Talk:2006 Pacific typhoon season/September

September

Week 1

92W.INVEST

located at 14.7N 165.5E -- グリフオーザー 05:11, 5 September 2006 (UTC)

TCFA issued south-southeast of Wake Island. -- グリフオーザー 02:38, 6 September 2006 (UTC)

re-issuance of TCFA now northeast of Wake Island -- グリフオーザー 05:09, 7 September 2006 (UTC)

Why is this not a tropical depression yet? This thing looks incredible. bob rulz 06:54, 8 September 2006 (UTC)

Aha, looks might be deceiving... could be that some bits of it are sheared away or something. But yes I agree this does look incredible, looks like an average tropical storm. Typhoonchaser 08:52, 8 September 2006 (UTC)

TCFA cancelled, down to POOR. – Chacor 02:00, 9 September 2006 (UTC)

Wow, this thing completely collapsed. bob rulz 05:48, 9 September 2006 (UTC)

93W.INVEST

New invest at 23.9N 135.3E. -- RattleMan 19:59, 6 September 2006 (UTC)

Gone. – Chacor 10:25, 8 September 2006 (UTC)

14W.SHANSHAN

94W.INVEST

New invest at 13.6N 141.1E. -- RattleMan 03:52, 8 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA TD (<30 kt)

JMA TD in weather chart. I wouldn't add it to the article just yet as it's under 30 kt, but 94W is impressive on NRL. – Chacor 05:29, 9 September 2006 (UTC)

It does indeed look pretty good. bob rulz 05:49, 9 September 2006 (UTC)

TCFA 285 nm north of Yap. -- グリフオーザー 14:45, 9 September 2006 (UTC)

14W.NONAME

NRL has it hidden in the inactive directory -- グリフオーザー 01:13, 10 September 2006 (UTC)

Now up in plain view. -- RattleMan 02:02, 10 September 2006 (UTC)

And the JMA has begun reporting on it. – Chacor 02:03, 10 September 2006 (UTC)

It looks like a tropical storm in sat images. --IrfanFaiz 03:57, 10 September 2006 (UTC)

T0613 SHANSHAN

Shanshan from the JMA. – Chacor 13:41, 10 September 2006 (UTC)

This thing looks like it's growing bigger and stronger by the hour... Typhoonchaser 14:00, 10 September 2006 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Shanshan

TS from both JTWC and JMA now. – Chacor 14:52, 10 September 2006 (UTC)

Nice to see another cyclone in the WPac, its been somewhat of a long time. I hope it dosen't be a homo sapien slayer like Saomai. --§ Alastor "Mad-Eye" Moody _{(talk + contribs + userboxes)} 19:15, 10 September 2006 (UTC)

Wow, yet another rpaidly-intesifying West Pacific storm. It's very close to typhoon intensity already. bob rulz 03:38, 11 September 2006 (UTC)

Probably up to typhoon within 6 hours. - SpLoT 13:50, 11 September 2006 (UTC)

Typhoon Shanshan

It's now a typhoon and still growing well. CrazyC83 00:00, 12 September 2006 (UTC)

Could be beginning rapid intenification to major typhoon status; well not much land in the way except its pointed toward the Korean peninsula. — § Alastor "Mad-Eye" Moody _{(T + U + E + C)} - (Remembering 9/11) 00:59, 12 September 2006 (UTC)

I think I see an eye! — § Alastor "Mad-Eye" Moody _{(T + U + E + C)} - (Remembering 9/11) 01:50, 12 September 2006 (UTC)

Very near cat 3 status; it looks very impressive on satellite imagery and it appears to be rapidly-intesifying. bob rulz 02:28, 12 September 2006 (UTC)

The BOILING waters at the area where this typhoon is currently located may helped the rapid intensification. --IrfanFaiz 08:01, 12 September 2006 (UTC)

Seems to be steady at it's current intensity. --IrfanFaiz 13:03, 12 September 2006 (UTC)

Yes, it seems to have just...stopped intensifying. For a while there it looked like a beautiful cat 3-equivalent typhoon (although it was never upgraded as such), but now you can barely note an eye. bob rulz 21:49, 12 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA predicts slight increase in wind speed and decrease in pressure within 24h. Doubt it'll be super typhoon Shanshan though. - SpLoT 11:32, 13 September 2006 (UTC)

Was interesting at first, but then became boring. — § Alastor "Mad-Eye" Moody _{(T + U + E + C)} - (Remembering 9/11) 03:41, 14 September 2006 (UTC)

