.46 33,110 21.57 63,247 41.21 651 0.42
Beitou District (北投區) 499 0.37 52,445 39.08 24,586 18.32 56,096 41.80 578 0.43
2018 Taipei City mayoral results[20]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Wu E-yang (吳蕚洋)   Independent 5,617 0.40%
2 Ting Shou-chung (丁守中)   Kuomintang 577,566 40.82%
3 Pasuya Yao (姚文智) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 244,641 17.29%
4 Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)   Independent 580,820 41.05%
5 Lee Si-kuen (李錫錕)   Independent 6,172 0.44%
Total voters 　2,164,155
Valid votes 　1,414,816
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　65.37%

New Taipei edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

 
New Taipei City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2016 presidential election 55%
  Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 61%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 54.79% 9 46.74%
  Kuomintang 33.34% 2 40.12%
  New Power Party - 1 4.13%
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 11.87% 0 0.84%
  Independent/Others - 0 8.17%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Kuomintang New Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Hou You-yi Nominated 55.596%
Chou Hsi-wei 2nd 34.210%
Jin Jie-shou 3rd 10.194%
2018 Democratic Progressive Party New Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Su Tseng-chang Called In Walkover

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Date of completion File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Su Tseng-chang   Hou You-yi   Undecided Lead
TVBS December 6, 2017 39.0% 48.0% 13.0% 9%
Formosa January 12, 2018 41.7% 41.5% 17.8% 0.2%
China Times February 26, 2018 33.6% 53.8% 12.6% 20.6%
ETtoday March 1, 2018 27.4% 51.4% 21.2% 24%
DPP March 24, 2018 39.0% 39.1% 21.9% 0.1%
Apollo April 1, 2018 26.4% 54.3% 19.3% 26.9%
Apple Daily April 7, 2018 27.54% 61.37% 11.09% 33.83%
Taiwan Nextgen Foundation April 11, 2018 42.6% 41.7% 15.7% 0.9%
ETtoday April 11, 2018 22.7% 46.4% 30.9% 23.9%
TVBS April 12, 2018 32.0% 40.0% 28.0% 8%
UDN May 1, 2018 26.0% 45.0% 29.0% 19%
China Times May 1, 2018 27.1% 50.6% 22.3% 23.5%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 30.7% 44.3% 25% 13.6%
Formosa June 15, 2018 23.6% 41.7% 34.7% 18.1%
TVBS June 25, 2018 31.0% 48.0% 21.0% 17%
Taiwan Nextgen Foundation June 29, 2018 38.3% 41.0% 20.7% 2.7%
TVBS July 17, 2018 29.0% 48.0% 23.0% 19%
CM Media July 26, 2018 31.1% 46.3% 22.6% 15.2%
Taiwan Brain Trust July 27, 2018 40.6% 42.6% 16.8% 2%
ETtoday August 10, 2018 24.2% 45.2% 30.6% 11%
Taiwan Think Tank August 31, 2018 43.2% 43.9% 12.9% 0.7%
Liberty Times Net September 7, 2018 30.89% 39.86% 29.25% 8.97%
Shih Hsin University September 14, 2018 29.4% 40.2% 30.4% 10.8%
Formosa September 14, 2018 28.2% 41.7% 18.1% 13.5%
TVBS September 16, 2018 32% 48% 20% 16%
UDN September 17, 2018 24% 48% 28% 24%
Taiwan Think Tank September 22, 2018 40.9% 44.3% 14.8% 4.6%
Apollo October 7, 2018 32.8% 49.4% 15.6% 16.6%
DPP October 14, 2018 39.1% 39.3% 21.6% 0.2%
Apollo October 16, 2018 31% 49.1% 19% 18.1%
TVBS October 18, 2018 30% 50% 21% 20%
Formosa October 26, 2018 22.5% 44.4% 19% 21.9%
UDN November 2, 2018 26% 54% 20% 29%
Sanli November 3, 2018 39.2% 40.2% 20.6% 1%
Shih Shin University November 8, 2018 30.7% 36.4% 32.9% 5.7%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 34% 39.9% 26.1% 5.9%
Sanli November 12, 2018 43.7% 44% 12.3% 0.3%
TVBS November 12, 2018 34% 48% 18% 14%

Predictions edit

Poll organization Date of completion Turnout   Hou You-yi File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Su Tseng-chang
Formosa September 20, 2018 51.5% ~ 53% 47% ~ 48.5%
TVBS October 19, 2018 62% 56% 44%
TVBS November 12, 2018 70% 55% 45%

Results edit

 
District File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Su Tseng-chang   Hou You-yi
Votes % Votes %
Banqiao District (松山區) 131,905 46.03 154,687 53.97
Sanchong District (三重區) 100,823 50.22 99,925 49.78
Zhonghe District (中和區) 80,552 36.69 139,022 63.31
Yonghe District (永和區) 38,286 32.54 79,362 67.46
Xingzhuang District (新莊區) 101,046 48.28 108,240 51.72
Xindian District (新店區) 49,933 31.27 109,759 68.73
Shulin District (樹林區) 41,600 45.87 49,090 54.13
Yingge District (鶯歌區) 20,360 46.51 23,419 53.49
Sanxia District (鶯歌區) 23,653 42.64 31,822 57.36
Danshui District (淡水區) 33,763 39.67 51,336 60.33
Xizhi District (汐止區) 38,639 38.72 61,139 61.28
Ruifang District (瑞芳區) 8,038 37.51 13,393 62.49
Tucheng District (土城區) 51,932 43.85 66,487 56.15
Luzhou District (蘆洲區) 48,350 50.56 47,271 49.44
Wugu District (五股區) 20,372 47.77 22,276 52.23
Taishan District (泰山區) 17,627 45.77 20,885 54.23
Linkou District (林口區) 20,883 40.92 30,150 59.08
Shenkeng District (深坑區) 5,153 40.03 7,720 59.97
Shiding District (石碇區) 2,488 52.27 2,272 47.73
Pinglin District (坪林區)| 2,255 55.46 1,811 44.54
Sanzhi District (三芝區) 4,915 40.60 7,191 59.40
Shimen District (石門區) 2,928 41.30 4,162 58.70
Bali District (八里區) 8,982 46.00 10,545 54.00
Pingxi District (平溪區) 1,417 46.72 1,616 53.28
Shuangxi District (雙溪區) 2,423 44.18 3,062 55.82
Gongliao District (貢寮區) 3,698 54.21 3,123 45.79
Jinshan District (金山區) 5,344 46.11 6,246 53.89
Wanli District (萬里區) 4,928 42.95 6,547 57.05
Wulai District (烏來區) 1,399 35.23 2,572 64.77
2018 New Taipei City mayoral results[27]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Su Tseng-chang (蘇貞昌) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 873,692 42.85%
2 Hou You-yi (侯友宜)   Kuomintang 1,165,130 57.15%  
Total voters 　3,264,128
Valid votes 　2,038,822
Invalid votes 　50,305
Voter turnout 　62.46%

Taoyuan edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

 
Taoyuan City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 1997 local election 56%
  Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 65%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 51.03% 3 39.48%
  Kuomintang 34.39% 2 45.20%
  New Power Party - 0 0.78%
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 14.59% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 1 14.54%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Taichung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Cheng Wen-tsan Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Taoyuan City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Apollo Chen Nominated 35.689%
Lu Ming-zhe 2nd 33.067%
Yang Li-huan 3rd 31.245%

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Date of completion File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Cheng Wen-tsan   Apollo Chen   Yang Li-huan   Not sure Lead
TVBS June 24, 2017 61% 21% - 18% 40%
Yam News October 24, 2017 48.82% 51.18% - 0% 2.36%
GSSC November 1, 2017 54.3% 25.1% - 20.6% 29.2%
TISR December 13, 2017 53.6% 20.2% - 26.2% 33.4%
ETtoday April 2, 2018 46.7% 31.7% - 21.6% 15%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 61.4% 17.8% - 20.8% 43.6%
China Times June 12, 2018 51.5% 24.9％ - 21.5% 26.6%
I'm Taiwanese June 23, 2018 59.3% 29.6％ - 11.1% 29.7%
TVBS July 20, 2018 56% 20% - 24% 36%
Liberty Times Net August 10, 2018 56.2% 16.0% - 27.8% 40.2%
ETtoday1 August 20, 2018 50.7% 23.8% – 25.5% 26.9%
TVBS2 September 16, 2018 56% 17% 6% 25.5% 39%
Shih Hsin University3 September 4, 2018 42.3% 18.5% 5.4% 33.7% 23.8%
UDN4 September 25, 2018 51% 16% 6% 26% 35%
Shih Hsin University5 November 20, 2018 36.9% 26.8% 2.4% 32.9% 10.1%
Sanli6 November 7, 2018 58.1% 16.9% 4.5% 18.0% 41.2%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 45.9% 27.6% -% 26.5% 18.3%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Chu Mei-sheue（1.9%）
2：  Chu Mei-sheue（0.1%）；  Wu Fu-tun（0%）
3：  Chu Mei-sheue（0.0%）；  Wu Fu-tun（0.1%）
4：  Chu Mei-sheue（0.3%）；  Wu Fu-tun（0.1%）
5：  Chu Mei-sheue（0.9%）；  Wu Fu-tun（0.1%）
6：  Chu Mei-sheue（2.4%）；  Wu Fu-tun（0.1%）

