Wikipedia

Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.

Note that some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012.

Obama vs. Romney
Obama vs. Gingrich
Obama vs. Santorum
Obama vs. Paul

Alabama

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9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Capital Survey Research Center[1] August 13–16, 2012 Barack Obama 36% Mitt Romney 54% 18 452 RV ±4.6%
Capital Survey Research Center[2] June 7, 18–19, 26–27, 2012 Barack Obama 36% Mitt Romney 51% 15 551 LV ±4.2%

Arizona

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11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[3] July 23–25, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 52% 11 833 RV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[4] June 26, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 54% 13 500 LV ±4.5%
Project New America/Public Policy Polling (D)[5] June 4–5, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 49% 3 791 RV ±3.5%
Public Policy Polling[6] May 17–20, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 50% 7 500 RV ±4.4%
DC London/Magellan Strategies (R)[7] April 30 – May 2, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 52% 9 909 LV ±3.25%
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll[8]) April 9–17, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 40% 2 511 RV ±4.4%
Arizona State University[9] April 8–14, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 42% 2 488 RV ±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[4] March 13, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 51% 11 500 LV ±4.5%
44% Rick Santorum 45% 1
NBC News/Marist College[10] February 19–20, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 45% 5 2,487 RV ±1.8%
Barack Obama 41% Ron Paul 43% 2
Barack Obama 45% Newt Gingrich 40% 5
Barack Obama 42% Rick Santorum 45% 3
Public Policy Polling[11] February 17–19, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tie 743 RV ±3.6%
Barack Obama 46% Ron Paul 42% 4
Barack Obama 48% Newt Gingrich 44% 4
Barack Obama 46% Rick Santorum 47% 1
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)[12] January 5–9, 2012 Barack Obama 37% Mitt Romney 43% 6 553 RV ±4.3%
Barack Obama 44% Ron Paul 36% 8
45% Newt Gingrich 35% 10
43% Rick Santorum 34% 9

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[13] May 17–20, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 45% Gary Johnson 9% 4 500 RV ±4.4%

Arkansas

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Talk Business/Hendrix College[14] March 26, 2012 Barack Obama 33% Mitt Romney 56.5% 23.5 759 LV ±3.6%

California

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55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Policy Analysis for California Education/USC Rossier School of Education/Tulchin Research[15] August 3–7, 2012 Barack Obama 55.6% Mitt Romney 32.7% 22.9 1,041 LV ±3.0%
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies[16] July 16–17, 2012 Barack Obama 51.9% Mitt Romney 32.6% 19.3 812 LV ±3.4%
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[17] June 21 – July 2, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 37% 18 848 LV ±3.4%
SurveyUSA[18] May 27–29, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 36% 21 1,575 RV ±2.5%
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[19] May 21–29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 32% 16 710 RV ±3.8%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint[20] May 17–21, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 37% 19 1,002 RV ±3.5%
Public Policy Institute of California[21] May 14–20, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 39% 11 894 LV ±4.2%
SurveyUSA[22] March 29, 2012 – April 2, 2012 Barack Obama 62% Mitt Romney 31% 31 1,995 RV ±2.2%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint[23] March 14–19, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 36% 21 1,500 RV ±2.9%
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[24] February 11–18, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 35% 20 1,000 RV ±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[25] February 8–16, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 35% 22 500 ±4.5%
58% Rick Santorum 30% 28
SurveyUSA[26] February 8–9, 2012 Barack Obama 60% Mitt Romney 31% 29 2,088 RV ±2.1%
63% Newt Gingrich 27% 36
61% Ron Paul 29% 31
61% Rick Santorum 29% 32

Colorado

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9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs[27] August 21–22, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4 500 LV ±4.4%
Purple Strategies[28] August 13–14, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[29] August 6, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[30] August 2–5, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6 779 LV ±3.5%
Purple Strategies[31] July 9–13, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group (D)[32] June 25 – July 5, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 608 LV ±4.%
We Ask America[33] June 25, 2012 Barack Obama 46.6% Mitt Romney 43% 3.6 1,083 LV ±2.98%
Public Policy Polling[34] June 14–17, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 799 LV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[29] June 7, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
Purple Strategies[35] May 31 – June 5, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
NBC News/Marist College[36] May 22–24, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% 1 1,030 RV ±3.0%
Project New America/Keating Research/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D)[37] May 21–24, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4 601 RV ±4.0%
Purple Strategies[38] April 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied Not reported ±4.1%
Public Policy Polling[39] April 5–7, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 40% 13 542 ±4.2%
55% Newt Gingrich 37% 18
54% Rick Santorum 38% 16
47% Ron Paul 42% 5

