Opinion polling for the 2012 Serbian parliamentary election

In the run up to the 2012 parliamentary elections in Serbia, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Serbia. The results of these polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls range from the previous parliamentary election, held on 11 May 2008, to the 2012 election, held on 6 May 2012. Most opinion polls predicted that the SNS had overtaken the ruling DS in 2010.

Graphical summary

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Party vote

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Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Some long-standing coalitions implicitly included in several parties' ratings.

Polling Organization Date Sample size DS SRS DSS SPS LDP URS SNS Others Lead
2012 election 6 May 12 N/A 22.07 4.62 6.99 14.51 6.53 5.51 24.05 15.72 1.98
Faktor Plus 14–22 Apr 1,084 28.3 5.5 5.7 11.8 6.2 3.3 33.5 5.7 5.2
IRI 8–9 Apr 1,400 24 5 8 12 8 8 27 8 3
Faktor Plus 2–8 Apr 1,160 29.4 5.7 5.5 11.6 6.3 3.5 33.4 4.6 4
eizbori.com 2–5 Apr 1,000 27.1 7.9 6.6 13.3 7.9 6.1 27.1 4 -
Faktor Plus 18–25 Mar 1,184 29.1 5.8 5.8 11.1 6.4 3.8 33.2 4.8 4.1
Partner Consulting 5–15 Mar 1,400 31.7 5.3 5 12.6 - 1.9 35.5 8 3.8
Faktor Plus 5–15 Feb 1,200 28.2 7 5.6 7.1 6 3 30.6 12.5 2.4
Partner Consulting 3–13 Feb 1,400 25.8 5.3 4.4 10.1 5.8 2.1 33 13.5[a] 7.2
NSPM 25 Dec–5 Jan 1,200 25 6.5 7.5 11.2 6.3 4.0 28.9 10.6 3.9
2012
Faktor Plus 19–27 Dec 1,200 26.7 7.1 5.4 7.1 5.8 3.2 32.8 11.9 6.1
NSPM 11 Nov 1,200 27 7.1 7.1 8.3 6.6 3.2 28.5 12.2 1.5
VIP 18 October 1,000 25 8 5 7 5 - 36 14 11
IFIMES International Institute 1–25 Jun 1,614 23.3 6.9 7.8 5.4 7.1 1.8 42.9 4.8 19.6
IFIMES International Institute 1–25 Mar 1,711 24.3 7.7 7.1 5.5 8.3 1.4 41.8 3.9 17.5
Danas 9 Mar 1,198 24 8 6 7 8.5 2.2 36 8.3 12
2011
CeSid 3–10 Sep 1,800 29 6 7 10 5 3 29 11 -
IRI 4–10 Aug 1,053 29.2 6.5 6 5.7 7.4 2.2 33.4 9.6 4.2
Danas 1 Jul - 33 5.3 4.5 5.5 6.4 2 31 12.3 2
TNS Medium Gallup 28 Jan–2 Feb 1,200 30.6 8.3 6.2 6.7 4.3 3 29.9 11 0.7
2010
CeSid 1–10 Dec 5,000 28 7 7 7 5 2 27 17 1
Strategic Marketing 12 Sep 1,500 35.1 9.7 6.7 4.4 4.7 0.5 31 7.9 4.1
Danas 18 Jul - 33 9 7 5 4.5 1 35 5.5 2
IRI 9 Apr 2,458 36.8 10.3 6.4 5.1 8 1.4 24.7 7.3 12.1
Politicum Agency 9 Feb 1,200 40.1 8.4 9.7 5.3 6.9 2.5 17.1 9.4 23
Strategic Marketing 7 Feb - 39.5 13.6 6.8 5.2 8.7 (with DS) 19.4 6.8 20.1
2009
Strategic Marketing 6 Nov - 40 10 10 - 6 - 20 14 20
CeSid 18–28 Oct 4,718 39.3 6.9 8.6 6.7 6.7 (with DS) 23.8 8 15.5
TNS Medium Gallup 20–25 Oct 1,020 38.8 10.8 7.9 5.7 3.9 5.2 22.6 5.1 6.2
Press Online 15–22 Oct 1,038 31.2 7.1 6.4 4 5.9 2.5 24 16.1 7.2
Strategic Marketing 9 Oct - 28.9 7.2 4.6 5.2 3.4 1.6 21 28.1 7.9
Strategic Marketing 4 Sep - 41 32 13 4 7 (with DS) - 3 9
Strategic Marketing 22–24 May 1,086 39.8 29.2 9.5 5.8 5.2 2.6 - 7.9 10.6
2008 election 11 May 08 N/A 38.42 29.46 11.62 7.58 5.24 (with DS) - 7.68 8.96

Notes

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  1. ^ Including 3.2% for the PUPS (went in coalition with the SPS in 2008 and 2012), 1.6% for the LSV and 1.1% for the SDPS (both were part of the ZES and IBŽ coalitions around the DS in 2008 and 2012).