Following a 2016 referendum, the United Kingdom exited from the European Union at the end of January 2020. Since leaving the EU, numerous polling organisations have conducted surveys to gauge public opinion on rejoining the organisation. The trend of the poll data shows that, over time, support for Brexit has waned, while public opinion in the UK has gradually moved in favour of rejoining the EU (either totally, or partially, such as joining the European single market).[1]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b6/Location_map_of_the_United_Kingdom_and_the_European_Union.svg/220px-Location_map_of_the_United_Kingdom_and_the_European_Union.svg.png)
History
editA referendum on the United Kingdom's membership of the European Union took place in 2016, following the European Union Referendum Act being approved by parliament the previous year.[2][3] Most political parties, including Labour and the Liberal Democrats, supported remaining in the European Union while the governing Conservative Party remained neutral, with the prime minister, David Cameron, supporting the UK remaining in the European Union. A majority of voters supported the UK leaving the European Union, with 51.9% voting in favour of leaving and 48.1% in favour of remaining. Cameron resigned, and was succeeded by Theresa May and, later, Boris Johnson, both of whom negotiated the terms of the UK's departure. The UK's departure from the European Union led to two early general elections in 2017 and 2019, and dominated British politics until 31 January 2020, when the country's membership of the European Union ended.
In September 2023, thousands of people participated in a march in London campaigning for the United Kingdom to rejoin the EU.[4] Also in September 2023, France and Germany proposed a restructuring of the membership of the EU to allow the UK to rejoin as an associate member, rather than a full member.[5] Associate membership would include membership of the European single market but not the EU customs union, in exchange for participation in the European Court of Justice and making contributions to the EU budget.[6] The president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, expressed her support for the UK eventually rejoining the EU.[7] In September 2023 Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party and the now-Prime Minister of the UK, ruled out the possibility of the UK rejoining the EU under a Starmer-led Labour government.[8]
Process
editPotential enlargement of the European Union is governed by Article 49 of the Maastricht Treaty. If the UK applied to rejoin the EU, it would need to apply and have its application terms supported unanimously by the EU member states.[9] In January 2020, the political scientist Anthony Salamone wrote that member state support would seek "significant, stable and long-lasting majority public opinion in favour of rejoining", suggesting sustained 60% support would be a plausible minimum.[9] New negotiated terms may also require the UK's participation in the Eurozone and Schengen Area, as well as offering fewer concessions than the UK received as a member.[9] Any concessions sought when joining would need unanimous support from member states and a majority in the European Parliament.[10]
Political positions
editSome UK political parties have policy proposals for the United Kingdom, or its member countries, to rejoin the European Union in the future, while others have ruled out supporting it.[11]
Political party | Position | |
---|---|---|
Alba Party | EFTA and EEA[a] | |
Alliance | Rejoin | |
Conservative Party | Stay out | |
Green Party of England and Wales | Rejoin | |
Labour Party | Stay out | |
Liberal Democrats | Rejoin | |
Plaid Cymru | Rejoin[12] | |
Reform UK | Stay out | |
Scottish Greens | Rejoin[a] | |
Scottish National Party (SNP) | Rejoin[a] | |
Workers Party | Stay out[13] |
- ^ a b c As an independent Scotland
Opinion polling
editGraphical summary
editThe chart below shows opinion polls conducted about whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).
National polls
editPolling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum.