JTWC predicts strengthening to cat3 within 24h, but extratropical in a few days. Could hit Japan. - SpLoT 11:30, 14 September 2006 (UTC)

Shanshan's appearance on visible satellite imagery has improved dramatically today. It looks quite impressive now. --Coredesat talk! 02:01, 15 September 2006 (UTC)

100 knots from NRL, looks like it is reintensifying. --IrfanFaiz 05:36, 15 September 2006 (UTC)

Very impressive in visual satellite pictures, may expect a Category 4 out of this. --IrfanFaiz 05:44, 15 September 2006 (UTC)

Category 4 indeed - 120kt/922mb on NRL. The Ryukyu Islands (Naha, Okinawa, etc.) could be in big trouble. Pobbie Rarr 17:31, 15 September 2006 (UTC)

The Yaeyama Islands are in big trouble right now. The eye just passed over Iriomote. --Holderca1 19:48, 15 September 2006 (UTC)

I hope it didn't do what Ioke did to Wake (roofs gone, walls gone. etc.) --IrfanFaiz 01:25, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

Uh oh! Shanshan seems to shed her rainbands. She also seems to be having a big, but cloud covered eye which could be mean she could be semi-annular. — § Alastor "Mad-Eye" Moody _{(T + U + E + C)} - (Remembering 9/11) 02:56, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

-sigh- This isn't even close to annular. Now you're just seeing things. bob rulz 03:21, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

"Semi-annular" lol, you could argue that any tropical cyclone is semi-annular. Daniel Fever really is infectious (though I maintain that Gordon was NEARLY annular...). Shanshan is just a well-organised beast. Pobbie Rarr 03:29, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

JTWC predicts Shanshan to start transition into extratropical in 12h (at 0900 UTC). General weakening also predicted by JMA. - SpLoT 04:30, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

She is a beautiful storm in satellite images. --IrfanFaiz 05:15, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

The first two casualties reported from Shanshan by landslides. See here, here and here. Injuries here. Want to consider making article? - SpLoT 09:32, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

Not yet; two deaths in the Western Pacific isn't notable enough. No active articles in the WPac please - we saw with Ewiniar and Ioke that it's almost impossible to maintain articles for active WPac storms well. If it does enough damage, has enough impact, to warrant an article, then yes, do it after the storm dies. – Chacor 09:39, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

Very true due to the conflicting sources. It's a lot easier when only one source - the NHC or CPHC usually - is involved. There are much deadlier storms from the WPac this year without articles. CrazyC83 20:29, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

It should need an article since it is expected to breifly came ashore on Honshu. --IrfanFaiz 04:46, 17 September 2006 (UTC)

That'll be Kyūshū, not Honshū. And maybe Chacor's right, let's wait for it to dissipate before writing an article. - SpLoT 05:23, 17 September 2006 (UTC)

First 2 casualties confirmed, 5 more supposedly dead/missing after train derailment. - SpLoT 10:51, 17 September 2006 (UTC)

Shanshan continues to weaken, downgraded to cat1, could become STS by 171200. JTWC predicts extratropical in 24h. - SpLoT 10:53, 17 September 2006 (UTC)

JTWC stops warnings. Shanshan could hit Hokkaido as TS or extratropical system. - SpLoT 07:54, 19 September 2006 (UTC)

15W.NONAME

95W.INVEST

NEwly up at 21.0N 129.5E. – Chacor 09:01, 8 September 2006 (UTC)

Dosen't seem to impressive. Seems to be hugging China. --§ Alastor "Mad-Eye" iMoody _{(talk + contribs + userboxes)} 19:21, 10 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA has Tropical Depression forecasted by Tuesday on their weather chart. (this may change by Mon. Evening)-- グリフオーザー 08:01, 11 September 2006 (UTC)

Is this the same as the one here and here? - SpLoT 07:48, 12 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA TD (<30 kt)

Now appearing on JMA's weather chart. It's the one SW of HK. – Chacor 09:04, 12 September 2006 (UTC)

JTWC upgraded potential for tropical cyclone to fair at 0600 UTC, HKO predicts tropical storm in 2 days. Poised to hit Hainan. - SpLoT 10:01, 12 September 2006 (UTC)

15W.NONAME

TD15W in a 1911Z fix from PGTW. – Chacor 19:29, 12 September 2006 (UTC)

Looks like it'll run out of water before it can become a tropical storm. bob rulz 06:11, 13 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA forecasts it to stall and become a TS though. – Chacor 06:15, 13 September 2006 (UTC)

Quite close to land there. Sure it'll become TS? JTWC predicts extratropical in a few days. - SpLoT 11:34, 13 September 2006 (UTC)

