Nationwide opinion polling for the 1940 United States presidential election

This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 1940 United States presidential election.

Presidential election

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Polling aggregates
Candidates
  Franklin Roosevelt
  Wendell Willkie
  Undecided
Poll Source Field Date(s) Sample Size Franklin Roosevelt
Democratic
Wendell Willkie
Republican
Others Undecided Leading by
(points)
Election Results November 5, 1940 54.7% 44.8% 0.5% - 10.0
Gallup Poll News Service November 2, 1940 3,094 (A) 51.1% 47.4% 0.4% 1.1% 3.7
Gallup Poll News Service October 24, 1940 10,325 (A) 47.7% 44.2% 0.2% 7.9% 3.5
Gallup Poll News Service October 23, 1940 3,161 (A) 48.2% 43.5% 0.3% 8.00% 4.7
Gallup Poll News Service October 22, 1940 11,860 (A) 49.9% 41.8% 0.4% 7.9% 8.1
Gallup Poll News Service October 19, 1940 5,525 (A) 48.3% 45.1% 0.5% 6.2% 3.2
Gallup Poll News Service October 9, 1940 3,134 (A) 50.0% 41.4% 0.6% 7.9% 8.6
Gallup Poll News Service October 5, 1940 6,221 (A) 46.7% 45.6% 0.4% 7.5% 1.1
Gallup Poll News Service September 30, 1940 3,089 (A) 48.8% 42.0% 0.3% 8.8% 6.8
Gallup Poll News Service September 20, 1940 2,957 (A) 48.3% 40.7% 0.1% 11.0% 7.6
Gallup Poll News Service September 14, 1940 7,489 (A) 47.6% 42.4% 0.5% 9.5% 5.2
Gallup Poll News Service September 3, 1940 4,536 (A) 42.7% 42.8% 0.3% 14.2% 0.1
Gallup Poll News Service August 21, 1940 3,117 (A) 43.2% 43.6% 0.3% 12.2% 0.4
Gallup Poll News Service August 9, 1940 3,117 (A) 40.3% 43.8% 0.6% 13.8% 3.5
Gallup Poll News Service August 8, 1940 5,790 (A) 42.1% 46.0% 0.9% 11.1% 3.9
Gallup Poll News Service July 31, 1940 3,060 (A) 43.6% 45.8% 0.3% 10.3% 2.2
Gallup Poll News Service July 19, 1940 3,117 (A) 42.7% 43.4% 0.5% 13.4% 0.7
Gallup Poll News Service July 16, 1940 1,626 (A) 44.3% 43.1% 0.3% 12.4% 1.2
Gallup Poll News Service July 11, 1940 2,490 (A) 46.4% 39.8% - 13.8% 6.6
Gallup Poll News Service July 3, 1940 3,121 (A) 42.0% 45.7% - 12.3% 3.6
Gallup Poll News Service Jun 11, 1940 3,091 (A) 52.7% 29.9% - 17.3% 22.9
Gallup Poll News Service May 29, 1940 3,159 (A) 54.5% 29.3% - 15.9% 25.2

Polling for the Republican Presidential Nomination

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Polling aggregates
Candidates
  Wendell Willkie
  Thomas Dewey
  Robert Taft
  Arthur Vandenberg
  Herbert Hoover
  Undecided
Poll source Date
Wendell Willkie
Others
Undecided
Leading by
(points)
Gallup[1] November 27, 1938 - 33% 18% 18% 6% 6% - 5% - - - - - 17% - [m] 15
Gallup[2] February 17, 1939 - 14.04% 8.32% 10.92% 2.08% 3.64% 2.08% - - 2.08% - - - 8.84% 48% 3.12
Gallup[3] March 22, 1939 - 23.00% 5.98% 6.90% 2.30% 1.84% 0.92% 0.92% - - - - - 4.14% 54% 16.10
Gallup[4] May 10, 1939 - 31.86% 8.85% 7.67% 2.36% 1.77% 1.77% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% - - 0.59% 2.36% 41% 16.10
Gallup[5] July 7, 1939 - 47% 13% 19% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1% 2% - - - 4% - [m] 28
Gallup[6] August 13, 1939 - 26.55% 8.26% 14.75% 3.54% 1.77% 1.18% - 1.18% - - - - 1.77% 41% 11.80
Gallup[7] October 13, 1939 - 33.54% 14.62% 23.22% 3.54% 3.44% 2.58% - 0.86% - 0.86% 0.86% - 2.58% 14% 10.32
Gallup[8] November 10, 1939 - 39% 18% 26% 5% 3% 3% 1% - - 1% 1% - 4% - [m] 13
- 44% 31% 25% - - - - - - - - - - - [m] 13
Gallup[9] January 7, 1940 - 37.80% 6.93% 10.08% 3.15% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% - - - - 1.89% 37% 27.72
Gallup[10] May 8, 1940 2.16% 48.24% 8.64% 10.08% 1.44% - - - - - - - - 2.16% 28% 38.16
Gallup[11] May 17, 1940 3.70% 45.88% 10.36% 9.62% 1.48% - - - - - - - - 2.96% 26% 35.52
Gallup[12] May 31, 1940 6.80% 38.08% 10.88% 8.16% 1.36% - - - - - - - - 2.72% 32% 27.20
Gallup[13] June 12, 1940 13.43% 41.08% 10.27% 9.48% 1.56% 0.79% - - - - - - - 2.37% 21% 27.65
Gallup[14] June 21, 1940 19.14% 31.02% 5.28% 5.28% 3.96% - - - - - - - - 1.32% 34% 11.88
Gallup[15] July 8, 1940 44% 29% 13% - - - - - - - - - - 14% - [m] 15

Polling for the Democratic Presidential Nomination

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Poll source Date
Others
Undecided
Leading by
(points)
Gallup[16] July 31, 1938 - 23% 12% 16% 5% 2% - - - 2% 3% - - 3% - - 5% 25% - [m] 7
Gallup[17] March 26, 1939 - 42% 10% 10% 5% 2% - - - 2% - 8% 2% 3% - - - 14% - [m] 32
Gallup[18] May 21, 1939 - 50% 13% 9% 3% 3% - - - 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% - - - 11% - [m] 37
Gallup[19] June 14, 1939 - 23.03% 5.88% 7.84% 1.47% 1.47% - - - 0.49% 1.47% 2.45% 0.98% - - - - 3.43% 51% 15.19
Gallup[20] August 4, 1939 - 46% 12% 12% 13% 2% - - - 1% 1% 3% 1% - - - - 8% - [m] 33
Gallup[21] September 13, 1939 - 45% 10% 10% 21% 2% - - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - - 9% - [m] 24
Gallup[22] November 6, 1939 83% 8% 3% 1% 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - 2% - [m] 75
- 45% 13% 8% 18% 3% - - - 2% - - 1% - 2% 1% - 8% - [m] 75
Gallup[23] January 3, 1940 58.85% 9.75% 1.50% 0.75% 3.00% 0.75% - - - - - - - - - - - 0.75% 25% 49.10
- 27.84% 3.84% 2.40% 8.16% - - - - - - - - - - - - 5.76% 52% 19.68
Gallup[24] February 19, 1940 58.50% 7.50% 4.50% 0.75% 1.50% - 0.75% - - - - - - - - - - 1.50% 25% 51.00
- 20.00% 12.50% 4.00% 5.50% 0.50% 2.00% 0.50% 1.50% - - - - - - - - 2.20% 50% 7.50
Gallup[25] May 15, 1940 - 11.55% 25.85% 8.80% 3.30% - 2.20% 0.55% 0.55% - - - - - - - - 2.20% 45% 14.30
Gallup[26] July 1, 1940 76.36% 1.66% 2.49% 0.83% 0.83% - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.83% 17% 73.87
- 11.96% 24.44% 6.24% 4.68% - 1.56% 0.56% 0.56% - - - - - - - - 2.08% 48% 12.48

Notes

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  1. ^ Running-mate is Fiorello La Guardia
  2. ^ Running-mate is Robert Taft
  3. ^ Running-mate is Fiorello La Guardia
  4. ^ Running-mate is Thomas Dewey
  5. ^ Running-mate is James Farley
  6. ^ Running-mate is Arthur Vandenberg
  7. ^ Running-mate is Robert Jackson
  8. ^ Running-mate is Robert Taft
  9. ^ Running-mate is Robert Jackson
  10. ^ Running-mate is Thomas Dewey
  11. ^ Running-mate is James Farley
  12. ^ Running-mate is Thomas Dewey
  13. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l On occasion it seems that Gallup would not mention how many of those polled were Undecided, and would subsequently only announce the results of those who were Decided on a candidate. Possibly this information is in the Gallup Brain Archives.

References

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  1. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 127.
  2. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 140.
  3. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 146.
  4. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 153.
  5. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 164.
  6. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 173.
  7. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 185.
  8. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 189.
  9. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 199.
  10. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 222.
  11. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 224.
  12. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 226.
  13. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 228.
  14. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 229.
  15. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 231.
  16. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 112.
  17. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 147.
  18. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 155.
  19. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 159.
  20. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 171.
  21. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 180.
  22. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 189.
  23. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 199.
  24. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 208.
  25. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 224.
  26. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. I. p. 230.