Tropical Storm Bebinca (2024)

Severe Tropical Storm Bebinca, known in the Philippines as Tropical Storm Ferdie, is a tropical cyclone which affected multiple islands in the Pacific Ocean. The thirteenth named storm of the annual typhoon season, Bebinca formed from atmospheric convection 385 km (239 mi) east-northeast of Kosrae, was upgraded to a tropical storm by the Japan Meteorological Agency on September 10, and was named Bebinca, before turning west-northwest due to interaction with an upper vortex; by September 13, as it entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration renamed it Ferdie.

Severe Tropical Storm Bebinca (Ferdie)
Bebinca on September 12
Meteorological history
FormedSeptember 9, 2024
Severe tropical storm
10-minute sustained (JMA)
Highest winds95 km/h (60 mph)
Lowest pressure990 hPa (mbar); 29.23 inHg
Tropical storm
1-minute sustained (SSHWS/JTWC)
Highest winds110 km/h (70 mph)
Lowest pressure988 hPa (mbar); 29.18 inHg
Overall effects
FatalitiesNone
DamageNone
Areas affectedGuam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines

Part of the 2024 Pacific typhoon season

Meteorological history

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Map plotting the storm's track and intensity, according to the Saffir–Simpson scale
Map key
  Tropical depression (≤38 mph, ≤62 km/h)
  Tropical storm (39–73 mph, 63–118 km/h)
  Category 1 (74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h)
  Category 2 (96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h)
  Category 3 (111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h)
  Category 4 (130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h)
  Category 5 (≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h)
  Unknown
Storm type
  Extratropical cyclone, remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression

Severe Tropical Storm Bebinca emerged from an area of atmospheric convection 385 km (239 mi) east-northeast of Kosrae on September 5.[1] The system, characterized by a disorganized wave in the easterlies, featured intense deep convection over a large area, supported by favorable conditions for tropical cyclogenesis,[2] such as warm sea surface temperatures of 28–29 °C (82–84 °F), low vertical wind shear and excellent poleward outflow.[3] At 02:30 UTC on September 9, the United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issued a tropical cyclone formation alert, noting that the system had become well-defined with formative banding in the eastern quadrants.[4] A few hours later, both the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and the JTWC followed suit and upgraded the tropical depression, with the latter designating the system as 14W.[5][6]

On September 10, the depression intensified into a tropical storm and was named Bebinca by the JMA,[7] as it consolidated with a central dense overcast feature obscuring its circulation center while tracking near Guam,[7] and subsequently turned west-northwestward due to interaction with an upper vortex.[8] Guam radar imagery showed a well-defined surface circulation, with curved convective bands extending southward from the circulation center and wrapping around the northern part of the system into its western periphery.[9] Around 00:00 UTC on September 11, the JMA upgraded it to a severe tropical storm, citing Dvorak technique—a method of determining a tropical cyclone's intensity based on satellite appearance.[10] On September 13, the JMA reported that the storm had weakened to a tropical storm due to its near-surface circulation being fully exposed and its banding being fragmented along the northern edge,[11] with a broad tail of deep monsoonal flow and a tropical upper tropospheric trough cell to the west continuing to infuse dry air into the storm's mid-level core.[12] By 06:00 PHT (10:00 UTC), Bebinca had entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility, and the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) subsequently assigned it the name Ferdie.[13]

Just a few hours after Bebinca entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility, Bebinca left, still continuing heavy rains across the country.[14] Bebinca is expected to intensify into a typhoon, passing through China and southern Japan. [15]

Preparations and impact

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Philippines

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PAGASA stated that the Southwest monsoon, locally called Habagat, will happen when the storm enters the Philippines, and will continue after the storm exits the Philippines. Bebinca is also predicted to bring heavy rains across the northern portion of the Philippines. Thunderstorms are also expected in the rest of Luzon and Metro Manila.[16] PAGASA also predicts that the storm will intensify into a typhoon, brining flash floods into the country.[17] PAGASA stated that the storm will bring 1.5–3.5 metres (1.6–3.8 yards) high flash floods to Palawan, Western Visayas, Negros Island Region, Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas, Caraga, Northern Mindanao, Zamboanga Peninsula and the Davao Region. Small waterborne vehicles, like Motor bancas were advised to take precautionary measures because of the storm.[18] Due to a paper signed by the vice president Sara Duterte, all classes in September 14 were closed in areas where the red and orange rainfall warnings persist.[19]

The province of Antique evacuated 545 families because of the storm, also suspending classes, in all levels in the province. The province provided food packs for the evacuees.[20]

Guam

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When the storm passed the Pacific Ocean, Guam was affected, leading to storm warning all across the country. After the storm passed the country, Guam hoisted Readiness Three, a small warning which allows people to go to work, not affecting businesses and the national government.[21]

Taiwan

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As a way of preparation, weather researchers used AI to predict the storm path. The program was also used for Typhoon Gaemi, successfully working a week before the hit.[22] The storm is predicted to bring heavy rains to Taiwan, with possible thunderstorms occurring.[23]