HKO track shows low pressure system on land. Should we move it to the other storms section? - SpLoT 14:46, 13 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA is official, and are still carrying the depression, and as of 12Z still expect a TS. Until the JMA drops it, then we move it. – Chacor 14:48, 13 September 2006 (UTC)

Yup Chacor could be right here. The JMA website proves it saying it could still be a TS unless its like another TD 13W. — § Alastor "Mad-Eye" Moody _{(T + U + E + C)} - (Remembering 9/11) 03:53, 14 September 2006 (UTC)

Not anymore. Look at the time-stamp: 0900 UTC September 13. It hasn't been updated since, and I'd move it to other storms. – Chacor 03:54, 14 September 2006 (UTC)

Week 2

16W.YAGI

new invest FNMOC shows it as 95W.INVEST by mistake. invest location is 13N 155E -- グリフオーザー 05:46, 13 September 2006 (UTC)

It's up on the main NRL site now. --Coredesat talk! 07:03, 13 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA TD (<30 kt)

It's on the JMA weather chart as a tropical depression @ 1004 hPa 11N 156E moving NW slowly. - SpLoT 14:52, 13 September 2006 (UTC)

The West Pacific is finally heating up again. bob rulz 21:36, 13 September 2006 (UTC)

It's back to a low pressure area @ 1008 hPa as of 0600 UTC 14 September. - SpLoT 11:28, 14 September 2006 (UTC)

Re-classified by JMA to TD 1008 hPa @ 19N 157E moving N slowly as of 1200 UTC. - SpLoT 16:55, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

FNMOC maps it at 40 knots here. - SpLoT 17:15, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

16W.NONAME

NONAME now up on NRL. 24.85.160.56 23:56, 16 September 2006 (UTC)

T0614 YAGI

Yagi from the JMA at 06Z. – Chacor 07:45, 17 September 2006 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Yagi

JTWC upgraded 16W to TS at 09Z. Forecasts point towards development of typhoon in 72h. - SpLoT 10:44, 17 September 2006 (UTC)

Typhoon Yagi

From both agencies. It's a bit early to be making predictions, but this one looks like it could be dangerous, probably for Japan. —Cuiviénen 03:33, 19 September 2006 (UTC)

This is an impressive system, it already got a very very clear eye! --IrfanFaiz 05:55, 19 September 2006 (UTC)

Nice looking system. - SpLoT 07:53, 19 September 2006 (UTC)

Wow, it looks damn impressive now. NRL has it at 115kts. It's almost perfectly symmetrical and has a very sharp, clear eye. In fact, it reminds me a lot of Hurricane Ivan. bob rulz 02:27, 20 September 2006 (UTC)

Looks like the typhoon season is heating up again. Impressive system. It has a very round eye just after intensifying from a sts. --IrfanFaiz 07:48, 20 September 2006 (UTC)

JTWC predicts a cat4 supertyphoon in a few days. - SpLoT 09:06, 20 September 2006 (UTC)

This season is going to be full of super typhoons. The eye is getting smaller and smaller, like Wilma's. --IrfanFaiz 11:19, 20 September 2006 (UTC)

Super Typhoon Yagi

130 knots now from JTWC -- グリフオーザー 09:02, 21 September 2006 (UTC)

Another STY. --IrfanFaiz 11:13, 21 September 2006 (UTC)

Japan Meteorological Agency reports Yagi at 110 knots 910 Hpa. now the strongest storm this season. -- グリフオーザー 19:27, 21 September 2006 (UTC)

Wow, this storm looks incredible! The West Pacific always has the most interesting storms. Luckily, this one is expected to miss land. But still, cat 4 intensity expected up near Japan? That doesn't happen very often. bob rulz 04:46, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

Weakened back to Typhoon. Does anyone know when JTWC downgraded it (for timeline)? - SpLoT 15:19, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

Ok, found it. - SpLoT 15:27, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

Down to Category 3 status; the JTWC expects this to be ex-tropical by the 25th. — Alastor Moody _{(T + C + U)} 05:54, 23 September 2006 (UTC)

Now down to Category 1... — Alastor Moody _{(T + C + U)} 08:32, 23 September 2006 (UTC)

No, Category 2 still. - SpLoT 09:05, 23 September 2006 (UTC)

Now a weak Category 1, per JMA. The JTWC has called this ex-tropical. — Alastor Moody _{(T + C + U)} 04:28, 24 September 2006 (UTC)