2024
editDates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Rejoin | Stay out | Neither | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7–8 Aug 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,278 | 43% | 32% | 25% | 11% |
5–7 Aug 2024 | BMG Research | The i | 1,523 | 44% | 37% | 19% | 7% |
25–26 Jul 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 2,012 | 39% | 33% | 28% | 6% |
23–24 Jul 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 2,032 | 48% | 33% | 19% | 15% |
18–19 Jul 2024 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,074 | 49% | 32% | 18% | 17% |
11–12 Jul 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 2,005 | 40% | 35% | 25% | 5% |
2–3 Jul 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,325 | 47% | 35% | 18% | 12% |
29 Jun – 3 Jul 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,737 | 49% | 38% | 14% | 11% |
30 Jun – 2 Jul 2024 | BMG Research | The i | 1,854 | 46% | 37% | 18% | 9% |
27–29 Jun 2024 | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | 1,645 | 47% | 39% | 13% | 8% |
27–28 Jun 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,210 | 47% | 34% | 19% | 13% |
24–26 Jun 2024 | Deltapoll | The National | 2,077 | 46% | 37% | 16% | 9% |
24–26 Jun 2024 | BMG Research | The i | 1,522 | 47% | 38% | 14% | 9% |
21–24 Jun 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,568 | 50% | 35% | 16% | 15% |
20–21 Jun 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,270 | 50% | 31% | 18% | 19% |
18–19 Jun 2024 | BMG Research | The i | 1,627 | 47% | 38% | 15% | 9% |
14–17 Jun 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,383 | 45% | 41% | 13% | 4% |
13–14 Jun 2024 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,292 | 48% | 33% | 19% | 15% |
12–13 Jun 2024 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 55% | 35% | 10% | 20% |
12–13 Jun 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,297 | 49% | 33% | 18% | 16% |
11–12 Jun 2024 | BMG Research | The i | 1,546 | 47% | 39% | 15% | 8% |
6–8 Jun 2024 | Deltapoll | Mail on Sunday | 2,010 | 50% | 35% | 15% | 15% |
6–7 Jun 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,198 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 19% |
4–5 Jun 2024 | BMG Research | The i | 1,534 | 45% | 38% | 17% | 7% |
31 May – 3 Jun 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,077 | 51% | 34% | 15% | 17% |
30 May – 3 Jun 2024 | Verian | N/A | 1,405 | 56% | 28% | 17% | 28% |
30–31 May 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,328 | 47% | 34% | 19% | 13% |
28–29 May 2024 | BMG Research | The i | 1,500 | 44% | 41% | 15% | 3% |
23–25 May 2024 | Deltapoll | Mail on Sunday | 1,517 | 51% | 35% | 13% | 16% |
23–24 May 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,242 | 48% | 31% | 21% | 17% |
17–20 May 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,968 | 49% | 36% | 16% | 13% |
16–17 May 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,064 | 49% | 31% | 20% | 18% |
10–13 May 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,031 | 45% | 36% | 19% | 9% |
9–10 May 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,183 | 48% | 32% | 20% | 16% |
3–7 May 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,993 | 48% | 38% | 15% | 10% |
2–5 May 2024 | JL Partners | The Rest is Politics | 2,001 | 47% | 36% | 16% | 11% |
2–3 May 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,177 | 46% | 33% | 21% | 13% |
26–29 Apr 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,577 | 47% | 36% | 17% | 11% |
25–26 Apr 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,265 | 48% | 31% | 21% | 17% |
22–23 Apr 2024 | BMG Research | The i | 1,500 | 47% | 39% | 14% | 8% |
19–22 Apr 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,525 | 49% | 35% | 16% | 14% |
18–19 Apr 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,266 | 48% | 33% | 19% | 15% |
17–18 Apr 2024 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,147 | 49% | 32% | 20% | 17% |
16–17 Apr 2024 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 55% | 38% | 8% | 17% |
12–15 Apr 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,944 | 51% | 35% | 14% | 16% |
11–12 Apr 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,271 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 19% |
4–7 Apr 2024 | JL Partners | The Rest is Politics | 2,011 | 48% | 36% | 15% | 12% |
4–5 Apr 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,280 | 49% | 32% | 19% | 17% |
2–3 Apr 2024 | BMG Research | The i | 1,530 | 46% | 40% | 14% | 6% |
27–28 Mar 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,285 | 48% | 32% | 20% | 16% |
22–25 Mar 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,589 | 47% | 37% | 16% | 10% |
21–22 Mar 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,270 | 48% | 32% | 19% | 16% |
15–18 Mar 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 2,072 | 49% | 36% | 16% | 13% |
14–15 Mar 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,270 | 49% | 34% | 17% | 15% |