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
District   Chu Mei-sheue   Apollo Chen   Yang Li-huan   Wu Fu-tun File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Cheng Wen-tsan
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Taoyuan District (桃園區) 4,084 2.10 73,799 37.98 14,752 7.59 424 0.22 101,241 52.11
Zhongli District (中壢區) 3,250 1.68 88,154 45.69 6,829 3.54 561 0.29 94,164 48.80
Daxi District (大溪區) 610 1.28 16,271 34.10 1,897 3.98 190 0.40 28,746 60.25
Yangmei District (楊梅區) 1,204 1.55 32,538 41.85 3,387 4.36 348 0.45 40,272 51.80
Luzhu District (蘆竹區) 1,610 2.23 24,164 33.50 4,197 5.82 214 0.30 41,938 58.15
Dayuan District (大園區) 795 1.77 13,865 30.80 2,508 5.57 201 0.45 27,652 61.42
Guishan District (龜山區) 1,372 1.89 26,791 36.96 4,071 5.62 256 0.35 39,998 55.18
Bade District (八德區) 1,633 1.74 36,314 38.61 4,174 4.44 273 0.29 51,667 54.93
Longtan District (龍潭區) 979 1.64 27,385 45.77 2,296 3.84 568 0.95 28,610 47.81
Pingzhen District (坪鎮區) 1,694 1.58 45,697 42.62 3,846 3.59 483 0.45 55,507 51.77
Xinwu District (新屋區) 370 1.29 9,164 31.94 1,434 5.00 141 0.49 17,581 61.28
Guanyin District (觀音區) 556 1.64 10,126 29.80 1,833 5.39 176 0.52 21,285 62.65
Fuxing District (復興區) 43 0.61 2,966 42.35 294 4.20 32 0.46 3,669 52.38
2018 Taoyuan City mayoral results[30]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Chu Mei-sheue (朱梅雪)   Independent 18,200 1.76%
2 Apollo Chen (陳學聖)   Kuomintang 407,234 39.42%
3 Yang Li-huan (楊麗環)   Independent 51,518 4.99%
4 Wu Fu-tun (吳富彤)   Independent 3,867 0.37%
5 Cheng Wen-tsan (鄭文燦) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 552,330 53.46%  
Total voters 　1,732,591
Valid votes 　1,033,149
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　59.63%

Taichung edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Taichung City is the second largest metropolis in Taiwan, serves as the economic, cultural and transportation hub in the central part of Taiwan. It was merged and reorganized at the end of 2010 by Taichung County and Taichung City forming Taichung City.[31] The former Taichung County was controlled by the Kuomintang except in 1997, the Democratic Progressive Party's Liao Yung-lai was elected as the county mayor.

Taichung City before in the 1980s are held by Independent or Kuomintang's Zhang and Lai factions. In the 1980s, the Kuomintang changed its nomination strategy to regain its power, by choosing non-faction candidates defeated Tzeng Wen-po (曾文坡), who is seeking for re-election in 1981, starting a four straight terms in 16 years. In 1997, the Democratic Progressive Party's Chang Wen-ying was elected for Taichung City mayor due to the Pan blue coalition split.[32]

In 2001, Kuomintang's Jason Hu was elected as Taichung City mayor until 2010's merger and won the third term as the first mayor of the newly formed Taichung City with 36,351 votes.[33] In 2014, Democratic Progressive Party's candidate Lin Chia-lung won 57% of the votes, elected as the Taichung City mayor due to unhappiness towards the Kuomintang government.

 
Taichung City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2014 local election 57%
  Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 60%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 55.01% 4 39.26%
  Kuomintang 29.82% 3 43.03%
  New Power Party - 1 6.58%
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 5.92%
  People First Party 15.1731% 0 -
  Independent - 0 5.21%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Taichung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Lin Chia-lung Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Taichung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Lu Shiow-yen Nominated 50.308%
Johnny Chiang 2nd 49.692%

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Lin Chia-lung   Lu Shiow-yen   Not sure Lead
TISR July 20, 2017 40.1% 28.8% 31.1% 11.3%
Apollo August 3, 2017 44.2% 32.2% 23.4% 12%
TVBS August 29, 2017 52% 32.0% 16.0% 20%
Sanli September 5, 2017 49.5% 23.8% 26.7% 15.7%
China Times November 1, 2017 44.4% 29.3% 26.3% 15.1%
ETtoday November 3, 2017 37.0% 34.1% 28.9% 2.9%
Formosa November 7, 2017 37.4% 33.1% 29.5% 4.3%
GSSC November 28, 2017 52.1% 28.0% 19.9% 24.1%
Sanli December 6, 2017 47.7% 25.3% 27.0% 22.4%
TISR December 6, 2017 40.1% 17.2% 42.7% 22.9%
Era Com December 28, 2017 36.1% 35.1% 28.8% 1%
Formosa February 9, 2018 35.8% 37.6% 26.6% 1.8%
China Times February 12, 2018 36.4% 30.6% 33.0% 5.8%
ETtoday March 5, 2018 32.6% 32.0% 35.4% 0.6%
ETtoday March 14, 2018 47.1% 33.7% 19.2% 13.4%
TISR April 21, 2018 31.9% 23.7% 44.4% 8.2%
Apollo May 3, 2018 33.0% 35.7% 31.3% 2.7%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 43.0% 32.2% 24.8% 10.8%
UDN May 28, 2018 32.0% 39.0% 29.0% 7%
Kuomintang May 28, 2018 33.0% 39.7% 27.3% 6.7%
TVBS July 20, 2018 33.0% 39.0% 28.0% 6%
Taiwan Brain Trust July 31, 2018 37.8% 35.6% 26.6% 2.2%
CM Media July 31, 2018 43.9% 31.1% 25.0% 12.8%
Cross Strait Association July 31, 2018 43.2% 24.4% 32.4% 18.8%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum August 10, 2018 35.8% 38.0% 28.0% 2.2%
ETtoday August 14, 2018 31.0% 35.6% 23.7% 4.6%
Liberty News Net August 24, 2018 38.52% 32.41% 29.07% 6.11%
Taiwan Brain Trust August 27, 2018 42% 33.5% 24.5% 8.5%
UDN September 13, 2018 33% 34% 32% 1%
TISR September 15, 2018 26.8% 28.6% 32.8% 1.8%
Shih Shin University3 September 15, 2018 30.3% 30.9% 38.7% 0.6%
TVBS4 September 16, 2018 35% 38% 27% 3%
China Times5 September 26, 2018 38.1% 40.2% 15.9% 2.1%
Kuomintang September 30, 2018 33.6% 40.1% 24.6% 6.5%
CM Media6 October 4, 2018 40% 34.6% 22.3% 5.4%
Taiwan Next Gen Foundation October 14, 2018 41.4% 31.1% 27.5% 10.3%
Formosa7 October 17, 2018 25.6% 31% 29.3% 5.4%
TVBS8 October 22, 2018 36% 44% 19% 8%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum9 October 27, 2018 27.1% 34.4% 30.3% 7.3%
Formosa10 November 1, 2018 28.7% 35.7% 21.7% 7%
CM Media10 November 3, 2018 39.2% 33.4% 23% 5.8%
ETtoday12 November 4, 2018 31.8% 42.6% 19.6% 10.8%
UDN13 November 5, 2018 30% 43% 25% 13%
Sanli14 November 6, 2018 45.1% 34% 18.3% 11.1%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 31.7% 45.4% 22.9% 13.7%
Shih Shin University15 November 10, 2018 32.0% 34.4% 32.8% 2.4%
Taiwan Next Gen Foundation November 11, 2018 41.4% 35.6% 23% 5.8%
TVBS16 November 12, 2018 39% 41% 19% 2%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Sung Antony（0.1%）
2：  Sung Antony（2.3%）
3：  Sung Antony（1.1%）
4：  Sung Antony（3%）
5：  Sung Antony（4.6%）
6：  Sung Antony（1.6%）
7：  Sung Antony（3.3%）
8：  Sung Antony（1.0%）
9：  Sung Antony（2.4%）
10：  Sung Antony（2.4%）
11：  Sung Antony（2.7%）
12：  Sung Antony（1.4%）
13：  Sung Antony（2.0%）
14：  Sung Antony（2.5%）
15：  Sung Antony（0.8%）
16：  Sung Antony（1.0%）
a：Negative Vote Association

Predictions edit

Poll organization Date of completion Turnout   Lu Shiow-yen File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Lin Chia-lung   Sung Antony
TVBS October 22, 2018 71% 50% 49% 1%
Formosa October 26, 2018 83.9% 49% ~ 51.4% 45% ~ 47.2% 2.9% ~ 4.3%

Results edit

 
District   Sung Antony File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Lin Chia-lung   Lu Shiow-yen
Votes % Votes % Votes %
Central District (中區) 86 0.94 4,173 45.77 4,859 53.29
East District (東區) 458 1.10 19,078 45.87 22,055 53.03
South District (南區) 658 0.99 28,330 42.77 37,250 56.24
West District (西區) 618 1.03 25,616 42.86 33,534 56.11
North District (北區) 745 0.97 30,187 39.36 45,769 59.67
Xitun District (西屯區) 1,083 0.97 43,307 38.73 67,437 60.30
Nantun District (南屯區) 914 1.08 34,396 40.73 49,134 58.19
Beitun District (北屯區) 1,268 0.91 53,504 38.42 84,485 60.67
Fengyuan District (豐源區) 986 1.10 42,504 47.27 46,436 51.64
Dongshi District (東勢區) 330 1.13 10,727 36.64 18,216 62.23
Dajia District (大甲區) 484 1.15 18,523 44.14 22,958 54.71
Qingshui District (清水區) 525 1.07 22,912 46.80 25,523 52.13
Shalu District (沙鹿區) 530 1.10 20,835 43.27 26,784 55.63
Wuqi District (梧棲區) 365 1.19 14,663 47.67 15,729 51.14
Houli District (后里區) 420 1.36 12,815 41.46 17,677 57.18
Shengang District (神崗區) 424 1.16 18,095 49.65 17,928 49.19
Tanzi District (潭子區) 581 1.01 24,836 43.30 31,938 55.68
Daya District (大雅區) 592 1.21 20,342 41.74 27,797 57.04
Xinshe District (新社區) 209 1.39 6,009 40.10 8,767 58.51
Shigang District (石岡區) 110 1.21 3,571 39.35 5,393 59.43
Waipu District (外埔區) 215 1.17 7,124 38.76 11,040 60.07
Da'an District (大安區) 148 1.24 5,009 42.13 6,732 56.62
Wuri District (烏日區) 465 1.15 16,911 41.93 22,951 56.91
Dadu District (大肚區) 388 1.22 13,558 42.68 17,821 56.10
Longjing District (龍井區) 572 1.38 18,048 43.62 22,757 55.00
Wufeng District (霧峰區) 415 1.11 16,151 43.07 20,936 55.83
Taiping District (太平區) 1,057 1.12 40,025 42.27 53,613 56.62
Dali District (大里區) 1,202 1.14 46,571 44.23 57,527 54.63
Heping District (和平區) 71 1.01 2,035 28.84 4,950 70.15
2018 Taichung City mayoral results
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Sung Antony (宋原通)   Independent 15,919 1.09%
2 Lin Chia-lung (林佳龍) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 619,855 42.35%
3 Lu Shiow-yen (盧秀燕)   Kuomintang 827,996 56.57%  
Total voters 　2,213,789
Valid votes 　1,463,770
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　66.12%

