Wikipedia

Opinion polling for the 2019 Australian federal election

In the leadup to the 2019 federal election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on party's primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about views of the electorate about the major party leaders.

Graphical summary edit

 
Two-party-preferred vote.
 
Primary vote.
Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each party are shown as solid lines.

Voting intention edit

House of Representatives (lower house) polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
18 May 2019 election 41.44% 33.34% 10.4% 3.08% 11.74% 51.53% 48.47%
18 May 2019 YouGov-Galaxy (Exit Poll)[1] 39% 38% 10% n/a 10% 48% 52%
15–16 May 2019 Newspoll[2] 38% 37% 9% 3% 13%[a] 48.5% 51.5%
13–15 May 2019 YouGov-Galaxy[3] 39% 37% 9% 3% 12%[b] 49% 51%
12–15 May 2019 Ipsos[4] 39% 33% 13% 4% 11%[c] 49% 51%
10–14 May 2019 Essential[5] 38.5% 36.2% 9.1% 6.6% 9.6% 48.5% 51.5%
10–12 May 2019 Roy Morgan[6] 38.5% 35.5% 10% 4% 12%[d] 48% 52%
9–11 May 2019 Newspoll[7] 39% 37% 9% 4% 11%[e] 49% 51%
8 May 2019 Third leaders' debate
2–6 May 2019 Essential[8] 38% 34% 12% 7% 9% 48% 52%
4–5 May 2019 Roy Morgan[9] 38.5% 34% 11% 4% 12.5%[f] 49% 51%
2–5 May 2019 Newspoll[10] 38% 36% 9% 5% 12%[g] 49% 51%
1–4 May 2019 Ipsos[11] 36% 33% 14% 5% 12%[h] 48% 52%
3 May 2019 Second leaders' debate
29 Apr 2019 First leaders' debate
25–29 Apr 2019 Essential[12] 39% 37% 9% 6% 9% 49% 51%
27–28 Apr 2019 Roy Morgan[13] 39.5% 36% 9.5% 2.5% 12.5%[i] 49% 51%
26–28 Apr 2019 Newspoll[14] 38% 37% 9% 4% 12%[j] 49% 51%
23–25 Apr 2019 Galaxy[15] 37% 37% 9% 4% 13%[k] 48% 52%
20–21 Apr 2019 Roy Morgan[16] 39% 35.5% 9.5% 4.5% 11.5%[l] 49% 51%
11–14 Apr 2019 Newspoll[17] 39% 39% 9% 4% 9% 48% 52%
11 Apr 2019 2019 federal election campaign begins
4–8 Apr 2019 Essential[18] 38% 35% 11% 5% 10% 48% 52%
6–7 Apr 2019 Roy Morgan[19] 37% 35% 13.5% 4% 10.5%[m] 47.5% 52.5%
4–7 Apr 2019 Newspoll[20] 38% 37% 9% 6% 10% 48% 52%
3–6 Apr 2019 Ipsos[21] 37% 34% 13% 5% 11% 47% 53%
25–28 Mar 2019 Galaxy[22] 35% 37% 10% 8% 10%[n] 47% 53%
20–25 Mar 2019 Essential[23] 39% 36% 10% 7% 8% 48% 52%
6–11 Mar 2019 Essential[24] 37% 38% 8% 7% 10% 47% 53%
7–10 Mar 2019 Newspoll[25] 36% 39% 9% 7% 9% 46% 54%
20–25 Feb 2019 Essential[26] 38% 37% 9% 6% 10% 48% 52%
21–24 Feb 2019 Newspoll[27] 37% 39% 9% 5% 10% 47% 53%
12–15 Feb 2019 Ipsos[28] 38% 33% 13% 5% 11% 49% 51%
6–11 Feb 2019 Essential[29] 34% 38% 10% 7% 11% 45% 55%
7–10 Feb 2019 Newspoll[30] 37% 39% 9% 5% 10% 47% 53%
23–31 Jan 2019 Essential[31] 38% 36% 10% 7% 9% 48% 52%
24–27 Jan 2019 Newspoll[32] 37% 38% 9% 6% 10% 47% 53%