12–13 Mar 2024 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,047 | 49% | 30% | 21% | 19% |
8–11 Mar 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,502 | 47% | 40% | 14% | 7% |
7–8 Mar 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,216 | 46% | 34% | 20% | 12% |
6–7 Mar 2024 | BMG Research | The i | 1,541 | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% |
1–4 Mar 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,500 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 7% |
29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,240 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 17% |
23–26 Feb 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,490 | 49% | 36% | 15% | 13% |
22–23 Feb 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,243 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 19% |
16–19 Feb 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,519 | 45% | 38% | 16% | 7% |
15–16 Feb 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,246 | 47% | 33% | 20% | 14% |
15–16 Feb 2024 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,186 | 47% | 32% | 21% | 15% |
13–14 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 55% | 36% | 8% | 19% |
9–12 Feb 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,977 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 7% |
8–9 Feb 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,171 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 19% |
2–5 Feb 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 2,004 | 47% | 37% | 15% | 10% |
1–2 Feb 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,283 | 52% | 31% | 18% | 21% |
30–31 Jan 2024 | BMG Research | The i | 1,505 | 46% | 41% | 13% | 5% |
26–29 Jan 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 2,064 | 47% | 38% | 14% | 9% |
25–26 Jan 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,264 | 50% | 33% | 18% | 17% |
19–22 Jan 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 2,176 | 47% | 37% | 16% | 10% |
18–19 Jan 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,163 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 19% |
12–15 Jan 2024 | Deltapoll | N/A | 2,136 | 46% | 38% | 15% | 8% |
11–12 Jan 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,161 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 17% |
11–12 Jan 2024 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,058 | 47% | 31% | 22% | 16% |
4–5 Jan 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,226 | 48% | 32% | 20% | 16% |
2–3 Jan 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 2,016 | 51% | 36% | 13% | 15% |
2023
editDates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Rejoin | Stay out | Neither | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
29–31 Dec 2023 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,194 | 46% | 31% | 23% | 15% |
28–30 Dec 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,181 | 49% | 33% | 18% | 16% |
22–29 Dec 2023 | Deltapoll | Daily Mirror | 1,642 | 47% | 39% | 14% | 8% |
20–22 Dec 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,177 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 14% |
14–15 Dec 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,065 | 46% | 34% | 20% | 12% |
10–11 Dec 2023 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 52% | 40% | 8% | 12% |
8–11 Dec 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,005 | 44% | 41% | 15% | 3% |
7–8 Dec 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,201 | 46% | 34% | 20% | 12% |
1–4 Dec 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,000 | 45% | 40% | 15% | 5% |
30 Nov – 1 Dec 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,123 | 46% | 31% | 23% | 15% |
28–30 Nov 2023 | BMG Research | The i | 1,502 | 42% | 43% | 15% | 1% |
24–27 Nov 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,996 | 48% | 36% | 15% | 12% |
23–24 Nov 2023 | We Think | N/A | 1,119 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 17% |
16–20 Nov 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,565 | 46% | 37% | 17% | 9% |
16–17 Nov 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,150 | 47% | 34% | 19% | 13% |
15–16 Nov 2023 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,007 | 46% | 32% | 22% | 14% |
10–13 Nov 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,840 | 48% | 37% | 15% | 11% |
9–10 Nov 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,147 | 49% | 33% | 18% | 16% |
3–6 Nov 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,021 | 48% | 38% | 14% | 10% |
2–3 Nov 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,155 | 49% | 32% | 19% | 17% |
27–30 Oct 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,546 | 46% | 36% | 18% | 10% |
26–27 Oct 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,189 | 45% | 35% | 20% | 10% |
21 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 55% | 38% | 8% | 17% |
19–20 Oct 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,185 | 48% | 33% | 19% | 15% |