Tainan edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Tainan City is located in Taiwan's Chia-Nan Plain, is a cultural capital for its history. Tainan City was merged and reorganized at the end of 2010, merging with Tainan County of Taiwan Province.[34]

The original Tainan County in the 1990s, Kuomintang local faction took turns taking control. However, Tainan County turned blue to green until Democratic Progressive Party's candidate Mark Chen became the mayor in 1993 until the merger between the county and the city was since led by the Democratic Progressive Party.[35]

The original Tainan City was dominated by Independents and the Kuomintang government for many years before the 1990s. Since 1997, the Democratic Progressive Party candidate Helen Chang was elected mayor, the former Tainan City since had been governed by the Democratic Progressive Party at the county level. After the merger of counties and cities in 2010, the DPP's William Lai was also elected as mayor.[36]

 
Tainan City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2014 local election 73%
  Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 46%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 67.52% 5 69.95%
  Kuomintang 22.07% 0 24.80%
  New Power Party - 0 0.69%
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 10.41% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 4.56%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Tainan City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Huang Wei-cher Nominated 41.58%
Chen Ting-fei 2nd 28.17%
Yen Chun-zuo 3rd 6.72%
Wang Ding-yu 4th 5.13%
Li Jun-yi 5th 2.11%
Yeh Yi-jin 6th 0.76%
2018 Kuomintang Tainan City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Kao Su-po Nominated Results not released
Huang Hsiu-shuang 2nd Results not released

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Huang Wei-cher   Kao Su-po   Lin Yi-feng   Not sure Lead
Taiwan Brain Trust1 May 22, 2018 42.3% 18.7% － 30.6% 23.6%
ETtoday May 24, 2018 31.2% 18.5% 2.9% 30.2% 12.7%
China Times2 June 11, 2018 40.3% 17.3% － 29.7% 23%
Evidence-Based3 June 25, 2018 37.8% 8.0% 4.7% 41.7% 29.8%
TVBS4 July 6, 2018 41% 15% 7% 20% 26%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum5 July 13, 2018 31.7% 16.1% 6.6% 32.3% 15.6%
Era Com6 July 14, 2018 36.66% 13.09% 8.21% 28.99% 23.57%
Evidence Based7 August 3, 2018 40.0% 12.1% 11.9% 25.6% 27.9%
Liberty News Net8 August 17, 2018 40.6% 11.6% 9.7% 32% 29%
ETtoday August 27, 2018 31.3% 15.9% 14.1% 26.7% 15.4%
Real Survey9 September 6, 2018 24.5% 16.4% 12.0% 39% 8.1%
Evidence Based10 September 11, 2018 35.8% 14.1% 14.3% 24.7% 11.7%
Kao Su-po Campaign Team11 September 13, 2018 22.9% 19.0% 13.9% 33.8% 3.9%
DPP September 13, 2018 39.9% 14.7% 14.6% 26.5% 25.2%
Shih Shin University12 September 13, 2018 23.9% 13.8% 5.9% 48.1% 10.1%
TVBS13 September 16, 2018 33% 14% 13% 40% 19%
UDN14 September 25, 2018 31% 12% 14% 35% 17%
Kao Su-po Campaign Team15 October 3, 2018 28.1% 20.1% 11.8% 28.5% 8%
ETtoday October 7, 2018 30.8% 19.1% 14.2% 22.1% 11.7%
Evidence Based16 October 9, 2018 34.5% 13.6% 15.3% 28.1% 19.2%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum17 October 19. 2018 27.5% 20.3% 10.9% 31.6% 7.2%
Evidence Based18 October 26. 2018 31.7% 15.5% 12.9% 32.5% 16.2%
China Times19 October 28. 2018 24.6% 17.6% 15.7% 35.7% 7%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum20 November 4, 2018 29.1% 25.9% 12.6% 18.9% 3.2%
Shih Shin University21 November 5, 2018 25.6% 21.1% 6.5% 40.7% 4.5%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 30.5% 19.1% 17.6% 33.2% 11.4%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum22 November 9, 2018 30.4% 31.6% 10.6% 16.7% 1.2%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Hsu Chun-hsin（8.4%）
2：  Hsu Chun-hsin（5.9%）
3：  Hsu Chun-hsin（3.4%）
4：  Su Huan-chih（8%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（3%）
5：  Su Huan-chih（6.2%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（3.7%）
6：  Su Huan-chih（7.35%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（3.25%）
7：  Su Huan-chih（3.5%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（3.7%）
8：  Su Huan-chih（2.0%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（2.7%）
9：  Su Huan-chih（4.3%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（3.8%）
10：  Su Huan-chih（6.7%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（3.9%）；  Chen Yung-ho（0.2%）
11：  Su Huan-chih（6.2%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（4.2%）；  Chen Yung-ho（0.4%）
12：  Su Huan-chih（4.9%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（3%）；  Chen Yung-ho（0.4%）
13：  Su Huan-chih（6%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（3%）；  Chen Yung-ho（0.4%）
14：  Su Huan-chih（5%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（2%）；  Chen Yung-ho（1%）
15：  Su Huan-chih（4.8%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（5.8%）；  Chen Yung-ho（1%）
16：  Su Huan-chih（4.3%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（3.1%）；  Chen Yung-ho（0.2%）
17：  Su Huan-chih（4.6%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（4.4%）；  Chen Yung-ho（0.7%）
18：  Su Huan-chih（3%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（3.2%）；  Chen Yung-ho（1.2%）
19：  Su Huan-chih（3.2%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（2.5%）；  Chen Yung-ho（0.6%）
20： （11.6%）
21：  Su Huan-chih（4.9%）；  Hsu Chun-hsin（3.0%）；  Chen Yung-ho（1.4%）
22： （8.6%）

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
District File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Huang Wei-cher   Kao Su-po   Lin Yi-feng   Hsu Chun-hsin   Chen Yung-ho   Su Huan-chih
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Xinying District (新營區) 13,462 35.26 14,120 36.98 4,359 11.42 1,616 4.23 3,176 8.32 1,448 3.79
Yanshui District (鹽水區) 6,555 45.92 3,981 27.89 1,618 11.33 566 3.96 862 6.04 694 4.86
Baihe District (白河區) 7,130 46.44 4,715 30.71 1,371 8.93 562 3.66 705 4.59 871 5.67
Liuying District (柳營區) 5,212 42.68 3,630 29.72 1,578 12.92 506 4.14 777 6.36 510 4.18
Houbi District (後壁區) 6,345 45.95 3,940 28.53 1,458 10.56 552 4.00 662 4.79 852 6.17
Dongshan District (東山區) 4,627 42.01 3,742 33.97 1,111 10.09 495 4.49 475 4.30 565 5.13
Madou District (麻豆區) 11,716 48.58 5,630 23.34 2,086 8.65 1,402 5.81 2,343 9.71 941 3.90
Xiaying District (下營區) 5,492 42.59 3,767 29.21 1,449 11.24 664 5.15 1,031 8.00 492 3.82
Liujia District (六甲區) 5,309 43.24 3,260 26.55 1,381 11.25 674 5.49 1,022 8.32 633 5.16
Guantian District (官田區) 5,514 45.37 3,107 25.56 1,265 10.41 678 5.58 1,025 8.43 565 4.65
Danei District (大內區) 2,271 39.13 1,687 29.07 673 11.60 397 6.84 481 8.29 295 5.08
Jiali District (佳里區) 12,783 40.53 9,178 29.10 3,005 9.53 2,001 6.34 3,366 10.67 1,205 3.82
Xuejia District (學甲區) 6,509 47.08 3,860 27.92 1,228 8.88 570 4.12 1,107 8.01 552 3.99
Xigang District (西港區) 6,041 43.79 3,593 26.05 1,387 10.06 722 5.23 1,536 11.14 515 3.73
Qigu District (七股區) 5,670 43.39 3,251 24.88 1,347 10.31 960 7.35 1,144 8.75 695 5.32
Jiangjun District (將軍區) 5,438 45.68 3,109 26.12 1,115 9.37 873 7.33 912 7.66 457 3.84
Beimen District (北門區) 2,757 42.63 1,877 29.02 652 10.08 395 6.11 448 6.93 339 5.24
Xinhua District (新化區) 9,154 38.46 7,591 31.89 2,223 9.34 1,102 4.63 2,822 11.86 911 3.83
Shanhua District (善化區) 9,435 39.40 6,948 29.02 2,001 8.36 1,583 6.61 2,878 12.02 1,099 4.59
Xinshi District (新市區) 7,027 37.42 5,034 26.81 1,605 8.55 2,012 10.71 2,340 12.46 762 4.06
Anding District (安定區) 6,643 40.09 4,752 28.67 1,576 9.51 899 5.42 1,997 12.05 705 4.25
Shanshang District (山上區) 1,521 37.37 1,244 30.57 467 11.47 217 5.33 423 10.39 198 4.86
Yujing District (玉井區) 2,656 32.54 3,442 42.17 665 8.15 302 3.70 632 7.74 465 7.74
Nanxi District (楠西區) 1,576 28.48 2,687 48.56 400 7.23 218 3.94 353 6.38 299 5.40
Nanhua District (南化區) 1,792 33.17 2,229 41.26 474 8.77 173 3.20 402 7.44 332 6.15
Zuozhen District (左鎮區) 1,233 41.80 939 31.83 195 6.61 211 7.15 221 7.49 151 5.12
Rende District (仁德區) 14,717 36.41 12,883 31.88 3,522 8.71 1,537 3.80 5,911 14.63 1,846 4.57
Guiren District (歸仁區) 13,413 37.57 9,264 25.95 2,942 8.24 1,292 3.62 7,202 20.17 1,588 4.45
Guanmiao District (關廟區) 7,670 37.11 5,323 25.76 1,580 7.65 573 2.77 4,778 23.12 742 3.59
Guanmiao District (關廟區) 814 29.24 676 24.28 180 6.47 82 2.95 917 32.94 115 4.13
Yongkang District (永康區) 38,762 34.70 38,892 34.81 9,587 8.58 4,676 4.19 15,007 13.43 4,787 4.29
East District (東區) 28,636 32.27 36,041 40.61 5,457 6.15 3,522 3.97 11,681 13.16 3,410 3.84
South District (南區) 25,068 39.35 21,036 33.02 5,430 8.52 2,585 4.06 7,661 12.03 1,925 3.02
North District (北區) 22,694 34.49 24,690 37.52 4,510 6.85 2,851 4.33 8,547 12.99 2,515 3.82
Annan District (安南區) 36,754 38.42 27,865 29.13 9,225 9.64 4,807 5.02 13,357 13.96 3,655 3.82
Anping District (安平區) 10,276 34.24 11,056 36.84 2,479 8.26 1,034 3.45 4,075 13.58 1,088 3.63
West Central District (中西區) 14,846 37.54 13,835 34.98 2,552 6.45 1,859 4.70 4,904 12.40 1,556 3.93
2018 Tainan City mayoral results[37]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Huang Wei-cher (黃偉哲) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 367,518 38.02%  
2 Kao Su-po (高思博)   Kuomintang 312,874 32.37%
3 Lin Yi-feng (林義豐)   Independent 84,153 8.71%
4 Hsu Chun-hsin (許忠信)   Independent 45,168 4.67%
5 Chen Yung-ho (陳永和)   Independent 117,179 12.12%
6 Su Huan-chih (蘇煥智)   Independent 39,778 4.11%
Total voters 　1,546,862
Valid votes 　966,670
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　62.49%