9–13 Jan 2019 Essential[33] 38% 38% 10% 7% 7% 47% 53%
13–16 Dec 2018 Essential[34] 37% 36% 11% 7% 9% 47% 53%
12–15 Dec 2018 Ipsos[35] 36% 37% 13% 6% 9% 46% 54%
6–9 Dec 2018 Newspoll[32] 35% 41% 9% 7% 8% 45% 55%
29 Nov – 2 Dec 2018 Essential[36] 38% 39% 10% 6% 7% 46% 54%
22–25 Nov 2018 Newspoll[37] 34% 40% 9% 8% 9% 45% 55%
15–18 Nov 2018 Essential[38] 37% 35% 11% 7% 10% 48% 52%
15–17 Nov 2018 Ipsos[39] 37% 34% 13% 5% 11% 48% 52%
8–11 Nov 2018 Newspoll[40] 35% 40% 9% 6% 10% 45% 55%
1–4 Nov 2018 Essential[41] 36% 39% 10% 6% 9% 46% 54%
25–28 Oct 2018 Newspoll[42] 36% 39% 9% 6% 10% 46% 54%
18–21 Oct 2018 Essential[43] 38% 37% 10% 7% 8% 47% 53%
11–13 Oct 2018 Newspoll[44] 37% 38% 11% 6% 8% 47% 53%
10–13 Oct 2018 Ipsos[45] 35% 35% 15% 5% 10% 45% 55%
5–7 Oct 2018 Essential[46] 37% 36% 12% 5% 10% 47% 53%
20–23 Sep 2018 Essential[47] 37% 36% 12% 5% 10% 47% 53%
20–23 Sep 2018 Newspoll[48] 36% 39% 10% 6% 9% 46% 54%
12–15 Sep 2018 Ipsos[49] 34% 31% 15% 7% 13% 47% 53%
6–9 Sep 2018 Essential[50] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 46% 54%
6–9 Sep 2018 Newspoll[51] 34% 42% 10% 6% 8% 44% 56%
25–26 Aug 2018 Roy Morgan[52] 36.5% 36% 13% 2.5% 12% 46% 54%
24–26 Aug 2018 Essential[53] 35% 39% 10% 7% 9% 45% 55%
24–25 Aug 2018 Newspoll[54] 33% 41% 10% 7% 9% 44% 56%
24 Aug 2018 Scott Morrison elected Prime Minister in leadership spill against Malcolm Turnbull
15–18 Aug 2018 Ipsos[55] 33% 35% 13% 8% 11% 45% 55%
9-12 Aug 2018 Newspoll[56] 37% 35% 10% 9% 9% 49% 51%
2-2 Aug 2018 ReachTEL[57] 37% 34% 12% 8% 8% 48% 52%
26-29 Jul 2018 Newspoll[58] 39% 36% 10% 7% 8% 49% 51%
12-15 Jul 2018 Essential[59] 40% 36% 10% 6% 8% 49% 51%
12-15 Jul 2018 Newspoll[60] 38% 36% 10% 7% 9% 49% 51%
28 Jun - 1 Jul 2018 Essential[61] 40% 37% 11% 6% 6% 48% 52%
28 Jun - 1 Jul 2018 Newspoll[62] 39% 37% 9% 6% 9% 49% 51%
21–24 Jun 2018 Ipsos[63] 35% 35% 12% 6% 12% 47% 53%
14–17 Jun 2018 Newspoll[64] 38% 38% 10% 6% 8% 48% 52%
14–17 Jun 2018 Essential[65] 38% 35% 11% 7% 9% 48% 52%
2 Jun 2018 ReachTEL[66] 35% 34% 11% 9% 11% 48% 52%
31 May – 3 Jun 2018 Essential[67] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 46% 54%
24–27 May 2018 Newspoll[68] 38% 38% 9% 8% 7% 48% 52%
17–20 May 2018 Essential[69] 40% 36% 10% 8% 7% 49% 51%
10–13 May 2018 Essential[70] 38% 36% 10% 7% 8% 48% 52%
10–13 May 2018 Newspoll[71] 39% 38% 9% 6% 8% 49% 51%
10–12 May 2018 Ipsos[72] 36% 37% 11% 5% 11% 46% 54%
3–6 May 2018 Essential[73] 38% 37% 10% 6% 9% 47% 53%
30 Apr 2018 ReachTEL[74] 36% 35% 11% 6% 12% 48% 52%
19–22 Apr 2018 Essential[75] 37% 36% 11% 8% 8% 47% 53%
19-22 Apr 2018 Newspoll[76] 38% 37% 9% 7% 9% 49% 51%