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[30] August 2–5, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 42% Gary Johnson 4% 4 779 ±3.5%
Public Policy Polling[34] June 14–17, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 39% Gary Johnson 7% 8 799 ±3.5%

Connecticut

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7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[40] August 22–26, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 45% 7 1,472 LV ±2.6%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[41] August 21, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 43% 8 500 LV ±4.5%
Quinnipiac University[42] May 29, 2012 – June 3, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 38% 12 1,408 ±2.6%
Quinnipiac University[43] March 14–19, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 37% 16 1,622 ±2.4%
55% Rick Santorum 35% 20

Florida

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29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation[44] August 22–26, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 776 LV ±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[45] August 15–21, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,241 LV ±2.8%
Gravis Marketing[46] August 20, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 728 LV ±3.8%
Foster McCollum White Baydoun/Douglas Fulmer & Associates[47] August 17, 2012 Barack Obama 39.9% Mitt Romney 54.46% 14.56 1,503 LV ±2.53%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] August 15, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 45% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
Purple Strategies[28] August 13–14, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[49] July 24–30, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 45% 6 1,177 LV ±3.0%
Public Policy Polling[50] July 26–29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 871 LV ±3.3%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA[51] July 17–19, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 43% 5 647 LV ±3.9%
Purple Strategies[52] July 9–13, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[53] July 9–11, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% 1 800 RV ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] July 9, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 46% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
Priorities USA/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[32] June 25 – July 3, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4 608 LV ±4.0%
We Ask America[54] July 1–2, 2012 Barack Obama 46.1% Mitt Romney 45.3% 0.8 1,127 LV ±2.9%
Quinnipiac University[55] June 19–25, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 41% 4 1,200 RV ±2.8%
Quinnipiac University[56] June 12–18, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 42% 4 1,697 RV ±2.4%
Purple Strategies[57] May 31, 2012 – June 5, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 49% 4 600 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[58] May 31 – June 3, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 642 RV ±3.9%
Quinnipiac University[59] May 15–21, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 47% 6 1,722 RV ±2.4%
NBC News/Marist College[60] May 17–20, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4 1,078 RV ±3.0%
Suffolk University/7News[61] May 6–8, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% 1 600 RV ±4%
Quinnipiac University[62] April 25 – May 1, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 44% 1 1,169 RV ±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] April 25, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 46% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
Purple Strategies[63] April 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 47% 2 600 LV ±4.1%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[64] April 15–17, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 43% 2 757 RV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[65] April 12–15, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Newt Gingrich 40% 8 700 LV ±3.7%
50% Ron Paul 40% 10
50% Mitt Romney 45% 5
Quinnipiac University[66] March 20–26, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 1,228 RV ±2.8%
50% Rick Santorum 37% 13
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] March 13, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
45% Rick Santorum 43% 2
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] February 9, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
47% Rick Santorum 46% 1
NBC News/Marist College[67] January 25–27, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 41% 8 1,739 LV ±2.7%
52% Newt Gingrich 35% 17
50% Ron Paul 36% 14
50% Rick Santorum 35% 15
Mason-Dixon Research & Polling/Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald[68][permanent dead link] January 24–26, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 48% 4 800 LV ±3.5%
Barack Obama 50% Newt Gingrich 41% 9
50% Rick Santorum 39% 11
Suffolk University[69] January 22–24, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 47% 5 600 RV Not reported
Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 40% 9
Quinnipiac University[70] January 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied 1,518 RV ±2.5%
Barack Obama 50% Newt Gingrich 39% 11
47% Ron Paul 39% 8
49% Rick Santorum 40% 9
Everglades Foundation/Tarrance Group (R)[71] January 4–8, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% 1 607 LV ±4.1%
Quinnipiac University[72] January 4–8, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,412 RV ±2.8%
Barack Obama 45% Rick Santorum 43% 2

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Mason Dixon[53] July 9–11, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% Gary Johnson 2% 1 800 ±3.5%