Kaohsiung edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

 
17 November 2018 Han Kuo-yu's campaign rally in Fengshan, Kaohsiung

Kaohsiung is the third largest city in Taiwan and capital of the political and economic center of the southern region. The special municipality city is merged in 2010 with Kaohsiung County from Taiwan Province.[38] The former Kaohsiung County before the 1980s is led by the Kuomintang, and the independents until 1985 where Democratic Progressive Party has led the county until the merger of the county and city.

Since the implementation of local autonomy in 1950, the former Kaohsiung City has been led by the KMT except the 6th mayor Yang Jinhu, who was a non-KMT candidate. After Kaohsiung was elevated into a municipality in 1979, the mayor was appointed by the Central Government and opened up first election in 1994 where Kuomintang's Wu Den-yih was first elected mayor of the city. In 1998, the Democratic Progressive Party's Frank Hsieh won the mayoral election by a slim margin over the incumbent mayor Wu Den-yih, starting the DPP's straight 4 terms, 16 years rule until the merger.

 
Kaohsiung City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2014 local election 68%
  Kuomintang 2008 legislative election 51%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 63.39% 9 61%
  Kuomintang 26.00% 0 34.86%
  New Power Party - 0 1.06%
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 10.60% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 3.08%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Kaohsiung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place DPP Focus Survey Research Statinc Aggregated Result
Chen Chi-mai Nominated 38.64% 32.61% 36.45% 35.90%
None of the candidates 32.71% 31.76% 34.74% 33.07%
Chao Tien-lin 2nd 12.63% 17.95% 12.77% 14.45%
Lin Tai-hua 3rd 10.69% 12.06% 10.92% 11.22%
Kuan Bi-ling 4th 5.33% 5.61% 5.12% 5.35%
2018 Kuomintang Kaohsiung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Han Kuo-yu Nominated 64.898%
Arthur Chen 2nd 35.102%

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Chen Chi-mai   Han Kuo-yu   Not sure Lead
TVBS August 15, 2017 59% 31% 10% 28%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 52% 21% 27% 31%
China Times May 29, 2018 39.5% 33.1% - 6.4%
All Opinions June 20, 2018 37.6% 26.2% 36.2% 11.4%
GSSC June 27, 2018 46.9% 23.9% 29.2% 23%
ETtoday1 June 27, 2018 32.0% 30.4% 24.7% 1.6%
TVBS July 4, 2018 40% 32% 28% 8%
GSSC July 27, 2018 45.7% 27.3% 21.7% 18.4%
Liberty Times Net August 3, 2018 38.46% 26.42% 35.22% 12.04%
Formosa August 13, 2018 38.9% 27.8% 33.3% 11.1%
Wu Yi-zheng Campaign Team August 17, 2018 33.5% 25.7% 34% 7.8%
ETtoday2 September 3, 2018 36.7% 31% 32.3% 5.7%
TVBS3 September 16, 2018 39% 35% 26% 4%
Shih Shin University4 September 16, 2018 33.8% 31.2% 35% 2.6%
CM Media September 18, 2018 41.2% 35.5% 22.9% 5.7%
TISR5 September 19, 2018 41% 30.2% 25.9% 10.8%
UDN6 September 20, 2018 34% 32% 31% 2%
TVBS8 October 16, 2018 35% 42% 21% 7%
Taiwan Next Gen Foundation9 October 19, 2018 39.8% 32.5% 24.7% 7.3%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum10 October 22, 2018 32.7% 39% 26.3% 6.3%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum11 October 31, 2018 32.3% 43.1% 22.7% 10.8%
Apollo12 November 2, 2018 36.2% 45.3% 14.6% 9.3%
Sanli13 November 4, 2018 44.3% 43.2% 11.1% 1.1%
TVBS14 November 6, 2018 38% 48% 14% 10%
Apollo15 November 7, 2018 37.6% 40.4% 10% 2.8%
CM Media16 November 8, 2018 39.1% 39.3% 20.3% 0.2%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 36.6% 42.6% 20.8% 6%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum17 November 8, 2018 27.1% 44.1% 23.8% 17%
UDN18 November 12, 2018 32% 49% 16% 17%
Shih Shin University19 November 12, 2018 32.6% 35.4% 29.9% 2.8%
Apollo November 12, 2018 38.9% 42.5% 14.9% 3.6%
Sanli20 November 12, 2018 43.6% 40.5% 13.9% 3.1%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Chu Mei-feng（1.1%）
2：  Chu Mei-feng（0.6%）
3：  Chu Mei-feng（0.1%）；  Su Ying-guei（1%）
4：  Chu Mei-feng（0.7%）；  Su Ying-guei（0.4%）
5：  Chu Mei-feng（0.4%）；  Su Ying-guei（2.5%）
6：  Chu Mei-feng（2%）；  Su Ying-guei（1%）
7：  Chu Mei-feng（1.1%）；  Su Ying-guei（1.2%）
8：  Chu Mei-feng（1%）；  Su Ying-guei（1%）
9：  Chu Mei-feng（1.7%）；  Su Ying-guei（1.3%）
10：  Chu Mei-feng（1.1%）；  Su Ying-guei（0.8%）
11：  Chu Mei-feng（0.8%）；  Su Ying-guei（1.1%）
12：  Chu Mei-feng（0.8%）；  Su Ying-guei（2.1%）
13：  Chu Mei-feng（0.7%）；  Su Ying-guei（0.8%）
14：  Chu Mei-feng（1%）；  Su Ying-guei（0.3%）
15：  Chu Mei-feng（1.1%）；  Su Ying-guei（1.2%）
16：  Chu Mei-feng（0.6%）；  Su Ying-guei（0.7%）
17：  Chu Mei-feng（0.5%）；  Su Ying-guei（0.5%）
18：  Chu Mei-feng（1%）；  Su Ying-guei（2%）
19：  Chu Mei-feng（1.5%）；  Su Ying-guei（0.6%）
20：  Chu Mei-feng（1.3%）；  Su Ying-guei（0.7%）

Predictions edit

Poll organization Date of completion Turnout File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Chen Chi-mai   Han Kuo-yu
TVBS October 16, 2018 67% 49% 49%
TVBS November 6, 2018 72% 47% 52%