5–8 Apr 2018 Essential[77] 38% 37% 10% 7% 8% 47% 53%
5–8 Apr 2018 Newspoll[78] 38% 37% 10% 7% 8% 48% 52%
3–5 Apr 2018 Ipsos[79][80] 36% 34% 12% 8% 10% 48% 52%
24 Mar – 1 Apr 2018 Roy Morgan[81] 38.5% 37.5% 11% 3% 10% 49% 51%
28 Mar 2018 ReachTEL[82] 34% 36% 10% 7% 13% 46% 54%
22–25 Mar 2018 Essential[83] 38% 36% 9% 8% 9% 48% 52%
22–25 Mar 2018 Newspoll[84] 37% 39% 9% 7% 8% 47% 53%
17–25 Mar 2018 Roy Morgan[85] 40% 35% 12% 3.5% 9.5% 49% 51%
8–11 Mar 2018 Essential[86] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 46% 54%
3–11 Mar 2018 Roy Morgan[87] 36% 36% 13.5% 3% 11.5% 46% 54%
1–4 Mar 2018 Newspoll[88] 37% 38% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
22–25 Feb 2018 Essential[89] 35% 35% 10% 8% 12% 47% 53%
24 Feb 2018 ReachTEL[90] 33% 37% 11% 7% 12% 46% 54%
15–18 Feb 2018 Newspoll[91] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
8–11 Feb 2018 Essential[92] 36% 37% 10% 6% 11% 46% 54%
1–3 Feb 2018 Newspoll[93] 38% 37% 10% 5% 10% 48% 52%
26–28 Jan 2018 Essential[94] 35% 36% 10% 8% 11% 46% 54%
25 Jan 2018 ReachTEL[95] 34% 36% 10% 8% 12% 48% 52%
11–15 Jan 2018 Essential[96] 37% 38% 9% 6% 10% 47% 53%
19 Dec 2017 Essential[97] 37% 38% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
14–17 Dec 2017 Newspoll[98] 36% 37% 10% 7% 10% 47% 53%
12 Dec 2017 Essential[99] 35% 38% 10% 7% 9% 46% 54%
7–10 Dec 2017 YouGov[100] 34% 35% 11% 8% 13% 50% 50%
5 Dec 2017 Essential[101] 35% 38% 9% 8% 10% 45% 55%
30 Nov − 3 Dec 2017 Newspoll[102] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
29 Nov 2017 ReachTEL[103] 33% 36% 10% 9% 12% 47% 53%
28 Nov 2017 Essential[104] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 46% 54%
23–27 Nov 2017 YouGov[105] 32% 32% 10% 11% 16% 47% 53%
21 Nov 2017 Essential[106] 35% 38% 9% 8% 10% 46% 54%
14 Nov 2017 YouGov[107] 31% 34% 11% 11% 14% 48% 52%
14 Nov 2017 Essential[108] 36% 38% 9% 8% 10% 46% 54%
13 Nov 2017 Newspoll[109] 34% 38% 9% 10% 9% 45% 55%
30 Oct 2017 Essential[110] 36% 37% 10% 7% 9% 46% 54%
26–29 Oct 2017 Newspoll 35% 37% 10% 9% 9% 46% 54%
24 Oct 2017 Essential[111] 37% 36% 9% 8% 10% 48% 52%
12–15 Oct 2017 Newspoll 36% 37% 10% 9% 8% 46% 54%
4 Oct 2017 Essential[112] 36% 38% 10% 7% 10% 46% 54%
1 Oct 2017 ReachTEL[113] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 47% 53%
26 Sep 2017 Essential[114] 37% 37% 10% 7% 9% 47% 53%
21–24 Sep 2017 Newspoll[115] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 46% 54%
19 Sep 2017 Essential[116] 38% 36% 10% 8% 8% 48% 52%
14–18 Sep 2017 YouGov[117] 34% 35% 11% 9% 11% 50% 50%
12 Sep 2017 Essential[118] 36% 37% 10% 9% 8% 46% 54%
6–9 Sep 2017 Ipsos[119][120] 35% 34% 14% 1% 15% 47% 53%