Erm, you can't classify by JMA wind speed, because that's 10-min avg. SSHS is based on 1-min avg. - SpLoT 10:03, 24 September 2006 (UTC)

Now it's STS by JMA. - SpLoT 13:15, 24 September 2006 (UTC)

Week 3

17W.NONAME

97W.INVEST

Recently appeared. Don't know where it is though...there's no imagery and no coordinates. bob rulz 22:11, 20 September 2006 (UTC)

Nevermind, there is some imagery. It's in the South China Sea between the Philippines and Vietnam. bob rulz 22:12, 20 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA statement -- LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 15N 115E ENE SLOWLY. -- グリフオーザー 22:56, 20 September 2006 (UTC)

Kind of an awkward place to form, but JMA lists it at 0600 UTC LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 14N 116E ALMOST STATIONARY. - SpLoT 10:01, 21 September 2006 (UTC)

It is like a few hundred miles where i am right now. --IrfanFaiz 11:14, 21 September 2006 (UTC)

Now at 13N 115E. Still 1006 hPa. - SpLoT 15:38, 21 September 2006 (UTC)

JTWC TCFA. – Chacor 06:26, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

wow you're fast.. heh -- グリフオーザー 06:28, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

I first got notice of the TCFA at 1:45 pm local time, but posted at 2:26 pm local time. Could be faster haha. Interesting area to watch. – Chacor 06:42, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

Hong Kong Observatory notes this system as a depression. JMA has it forecasted as a Tropical Depression by sometime Sunday. -- グリフオーザー 14:26, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA TD (<30 kt)

JMA TD at 1200 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. - SpLoT 15:21, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

As VOFFA says, it's an HKO TD [1], I think it warrants a place in the article. Typhoonchaser 15:33, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

It probably does. I think JTWC will pick up on it soon, hopefully they do, it'll make things easier. Until then, go ahead and add it, but I think don't use an infobox for now. – Chacor 15:39, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

17W.NONAME

It's under "all storms" on NRL. JMA has it as a TD >30 kt which could become a TS. – Chacor 01:42, 23 September 2006 (UTC)

HKO predicts TS, JTWC does not. Vietnam at risk. - SpLoT 06:03, 23 September 2006 (UTC)

Ok, now JTWC predicts TS at 18Z. - SpLoT 09:10, 23 September 2006 (UTC)

Tropical Storm 17W

JTWC upgraded it to TS at 0300 UTC. - SpLoT 04:16, 24 September 2006 (UTC)

Back to TD 17W at 0900 UTC. - SpLoT 10:04, 24 September 2006 (UTC)

98W.INVEST

Up on NRL, east of Philippines. - SpLoT 15:25, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

Correction: I mistook 99.INVEST for this. This one is now gone. - SpLoT 16:22, 25 September 2006 (UTC)

18W.XANGSANE (Milenyo)

99W.INVEST

New one at 10.7N 136.5E. -- RattleMan 20:38, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

AREA OF CONVECTION APPROX. 460 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES IS CONSIDERED IN FAIR CONDITION FOR DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. -- グリフオーザー 02:26, 25 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA TD (<30 kt)

JMA Weather Chart marks a 1008 HPA Depression at 12N 129E almost stationary.

PAGASA is calling it Milenyo. —Cuiviénen 04:05, 25 September 2006 (UTC)

JTWC issues Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert. -- グリフオーザー 06:16, 25 September 2006 (UTC)

18W.NONAME

NONAME on NRL. – Chacor 14:05, 25 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 11.7N 128.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. - SpLoT 14:51, 25 September 2006 (UTC)

The HKO mentions that a TD has formed to the east of the Philippines, centred at 840km ESE of Manila. JTWC have updated it onto their main page. Typhoonchaser 14:59, 25 September 2006 (UTC)

Now a JTWC TS. – Chacor 23:42, 25 September 2006 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Xangsane

JMA now has it a TS (12 am UTC) -- グリフオーザー 04:24, 26 September 2006 (UTC)

Preparations for Xangsane - SpLoT 13:25, 26 September 2006 (UTC)

Typhoon Xangsane

JTWC has it at Category 1 status at 2100 UTC.Em. Hi, i am Mitchazenia (uh) 21:35, 26 September 2006 (UTC)

FNMOC/NRL has it near Category 4 status (115 knots) at 7:00am UTC -- グリフオーザー 07:44, 27 September 2006 (UTC)

It's bombing out - 90 kt (10-min) from JMA, down to 940 hPa. Definitely rapid deepening. --Coredesat talk! 07:49, 27 September 2006 (UTC)

