Various polling organizations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2021 Canadian federal election. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Given the cost associated with polling individual constituencies, polling typically occurs in constituencies that are of particular interest, such as those considered marginal or facing an impending by-election. However, it's important to note that the constituencies polled may not necessarily be representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system, true marginal seats, by definition, hold significant influence over the outcome of the election.
Constituency polls edit
Alberta edit
Banff—Airdrie edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spadina Strategies | September 14, 2021 | HTML | 12.9 | 43.7 | 11.7 | 1.3 | 9.8 | 13.1 | 6.7 | ±5.23 pp | 350 | IVR |
Calgary Skyview edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 20, 2021 | 37.6 | 35.4 | 12.8 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 9.2 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 28.3 | 52.5 | 14.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,552 | Election |
Edmonton Centre edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 28, 2021 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.0 | 41.5 | 20.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,092 | Election |
Edmonton Griesbach edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 12, 2021 | 19.0 | 38.4 | 28.2 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 5.1 | ±4.6 pp | 454 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 17.3 | 51.4 | 25.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,963 | Election |
Edmonton Mill Woods edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 9, 2021 | 37 | 35.4 | 14.4 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 1.6 | 3.3 | ±5 pp | 299 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.6 | 50.3 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,177 | Election |
British Columbia edit
Burnaby North—Seymour edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 28.1 | 29.6 | 26 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7.9 | ±5 pp | 379 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 32.8 | 22.7 | 13.2 | N/A | N/A | 6.2 | 25.1 | ±4.1 pp | 558 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 35.5 | 19.5 | 32.3 | 9.6 | 2.2 | 1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,525 | Election |
Cloverdale—Langley City edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 12, 2021 | 28 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | ±5.6 pp | 307 | IVR |
Delta edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 30, 2021 | 34 | 36 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | ±5.6 pp | 304 | IVR |
Nanaimo—Ladysmith edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oracle Poll | September 7, 2021 | HTML | 7.6 | 21.0 | 19.0 | 27.8 | 1.0 | N/A | 23.6 | ±4.4 pp | 500 | Telephone |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 13.6 | 25.9 | 23.6 | 34.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,296 | Election |
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 28, 2021 | 26 | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | ±5.6 pp | 306 | IVR |
Port Moody—Coquitlam edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 13, 2021 | 24.4 | 29.0 | 29.5 | 3.6 | 8.9 | 2.0 | 2.7 | ±5.5 pp | 320 | IVR |
Surrey Centre edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 4, 2021 | 37 | 22 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | ±6.3 pp | 285 | IVR |
Vancouver Granville edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 33 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 26.6 | 21.9 | 13.1 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 32.6 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,296 | Election |
Vancouver South edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 39 | 17 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | ±6.3 pp | 242 | IVR |
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 5, 2021 | 25.1 | 42.3 | 15.1 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 5.4 | ±3.8 pp | 662 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 23.1 | 27.5 | 19.4 | 11.9 | N/A | 4 | 14.1 | ±3.9 pp | 624 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 34.9 | 26.7 | 13.9 | 22.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 64,980 | Election |
Manitoba edit
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 20, 2021 | 36.2 | 37.0 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 9.8 | ± pp | 317 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 35.5 | 40.7 | 14.2 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 0.7 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,228 | Election |
Kildonan—St. Paul edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2021 | 33 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 7 | ±5.5 pp | 322 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 27.9 | 44.8 | 21.2 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 44,298 | Election |
Winnipeg South edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 43.4 | 28.1 | 16.3 | 2 | 3.4 | 0 | 6.9 | ±5 pp | 304 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 42.1 | 38.7 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 0.9 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 47,889 | Election |
Newfoundland and Labrador edit
edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 9, 2021 | 43.2 | 30.5 | 10.5 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 1 | 10.9 | ±5 pp | 298 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 45.7 | 39.5 | 12.0 | 2.9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 32,179 | Election |
St. John’s East edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 45.3 | 15.2 | 26.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0 | 9 | ±5.1 pp | 363 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.2 | 18.1 | 46.9 | 1.8 | N/A | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
New Brunswick edit
Fredericton edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 40 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | ±5.6 pp | 307 | IVR |
Saint John—Rothesay edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 42 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | ±5.7 pp | 300 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 37.4 | 34.0 | 12.2 | 10.1 | 3.1 | 3.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
Nova Scotia edit
Cape Breton—Canso edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 19, 2021 | 39.3 | 37.6 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 7.1 | ±5 pp | 301 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 38.9 | 34.5 | 14.8 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
Sydney—Victoria edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | ±4.7 pp | 442 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 30.9 | 27.7 | 20.1 | 5.5 | N/A | 21.3 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 40,565 | Election |
West Nova edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2021 | 38 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 3 | ±6 pp | 262 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.4 | 39.3 | 10.7 | 12.7 | N/A | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,798 | Election |
Ontario edit
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 23, 2021 | HTML | 47 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 2 | N/A | ±5 pp | 309 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 42.4 | 44.4 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,109 | Election |
Davenport edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 46 | 11 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR |
Elgin—Middlesex—London edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 11, 2021 | 32 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 5 | ±5.1 pp | 294 | IVR |