Georgia

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16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
20/20 Insight[73] August 15–18, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 49% 3 1,158 LV ±2.9%
Majority Opinion Research/InsiderAdvantage[74] May 22, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 52% 12 438 Not reported
Rosetta Stone Communications/Landmark Communications[75] May 10, 2012 Barack Obama 40.2% Mitt Romney 51.1% 10.9 600 RV ±4.0%
SurveyUSA[76] February 23–26, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Newt Gingrich 48% 4 1,156 RV ±2.9%
42% Mitt Romney 49% 7
43% Rick Santorum 47% 4
43% Ron Paul 46% 3

Illinois

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20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Crain's Chicago Business/Ipsos[77] July 16–22, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 31% 20 600 ±4.7%
WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune[78] February 2–6, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 35% 21 600 ±4.0%

Indiana

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11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[79] July 31 – August 1, 2012 Barack Obama 35% Mitt Romney 51% 16 400 LV ±5.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[79] May 25, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 48% 6 600 LV ±4.0%
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group[80] March 26–27, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 49% 9 503 LV ±4.5%
41% Rick Santorum 46% 5

Iowa

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[81] August 23–26, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 1,244 LV ±2.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[82] August 8, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 46% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[83] July 12–15, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 43% 5 1,131 RV ±2.91%
We Ask America[84] June 18, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44% 1 1,086 LV ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[82] June 11, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 47% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
NBC News/Marist College[85] May 22–24, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 44% Tied 1,106 RV ±3.0%
Public Policy Polling[86] May 3–6, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Ron Paul 39% 8 1,181 RV ±2.85%
Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 41% 10
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[87][permanent dead link] February 12–15, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Newt Gingrich 37% 14 611 LV ±3.5%
Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 46% 2
42% Ron Paul 49% 7
44% Rick Santorum 48% 4

Maine

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4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Portland Press Herald/Critical Insights[88] June 20–25, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 35% 14 615 RV ±4.0%
MassINC Polling Group[89] June 13–14, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 34% 14 506 LV ±4.4%
Critical Insights[90] May 2–7, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 42% 8 600 RV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[91] March 2–4, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Ron Paul 38% 16 1,256 RV ±2.8%
58% Rick Santorum 35% 23
60% Newt Gingrich 32% 28
58% Mitt Romney 35% 23

Maryland

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10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Marylanders for Marriage Equality/Public Policy Polling (D)[92] May 14–16, 2012 Barack Obama 58% Mitt Romney 35% 23 852 LV ±3.4%

Massachusetts

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11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Kimball Political Consulting[93] August 21, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 41% 11 592 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling[94] August 16–19, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 39% 16 1,115LV ±2.9%
Public Policy Polling[95] June 22–24, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 39% 16 902LV ±3.3%
Western New England University[96] May 29–31, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 34% 22 504 LV ±4.4%
The Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire[97] May 25–31, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 34% 12 651 LV ±3.8%
Suffolk University[98] May 20–22, 2012 Barack Obama 59% Mitt Romney 34% 25 600 LV ±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[99] May 7, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 35% 21 500 LV ±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[99] April 9, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 40% 11 500 LV ±4.5%
The Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire[100] March 21–27, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 33% 16 544 LV ±4.4%
Public Policy Polling[101] March 16–18, 2012 Barack Obama 62% Newt Gingrich 28% 34 936 RV ±3.2%
58% Ron Paul 30% 28
58% Mitt Romney 35% 23
61% Rick Santorum 29% 32
MassLive.com/The Republican/Western New England University[102] February 23 – March 1, 2012 Barack Obama 60% Mitt Romney 34% 26 527 RV ±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[99] February 29, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 38% 17 500 LV ±4.5%
58% Rick Santorum 32% 26
Suffolk University[103] February 11–15, 2012 Barack Obama 63% Newt Gingrich 27% 36 600 LV ±4.0%
53% Mitt Romney 39% 14
59% Rick Santorum 32% 27
60% Ron Paul 26% 34
Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics Corporation[104] January 31 – February 4, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 38% 18 456 RV ±4.6%

Four Way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Green % Libertarian % Lead margin
Public Policy Polling[95]
Margin of error: ±3.3%
Sample size: 902LV 		June 22–24, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 38% Jill Stein 3% Gary Johnson 1% 15

