Opinion polling for the 1999 National Assembly for Wales election

In the run-up to the 1999 National Assembly for Wales election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. The results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls was from July 1998, shortly before the passing of the Government of Wales Act 1998, to 6 May 1999 when the election took place.[1]

Constituency vote

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Pollster Client Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Lab Plaid Con Lib Dem Others Lead
1999 election N/A 6 May N/A 37.6% 28.4% 15.8% 13.5% 4.7% 9.2%
National Opinion Polls Harlech Television 29 Apr-2 May 1,501 47% 26% 14% 10% 3% 21%
BeaufortResearch Western Mail 4-8 Mar 971 54% 21% 13% 12% 0% 33%
BeaufortResearch BBC Cymru Wales 25-28 Feb 1,015 51% 23% 16% 8% 2% 28%
National Opinion Polls Harlech Television 4-10 Feb 1,501 54% 20% 16% 9% 1% 34%
BeaufortResearch Western Mail 19-26 Nov 962 59% 18% 14% 8% 1% 41%
BeaufortResearch BBC Cymru Wales 12-19 Nov 1,002 62% 18% 12% 7% 1% 44%
National Opinion Polls Harlech Television 10-15 Sep 1,500 57% 19% 12% 8% 4% 38%
BeaufortResearch Western Mail 3-5 Sep 992 50% 24% 16% 8% 2% 26%
BeaufortResearch BBC Cymru Wales 3-9 Jul 1,008 56% 20% 14% 9% 1% 36%

Regional vote

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Pollster Client Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Lab Plaid Con Lib Dem Others Lead
1999 election N/A 6 May N/A 35.4% 30.5% 16.5% 12.5% 5.1% 4.9%
National Opinion Polls Harlech Television 29 Apr-2 May 1,501 38% 29% 13% 15% 5% 9%
BeaufortResearch Western Mail 4-8 Mar 971 42% 29% 13% 14% 2% 13%
BeaufortResearch BBC Cymru Wales 25-28 Feb 1,015 44% 25% 16% 12% 3% 19%
National Opinion Polls Harlech Television 4-10 Feb 1,501 45% 24% 16% 12% 3% 21%
BeaufortResearch Western Mail 19-26 Nov 962 53% 20% 15% 9% 3% 33%
BeaufortResearch BBC Cymru Wales 12-19 Nov 1,002 48% 24% 12% 14% 2% 24%
National Opinion Polls Harlech Television 10-15 Sep 1,500 44% 23% 17% 15% 1% 21%
BeaufortResearch Western Mail 3-5 Sep 992 52% 19% 13% 11% 5% 33%
BeaufortResearch BBC Cymru Wales 3-9 Jul 1,008 44% 22% 13% 18% 3% 22%

References

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  1. ^ "Opinion Polls | Welsh opinion polls". BBC News. 5 May 1999. Retrieved 4 March 2023.