Results edit

 
District   Han Kuo-yu File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Chen Chi-mai   Chu Mei-feng   Su Ying-guei
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Yancheng District (鹽埕區) 7,633 48.28 7,992 50.55 71 0.45 113 0.71
Gushan District (鼓山區) 45,816 57.04 33,547 41.77 267 0.33 691 0.86
Zuoying District (左營區) 68,255 61.99 40,526 36.81 346 0.31 978 0.89
Nanzi District (楠梓區) 59,478 56.58 44,288 42.13 379 0.36 973 0.93
Sanmin District (三民區) 105,406 52.79 91,617 45.88 772 0.39 1,872 0.94
Xinxing District (新興區) 16,776 53.34 14,237 45.26 107 0.34 334 1.06
Qianjin District (前金區) 9,120 53.83 7,608 44.91 53 0.31 161 0.95
Lingya District (苓雅區) 57,171 54.60 46,041 43.97 401 0.38 1,098 1.05
Qianzhen District (前鎮區) 59,572 52.53 52,376 46.19 472 0.42 982 0.87
Qijin District (旗津區) 7,993 45.49 9,360 53.27 95 0.54 124 0.71
Xiaogang District (小港區) 47,806 51.70 43,464 47.00 433 0.47 764 0.83
Fengshan District (鳳山區) 118,466 56.54 88,437 42.21 881 0.42 1,739 0.83
Linyuan District (林園區) 20,149 47.40 21,847 51.40 219 0.52 293 0.69
Daliao District (大寮區) 35,636 52.17 31,773 46.51 372 0.54 533 0.78
Dashu District (大樹區) 12,945 48.33 13,493 50.38 174 0.65 173 0.65
Dashe District (大社區) 10,378 48.89 10,512 49.52 142 0.67 197 0.93
Renwu District (仁武區) 26,659 51.40 24,543 47.32 250 0.48 412 0.79
Niaosong District (鳥松區) 14,410 52.23 12,806 46.42 115 0.42 258 0.94
Gangshan District (岡山區) 32,410 54.93 25,829 43.78 313 0.53 446 0.76
Qiaotou District (橋頭區) 10,888 44.45 13,256 54.11 146 0.60 207 0.85
Yanchao District (燕巢區) 9,448 50.88 8,871 47.77 120 0.65 130 0.70
Tianliao District (田寮區) 2,252 43.58 2,768 53.56 135 2.61 13 0.25
Alian District (阿蓮區) 8,322 47.12 8,958 50.72 254 1.44 126 0.71
Luzhu District (路竹區) 16,545 52.43 14,407 45.66 319 1.01 284 0.90
Hunei District (湖內區) 9,133 49.67 8,903 48.42 187 1.02 164 0.89
Qieding District (茄萣區) 8,662 47.72 9,209 50.74 152 0.84 127 0.70
Yong'an District (永安區) 4,545 49.62 4,478 48.89 61 0.67 76 0.83
Mituo District (彌陀區) 6,756 52.77 5,871 45.86 86 0.67 89 0.70
Ziguan District (梓官區) 10,509 46.81 11,646 51.87 129 0.57 168 0.75
Qishan District (旗山區) 12,379 52.34 10,940 46.26 155 0.66 177 0.75
Meinong District (美濃區) 15,478 61.09 9,546 37.68 125 0.49 186 0.73
Liugui District (六龜區) 4,084 54.29 3,315 37.68 64 0.85 59 0.78
Jiaxian District (六龜區) 2,339 60.17 1,483 38.15 35 0.90 30 0.77
Shanlin District (杉林區) 4,129 56.45 3,076 42.05 53 0.72 57 0.78
Neimen District (內門區) 5,446 53.81 4,510 44.57 85 0.84 79 0.78
Maolin District (茂林區) 1,281 91.83 107 7.67 6 0.43 1 0.07
Taoyuan District (桃源區) 2,519 88.51 304 10.68 14 0.49 9 0.32
Namaxia District (那瑪夏區) 1,751 85.08 295 14.33 10 0.49 2 0.10
2018 Kaohsiung City mayoral results[39]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜)   Kuomintang 892,545 53.87%  
2 Chen Chi-mai (陳其邁) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 742,239 44.80%
3 Chu Mei-feng (璩美鳳)   Independent 7,998 0.48%
4 Su Ying-guei (蘇盈貴)   Independent 14,125 0.85%
Total voters 　2,281,338
Valid votes 　1,656,907
Invalid votes 　20,743
Voter turnout 　72.63%

Taiwan Province edit

Keelung edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Keelung City Mayoral Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Lee Chin-yung File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2001 Hsu Tsai-li   Kuomintang
2005 Hsu Tsai-li   Kuomintang
2009 Chang Tong-rong   Kuomintang
2014 Lin Yu-chang File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
 
Keelung City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2014 local election 53%
  Kuomintang 2008 legislative election 68%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 48.22% 1 41.45%
  Kuomintang 35.29% 0 36.15%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 16.50% 0 12.37%
  Independent/Others - 0 10.03%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Keelung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Lin Yu-chang Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Keelung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Hsieh Li-kung Nominated after negotiation 39.92%
Song Wei-li 1st but withdrew after negotiation 41.49%
Wen-Chieh Dale Jieh 3rd 18.59%

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Lin Yu-chang   Hsieh Li-kung   Not sure Lead
Sanli January 16, 2018 58% 15.2% 26.8% 42.8%
ETtoday March 30, 2018 44.1% 24.0% 31.9% 20.1%
Apollo July 5, 2018 50% 15.9% 34.1% 34.1%
Evidence Based October 20, 2018 54.1% 19.8% 26.1% 34.3%
Real Survey October 29, 2018 42.4% 29.7% 20.6% 12.7%

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
District   Hsieh Li-kung File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Lin Yu-chang
Votes % Votes %
Zhongzheng District (中正區) 12,009 47.21 13,431 52.79
Qidu District (七堵區) 11,745 42.50 15,891 57.50
Nuannuan District (暖暖區) 9,222 46.76 10,500 53.24
Ren'ai District (仁愛區) 9,877 55.87 12,507 55.87
Zhongshan District (中山區) 11,424 45.51 13,678 54.49
Anle District (安樂區) 18,580 45.04 22,676 54.96
Xinyi District (信義區) 13,672 50.35 13,484 49.65
2018 Keelung City mayoral results[40]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Hsieh Li-kung (謝立功)   Kuomintang 86,529 45.86%
2 Lin Yu-chang (林右昌) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 102,167 54.14%  
Total voters 　309,428
Valid votes 　188,696
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　60.98%

Yilan County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Yilan County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Liu Shou-ch'eng File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2001 Liu Shou-ch'eng File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2005 Lu Kuo-hua   Kuomintang
2009 Lin Tsung-hsien File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2014 Lin Tsung-hsien File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
 
Yilan County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2014 local election 64%
  Kuomintang 2008 legislative election 53%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 62.06% 1 53.68%
  Kuomintang 25.38% 0 28.25%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 12.55% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 18.07%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Yilan County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Chen Ou-po Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Yilan County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Lin Zi-miao Called In Walkover

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Chen Ou-po   Lin Tzu-miao   Not sure Lead
Apollo April 14, 2017 18.2% 28.6% 53.2% 10.4%
TVBS1 July 21, 2017 23% 57% 20% 34%
Era Com December 27, 2017 23.37% 45.89% 30.74% 21.52%
ETtoday2 June 11, 2018 15.8% 41.2% 39.1% 25.4%
ETtoday3 September 9, 2018 23.1% 35.6% 25.6% 12.5%
Liberty Times Net4 September 21, 2018 23.38% 37.61% 34.03% 14.23%
CM Media5 September 26, 2018 26.5% 40.1% 25.5% 13.6%
UDN6 October 5, 2018 13% 42% 45% 29%
TVBS7 October 7, 2018 19% 47% 28% 28%
China Times8 October 27, 2018 14.3% 44.6% 36.2% 30.3%
TISR9 November 11, 2018 24.3% 42% 25.9% 17.7%
Chen Ou-po Campaign Team10 November 11, 2018 28.7% 26.6% 28.9% 2.1%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Lin Hsin-hua（7.0%）
2：  Lin Hsin-hua（3.9%）
3：  Lin Hsin-hua（4.4%）；  Chen Qiu-jing（0.7%）；  Lin Jin-kun（1.5%）
4：  Lin Hsin-hua（4.38%）；  Chen Qiu-jing（0.3%）；  Lin Jin-kun（0.3%）
5：  Lin Hsin-hua（5.8%）；  Chen Qiu-jing（0.5%）；  Lin Jin-kun（0.9%）
6：  Lin Hsin-hua（5%）；  Chen Qiu-jing（0.2%）；  Lin Jin-kun（0.1%）
7：  Lin Hsin-hua（5%）；  Chen Qiu-jing（1%）；  Lin Jin-kun（0.0%）
8：  Lin Hsin-hua（3.1%）；  Chen Qiu-jing（0%）；  Lin Jin-kun（0.8%）
9：  Lin Hsin-hua（4.6%）；  Chen Qiu-jing（0.9%）；  Lin Jin-kun（0.6%）
10：  Lin Hsin-hua（15.8%）

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
District   Lin Hsin-hua   Ln Zi-miao File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Chen Ou-po   Lin Jin-kun   Chen Qiu-jing
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Yilan City (宜蘭市) 6,736 13.66 23,891 48.45 18,033 36.57 379 0.76 270 0.54
Luodong Township (羅東鎮) 3,872 11.05 18,457 52.71 18,033 35.39 163 0.46 128 0.36
Su'ao Township (蘇澳鎮) 2,266 9.87 11,341 49.43 8,995 39.20 185 0.80 154 0.67
Toucheng Township (頭城鎮) 1,415 8.25 9,405 54.90 5,973 34.86 167 0.97 171 0.99
2018 Yilan County mayoral results[41]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Lin Hsin-hua (林信華)   Independent 27,399 10.95%
2 Lin Zi-miao (林姿妙)   Kuomintang 123,767 49.48%  
3 Chen Ou-po (陳歐珀) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 95,609 38.23%
4 Lin Jin-kun (林錦坤)   Independent 1,922 0.77%
5 Chen Qiu-jing (陳秋境)   Independent 1,424 0.57%
Total voters 　373,510
Valid votes 　250,121
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　66.97%

Hsinchu County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Hsinchu County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Lin Kuang-hua File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2001 Cheng Yung-chin   Kuomintang
2005 Cheng Yung-chin   Kuomintang
2009 Chiu Ching-chun   Kuomintang
2014 Chiu Ching-chun   Kuomintang
 
Hsinchu County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2010 legislative by-election 56%
  Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 74%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 42.52% 0 -
  Kuomintang 35.28% 1 36.75%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 22.19% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 63.25%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Minkuotang Hsinchu County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Hsu Hsin-ying Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Hsinchu County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Results
Yang Wen-ke Called In Walkover
Lin Wei-chou Failure to get party's nomination -
2018 Democratic Progressive Party Hsinchu County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Cheng Chao-fang Called In Walkover