5 Sep 2017 Essential[118] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
31 Aug – 4 Sep 2017 YouGov[121] 34% 32% 12% 9% 13% 50% 50%
28 Aug – 2 Sep 2017 Newspoll[122] 37% 38% 9% 8% 8% 47% 53%
29 Aug 2017 Essential[123] 37% 36% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
23 Aug 2017 ReachTEL[124] 34.5% 36.7% 10.3% 10.4% 8.2% 48% 52%
22 Aug 2017 Essential[125] 37% 37% 9% 8% 9% 47% 53%
17–21 Aug 2017 YouGov[126] 34% 33% 10% 10% 13% 51% 49%
17–20 Aug 2017 Newspoll[127] 35% 38% 9% 9% 9% 46% 54%
15 Aug 2017 Essential[128] 37% 39% 9% 8% 7% 46% 54%
8 Aug 2017 Essential[129] 37% 39% 9% 8% 7% 46% 54%
3–6 Aug 2017 Newspoll[130] 36% 36% 11% 8% 9% 47% 53%
1 Aug 2017 Essential[131] 38% 36% 10% 8% 8% 48% 52%
25 Jul 2017 Essential[132] 38% 37% 10% 7% 8% 47% 53%
20–24 Jul 2017 YouGov[133] 36% 33% 10% 8% 13% 50% 50%
20–23 Jul 2017 Newspoll[134] 36% 37% 9% 9% 9% 47% 53%
19 Jul 2017 ReachTEL[135] 37.2% 35.1% 8.8% 11.7% 7.2% 49% 51%
18 Jul 2017 Essential[136] 36% 38% 10% 7% 9% 46% 54%
6–11 Jul 2017 YouGov[137] 36% 33% 12% 7% 12% 52% 48%
6–9 Jul 2017 Newspoll[138] 35% 36% 10% 11% 8% 47% 53%
29 June 2017 ReachTEL[139] 36.4% 35.4% 10.2% 9.6% 8.3% 48% 52%
22–27 Jun 2017 YouGov[140] 33% 34% 12% 7% 14% 49% 51%
15–18 Jun 2017 Newspoll[141] 36% 37% 9% 11% 7% 47% 53%
14 June 2017 Essential[142] 38% 36% 10% 8% 8% 48% 52%
26–29 May 2017 Newspoll[143] 36% 36% 10% 9% 9% 47% 53%
23 May 2017 Essential[144] 37% 38% 10% 6% 9% 46% 54%
12–15 May 2017 Newspoll[145] 36% 36% 10% 9% 9% 47% 53%
11 May 2017 ReachTEL[146] 38% 34.1% 10.9% 11% 6% 47% 53%
10–11 May 2017 Ipsos[147] 37% 35% 13% 2% 13% 47% 53%
26–30 Apr 2017 Essential[148] 38% 37% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
20–23 Apr 2017 Newspoll[149] 36% 35% 9% 10% 10% 48% 52%
13–16 Apr 2017 Essential[150] 36% 37% 10% 8% 10% 46% 54%
6–9 Apr 2017 Essential[151] 37% 36% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
1–4 Apr 2017 Essential[152] 37% 36% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
30 Mar – 2 Apr 2017 Newspoll[153] 36% 36% 10% 10% 8% 47% 53%
24–27 Mar 2017 Essential[154] 35% 37% 10% 8% 11% 46% 54%
22–25 Mar 2017 Ipsos[155][156] 33% 34% 16% 2% 15% 45% 55%
17–20 Mar 2017 Essential[157] 34% 37% 9% 10% 9% 45% 55%
16–19 Mar 2017 Newspoll[158] 37% 35% 9% 10% 9% 48% 52%
10–13 Mar 2017 Essential[159] 35% 36% 9% 11% 9% 47% 53%
3–6 Mar 2017 Essential[160] 37% 37% 9% 9% 8% 47% 53%
23–26 Feb 2017 Newspoll[161] 34% 37% 10% 10% 9% 45% 55%
16–19 Feb 2017 Essential[162] 36% 34% 10% 10% 10% 48% 52%
9–12 Feb 2017 Essential[163] 36% 35% 9% 10% 9% 48% 52%
2–5 Feb 2017 Newspoll[164] 35% 36% 10% 8% 11% 46% 54%