19–20 Oct 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,036 | 49% | 39% | 11% | 10% |
13–16 Oct 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,568 | 46% | 37% | 17% | 9% |
12–13 Oct 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,198 | 52% | 30% | 18% | 22% |
11–12 Oct 2023 | BMG Research | The i | 1,591 | 44% | 41% | 16% | 3% |
11–12 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,067 | 47% | 34% | 19% | 13% |
5–6 Oct 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,261 | 46% | 33% | 21% | 13% |
5–6 Oct 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,517 | 46% | 39% | 14% | 7% |
4–5 Oct 2023 | BMG Research | The i | 1,502 | 44% | 40% | 16% | 4% |
29 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,516 | 49% | 38% | 13% | 11% |
28–29 Sep 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,285 | 48% | 36% | 17% | 12% |
22–25 Sep 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,507 | 48% | 36% | 16% | 12% |
21–22 Sep 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,313 | 48% | 31% | 22% | 17% |
14–15 Sep 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,268 | 50% | 31% | 18% | 19% |
11–15 Sep 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 2,039 | 49% | 38% | 12% | 11% |
7–8 Sep 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,268 | 47% | 32% | 20% | 15% |
24–25 Aug 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,061 | 48% | 35% | 17% | 13% |
22–23 Aug 2023 | BMG Research | The i | 1,562 | 47% | 39% | 14% | 8% |
22–23 Aug 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,356 | 48% | 31% | 21% | 17% |
19–20 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 57% | 35% | 8% | 22% |
17–21 Aug 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,520 | 46% | 34% | 21% | 12% |
17–18 Aug 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,315 | 48% | 31% | 21% | 17% |
10–11 Aug 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,345 | 50% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
10–11 Aug 2023 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,066 | 49% | 32% | 18% | 17% |
9–11 Aug 2023 | Deltapoll | Mail on Sunday | 1,504 | 48% | 34% | 17% | 14% |
8–9 Aug 2023 | YouGov | N/A | 2,101 | 50% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
4–7 Aug 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,023 | 50% | 35% | 15% | 15% |
3–4 Aug 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,420 | 48% | 31% | 20% | 17% |
27–28 Jul 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,339 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 19% |
20–21 Jul 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,380 | 48% | 32% | 20% | 16% |
19–20 Jul 2023 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,069 | 49% | 33% | 18% | 16% |
14–17 Jul 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,000 | 48% | 38% | 15% | 10% |
13–14 Jul 2023 | YouGov | N/A | 2,151 | 51% | 31% | 18% | 20% |
13–14 Jul 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,312 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 14% |
6–7 Jul 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,312 | 49% | 32% | 19% | 17% |
29–30 Jun 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,351 | 47% | 32% | 22% | 15% |
27–29 Jun 2023 | BMG Research | The i | 1,500 | 45% | 40% | 15% | 5% |
25–26 Jun 2023 | BMG Research | The i | 1,524 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 7% |
22–23 Jun 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,336 | 50% | 31% | 20% | 19% |
17–19 Jun 2023 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,961 | 45% | 32% | 23% | 13% |
16–19 Jun 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,554 | 47% | 37% | 15% | 10% |
15–16 Jun 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,306 | 47% | 31% | 21% | 16% |
8–9 Jun 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,296 | 47% | 32% | 20% | 15% |
1–2 Jun 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,351 | 49% | 31% | 20% | 18% |
30–31 May 2023 | BMG Research | The i | 1,529 | 49% | 36% | 14% | 13% |
26–27 May 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,361 | 47% | 33% | 20% | 14% |
19–22 May 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,575 | 48% | 38% | 14% | 10% |
17–18 May 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,361 | 47% | 33% | 20% | 14% |
15–16 May 2023 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,037 | 46% | 33% | 22% | 13% |
12–15 May 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,511 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 7% |
12–13 May 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,355 | 47% | 33% | 9% | 14% |
5–9 May 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,550 | 48% | 38% | 14% | 10% |
4–5 May 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,210 | 50% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
3–4 May 2023 | BMG Research | The i | 1,534 | 45% | 38% | 16% | 7% |
28 Apr – 2 May 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,561 | 46% | 37% | 18% | 9% |