East Asia

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The storm is forecast to bring heavy rains to Japan, with high winds recorded at the Kadena Air Base and Okinawa.[24] The storm also is forecast to pass through Okinawa.[25][26][27] A rebook policy was made by Delta Air Lines, which suspended all flights coming from Shanghai from September 14 to 16. [28]

See also

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References

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  1. ^ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans, 23Z 5 September 2024 Reissued (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 5 September 2024. Archived from the original on September 5, 2024. Retrieved 5 September 2024.
  2. ^ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans, 23Z 6 September 2024 Reissued (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 6 September 2024. Archived from the original on September 6, 2024. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
  3. ^ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans, 02Z 9 September 2024 Reissued (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 9 September 2024. Archived from the original on September 9, 2024. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  4. ^ Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (Invest 95W) (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 9 September 2024. Archived from the original on September 9, 2024. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  5. ^ Warning and Summary 091200 (Report). Tokyo, Japan: Japan Meteorological Agency. September 9, 2024. Archived from the original on September 9, 2024. Retrieved September 9, 2024.
  6. ^ Tropical Depression 14W (Fourteen) Warning No. 1 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 10 September 2024. Archived from the original on September 10, 2024. Retrieved 10 September 2024.
  7. ^ a b Prognostic Reasoning No. 4 for TS Bebinca (2413) (Report). Tokyo, Japan: Japan Meteorological Agency. September 10, 2024. Archived from the original on September 10, 2024. Retrieved September 10, 2024.
  8. ^ Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Depression 14W (Bebinca) Warning No. 3 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 10 September 2024. Archived from the original on September 10, 2024. Retrieved 10 September 2024.
  9. ^ Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 14W (Bebinca) Warning No. 4 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 10 September 2024. Archived from the original on September 10, 2024. Retrieved 10 September 2024.
  10. ^ Prognostic Reasoning No. 6 for STS Bebinca (2413) (Report). Tokyo, Japan: Japan Meteorological Agency. September 11, 2024. Archived from the original on September 11, 2024. Retrieved September 10, 2024.
  11. ^ Tropical Cyclone Advisory for TS Bebinca (2413) (Report). Tokyo, Japan: Japan Meteorological Agency. September 13, 2024. Archived from the original on September 13, 2024. Retrieved September 13, 2024.
  12. ^ Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 14W (Bebinca) Warning No. 13 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 13 September 2024. Archived from the original on September 13, 2024. Retrieved 10 September 2024.
  13. ^ "Bebinca enters PAR, now called Ferdie". GMA News Online. 2024-09-13. Retrieved 2024-09-13.
  14. ^ Daguno-Bersamina, Kristine. "'Ferdie' exits PAR but rains to persist". Philstar.com. Retrieved 2024-09-14.
  15. ^ "'Bebinca' likely to intensify into typhoon; another cyclone could develop early next week". Manila Bulletin. Retrieved 2024-09-14.
  16. ^ Calalo, Arlie O. (2024-09-13). "'Bebinca' expected to enter PH but may exit within the day — Pagasa". The Manila Times. Retrieved 2024-09-13.
  17. ^ Dizon, David (11 September 2024). "Bebinca's trough affects eastern part of PH". ABS-CBN. Retrieved 13 September 2024.
  18. ^ Mangaluz, Jean. "'Bebinca' weakens into tropical storm". Philstar. Retrieved 2024-09-13.
  19. ^ "#WalangPasok – Class suspensions for September 14 2024 due to monsoon rains". THE FILIPINO SCRIBE. 2024-09-13. Retrieved 2024-09-14.
  20. ^ Capuyan, Leah (2024-09-13). "Antique evacuates 545 families, suspends classes due to 'Bebinca'". SunStar Publishing Inc. Retrieved 2024-09-13.
  21. ^ "Bebinca now tropical storm but moves further from Guam; island remains in COR 3". guampdn.com. 2024-09-11. Retrieved 2024-09-13.
  22. ^ "As Bebinca approaches, Taiwan uses AI to predict tropical cyclone paths". GMA News Online. 2024-09-13. Retrieved 2024-09-13.
  23. ^ "Tropical Storm Bebinca to bring showers to north Taiwan Saturday | Taiwan News | Sep. 13, 2024 12:46". taiwannews.com.tw. 2024-09-13. Retrieved 2024-09-13.
  24. ^ "Tropical Storm 14W (Bebinca), # 11". Stars and Stripes. Retrieved 2024-09-13.
  25. ^ NEWS, KYODO. "Typhoon Bebinca may approach southern Japan over weekend". Kyodo News+. Retrieved 2024-09-14.
  26. ^ Shimbun, The Yomiuri (2024-09-11). "Typhoon Bebinca Could Approach Southern Japan In Days; Heavy Storms Expected from Saturday (Update 1)". japannews.yomiuri.co.jp. Retrieved 2024-09-14.
  27. ^ "Typhoon Bebinca may approach Japan's Okinawa, Amami over weekend". The Star. Retrieved 2024-09-14.
  28. ^ "Typhoon Bebinca - Bulletin 1". pro.delta.com. Retrieved 2024-09-13.
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