20–23 Jan 2017 Essential[165] 35% 37% 10% 9% 8% 46% 54%
13–16 Jan 2017 Essential[166] 38% 37% 9% 8% 8% 47% 53%
12 Jan 2017 ReachTEL[167] 37.1% 35.0% 9.8% 10.6% 7.5% 46% 54%
9–12 Dec 2016 Essential[168] 37% 37% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
1–4 Dec 2016 Newspoll[169] 39% 36% 10% 5% 10% 48% 52%
25–28 Nov 2016 Essential[170] 39% 36% 9% 7% 9% 49% 51%
24–26 Nov 2016 Ipsos[171] 36% 30% 16% 7% 9% 49% 51%
17–20 Nov 2016 Newspoll[172] 38% 38% 10% 4% 10% 47% 53%
11–14 Nov 2016 Essential[173] 37% 37% 11% 6% 9% 47% 53%
3–6 Nov 2016 Newspoll[174] 39% 38% 10% – 13% 47% 53%
20–23 Oct 2016 Newspoll[175] 39% 37% 10% 5% 9% 48% 52%
14–17 Oct 2016 Essential[176] 37% 37% 11% 5% 9% 47% 53%
7–10 Oct 2016 Essential[177] 38% 36% 10% 6% 10% 48% 52%
6–9 Oct 2016 Newspoll[178] 39% 36% 10% 6% 9% 48% 52%
22–25 Sep 2016 Newspoll[179] 38% 37% 10% – 15% 48% 52%
9–12 Sep 2016 Essential[180] 38% 37% 10% 5% 11% 48% 52%
8–11 Sep 2016 Newspoll[181] 41% 36% 9% – 14% 50% 50%
26–29 Aug 2016 Essential[182] 40% 37% 10% – 13% 49% 51%
25–28 Aug 2016 Newspoll[183] 41% 36% 9% – 14% 50% 50%
19–22 Aug 2016 Essential[184] 39% 36% 10% – 15% 49% 51%
12–15 Aug 2016 Essential[185] 39% 37% 10% – 14% 48% 52%
5–8 Aug 2016 Essential[186] 40% 37% 10% – 13% 48% 52%
27 Jul – 1 Aug 2016 Essential[187] 39% 37% 10% – 14% 48% 52%
20–24 Jul 2016 Essential[188] 39% 37% 10% – 14% 48% 52%
13–17 Jul 2016 Essential[189] 39% 36% 10% – 15% 49% 51%
6–10 Jul 2016 Essential[190] 41% 36% 10% – 13% 49% 51%
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2016 Essential[191] 41% 37% 10% – 12% 50% 50%
2 July 2016 election 42.0% 34.7% 10.2% 1.3% 11.8% 50.4% 49.6%
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016 Newspoll[192] 42% 35% 10% – 13% 50.5% 49.5%
30 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[193] 42.8% 34.6% 10.7% – 12% 51% 49%
27–30 Jun 2016 Essential[194] 42.5% 34.5% 11.5% – 12% 50.5% 49.5%
28–29 Jun 2016 Galaxy[195] 43% 36% 10% – 11% 51% 49%
26–29 Jun 2016 Ipsos[196] 40% 33% 13% – 14% 50% 50%
  1. ^ 5% UAP, 8% Independents/Other
  2. ^ 3% UAP, 9% Independents/Other
  3. ^ 3% UAP, 8% Independents/Other
  4. ^ 3.5% UAP, 8.5% Independents/Other
  5. ^ 4% UAP, 7% Other
  6. ^ 3.5% UAP, 9% Other
  7. ^ 4% UAP, 8% Other
  8. ^ 3% UAP, 7% Other
  9. ^ 2.0% UAP, 10.5% Other
  10. ^ 5% UAP, 7% Other
  11. ^ 4% UAP, 9% Other
  12. ^ 2.0% UAP, 9.5% Other
  13. ^ 1.5% UAP, 1% CON, 0.5% KAP, 7.5%, Other
  14. ^ 3% UAP, 2% CON, 3% Other

Preferred prime minister, and satisfaction edit

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Leadership polling
Date Firm Preferred prime minister Morrison Shorten