Michigan

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16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
EPIC-MRA[105] August 28, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1200 LV ±2.6%
Mitchell Research & Communications[106] August 23, 2012 Barack Obama 46.6% Mitt Romney 47.7% 0.1 1277 LV ±2.74%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group[107] August 18–20, 2012 Barack Obama 47.5% Mitt Romney 42.0% 5.5 600 LV ±4.0%
Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting[108] August 16, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 48% 4 1,733 LV ±2.35%
Mitchell Research & Communications[109] August 13, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 44% 5 1,079 LV ±2.98%
EPIC-MRA[110] July 24–31, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 42% 6 600 LV ±3.5%
Mitchell Research & Communications[111][permanent dead link] July 23, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 45% 1 825 LV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[112] July 23, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 42% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[113] July 21–23, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 39% 14 579 RV ±4.1%
NBC News/Marist College[114] June 24–25, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4 1,078 RV ±3.0%
Mitchell Research & Communications[115] June 18, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 46% 1 750 LV ±3.58%
We Ask America[84] June 18, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 45% 2 1,010LV ±3.0%
Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno Research[116] June 14–15, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 40% Tied 600 LV ±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[112] June 14, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 42% 8 500 LV ±4.5%
Baydoun Consulting/Foster McCollum White & Associates[117] June 12, 2012 Barack Obama 46.89% Mitt Romney 45.48% 1.41 1,783 ±2.32%
EPIC-MRA[118] June 2–5, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 46% 1 600 LV ±4%
Public Policy Polling[119] May 24–27, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 39% 14 500 RV ±4.4%
Glengariff Group[120][permanent dead link] May 10–11, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 40% 5 600 LV ±4%
EPIC-MRA[121] March 31 – April 3, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4 600 LV ±4%
Marketing Resource Group[122] March 14–19, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 600 LV ±4%
NBC News/Marist College[10] February 19–20, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Rick Santorum 29% 26 3,149 RV ±1.8%
56% Newt Gingrich 28% 28
53% Ron Paul 31% 22
51% Mitt Romney 33% 18
Public Policy Polling[123] February 10–12, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Rick Santorum 39% 11 560 RV ±4.14%
56% Newt Gingrich 34% 22
52% Ron Paul 34% 18
54% Mitt Romney 38% 16
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA[124] January 21–25, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Newt Gingrich 38% 13 600 LV ±4%
48% Mitt Romney 40% 8

Minnesota

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10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA[125] July 17–19, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 40% 6 552 LV ±4.3%
Public Policy Polling[126] May 31 – June 3, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 39% 15 973 RV ±3.1%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA[127] May 9–10, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 38% 14 516 RV ±4.4%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA[128] January 31 – February 2, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 36% 13 542 RV ±4.3%
55% Newt Gingrich 29% 26
48% Ron Paul 37% 11
51% Rick Santorum 32% 19
Public Policy Polling[129] January 21–22, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Newt Gingrich 39% 15 1,236 RV ±2.8%
52% Rick Santorum 40% 12
51% Ron Paul 38% 13
51% Mitt Romney 41% 10

Missouri

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10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[130] August 28–29, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 53% 12 621 LV ±3.9%
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[131] August 22–23, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 50% 7 625 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] August 22, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 46% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[133] August 20, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 52% 10 500 LV ±4.4%
KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/SurveyUSA[134] August 9–12, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 45% 1 585 LV ±4.1%
Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies[135] August 8, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 663LV ±3.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] July 30, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 50% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America[136] July 24, 2012 Barack Obama 39.73% Mitt Romney 49.01% 9.28 1,172 LV ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] June 7, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 49% 7 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[137] May 24–27, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44% 1 602 RV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] April 17, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] March 14–15, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Rick Santorum 51% 9 500 LV ±4.5%
Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 50% 9
Public Policy Polling[138] January 27–29, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 42% 7 582 RV ±4.1%
Barack Obama 45% Ron Paul 43% 2
Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied
Barack Obama 47% Rick Santorum 44% 3

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Capitol Correspondent/North Star Campaign Systems/North Star Campaign Systems/Gravis Marketing (R)[139] August 23, 2012 Barack Obama 36.1% Mitt Romney 53.1% Gary Johnson 4.1% 17 1,057 A ±3.4%
We Ask America[136] July 24, 2012 Barack Obama 39.7% Mitt Romney 49.0% Gary Johnson 2.1% 9.3 1,172 LV ±3.0%