26–27 Apr 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,193 | 48% | 31% | 20% | 17% |
24–26 Apr 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,576 | 48% | 37% | 16% | 11% |
19–20 Apr 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,318 | 49% | 31% | 21% | 18% |
18 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 56% | 37% | 7% | 19% |
13–17 Apr 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,567 | 48% | 38% | 14% | 10% |
12–13 Apr 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,204 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 11% |
11–12 Apr 2023 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,985 | 47% | 33% | 20% | 14% |
5–6 Apr 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,204 | 46% | 34% | 20% | 12% |
31 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,587 | 48% | 38% | 14% | 10% |
28–29 Mar 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,344 | 49% | 32% | 19% | 17% |
24–27 Mar 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,344 | 42% | 41% | 17% | 1% |
22–23 Mar 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,382 | 48% | 33% | 19% | 15% |
17–20 Mar 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,054 | 47% | 39% | 14% | 8% |
15–16 Mar 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,126 | 48% | 32% | 20% | 16% |
15–16 Mar 2023 | BMG Research | The i | 1,546 | 45% | 40% | 14% | 5% |
10–13 Mar 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,561 | 48% | 38% | 13% | 10% |
9–10 Mar 2023 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,004 | 45% | 33% | 23% | 12% |
8–9 Mar 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,323 | 52% | 30% | 18% | 22% |
2–6 Mar 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,063 | 51% | 37% | 12% | 14% |
1–2 Mar 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,284 | 47% | 32% | 22% | 15% |
24–27 Feb 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,060 | 48% | 38% | 13% | 10% |
22–23 Feb 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,248 | 43% | 35% | 21% | 8% |
21–23 Feb 2023 | BMG Research | The i | 1,500 | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% |
20 Feb 2023 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 56% | 36% | 8% | 20% |
17–20 Feb 2023 | Deltapoll | N/A | 1,079 | 50% | 38% | 12% | 12% |
15–16 Feb 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,204 | 49% | 33% | 18% | 16% |
11–15 Feb 2023 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 2,062 | 48% | 32% | 20% | 16% |
9–10 Feb 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,234 | 45% | 32% | 23% | 13% |
2–3 Feb 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,255 | 49% | 30% | 21% | 19% |
26–27 Jan 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,257 | 49% | 29% | 22% | 20% |
24–26 Jan 2023 | BMG Research | The i | 1,502 | 43% | 41% | 17% | 2% |
19–20 Jan 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,217 | 47% | 31% | 22% | 16% |
11–12 Jan 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,247 | 44% | 31% | 25% | 13% |
5–6 Jan 2023 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,285 | 49% | 30% | 21% | 19% |
2022
editDates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Rejoin | Stay out | Neither | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21–22 Dec 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,243 | 45% | 32% | 23% | 13% |
15–16 Dec 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,216 | 45% | 32% | 23% | 13% |
14–15 Dec 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,690 | 47% | 34% | 18% | 13% |
8–9 Dec 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,294 | 44% | 34% | 22% | 10% |
7–8 Dec 2022 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 52% | 41% | 7% | 11% |
1–2 Dec 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,172 | 45% | 33% | 22% | 12% |
29 Nov – 1 Dec 2022 | BMG Research | The i | 1,571 | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% |
23–24 Nov 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,172 | 49% | 37% | 14% | 12% |
17–18 Nov 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,159 | 53% | 34% | 14% | 19% |
14–15 Nov 2022 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,689 | 48% | 33% | 18% | 15% |
10–11 Nov 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,181 | 48% | 37% | 16% | 11% |
3–4 Nov 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,352 | 48% | 35% | 17% | 13% |
27–28 Oct 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,568 | 51% | 35% | 14% | 16% |
24–26 Oct 2022 | BMG Research | The i | 1,353 | 44% | 40% | 14% | 4% |
21–22 Oct 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,353 | 50% | 32% | 18% | 18% |
20 Oct 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,382 | 49% | 37% | 13% | 12% |
19 Oct 2022 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 1,500 | 52% | 39% | 8% | 13% |
13–14 Oct 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,403 | 51% | 35% | 14% | 16% |
6–7 Oct 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,328 | 47% | 33% | 20% | 14% |
29–30 Sep 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,320 | 42% | 36% | 22% | 6% |
23–26 Sep 2022 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,307 | 49% | 31% | 19% | 18% |
20–21 Sep 2022 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,704 | 46% | 36% | 19% | 10% |
19 Aug 2022 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 1,500 | 49% | 42% | 9% | 7% |
4–5 Aug 2022 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,669 | 45% | 37% | 19% | 8% |
10–11 Jul 2022 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,684 | 45% | 38% | 17% | 7% |
19–20 Jun 2022 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 48% | 43% | 9% | 5% |
9–10 Jun 2022 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,739 | 45% | 36% | 20% | 9% |
16–17 May 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 1,669 | 41% | 38% | 21% | 3% |
19 Apr 2022 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 45% | 47% | 8% | 2% |
13–14 Apr 2022 | Deltapoll | Mail on Sunday | 1,550 | 47% | 40% | 14% | 7% |
9–11 Apr 2022 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,915 | 43% | 38% | 19% | 5% |
16–17 Mar 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 1,761 | 43% | 35% | 22% | 8% |
20 Feb 2022 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 2,000 | 41% | 50% | 9% | 9% |
10–11 Feb 2022 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,720 | 44% | 36% | 19% | 8% |
17–18 Jan 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 1,695 | 42% | 39% | 19% | 3% |
2021
editDates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Rejoin | Stay out | Neither | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Dec 2021 | Opinium | The Observer | 1,904 | 41% | 42% | 17% | 1% |
13 Dec 2021 | Kantar | N/A | 1,074 | 36% | 33% | 30% | 3% |
10–12 Dec 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Independent | 2,096 | 44% | 43% | 10% | 1% |
2–3 Dec 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,703 | 45% | 37% | 18% | 8% |
22 Nov 2021 | Kantar | N/A | 1,119 | 34% | 32% | 34% | 2% |
16–17 Nov 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,712 | 44% | 39% | 16% | 5% |
9 Nov 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | UK in a Changing Europe | 1,500 | 44% | 50% | 6% | 6% |
5–7 Nov 2021 | ComRes | N/A | 1,687 | 48% | 41% | 12% | 7% |
12–13 Oct 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,659 | 41% | 37% | 22% | 4% |
15–16 Sep 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,635 | 41% | 39% | 21% | 2% |
12–13 Aug 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,767 | 41% | 41% | 18% | Tie |
20–21 Jul 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,767 | 39% | 41% | 20% | 2% |
22–23 Jun 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,711 | 39% | 41% | 20% | 2% |
18–20 Jun 2021 | ComRes | N/A | 2,191 | 42% | 42% | 16% | Tie |
24–25 May 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,622 | 39% | 44% | 17% | 5% |
22–26 Apr 2021 | Kantar | N/A | 1,115 | 31% | 37% | 32% | 6% |
21–22 Apr 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,730 | 38% | 43% | 19% | 5% |
16–19 Mar 2021 | BMG Research | The Independent | 1,498 | 43% | 49% | 8% | 6% |
15–16 Mar 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,672 | 40% | 41% | 18% | 1% |
18–22 Feb 2021 | Kantar | N/A | 1,114 | 33% | 33% | 35% | Tie |
16–17 Feb 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,697 | 39% | 41% | 20% | 2% |
21–25 Jan 2021 | Kantar | N/A | 1,100 | 34% | 37% | 29% | 3% |
19–25 Jan 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 3,312 | 42% | 40% | 18% | 2% |
18–19 Jan 2021 | YouGov | Eurotrack | 1,697 | 42% | 40% | 18% | 2% |
2020
editDates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Rejoin | Stay out | Neither | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10–14 Dec 2020 | Kantar | N/A | 1,137 | 32% | 34% | 34% | 2% |
5–9 Nov 2020 | Kantar | N/A | 1,141 | 37% | 33% | 30% | 4% |
17–21 Sep 2020 | Kantar | N/A | 1,125 | 31% | 38% | 31% | 7% |
10–11 Aug 2020 | YouGov | N/A | 1,595 | 43% | 39% | 18% | 4% |
6–10 Aug 2020 | Kantar | N/A | 1,161 | 37% | 33% | 30% | 4% |
2–26 Jul 2020 | NatCen | The UK in a Changing Europe | 2,413 | 47% | 39% | 14% | 8% |
9–13 Jul 2020 | Kantar | N/A | 1,131 | 33% | 39% | 28% | 6% |
21–22 May 2020 | YouGov | Handelsblatt | 1,669 | 42% | 41% | 18% | 1% |
7–9 Apr 2020 | BMG Research | The Independent | 1,371 | 43% | 47% | 10% | 4% |
24–26 Mar 2020 | Number Cruncher Politics | Bloomberg | 1,010 | 38% | 47% | 14% | 9% |
3–6 Mar 2020 | BMG Research | The Independent | 1,337 | 40% | 48% | 12% | 8% |
4–7 Feb 2020 | BMG Research | The Independent | 1,503 | 42% | 46% | 12% | 4% |
4–5 Feb 2020 | YouGov | Handelsblatt | 1,578 | 42% | 40% | 20% | 2% |
Specialist opinion polling
editConditioning Accession on Euro Adoption
editDuring the United Kingdom's membership of the European Union, it did not seek to adopt the Euro and attained an opt-out as a part of the Maastricht Treaty negotiations.
WeThink, the public polling arm of Omnisis, began including a supplementary question as a part of its Brexit polling assessing how Euro adoption would influence voting intentions on a hypothetical referendum on re-joining the European Union.
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Re-Join the EU | Stay out | Neither | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7–8 Aug 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,278 | 34% | 41% | 26% | 7% |
25–26 Jul 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 2,012 | 31% | 41% | 28% | 10% |
11–12 Jul 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 2,005 | 34% | 39% | 27% | 5% |
2–3 Jul 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,325 | 37% | 43% | 20% | 6% |
27–28 Jun 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,210 | 39% | 42% | 19% | 3% |
20–21 Jun 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,270 | 39% | 40% | 20% | 1% |
12–13 Jun 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,297 | 37% | 43% | 20% | 6% |
6–7 Jun 2024 | WeThink | N/A | 1,198 | 39% | 41% | 20% | 2% |
30–31 May 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,328 | 38% | 43% | 20% | 5% |
23–24 May 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,242 | 38% | 39% | 24% | 1% |
16–17 May 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,064 | 39% | 39% | 22% | Tie |
9–10 May 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,183 | 39% | 41% | 20% | 2% |
2–3 May 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,177 | 35% | 43% | 21% | 8% |
25–26 Apr 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,265 | 38% | 38% | 23% | Tie |
18–19 Apr 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,266 | 38% | 42% | 20% | 4% |
11–12 Apr 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,271 | 37% | 42% | 20% | 5% |
4–5 Apr 2024 | WeThink | N/A | 1,280 | 37% | 40% | 23% | 3% |
21–22 Mar 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,270 | 38% | 41% | 21% | 3% |
14–15 Mar 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,270 | 35% | 45% | 19% | 10% |
7–8 Mar 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,216 | 38% | 40% | 21% | 2% |
29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,240 | 39% | 42% | 20% | 3% |
22–23 Feb 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,243 | 39% | 42% | 20% | 3% |
15–16 Feb 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,246 | 36% | 41% | 23% | 5% |
8–9 Feb 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,171 | 37% | 42% | 21% | 5% |
1–2 Feb 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,283 | 39% | 42% | 19% | 3% |
25–26 Jan 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,264 | 39% | 42% | 19% | 3% |
18–19 Jan 2024 | Omnisis | N/A | 1,163 | 39% | 40% | 21% | 1% |
Prior to January 2024,[14] Opinium, as published by WeThink, asked the following two questions;
Would the requirement to adopt the Euro as currency change your decision? Would the requirement to adopt the Euro as currency change your decision to rejoin the EU if you would vote to rejoin? referendum on EU membership tomorrow?
The available responses were;
I would still want the UK to rejoin the EU if adopting the Euro was a requirement
I would not want the UK to rejoin the EU if adopting the Euro was a requirement
I would only want the UK to rejoin the EU if we were able to keep Sterling as our currency
Young voters
editStarting in April 2023, Savanta – commissioned by Peston, ITV's flagship political discussion programme – conducts polls of young people aged 18 to 25 on a range of issues, including their views on the UK rejoining the European Union.[15]
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Join the EU | Stay out | Neither | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22–26 Sep 2023 | Savanta | Peston | 1,021 | 66% | 15% | 18% | 51% |
28 Apr – 3 May 2023 | Savanta | Peston | 1,021 | 77% | 13% | 11% | 64% |
Holding a referendum
editIn January 2023, Savanta published a poll of 2,065 British adults, which included a question regarding support for a referendum on the UK rejoining the EU. A combined total of 65% were in favour of such a referendum now or at some point in the future and 24% were opposed to such a referendum.[16]
Question: When do you think, if at all, there should next be a referendum on whether or not the UK should re-join or stay out of the European Union?
Now | 22% |
In the next five years | 24% |
In the next 6–10 years | 11% |
In the next 11–20 years | 4% |
In more than 20 years time | 4% |
Never | 24% |
Don't know | 11% |
In the European Union
editFifth anniversary polling
editIn 2021, for the fifth anniversary of the UK's EU membership referendum, Euronews commissioned an opinion poll conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies of attitudes to the European Union and Brexit in the EU's four largest countries. Redfield & Wilton polled 1,500 people in each member-state between the 6th and 7th of June 2021. The poll included the following question about how responders would feel about the UK re-joining the EU:[17]
Member states | Support | Oppose | Neither | Don't know | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
France | 36% | 18% | 34% | 12% | 18% |
Germany | 40% | 19% | 30% | 11% | 21% |
Italy | 43% | 14% | 34% | 8% | 29% |
Spain | 46% | 16% | 31% | 7% | 30% |
Polling on a Franco-German four-tier EU Structure
editFollowing reports in 2023 of a Franco-German proposal for a four-tiered EU structure, YouGov Eurotrack conducted polling in several EU Member States. This polling included attitudes towards further EU enlargement. People from Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and Sweden were asked;
Member states |
Sample size |
UK should be allowed to join |
UK should not be allowed to join |
Don't know | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
France | 1,026 | 46% | 30% | 24% | 16% |
Germany | 2,457 | 60% | 22% | 17% | 38% |
Denmark | 1,008 | 68% | 13% | 19% | 55% |
Sweden | 1,008 | 70% | 10% | 20% | 60% |
Spain | 1,056 | 49% | 30% | 21% | 19% |
Italy | 1,022 | 48% | 29% | 27% | 19% |
Fieldwork was conducted between the 6th and 26th of October 2023.[18]
See also
editReferences
edit- ^ Stone, Jon (22 June 2023). "Brexit: This is how Britain could actually rejoin the EU". The Independent. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
- ^ "EU referendum: MPs support plan for say on Europe". BBC News. 9 June 2015. Retrieved 7 April 2016.
- ^ "The Public Whip — European Union Referendum Bill — Third Reading - 7 Sep 2015 at 24:28". www.publicwhip.org.uk. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
- ^ Davis, Barney (23 September 2023). "Brexit, berets and interpretive dance - how thousands marched to demand UK rejoin the EU". Independent.
- ^ Barnes, Joe (19 September 2023). "Britain touted as future 'associate member' of EU". The Telegraph. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
- ^ "Brexit: UK could rejoin EU as an 'associate member'". The Independent. 20 September 2023. Retrieved 20 March 2024.
- ^ "Rishi Sunak dismisses talk of Britain rejoining the EU". www.ft.com. Retrieved 20 March 2024.
- ^ Sykes, Selena (23 September 2023). "Pro-EU supporters march for Britain to rejoin the European Union". France24. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
- ^ a b c "Membership 2.0: what the UK rejoining the EU would involve". LSE BREXIT. 23 January 2020. Retrieved 20 March 2024.
- ^ "Article 49: rejoining the EU". Institute for Government. 17 July 2020. Retrieved 20 March 2024.
- ^ "The SNP is not the only political party that wants to rejoin the EU". Full Fact. 14 February 2024. Retrieved 20 March 2024.
- ^ Morris, Steven (30 May 2024). "Greens and Plaid Cymru pledge to push Labour on climate, housing and poverty" – via The Guardian.
- ^ "George Galloway: What is the Workers Party of Britain?". BBC News. 1 March 2024. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
- ^ Ltd, Omnisis. "VI-69 Voter Intention". www.omnisis.co.uk. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
- ^ "Youth Political Tracker – ITV Peston / ITV News – 3 May 2023 - Savanta". 3 May 2023.
- ^ "Brexit Poll – Independent – 1 January 2023 - Savanta". savanta.com. 1 January 2023. Retrieved 21 July 2023.
- ^ Tidey, Alice (23 June 2021). "Brexit 5 years on: 'We would have you back,' says Europe, in new poll". Euronews. Retrieved 14 December 2021.
- ^ "Western Europeans support Franco-German four-tier Europe structure | YouGov". yougov.co.uk. Retrieved 8 December 2023.