Morrison Shorten Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
15–16 May 2019 Newspoll[2] 45% 38% 46% 45% 41% 49%
12–15 May 2019 Ipsos[4] 47% 40% 48% 43% 43% 48%
1–4 Apr 2019 Ipsos[11] 46% 35% 47% 44% 40% 51%
3–6 Apr 2019 Ipsos[197] 46% 35% 48% 39% 36% 51%
17 Feb 2019 Ipsos[28] 48% 38% 49% 40% 40% 52%
7–10 Feb 2019 Newspoll[30] 44% 35% 43% 45% 36% 51%
13–15 Dec 2018 Ipsos[35] 46% 37% 47% 39% 41% 50%
8–11 Nov 2018 Newspoll[40] 42% 36% 39% 47% 35% 50%
25–28 Oct 2018 Newspoll[42] 43% 35% 41% 44% 37% 50%
19–21 Oct 2018 Essential[43] 42% 27% 43% 28% 33% 28%
22–24 Sep 2018 Essential[47] 39% 27% 37% 31% 35% 31%
20–23 Sep 2018 Newspoll[48] 45% 32% 44% 39% 32% 54%
8–10 Sep 2018 Essential[50] 39% 27% 37% 31% 35% 43%
6–9 Sep 2018 Newspoll[51] 42% 36% 41% 39% 37% 51%
24–25 Aug 2018 Newspoll[54] 33% 39% – – – –
24 Aug 2018 Scott Morrison replaces Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader
Turnbull Shorten Turnbull Shorten
9–12 Aug 2018 Newspoll[56] 44% 32% 36% 55% 32% 56%
26–29 Jul 2018 Newspoll[58] 48% 29% 42% 48% 32% 57%
18–21 Jul 2018 Ipsos[198] 57% 30% 55% 38% 38% 54%
16 July 2018 Newspoll[199] 48% 29% 39% 50% 33% 55%
10–13 May 2018 Newspoll[71] 46% 32% 41% 49% 32% 56%
3–6 May 2018 Essential[200] 40% 26% 40% 42% 37% 41%
4–6 Mar 2018 Essential[148] 37% 35% - - - -
26–30 Apr 2017 Essential[148] 45% 31% 35% 47% 33% 47%
20–23 Apr 2017 Newspoll[149] 42% 33% 32% 57% 33% 53%
30 Mar – 2 April 2017 Newspoll[153] 41% 32% 30% 59% 32% 54%
22–25 Mar 2017 Ipsos[155] 45% 33% - - - -
17–20 Mar 2017 Essential[157] 43% 29% - - - -
16–19 Mar 2017 Newspoll[158] 43% 29% 30% 57% 29% 57%
10–13 Mar 2017 Essential[159] 38% 26% 33% 50% 30% 49%
23–26 Feb 2017 Newspoll[201] 40% 33% 29% 59% 30% 56%
2–5 Feb 2017 Newspoll[164] 42% 30% 35% 54% 32% 54%
1–4 Dec 2016 Newspoll[169] 41% 32% 32% 55% 34% 51%
24–26 Nov 2016 Ipsos[171] 51% 30% 45% 45% 37% 53%
17–20 Nov 2016 Newspoll[172] 43% 33% 34% 54% 36% 51%
3–6 Nov 2016 Newspoll[174] 42% 32% 30% 58% 36% 51%
20–23 Oct 2016 Newspoll[175] 42% 32% 29% 57% 36% 51%
6–9 Oct 2016 Newspoll[178] 45% 30% 31% 56% 35% 51%
9–12 Sep 2016 Essential[180] 41% 26% 35% 43% 36% 41%
8–11 Sep 2016 Newspoll[181] 43% 31% 34% 53% 35% 52%
25–28 Aug 2016 Newspoll[183] 43% 32% 34% 52% 36% 50%
5–8 Aug 2016 Essential[186] 40% 30% 38% 43% 37% 41%
6–10 Jul 2016 Essential[190] 39% 31% 37% 48% 39% 41%
2 July 2016 election
28 Jun – 1 July 2016 Newspoll[192] 48% 31% 40% 47% 36% 51%
30 June 2016 ReachTEL[193] 52.9% 47.1% - - - -
26–29 Jun 2016 Ipsos[196] 49% 35% 49% 41% 42% 50%
23–26 Jun 2016 Essential[202] 40% 29% 40% 40% 37% 39%
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.