Montana

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] August 20, 2012 Barack Obama 38% Mitt Romney 55% 17 500 LV ±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] June 18, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 51% 9 500 ±5.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] May 2, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 51% 7 450 LV ±5.0%
Public Policy Polling[141] April 26–29, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 48% 5 934 RV ±3.2%
41% Ron Paul 49% 8
Barack Obama 45% Newt Gingrich 45% Tie
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] February 22, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 48% 7 500 RV ±4.5%
41% Rick Santorum 45% 4

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[141] April 26–29, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 43% Gary Johnson 8% 2 934 ±3.2%

Nebraska

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5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[142] May 16, 2012 Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 53% 14 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[143] March 22–25, 2012 Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 51% 12 1,028 RV ±3.1%
38% Rick Santorum 55% 17
40% Newt Gingrich 49% 9
37% Ron Paul 49% 12
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[142] March 5, 2012 Barack Obama 35% Mitt Romney 52% 17 500 LV ±4.5%
37% Rick Santorum 49% 12

Second congressional district

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[143] March 22–25, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 46% 1 Not reported Not reported
Barack Obama 47% Rick Santorum 47% Tied
Barack Obama 46% Newt Gingrich 44% 2
Barack Obama 42% Ron Paul 44% 2

Nevada

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[144] August 23–26, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 47% 3 831 LV ±3.4%
Las Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA[145] August 16–21, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 869 LV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[146] July 24, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 500 LV ±4.5%
Magellan Strategies[147] July 16–17, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 665 RV ±3.8%
Public Policy Polling[148] June 7–10, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 42% 6 500 RV ±4.4%
NBC News/Marist College[149] May 22–24, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 1,040 RV ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[146] April 30, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 44% 8 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[150] March 29 – April 1, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 43% 8 533 RV ±4.2%
54% Rick Santorum 40% 14
49% Ron Paul 42% 7
54% Newt Gingrich 39% 15
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[146] March 19, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 44% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
52% Rick Santorum 36% 16

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead Margin Sample size Margin of error
We Ask America[151] July 17–18, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% Gary Johnson 2% 6 1,092 LV ±2.95%

New Hampshire

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4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[152] August 9–12, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 45% 6 1,055 LV ±3.0%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[153] August 1–12, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 555 LV ±4.2%
Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D)[154] August 5–8, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 44% 6 1,591 LV ±2.5%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[155] July 5–15, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 470 LV ±4.5%
NBC News/Marist College[156] June 24–25, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 42% 1 1029 RV ±3.1%
American Research Group[157] June 21–24, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 417 LV Not reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[158] June 20, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 43% 5 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[159] May 10–13, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 41% 12 1,163 RV ±2.9%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[160] April 9–20, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 42% 9 486 LV ±4.4%
Dartmouth College[161] April 2–5, 2012 Barack Obama 42.4% Mitt Romney 43.9% 1.5 403 RV ±4.9%
American Research Group[157] March 15–18, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 557 RV Not reported
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[162] January 25 – February 2, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 40% 10 495 LV ±4.4%
50% Ron Paul 42% 8
60% Newt Gingrich 35% 25
56% Rick Santorum 35% 21

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[163] May 10–13, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 38% Gary Johnson 7% 13 1,163 ±2.9%

New Jersey

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14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Rutgers University[164] August 23–25, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 37% 14 710 LV ±3.5%
Monmouth University[165] July 18–22, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 38% 13 678 RV ±3.8%
Quinnipiac University[166] July 9–15, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 38% 11 1,623 RV ±2.4%
Rutgers University[167] May 31 – June 4, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 33% 23 1,065 RV ±2.9%
Quinnipiac University[168] May 9–14, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 39% 10 1,582 ±2.5%
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind)[169] April 30 – May 6, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 36% 14 797 RV ±3.5%
Quinnipiac University[170] April 3–9, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 40% 9 1,607 RV ±2.4%
51% Rick Santorum 36% 15
Quinnipiac University[171] February 21–27, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 39% 10 1,396 RV ±2.6%
55% Newt Gingrich 30% 25
52% Rick Santorum 34% 18
WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA[172] February 24–26, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 38% 14 533 RV ±4.3%
61% Newt Gingrich 27% 34
57% Rick Santorum 33% 24
56% Ron Paul 31% 25
Rutgers University[173] February 9–11, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 31% 25 914 RV ±3.3%
Quinnipiac University[174] January 10–16, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 38% 10 1,460 RV ±2.6%

