Talk:2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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Oklahoma Low‑importance

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RFK in infobox

Latest comment: 16 days ago8 comments3 people in discussion

As of now, he's the only candidate to file in Oklahoma and polling over 5% in the polling done this year. Should we include him in the infobox? The RFC on state criteria for infobox inclusion does not appear to have concluded yet and there has been some changing back and forth. TulsaPoliticsFan (talk) 03:10, 14 June 2024 (UTC)Reply

The onus is on those trying to include to get consensus. Until then, he should be left out. 1 poll is not enough for inclusion, especially since it could be an outlier. We would need more data before we know if RFKJR is truly at 5%. Prcc27 (talk) 03:18, 14 June 2024 (UTC)Reply

Again, non-swing states almost never get polled. This de facto prevents him from being in the infobox when he should obviously qualify.

Of the best sources we can get presently, FiveThirtyEight projects him to get ~8% of the vote in Oklahoma. KlayCax (talk) 03:39, 19 June 2024 (UTC)Reply

Not really true. Almost every state gets polled at least a few times during the general election season (see Oklahoma 2020 election page). We haven’t even hit the conventions yet. Patience. Absolutely against giving WP:UNDUE weight to one political pundit organization. Prcc27 (talk) 04:36, 19 June 2024 (UTC)Reply

Not necessarily, @Prcc27:. And FiveThirtyEight is on the level of The Economist, YouGov, Ipsos, and others in WP: RS of its political projections. KlayCax (talk) 15:30, 25 June 2024 (UTC)Reply

538 is making a projection likely based on 1 public poll. It would be unwise to give 1 poll, which could be an outlier, undue weight. Prcc27 (talk) 20:59, 25 June 2024 (UTC)Reply

Just noting that there appears to have been no consensus on the requirements for state infoboxes in the last discussion. TulsaPoliticsFan (talk) 00:58, 26 June 2024 (UTC)Reply

There actually seems to be consensus for option B, although it seems at the very least, unclear whether to use aggregates or polling averages. One thing is for sure, 1 poll is not enough; RFKJR was not added to Utah for this very reason. Prcc27 (talk) 04:46, 26 June 2024 (UTC)Reply

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