See also edit

References edit

  1. ^ Pearson, Nick (18 May 2019). "Exclusive exit poll: Labor set to win government". 9 News. Retrieved 18 May 2019.
  2. ^ a b Benson, Simon (17 May 2019). "Election 2019: Election-eve Newspoll sees Labor widen lead". The Australian. Retrieved 17 May 2019.
  3. ^ Campbell, James (17 May 2019). "Echoes of Gough as Bill charges on". Herald Sun. Retrieved 17 May 2019.
  4. ^ a b Crowe, David (16 May 2019). "Ipsos poll shows election contest tightens to 51-49". The Age. Retrieved 16 May 2019.
  5. ^ Murphy, Katharine (15 May 2019). "Essential poll: majority of voters think Bill Shorten will be the winner on Saturday". The Guardian. Retrieved 16 May 2019.
  6. ^ "ALP regains initiative with a week to go: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%". Roy Morgan Research. 13 May 2019. Retrieved 13 May 2019.
  7. ^ Benson, Simon (12 May 2019). "Boost for Shorten ahead of Saturday poll". The Australian. Retrieved 12 May 2019.
  8. ^ Martin, Sarah (6 May 2019). "Labor continues to lead Coalition 52-48 in latest Guardian Essential poll". The Guardian.
  9. ^ "Three weeks locked at ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49% - Palmer "jumps" 1.5%". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 6 May 2019.
  10. ^ Benson, Simon (5 May 2019). "Newspoll: Promises fail to prevent Bill Shorten's slide in popularity". The Australian. Retrieved 5 May 2019.
  11. ^ a b Crowe, David (5 May 2019). "Ipsos poll: Labor keeps election-winning lead over Coalition as preferred PM contest narrows". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 5 May 2019.
  12. ^ Murphy, Katharine (29 April 2019). "Labor remains in front of Coalition 51-49 in Guardian Essential poll". The Guardian. Retrieved 30 April 2019.
  13. ^ "Parties locked in class contest for second week: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49% on a two-party preferred basis: ALP 51.0% cf. L-NP 49.0%". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 5 May 2019.
  14. ^ Benson, Simon. "Coalition narrows gap on Labor as poll approaches". The Australian. Retrieved 28 April 2019.
  15. ^ "#Galaxy Poll Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 37 (+2) ALP 37 (0) GRN 9 (-1) ON 4 (-4) UAP 4 (0) Others 9 (+3) #auspol". @GhostWhoVotes. 27 April 2019. Retrieved 27 April 2019.
  16. ^ "Game On: Easter Roy Morgan Poll shows election race tightening: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49% on a two-party preferred basis: ALP 51.0% cf. L-NP 49.0%". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 14 April 2019.
  17. ^ Benson, Simon. "One Nation's voter slip gives a lift to both major parties". The Australian. Retrieved 14 April 2019.
  18. ^ Murphy, Katharine (8 April 2019). "Essential poll: Coalition still trails Labor 52-48 despite approval for budget". The Guardian. Retrieved 9 April 2019.
  19. ^ "Budget delivers 2.5% swing to the L-NP but ALP still lead on a two party preferred basis: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 14 April 2019.
  20. ^ Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Coalition within striking distance". The Australian. Retrieved 7 April 2019.
  21. ^ Crowe, David (7 April 2019). "Ipsos poll: 53-47 result puts Morrison government on course for major election defeat". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 7 April 2019.
  22. ^ "#Galaxy Poll Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 33 ALP 34 GRN 9 ON 8 UAP 3 CON 2 Other 3 Don't Know 8 #auspol". @GhostWhoVotes. 5 April 2019. Retrieved 5 April 2019.
  23. ^ Murphy, Katharine (25 March 2019). "Coalition trails but Labor's vote softens slightly in NSW – Guardian Essential poll". The Guardian. Retrieved 26 March 2019.
  24. ^ "Labor comfortably ahead of Coalition in Guardian Essential poll". TheGuardian.com. 11 March 2019.
  25. ^ Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Coalition notches up 50th consecutive loss". The Australian. Retrieved 10 March 2019.
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