New Mexico

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5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[175] August 21, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 38% 14 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[176] July 13–16, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 44% 5 724 RV ±3.6%
We Ask America[177] July 9–10, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 40% 11 1,295 LV ±2.8%
Patriot Majority/FM3 Research (D)[178] May 16–21, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 35% 13 502 RV ±4.4%
Public Policy Polling[179] April 19–22, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 40% 14 526 RV ±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[175] April 3, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Rick Santorum 38% 15 500 LV ±4.5%
52% Mitt Romney 36% 16
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[175] February 14, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Rick Santorum 37% 18 500 LV ±4.5%
55% Mitt Romney 36% 19

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[176] July 13–16, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 38% Gary Johnson 13% 4 724 ±3.64%
Public Policy Polling[180] April 19–22, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 35% Gary Johnson 15% 13 526 ±4.3%

New York

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29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Siena College[181] August 14–19, 2012 Barack Obama 62% Mitt Romney 33% 29 671 LV ±3.8%
Siena College[182] July 10–15, 2012 Barack Obama 61% Mitt Romney 34% 27 758 RV ±3.6%
Siena College[183] June 3–6, 2012 Barack Obama 59% Mitt Romney 35% 24 807 RV ±3.4%
Quinnipiac University[184] May 22–28, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 31% 25 1,504 RV ±2.5%
Siena College[183] May 6–10, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 37% 20 766 RV ±3.5%
NY1/YNN/Marist College[185][permanent dead link] April 10–12, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 35% 22 632 RV ±4.0%
Siena College[183] April 1–4, 2012 Barack Obama 65% Newt Gingrich 29% 36 808 RV ±3.4%
61% Ron Paul 31% 30
60% Mitt Romney 35% 25
62% Rick Santorum 23% 39
Quinnipiac University[186] March 28 – April 2, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 33% 23 1,597 RV ±2.5%
59% Rick Santorum 30% 29
Siena College[187] February 26–29, 2012 Barack Obama 60% Mitt Romney 34% 26 808 RV ±3.4%
64% Rick Santorum 30% 34
62% Ron Paul 29% 33
66% Newt Gingrich 27% 39
Quinnipiac University[188] February 8–13, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 35% 17 1,233 RV ±2.8%
57% Newt Gingrich 31% 26
53% Rick Santorum 35% 18

North Carolina

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15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
FOX 8/High Point University/SurveyUSA[189] August 26–30, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 46% 3 543 RV ±4.3%
Elon University[190] August 25–30, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 47% 4 1,089 LV ±3%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation[44] August 22–26, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 766 LV ±3.5%
High Point University/SurveyUSA[191] August 18–23, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 43% Tied 540 RV ±4.3%
Public Policy Polling[192] August 2–5, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 813 LV ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[193] August 1, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 49% 5 500 LV ±4.5%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[194] July 16–18, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 49% 1 600 RV ±4%
Public Policy Polling[195] July 5–8, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 46% 1 775 RV ±3.5%
Project New America/Myers Research (D)[196] July 1–8, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 49% 1 500 LV ±4.4%
Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA[197] June 29 – July 1, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 50% 5 558 RV ±4.2%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[198] June 25, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 47% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
NBC News/Marist College[199] June 24–25, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% 2 1,019 RV ±3.1%
Public Policy Polling[200] June 7–10, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 48% 2 810 RV ±3.4%
WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA May 18–21, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 45% 1 524 LV ±4.4%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[201] May 19–20, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 47% 2 600 RV ±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[198] May 14, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 51% 8 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[202] May 10–13, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47% 1 666 RV ±3.8%
WRAL-TV Raleigh/Survey USA[203] April 26–30, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4 1,636 RV ±2.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[198] April 10, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 46% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[204] April 4–7, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Newt Gingrich 41% 10 975 RV ±3.1%
48% Ron Paul 43% 5
49% Mitt Romney 44% 5
50% Rick Santorum 44% 6
Public Policy Polling[205] March 8–11, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Newt Gingrich 42% 9 804 RV ±3.5%
48% Ron Paul 41% 7
49% Mitt Romney 46% 3
49% Rick Santorum 44% 5
Public Policy Polling[206] February 3–5, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Newt Gingrich 45% 5 1,052 RV ±3.0%
47% Ron Paul 41% 6
47% Mitt Romney 46% 1
48% Rick Santorum 46% 2
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[207] January 9–11, 2012 Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 48% 9 300 RV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[208] January 5–8, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% 1 780 RV ±3.5%
49% Newt Gingrich 43% 6
47% Ron Paul 41% 6
49% Rick Perry 41% 8
Barack Obama 46% Rick Santorum 46% Tied