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted   Hsu Hsin-ying   Yang Wen-ko File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Cheng Chao-fang   Not sure Lead
Era Com January 4, 2018 32.18% 23.59% - 24.85% 8.59%
China Times January 26, 2018 17.1% 12.1% - - 5%
Apollo June 16, 2018 20.1% 27% 4.7% 39.8% 6.9%
Apollo June 21, 2018 18.3% 21.3% 4.5% 38.4% 3%
Era Com June 22, 2018 40.2% 23.3% 8.82% 18.39% 16.9%
TVBS June 29, 2018 31% 27% 9% 32% 4%
ETtoday July 11, 2018 19.7% 26.3% 9.7% 44.2% 6.6%
ETtodayNote July 27, 2018 27.5% 23.6% 6.5% 17.1% 3.9%
ApolloNote August 1, 2018 30.5% 25.9% 7.2% 19.2% 4.6%
Daily ViewNote August 19, 2018 34.8% 24.47% 21.74% - 10.33%
Focus Survey Research August 24, 2018 37.2% 26.7% 12.0% 23.1% 10.5%
ApolloNote August 25, 2018 20.4% 16.9% 6.2% 31.1% 3.5%
TVBS August 31, 2018 28% 25% 13% 34% 3%
Era Com September 10, 2018 32.56% 23.25% 9.11% 35.08% 9.29%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum1 September 16, 2018 27.8% 23.4% 12.6% 34.8% 4.4%
UDN2 October 2, 2018 31% 25% 11% 32% 6%
TISR3c October 2, 2018 25.9% 23.3% 9.1% 31.5% 2.6%
Apollo4 October 22, 2018 24.8% 27.5% 10.2% 28.7% 2.7%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum5 October 29, 2018 24.8% 26% 10.4% 31.4% 1.2%
UDN6 November 2, 2018 36% 29% 11% 23% 7%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum7 November 7, 2018 25.4% 31.7% 11.7% 26.3% 6.3%
China Times8 November 9, 2018 26.3% 28.7% 10.5% 25.7% 2.4%
Era Com November 11, 2018 27.56% 33.41% 12.21% 26.82% 5.85%
Trend Survey November 11, 2018 28.8% 33% 14.8% 23.4% 4.2%
Cheng Chao-fang Campaign Team November 11, 2018 30% 27% 23% 20% 3%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Yeh Fang-tung（1.4%）
2：  Yeh Fang-tung（1%）
3：  Yeh Fang-tung（1.9%）
4：  Yeh Fang-tung（0.6%）
5：  Yeh Fang-tung（2.2%）
6：  Yeh Fang-tung（1%）
7：  Yeh Fang-tung（1.4%）
8：  Yeh Fang-tung（1.3%）

Note: Poll conducted before Lin was withdraw race

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Hsinchu County mayoral results[42]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Yang Wen-ke (楊文科)   Kuomintang 107,877 38.20%  
2 Yeh Fang-tung (葉芳棟)   Independent 5,168 1.83%
3 Cheng Chao-fang (鄭朝方) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 78,170 27.68%
4 Hsu Hsin-ying (徐欣瑩)   Minkuotang 91,190 32.29%
Total voters 　427,652
Valid votes 　282,405
Invalid votes 　8,195
Voter turnout 　66.03%

Hsinchu edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Hsinchu City Mayoral Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 James Tsai File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2001 Lin Junq-tzer   Kuomintang
2005 Lin Junq-tzer   Kuomintang
2009 Hsu Ming-tsai   Kuomintang
2014 Lin Chih-chien File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
 
Hsinchu City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 1997 local election 56%
  Kuomintang 2005 local election 69%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 51.22% 1 41.33%
  Kuomintang 32.42% 0 36.46%
  New Power Party - 0 16.56%
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 16.35% 0 1.91%
  Independent/Others - 0 3.74%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Hsinchu City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Lin Chih-chien Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Hsinchu City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place UDN Apollo Survey & Research TVBS Aggregated Result
Hsu Ming-tsai Nominated 40.55% 42.89% 42.63% 42.02%
Lin Geng-ren 2nd 36.15% 34.63% 34.62% 35.13%
Li Guo-zhang 3rd 23.30% 22.48% 22.75% 22.84%

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Lin Chih-chien   Hsu Ming-tsai   Hsieh Wen-chin   Not sure Lead
Trend November 14, 2017 59.9% 19.8% - 20.3% 40.1%
Sanli January 26, 2018 56.4% 23.4% - 20.2% 33%
ETtoday March 27, 2018 51.4% 12.0% - 36.6% 39.4%
GVM May 30, 2018 59.7% 23.3% - 20% 36.4%
Green Party June 20, 2018 40.9% 15.9% - 20% 25%
Sanli June 21, 2018 55.5% 15.5% - 29% 40%
China Times July 7, 2018 48.4% 15.3% 9.5% 26.8% 33.1%
ETtoday July 16, 2018 38.5% 16.9% 6.2% 27.1% 21.6%
Taiwan Green Party August 24, 2018 48.5% 13.6% 7.9% 30% 34.9%
Democratic Progressive Party September 3, 2018 45.6% 13.2% 9.9% 31.3% 32.4%
Focus Survey Research October 21, 2018 40.6% 17.1% 14.5% 27.8% 23.5%
Focus Survey Research November 6, 2018 40.6% 17.6% 13% 28.8% 23%

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Hsinchu City mayoral results[43]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Hsieh Wen-chin (謝文進)   Independent 44,101 20.31%
2 Li Chi-qun (李驥羣)   Independent 705 0.32%
3 Huang Yuan-fu (黃源甫)   Independent 3,603 1.66%
4 Hsu Ming-tsai (許明財)   Kuomintang 60,508 27.87%
5 Kuo Jung-jui (郭榮睿)   Independent 574 0.26%
6 Lin Chih-chien (林智堅) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 107,612 49.57%  
Total voters 　338,323
Valid votes 　217,103
Invalid votes 　4,299
Voter turnout 　64.17%

Miaoli County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Miaoli County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Fu Hsueh-peng   Independent
2001 Fu Hsueh-peng   Independent
2005 Liu Cheng-hung   Kuomintang
2009 Liu Cheng-hung   Kuomintang
2014 Hsu Yao-chang   Kuomintang
 
Miaoli County
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 45.45% 0 40.44%
  Kuomintang 37.55% 2 46.26%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 17.00% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 13.30%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Kuomintang Miaoli County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Hsu Yao-chang Nominated Walkover
2018 Democratic Progressive Party Miaoli County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Results
Hsu Ting-chen Supported by DPP

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted   Hsu Yao-chang   Hsu Ting-chen   Not sure Lead
GSSC January 26, 2018 46.5% 21.1% 32.4% 25.4%
China Times June 13, 2018 56.9% 17.6% 25.5% 39.3%
ETtoday July 2, 2018 35.9% 16.5% 29.7% 19.4%
China Times1 November 5, 2018 47.6% 13.2% 37.7% 34.4%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Huang Yu-yen（0.1%）,   Zhu Tai-ping（0.5%）

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Miaoli County mayoral results
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Zhu Tai-ping (朱泰平)   Independent 6,880 2.26%
2 Hsu Ting-zhen (徐定禎)   Independent 112,704 37.03%
3 Huang Yu-yen (黃玉燕)   Independent 9,030 2.97%
4 Hsu Yao-chang (徐耀昌)   Kuomintang 175,756 57.74%  
Total voters 　446,507
Valid votes 　304,370
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　68.17%

Changhua County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Changhua County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Juan Kang-meng   Kuomintang
2001 Wong Chin-chu File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2005 Cho Po-yuan   Kuomintang
2009 Cho Po-yuan   Kuomintang
2014 Wei Ming-ku File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
 
Changhua County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2016 presidential election 56%
  Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 58%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 56.47% 3 47.69%
  Kuomintang 28.80% 1 44.96%
  New Power Party - 0 0.49%
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 14.73% 0 2.91%
  Independent/Others - 0 3.95%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Changhua County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Wei Ming-ku Called In Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Changhua County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place TVBS Apollo Survey & Research UDN Aggregated Result
Wang Huei-mei Nominated 56.66% 59.78% 55.59% 57.34%
Wu Mingzhe 2nd 22.49% 20.99% 26.35% 23.28%
Yang Fu-di 3rd 20.85% 19.23% 18.06% 19.38%

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Wei Ming-ku   Wang Huei-mei   Not sure Lead
China Times April 10, 2017 39.9% 25.7% 34.4% 14.2%
Era Com January 9, 2018 26.3% 35.9% 33.06% 9.6%
China Times February 13, 2018 33.6% 28% 38.4% 5.6%
ETtoday March 13, 2018 31.9% 28.3% 39.8% 3.6%
GSSC May 24, 2018 25.1% 35.0% 39.9% 9.9%
ETtoday September 2. 2018 29.6% 29% 26.3% 0.6%
Chienkuo Technology1 September 15. 2018 13.2% 19.9% 33.6% 6.7%
Liberty Times Net2 September 14, 2018 31.3% 30.5% 35.4% 0.8%
UDN3 September 28, 2018 24% 34% 38% 10%
Taiwan Next Gen Foundation4 October 3, 2018 32.3% 31.7% 30% 0.4%
China Times5 October 14, 2018 28.8% 37.7% 26.4% 8.9%
CM Media6 October 16, 2018 34.5% 33.3% 26.2% 1.2%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum7 October 25, 2018 23.9% 33.4% 35.5% 9.5%
ETtoday8 October 28, 2018 23.2% 38.1% 27.7% 14.9%
UDN9 November 6, 2018 24% 41% 31% 17%
Cross Straits Research Foundation10 November 6, 2018 34.2% 30.9% 28.8% 3.3%
Sanli11 November 6, 2018 35.4% 33.4% 25.3% 2%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Huang Wen-ling（4.7%）；  Hung Min-xiong（3.2%）
2：  Huang Wen-ling（2.29%）；  Hung Min-xiong（0.3%）；  Bai Ya-tsan（0.1%）
3：  Huang Wen-ling（1%）；  Hung Min-xiong（0.1%）；  Bai Ya-tsan（0.1%）
4：  Huang Wen-ling（6%）
5：  Huang Wen-ling（5.8%）
6：  Huang Wen-ling（4.8%）；  Hung Min-xiong（0.4%）；  Bai Ya-tsan（0.1%）
7：  Huang Wen-ling（2.6%）；  Hung Min-xiong（1%）；  Bai Ya-tsan（0.6%）
8：  Huang Wen-ling（4.5%）
9：  Huang Wen-ling（4%）；  Hung Min-xiong（0.3%）；  Bai Ya-tsan（1%）
10：  Huang Wen-ling（6.1%）
11：  Huang Wen-ling;   Others（0.1%）