How is it doing that with part of the eyewall over land? Reub2000 09:23, 27 September 2006 (UTC)

Does anyone know how much this thing has strengthened in the past 24 hours? It's quite an impressive transformation. Unfortunately, the Philippines are in big trouble. It may need its own article soon. Pobbie Rarr 18:32, 27 September 2006 (UTC)

Could someone help with the timeline? It appears that PAGASA downgraded it briefly back to a TS. - SpLoT 16:20, 28 September 2006 (UTC)

PAGASA downgraded at 5 pm (09Z). – Chacor 16:22, 28 September 2006 (UTC)

JTWC 1500 has it at 135 mph cat4 typhoon with cat5 gusts.HurricaneCraze32 aka Mitchazenia 14:25, 29 September 2006 (UTC)

48 deaths and more missing. This should get an article, if not now then eventually. Hurricanehink (talk) 14:55, 29 September 2006 (UTC)

Please, not now. I agree it deserves an article (first storm to have direct impacts on Manila in 11 years), but articles on active systems in WPac are not easy to handle (as we saw with Ioke). Most focus is on Atl and elsewhere; the article would go severely outdated - even the seasonal article isn't being updated as frequently as the Atlantic one. – Chacor 15:00, 29 September 2006 (UTC)

It looks quite impressive again; its associated clouds fill essentially the entire South China Sea. bob rulz 19:38, 29 September 2006 (UTC)

It seems a bit odd that theres a link in the news on the main page that doesnt have an article on it. Jamie|C 21:12, 29 September 2006 (UTC)

I know, but WPac storms are hard to follow. There will likely be an article when it dissipates though. CrazyC83 22:12, 29 September 2006 (UTC)

90W.INVEST

Backup Navy site says we have a 90W near 9.7N 144.4E. --Coredesat talk! 04:31, 24 September 2006 (UTC)

Um, sailors might not even need an umbrella for this one. Looks like scattered showers. -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 04:41, 24 September 2006 (UTC)

It's on the main site now. And yeah, there doesn't appear to be anything organized here...yet (many times have I said that, only for something to develop a few days later). --Coredesat talk! 08:48, 24 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA 260600: LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. - SpLoT 08:19, 26 September 2006 (UTC)

Week 4

19W.BEBINCA (Neneng)

91W.INVEST

I believe this is relately close to the same area as 90W.INVEST was. -- グリフオーザー 23:31, 25 September 2006 (UTC)

I think they're referring to the same disturbance? - SpLoT 08:22, 26 September 2006 (UTC)

No, this one seems to be near 12N, further north than 90.INVEST. - SpLoT 08:23, 26 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA TD (<30 kt)

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 12N 141E WEST 10 KT -- グリフオーザー 21:19, 28 September 2006 (UTC)

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 12N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. - SpLoT 06:54, 30 September 2006 (UTC)

JMA calls it a 998 hpa TD at 0600 UTC, whilst JTWC looks as if they are going to upgrade this into a TD - they have 19W.INVEST on their backup site, FNMOC... Typhoonchaser 12:43, 1 October 2006 (UTC)

19W.NONAME (NENENG)

TD19W... Neneng from PAGASA. – Chacor 14:09, 1 October 2006 (UTC)

Forecast for typhoon in a few days, turning north. - SpLoT 16:07, 1 October 2006 (UTC)

PAGASA says it's a 65 km/h tropical storm now... Also, JMA seems set to upgrade this to a TS very soon. Typhoonchaser 01:28, 2 October 2006 (UTC)

Does anyone realize how freaking giant this storm is? It would consume the entire Gulf of Mexico and then some. And 994mbar for a depression? I look forward to watching this. →Cyclone1→ 21:27, 2 October 2006 (UTC)

JTWC Tropical Storm 19W.HurricaneCraze32 aka Mitchazenia 23:32, 2 October 2006 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Bebinca

"RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0616 BEBINCA (0616) UPGRADED FROM TD" -- RattleMan 01:46, 3 October 2006 (UTC)

Bebinca currently looks like 2 giant balls of convection circling around each other. 24.85.160.56 23:20, 3 October 2006 (UTC)

93W.INVEST

Now appeared at 8.9N 165.2E. It's associated with 02C, but this LLCC is centred to the west of former-02C's. It also seems that we never had 92W. – Chacor 12:01, 26 September 2006 (UTC)

95W.INVEST

95W is up, but the main NRL has absolutely no data on it right now. FMNOC says 8.7N 160.9E, 15kt, 1002mb. It seems that 94W was skipped. -- RattleMan 00:32, 29 September 2006 (UTC)