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[202] May 10–13, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% Gary Johnson 6% 2 666 ±3.8%

North Dakota

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D)[209] July 24–26, 2012 Barack Obama 35% Mitt Romney 54% 19 400 LV ±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[210] July 10–11, 2012 Barack Obama 36% Mitt Romney 51% 15 400 ±5.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[211] June 4–6, 2012 Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 52% 13 625 RV ±4.0%

Ohio

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18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing[212] August 27, 2012 Barack Obama 45.27% Mitt Romney 44.39% 0.88 728 LV ±3.8%
Columbus Dispatch[213] August 15–25, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied 1,758 LV ±2.1%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[45] August 21, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 44% 6 1,253 LV ±2.8%
University of Cincinnati[214] August 16–21, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 847 LV ±3.4%
Purple Strategies[28] August 13–14, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 46% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] August 13, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[216] August 9–12, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 961 LV ±3.2%
Quinnipiac University[217] July 24–30, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 44% 6 1,193 LV ±3.0%
We Ask America[218] July 24, 2012 Barack Obama 47.84% Mitt Romney 40.2% 7.64 1,115 LV ±3.0%
Opportunity Ohio/Magellan Strategies (R)[219] July 23–24, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 43% 2 597 LV ±4.01%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] July 18, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
Purple Strategies[52] July 9–13, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[220] June 25 – July 3, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 41% 7 608 LV ±4.0%
Quinnipiac University[55] June 19–25, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 38% 9 1,237 RV ±2.8%
Public Policy Polling[221] June 21–24, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44% 3 673 RV ±3.8%
Purple Strategies[57] May 31 – June 5, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] May 29, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 46% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
NBC News/Marist College[60] May 17–20, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 42% 6 1,103RV ±3.0%
Quinnipiac University[222] May 2–7, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44% 1 1,069 RV ±3.0%
Public Policy Polling[223] May 3–6, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Ron Paul 40% 8 875 RV ±3.3%
50% Mitt Romney 43% 7
Quinnipiac University[62] April 25 – May 1, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 42% 2 1,130 RV ±2.9%
Purple Strategies[63] April 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 44% 5 Not reported ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] April 18, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 42% 4 500 LV ±4.5%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[224] April 15–17, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 39% 6 606 RV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] March 26, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 40% 8 500 LV ±4.5%
47% Rick Santorum 41% 6
Quinnipiac University[66] March 20–26, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 41% 6 1,246 RV ±2.8%
47% Rick Santorum 40% 7
NBC News/Marist College[225] February 29 – March 2, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 38% 12 1573 RV ±2.5%
51% Newt Gingrich 36% 15
48% Ron Paul 38% 10 1505 RV
50% Rick Santorum 36% 14
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[226] February 11–13, 2012 Barack Obama 38% Mitt Romney 44% 6 505 RV ±4.5%
Barack Obama 43% Newt Gingrich 37% 6
Barack Obama 40% Rick Santorum 43% 3
Barack Obama 41% Ron Paul 42% 1
Quinnipiac University[227] February 7–12, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Newt Gingrich 38% 12 1,421 RV ±2.6%
47% Rick Santorum 41% 6
46% Ron Paul 40% 6
46% Mitt Romney 44% 2
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[228] February 8, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Rick Santorum 44% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 41% 4
Public Policy Polling[229] January 28–29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Rick Santorum 42% 6 820 RV ±3.4%
51% Newt Gingrich 39% 12
48% Ron Paul 38% 10
49% Mitt Romney 42% 7
Quinnipiac University[230] January 9–16, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Rick Santorum 37% 11 1,610 RV ±2.4%
52% Newt Gingrich 38% 14
48% Ron Paul 39% 9
44% Mitt Romney 42% 2

Oklahoma

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7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 65.6%–34.4%
(Republican in 2008) 65.7%–34.4%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SoonerPoll[231] July 26 – August 14, 2012 Barack Obama 29% Mitt Romney 58% 29 495 LV ±4.4%
SoonerPoll[232] May 7–10, 2012 Barack Obama 27% Mitt Romney 62% 35 504 LV ±4.4%