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Changhua County mayoral results[44]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Wei Ming-ku (魏明谷) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 283,269 39.87%
2 Wang Huei-mei (王惠美)   Kuomintang 377,795 53.18%  
3 Bai Ya-tsan (白雅燦)   Independent 7,402 1.04%
4 Huang Wen-ling (黃文玲)   Independent 34,690 4.88%
5 Hung Min-xiong (洪敏雄)   Independent 7,263 1.02%
Total voters 　1,031,222
Valid votes 　710,419
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　68.89%

Nantou County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Nantou County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Peng Pai-hsien   Independent
2001 Lin Tsung-nan File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2005 Lee Chao-ching   Kuomintang
2009 Lee Chao-ching   Kuomintang
2014 Lin Ming-chen   Kuomintang
 
Nantou County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2016 presidential election 52%
  Kuomintang 2008 legislative election 62%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 52.23% 0 44.24%
  Kuomintang 32.08% 2 55.76%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 15.68% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 -

Results of the primary edit

2018 Kuomintang Nantou County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Lin Ming-chen Nominated Walkover
2018 Democratic Progressive Party Nantou County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Hung Kuo-haw Called In Walkover

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted   Lin Ming-chen File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Hung Kuo-haw   Not sure Lead
ETtoday March 13, 2018 59.4% 11.7% 28.9% 47.7%
China Times March 23, 2018 37.9% 8.9% 53.2% 29%
China Times October 29, 2018 48.4% 13% 37.6% 35.4%

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Nantou County mayoral results
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Lin Ming-chen (林明溱)   Kuomintang 195,385 66.72%  
2 Hung Kuo-hao (洪國浩) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 97,460 33.28%
Total voters 　413,222
Valid votes 　292,845
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　70.87%

Yunlin County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Yunlin County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Chang Jung-wei   Independent ->   Kuomintang
2001 Chang Jung-wei   Kuomintang
2005 Su Chih-fen File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2009 Su Chih-fen File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2014 Lee Chin-yung File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
 
Yunlin County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2009 local elections 65%
  Kuomintang 2001 local elections 62%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 63.41% 2 61.27%
  Kuomintang 24.93% 0 34.12%
  New Power Party - 0 2.13%
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 11.66% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 2.48%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Yunlin County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Lee Chin-yung Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Yunlin County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Chang Li-shan Called In Walkover

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Lee Chin-yung   Chang Li-shan   Not sure Lead
ETtoday May 21, 2018 32.8% 19.6% 47.6% 13.2%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum1 October 17, 2018 32.6% 25.3% 35.8% 7.3%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum2 November 2, 2018 30.3% 28% 35.9% 2.3%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Lin Chia-yu（1.7%）；  Wang Li-ping（0.9%）
2：  Lin Chia-yu（1.4%）；  Wang Li-ping（1.7%）

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Yunlin County mayoral results
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Lin Chia-yu (林佳瑜)   Independent 6,163 1.57%
2 Lee Chin-yung (李進勇) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 163,325 41.72%
3 Wang Li-ping (王麗萍)   Independent 11,261 2.88%
4 Chang Li-shan (張麗善)   Kuomintang 210,770 53.82%  
Total voters 　565,078
Valid votes 　391,519
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　69.29%

Chiayi County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Chiayi County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Lee Ya-jing   Kuomintang
2001 Chen Ming-wen File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2005 Chen Ming-wen File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2009 Helen Chang File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2014 Helen Chang File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
 
Chiayi County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2016 presidential election 65%
  Kuomintang 2008 legislative election 50%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 65.37% 2 59.05%
  Kuomintang 23.38% 0 38.68%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 11.25% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 2.27%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Chiayi County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Focus Survey Research Shih Shin Real Survey Aggregated Result
Weng Chang-liang Nominated 43.08% 42.88% 45.34% 43.77%
Chang Ming-ta 2nd 35.57% 36.73% 33.79% 35.36%
None of the candidates 21.35% 20.39% 20.87% 20.87%
2018 Kuomintang Chiayi County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Wu Yu-jen Called In Walkover

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Date of completion File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Weng Chang-liang   Wu Yu-jen   Not sure Lead
ETtoday June 4, 2018 34.3% 15.3% 50.4% 19%
ETtoday September 24, 2018 29.3% 22.8% 32.4% 6.5%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Wu Fang-ming（5%）;   Lin Kuo-lung（2.6%）

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Chiayi County mayoral results
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Weng Chang-liang (翁章梁) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 145,288 50.95%  
2 Wu Fang-ming (吳芳銘)   Independent 51,020 17.89%
3 Lin Kuo-lung (林國龍)   Independent 4,596 1.61%
4 Wu Yu-jen (吳育仁)   Kuomintang 84,243 29.54%
Total voters 　428,649
Valid votes 　285,147
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　66.52%

Chiayi City edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Chiayi City Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Chang Po-ya   Independent
2001 Chen Li-chen   Independent
2005 Huang Min-hui   Kuomintang
2009 Huang Min-hui   Kuomintang
2014 Twu Shiing-jer File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
 
Chiayi City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2016 presidential election 60%
  Kuomintang 2005 local election 55%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 59.86% 1 53.95%
  Kuomintang 27.95% 0 35.66%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 12.19% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 10.39%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Chiayi City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Twu Shiing-jer Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Chiayi City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Huang Min-hui Nominated Results not released
Jack Lee 2nd Results not released

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Twu Shiing-jer   Huang Min-hui   Hsiao Shu-li   Not sure Lead
Yam News September 27, 2017 50.91% 49.09% - 0% 1.82%
Era Com January 15, 2018 22.08% 53.23% - 24.69% 31.15%
GSSC April 27, 2018 21.9% 34.4% 15.1% 28.6% 12.5%
ETtoday June 4, 2018 18.2% 31.2% 18.0% 32.6% 13%
CM Media September 5, 2018 39.5% 24.8% 18.9% 17% 15.3%
ETtoday1 September 16, 2018 26.0% 35.4% 10.7% 18.6% 9.4%
Liberty News Net2 September 29, 2018 30.14% 24.56% 17.91% 27.1% 5.58%
UDN3 October 2, 2018 25% 28% 17% 29% 3%
TVBS4 October 15, 2018 29% 35% 15% 20% 6%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum5 October 25, 2018 25.6% 28% 15.3% 26.0% 2.4%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum6 November 4, 2018 26.5% 28.8% 13.2% 25.9% 2.3%
UDN7 November 7, 2018 28% 31% 15% 24% 3%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President（3.0%）
2：  Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President（0.29%）
3：  Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President（1%）
4：  Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President（1%）
5：  Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President（1.4%）
6：  Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President（1.6%）
7：  Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President（2%）

Predictions edit

Poll organization Date of completion Turnout File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Twu Shiing-jer   Huang Min-hui   Hsiao Shu-li   Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President
TVBS October 15, 2018 70% 41% 40% 15% 1%

Results edit

 
District   Hsiao Shui-li   Huang Min-hui   Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Twu Shiing-jer
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
East District (東區) 10,703 16.95 27,558 43.64 806 1.28 24,081 38.13
West District (西區) 14,869 0.40 31,000 39.21 1,016 1.29 32,175 40.70
2018 Chiayi City mayoral results
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Hsiao Shui-li (蕭淑麗)   Independent 25,572 17.98%
2 Huang Min-hui (黃敏惠)   Kuomintang 58,558 41.18%  
3 Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President (黃宏成台灣阿成

世界偉人財神總統)

  Independent 1,822 1.28%
4 Twu Shiing-jer (涂醒哲) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 56,256 39.56%
Total voters 　212,843
Valid votes 　142,208
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　66.81%

Pingtung County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Pingtung County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Su Jia-chyuan File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2001 Su Jia-chyuan File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2005 Tsao Chi-hung File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2009 Tsao Chi-hung File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
2014 Pan Men-an File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
 
Pingtung County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2016 presidential election 63%
  Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 49%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 63.49% 3 58.94%
  Kuomintang 26.99% 0 30.89%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 9.52% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 10.17%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Pingtung County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Pan Men-an Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Pingtung County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Su Ching-chuan Called In Walkover

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Date of completion File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Pan Men-an   Su Ching-chuan   Not sure Lead
ETtoday June 19, 2018 37.9% 20.9% 29.9% 17%
ETtoday1 September 30, 2017 36.4% 24.8% 22.5% 11.6%
TISR2 October 22, 2018 43.4% 17.1% 33.1% 26.3%
TISR2 November 10, 2018 41.6% 19.3% 33.4% 22.3%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Li Hu-jen（4.5%）
2：  Li Hu-jen（1.5%）
3：  Li Hu-jen（0.7%）

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Pingtung County mayoral results[45]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Li Hu-jen (李鎔任)   Independent 9,819 2.09%
2 Su Ching-chuan (蘇清泉)   Kuomintang 197,518 42.01%
3 Pan Men-an (潘孟安) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 262,809 55.90%
Total voters 　689,393
Valid votes 　470,146
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　68.20%

Hualien County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Hualien County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Chang Fu-hsin   Kuomintang
2001 Chang Fu-hsin   Kuomintang
2005 Hsieh Shen-shan   Kuomintang
2009 Fu Kun-chi   Independent
2014 Fu Kun-chi   Independent
 
Hualien County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2016 legislative election 53%
  Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 77%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 36.94% 1 53.77%
  Kuomintang 47.72% 0 43.58%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 15.34% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 2.65%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Kuomintang Hualien County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Hsu Chen-wei Called In Walkover
2018 Democratic Progressive Party Hualien County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Liuh Siao-Mei Called In Walkover

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted   Hsu Chen-wei File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Liuh Siao-Mei   Not sure Lead
China Times March 25, 2018 40.1% 17.0% 42.9% 23.1%
ETtoday June 13, 2018 44.4% 19.0% 36.6% 25.4%

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Hualien County mayoral results[46]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Hsu Chen-wei (徐榛蔚)   Kuomintang 121,297 71.52%  
2 Liuh Siao-Mei (劉曉玫) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 43,879 25.87%
3 Huang Shih-peng (黃師鵬)   Independent 4,420 2.61%
Total voters 　268,817
Valid votes 　169,596
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　63.09%

Taitung County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Taitung County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Chen Jen-nian   Kuomintang
2001 Hsu Ching-yuan   People First Party
2005 Wu Chun-li   Independent
2006 Kuang Li-chen   Kuomintang
2009 Justin Huang   Kuomintang
2014 Justin Huang   Kuomintang
 
Taitung County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2016 legislative election 64%
  Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 73%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 38.41% 1 64.18%
  Kuomintang 44.62% 0 35.82%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 16.96% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 -

Results of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Taitung County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Liu Chao-hao Called In Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Taitung County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Results
Rao Ching-ling Nominated Results not released
Liao Kuo-tung 2nd Results not released

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Dates conducted   Rao Ching-ling File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Liu Chao-hao   Not sure Lead
ETtoday June 22, 2018 34.1% 27.8% 38.1% 6.3%
China Times October 2, 2018 38.6% 30.3% 27.8% 8.3%
TVBS2 October 10, 2018 40% 31% 24% 9%
ETtoday3 October 21, 2018 36.7% 25.9% 23.1% 9%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Kuang Li-zhen（3.3%）;   Peng Chuan-kuo（1.0%）;   Huang Yu-pin（0.0%） 2：  Kuang Li-zhen（5%）;   Peng Chuan-kuo（0.2%）;   Huang Yu-pin（1.0%）

3：  Kuang Li-zhen（4.6%）;   Peng Chuan-kuo（4%）;   Huang Yu-pin（1.3%）

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Taitung County mayoral results
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Kuang Li-zhen (鄺麗貞)   Independent 3,049 2.55%
2 Liu Chao-hao (劉櫂豪) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 44,264 37.04%
3 Huang Yu-pin (黃裕斌)   Independent 640 0.54%
4 Peng Chuan-kuo (彭權國)   Independent 988 0.83%
5 Rao Ching-ling (饒慶鈴)   Kuomintang 70,577 59.05%  
Total voters 　179,706
Valid votes 　119,518
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　66.51%

Penghu County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Penghu County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Lai Feng-wei   Kuomintang
2001 Lai Feng-wei   Kuomintang
2005 Lai Feng-wei   Kuomintang
2009 Wang Chien-fa   Kuomintang
2014 Chen Kuang-fu File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party
 
Penghu County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party Taiwan local election, 1993 58%
  Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 58%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 50.81% 1 55.40%
  Kuomintang 29.48% 0 39.99%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 19.71% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 4.61%

Result of the primary edit

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Penghu County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Chen Kuang-fu Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Penghu County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Results
Lai Feng Wei Called In Called in after negotiation

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Date of completion File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Chen Kuang-fu   Lai Feng-wei   Not sure Lead
Era Com January 19, 2018 26.41% 39.39% 34.2% 12.98%
ETtoday1 July 8, 2018 20.1% 29.1% 32.1% 9%
Shih Shin University2 October 17, 2018 14.9% 23.3% 45% 8.4%
Note:* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1：  Cheng Ching-fa(4.8%);  Wu Cheng-lung(3.1%)
2：  Cheng Ching-fa(5.6%);  Wu Cheng-lung(2.3%);  Chen Ta-sung(5.0%);  On Lee-la (0.8%);  Lu Hwa-yuann(0.0%)

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Penghu County mayoral results[47]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 On Lee-la (翁珍聖)   Independent 1,379 2.61%
2 Cheng Ching-fa (鄭清發)   Independent 4,330 8.18%
3 Chen Ta-sung (陳大松)   Independent 5,822 11.00%
4 Wu Cheng-lung (吳政隆)   Independent 2,999 5.67%
5 Lai Feng-wei (賴峰偉)   Kuomintang 20,570 38.87%  
6 Chen Kuang-fu (陳光復) File:Green Taiwan in White Cross.svg Democratic Progressive Party 17,347 32.78%
7 Lu Hwa-yuann (呂華苑)   Independent 468 0.88%
Total voters 　86,603
Valid votes 　52,915
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　61.10%

Fujian Province edit

Kinmen County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Kinmen County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Chen Shui-zai   Kuomintang
2001 Lee Chu-feng New Party
2005 Lee Chu-feng New Party
2009 Li Wo-shi   Kuomintang
2014 Chen Fu-hai   Independent
 
Kinmen County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2016 legislative election 23%
  Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 95%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 18.00% 0 23.07%
  Kuomintang 66.10% 1 45.08%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 15.90% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 31.85%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Kuomintang Kinmen County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Yang Cheng-wu Called In Walkover

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Date of completion   Yang Cheng-wu   Chen Fu-hai   Not sure Lead
Polls July 17, 2018 32.7% 30.6% 36.7% 2.1%
ETtoday July 23, 2018 28% 23% 40.4% 5%

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Kinmen County mayoral results[48]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Yang Cheng-wu (楊鎮浯)   Kuomintang 23,520 47.48%  
2 Hung Chih-heng (洪志恒) Kinmen Gaoliang Party 832 1.69%
3 Wang Cheng-hua (汪承樺) UNESCO budget e-league 403 0.82%
4 Chen Fu-hai (陳福海)   Independent 22,719 46.15%
5 Hsieh Yi-zhen (謝宜璋)   Independent 1,389 2.82%
6 Hong Ho-cheng (洪和成)   Independent 366 0.74%
Total voters 117,913
Valid votes 49,229
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　41.75%

Lienchiang County edit

Political context prior to the elections edit

Results of Past Lienchiang County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Liu Li-qun   Kuomintang
2001 Chen Hsueh-sheng   People First Party
2005 Chen Hsueh-sheng   People First Party
2009 Yang Sui-sheng   Kuomintang
2014 Liu Cheng-ying   Kuomintang
 
Lienchiang County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party 2016 presidential election 17%
  Kuomintang 2009 local election 49%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party 16.54% 0 -
  Kuomintang 68.60% 1 68.07%
  New Power Party - 0 -
  Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
  People First Party 14.86% 0 -
  Independent/Others - 0 31.93%

Results of the primary edit

2018 Kuomintang Lienchiang County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Liu Cheng-ying Called In Walkover

Opinion polls edit

Poll organization Date of completion   Liu Cheng-ying   Su Po-hao   Not sure Lead
ETtoday July 8, 2018 50% 9.8% 24.2% 40.2%

Predictions edit

Results edit

 
2018 Lienchiang County mayoral results[49]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Su Po-hao (蘇柏豪)   Tree Party 927 12.51%
2 Chu Hsiu-chen (朱秀珍)   Independent 1,284 17.33%
3 Wei Yao-kan (魏耀乾)   Independent 356 4.54%
4 Liu Cheng-ying (劉增應)   Kuomintang 4,861 65.62%  
Total voters 10,773　
Valid votes 　7,408
Invalid votes 　
Voter turnout 　68.76%

See also edit

References edit

  1. ^ http://www.epochtimes.com/gb/17/8/20/n9547220.htm 吴敦义走马上任 国民党备战2018挑战多
  2. ^ http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/2203153 放眼2018！ 民進黨全代會通過提名條例
  3. ^ http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/1156255 民進黨首波提名9縣市長拚連任
  4. ^ https://udn.com/news/story/10958/2886726 藍2018初選全民調 首波提名4縣市
  5. ^ http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/2295457 2018縣市長提名 民進黨徵召台東劉櫂豪、南投洪國浩
  6. ^ http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/2328383 國民黨今通過5縣市長提名 澎湖人選暫緩公告
  7. ^ https://tw.appledaily.com/new/realtime/20180207/1294116/ 國民黨中常會通過　提名謝立功參選基隆市長
  8. ^ https://tw.appledaily.com/new/realtime/20180221/1301320/ 國民黨通過盧秀燕參選台中市長　盧：誓言打贏選仗
  9. ^ https://udn.com/news/story/6656/3002819 國民黨今提名黃敏惠參選嘉義市長 澎湖縣長提名仍暫緩
  10. ^ http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/2365276 民進黨提名宜嘉南高4縣市長 苗栗支持無黨籍徐定禎
  11. ^ https://newtalk.tw/news/view/2018-03-21/118195 花49天撫平反彈聲浪 藍提賴峰偉回鍋戰澎湖縣長
  12. ^ https://udn.com/news/story/6656/3055842 國民黨桃園市長初選陳學聖出線 楊麗環認不公憤離席
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  14. ^ https://udn.com/news/story/6656/3106826 國民黨提名吳育仁參選嘉義縣長蘇清泉參選屏東縣長
  15. ^ https://udn.com/news/story/6656/3132648 國民黨台北市長提名丁守中金門縣徵召楊鎮浯
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External links edit

Category:2018 elections in Asia Municipal 2018

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