Flamborough—Glanbrook edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 15, 2021 | 30 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 7 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.5 | 39.2 | 16.5 | 6.13 | 1.5 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 62,920 | Election |
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 27, 2021 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | ±5.6 pp | 305 | IVR |
Kanata—Carleton edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 36.3 | 32.8 | 18.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 6.2 | ±5 pp | 297 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 43 | 36.5 | 12.5 | 6.6 | 1.4 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 66,772 | Election |
King—Vaughan edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 16, 2021 | 48.1 | 38.6 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ±5.6 pp | 298 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 45 | 43.2 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 1.1 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 64,446 | Election |
Kitchener Centre edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 18, 2021 | HTML | 34 | 27 | 13 | 20 | 5 | 0 | N/A | ±5.9 pp | 287 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | August 24, 2021 | 27.8 | 23.4 | 23.6 | 11.9 | 1.2 | 6.7 | 5.5 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 25.8 | 17.9 | 11.1 | 14.3 | N/A | 4 | 26.8 | ±4 pp | 601 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.7 | 23.8 | 11.3 | 26 | 1.9 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 55,374 | Election |
Niagara Centre edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2021 | 35 | 27 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 8 | ±5 pp | 301 | IVR |
Oakville edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 30, 2021 | 40 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | ±5.5 pp | 314 | IVR |
Ottawa Centre edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 23, 2021 | 42 | 21 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ±5.3 pp | 344 | IVR |
Parkdale—High Park edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 34.5 | 14.3 | 16.6 | 8.8 | N/A | 2.9 | 23 | ±4 pp | 600 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 47.4 | 13.2 | 31.5 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,887 | Election |
Peterborough—Kawartha edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 25.8 | 37.5 | 17.9 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 5.9 | ±5.7 pp | 291 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 39.3 | 34.9 | 17.1 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 69,801 | Election |
Spadina—Fort York edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 47.5 | 18.9 | 12 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 10.1 | ±4.1 pp | 574 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 55.8 | 17.6 | 20.1 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,887 | Election |
St. Catharines edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 2, 2021 | 30 | 34 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | ±5.9 pp | 273 | IVR |
Toronto Centre edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 39.9 | 8.6 | 9.5 | 15.5 | N/A | 2.3 | 24.3 | ±4.1 pp | 574 | IVR |
2020 By-election | October 26, 2020 | HTML | 42 | 5.7 | 17 | 32.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 25,205 | Election |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 57.4 | 12.1 | 22.3 | 7.1 | N/A | 1.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 54,512 | Election |
Windsor—Tecumseh edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 16, 2021 | 26.8 | 18.8 | 28.1 | 3.5 | 16.6 | 0.8 | 5.5 | ±4.9 pp | 390 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.4 | 27.8 | 32.3 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.3 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 56,957 | Election |
Prince Edward Island edit
Malpeque edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 36.5 | 25.3 | 7 | 12.1 | N/A | 0.2 | 19 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 41.4 | 25.6 | 6.5 | 26.5 | N/A | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 23,039 | Election |
Quebec edit
Abitibi—Témiscamingue edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SOM | March 29, 2021 | HTML | 25 | 9 | 5.5 | 20 | N/A | N/A | 6 | 35 | ±5.1 pp | 501 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 25 | 15 | 10 | 45.5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,155 | Election |
Beauport—Limoilou edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 4, 2021 | 26 | 30 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | ±5.5 pp | 313 | IVR |
Berthier—Maskinongé edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2021 | 16.7 | 14.2 | 14.1 | 35.1 | 3.8 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 7.5 | ±5.6 pp | 308 | IVR |
Châteauguay—Lacolle edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 4, 2021 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | ±5.1 pp | 370 | IVR |
Jonquière edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 2, 2021 | 24.0 | 27.7 | 6.6 | 24.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 8.5 | ±5.5 pp | 314 | IVR |
La Prairie edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 11, 2021 | 31.0 | 14.4 | 5.4 | 40.8 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 3.3 | ±5.2 pp | 355 | IVR |
Longueuil—Saint-Hubert edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 27, 2021 | 42.4 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 34.1 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 6.4 | ±5.6 pp | 311 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 34.2 | 6.3 | 8.5 | 38.5 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 59,844 | Election |
Pontiac edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 19, 2021 | 33 | 24 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | ±4.9 pp | 398 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 48.9 | 16.8 | 10.5 | 16.1 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 62,508 | Election |
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 31, 2021 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | ±4.7 pp | 436 | IVR |
Shefford edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 29, 2021 | 29 | 19 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | ±5.5 pp | 322 | IVR |
Thérèse-De Blainville edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 13, 2021 | 38.2 | 10.8 | 4.6 | 40.1 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | ±6.6 pp | 221 | IVR |
Trois-Rivières edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 15, 2021 | 28 | 32 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | ±5 pp | 300 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 26 | 25.2 | 16.7 | 28.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,538 | Election |
Saskatchewan edit
Saskatoon West edit
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 25, 2021 | 19 | 28.6 | 28.8 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 15.5 | ±5.6 pp | 305 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 7.3 | 47.7 | 40.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 38,985 | Election |
Notes edit
Notes
- 1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the latter is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls—because of their opt-in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error.[1] In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.[2]
- 2 Refers to the total sample size, including undecided and non-voters.
- 3 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey.
See also edit
References edit
- ^ "MRIA Responds to "Evaluating the Polls: An Open Letter to Ontario's Journalists"". Marketing Research and Intelligence Association. September 16, 2011. Archived from the original on February 22, 2012. Retrieved October 6, 2012.
- ^ American Association for Public Opinion Research (undated), Best Practices for Survey and Public Opinion Research Archived November 30, 2014, at the Wayback Machine, retrieved October 17, 2012