Oregon

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7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
PPP[233] June 21–24, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 42% 8 686 ±3.7%
Survey USA[234] May 7–10, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4 1,468 ±2.6%
Survey USA[235] March 14–19, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 39% 11 1,615 ±2.5%
54% Newt Gingrich 34% 20
49% Rick Santorum 40% 9
48% Ron Paul 39% 9

Pennsylvania

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20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.[236] August 21–23, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 42% 9 601 LV ±4%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[237] August 20–22, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 40% 9 422 LV ±5%
Franklin and Marshall College[238] August 7–12, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 42% 5 681 RV ±3.8%
Quinnipiac University[217] July 24–30, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 42% 11 1,168 LV ±3.0%
Public Policy Polling[113] July 21–23, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6 758 RV ±3.6%
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)[239] July 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43% 3 800 LV ±3.46%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[240] July 18, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America[177] July 9–10, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 40% 7 1,227 LV ±2.8%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[220] June 25 – July 3, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 40% 9 608 LV ±4.0%
Quinnipiac University[55] June 19–25, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 39% 6 1,252 RV ±2.8%
Quinnipiac University[241] June 5–10, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 40% 6 997 RV ±3.1%
Franklin & Marshall College[242] May 29 – June 4, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 36% 12 412 RV ±4.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[240] May 21, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 41% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[243] May 17–20, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 42% 8 671 RV ±3.8%
Quinnipiac University[62] April 25 – May 1, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 39% 8 1,168 RV ±2.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[244] March 23 – April 1, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 40% 5 492 RV ±5%
Quinnipiac University[66] March 20–26, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 42% 3 1,232 RV ±2.8%
48% Rick Santorum 41% 7
Public Policy Polling[245] March 8–11, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 689 RV ±4.1%
51% Newt Gingrich 39% 12
47% Ron Paul 41% 6
48% Rick Santorum 46% 2
Quinnipiac University[246] March 7–11, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 40% 6 1,256 RV ±2.8%
50% Newt Gingrich 37% 13
45% Ron Paul 40% 5
45% Rick Santorum 44% 1
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[240] February 8–23, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44% 1 438 LV ±4.5%
46% Rick Santorum 40% 6
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[247] February 15–21, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 37% 11 625 RV ±4.0%
49% Rick Santorum 41% 8
Franklin & Marshall College[248] February 14–20, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 33% 8 592 RV ±4.0%
47% Newt Gingrich 31% 16
41% Ron Paul 28% 13
45% Rick Santorum 37% 8
Susquehanna Polling and Research[249] February 2–6, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 45% 2 800 RV ±3.46%
Barack Obama 47% Rick Santorum 43% 4

South Carolina

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9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Reuters/Ipsos[250] January 10–13, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 46% 6 995 RV ±3.4%

South Dakota

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Nielson Brothers Polling[251] July 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 49% 6 546 LV ±4.19%

Tennessee

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11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Vanderbilt University/Princeton Survey Research Associates International[252] May 2–9, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 47% 7 826 RV Not reported
Middle Tennessee State University[253] February 13–25, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Newt Gingrich 45% 4 416 LV ±4.0%
41% Ron Paul 44% 3
41% Mitt Romney 47% 6
39% Rick Santorum 51% 12
Vanderbilt University/Princeton Survey Research Associates International[254] February 16–22, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Newt Gingrich 38% 3 1,508 RV ±3%
Barack Obama 39% Ron Paul 40% 1
39% Mitt Romney 42% 3
38% Rick Santorum 42% 4

Texas

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38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov[255] May 7–13, 2012 Barack Obama 35% Mitt Romney 55% 20 511 ±4.34%
Public Policy Polling[256] April 19–22, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 50% 7 591 RV ±4.0%
45% Newt Gingrich 47% 2
43% Ron Paul 47% 4
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov[257] February 8–15, 2012 Barack Obama 38% Newt Gingrich 49% 11 527 LV ±4.27%
36% Mitt Romney 49% 13 529 LV ±4.26%
37% Rick Santorum 51% 14
35% Ron Paul 44% 9
Public Policy Polling[258] January 12–15, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Newt Gingrich 45% 2 700 RV ±3.7%
Barack Obama 40% Ron Paul 46% 6
47% Rick Perry 48% 1
42% