Talk:Demographics of Kazakhstan

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table

table 2 properly sourced [[1]]cs 18:05, 2 April 2007 (UTC)

Ethnic demography

From my knowledge, birth rate is very hard to be lifted, especially during economic hard times and among urbanized population. The past two decades show significant urbanization of Kazakhstan population, therefore I don't believe Kazaks can lift their birth rate from 17.7 per 1000 in 1999 to 27.7 per 1000 in 2008. There must be some controversial behind this figure. If an ethnic group with a long time birth rate of 18 per 1000, which is highly educated and 60% of them living in the city, its impossible for the birth rate to increase 50% in just 10 years. —Preceding unsigned comment added by 221.220.23.181 (talk) 15:10, 4 December 2010 (UTC)

I totally agree with you, it's roughly impossible. It sounds like regime propaganda.

--Conte di Cavour (talk) 13:17, 12 March 2011 (UTC)

It was a Census 2009 in Kazakhstan, it counts ethnic Kazakhs 0-9 age 1.900 mln, 10-19 1.978 mln, 20-29 1.918 mln, 30-39 1.518 mln, 40-49 1.352 mln. So we can conlcude the decade average fertility is constant last 3 decades, but one-year step data are available for nation total only. But what we have: in the age of 7 were 220,144 , of 6 - 233,924, of 5 - 247,578, of 4 - 268,740, of 3 - 271,302, of 2 - 291,887, of 1 - 310,101, less then 1 - 346,628. I think 346,628 is 57,5% more than 220,144. But these nationwide data are including European ethnicities extremely low values. So 27.7 is 56.5% more than 17.7 and Census data supports these values. Bogomolov.PL (talk) 15:23, 12 March 2011 (UTC)

I was of the understanding that citizens of Kazakhstan

"...are correctly known as Kazakhstanis, whereas only the members of its titular ethnic group are called Kazakh. Thus, for instance, it does make a difference if one speaks about Kazakhstani or Kazakh cuisine, and Kazakh wedding cutoms differ from those of Uygurs--even though the latter (who live in the country) are no less Kazakhstani. In common practice, however, people often refer to something as 'Kazakh' when the longer form would be technically correct." — Preceding unsigned comment added by Elenamary (talk • contribs) 16:22, 11 July 2011 (UTC)

References

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New info about the 2021 census

https://astanatimes.com/2021/12/kazakhstan-population-reaches-19-17-million-in-2021/ — Preceding unsigned comment added by 24.133.128.87 (talk) 22:13, 16 December 2021 (UTC)

The population of Kazakhstan in the future

According to the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, the population of Kazakhstan in 2050 could reach about 40 million. And in 2100 it can be from 60 million to 100 million. At that time, ethnic Kazakhs could be around 40 million to 100 million. However, it should be noted that this is just a rough estimate and the actual numbers may vary significantly depending on many factors. Do you think this is true or just estimates❓ 188.246.248.28 (talk) 12:29, 21 May 2023 (UTC)

UN estimates always generally base themselves on the fact that the fertility rate declines slower rather then faster over time on their median estimate, which is usually what happens, and the bit they admit they struggle to predict. For example they have been wrong before on African population growth so it is unlikely it will reach that high of 100 mil. Tweedle (talk) 12:50, 21 May 2023 (UTC)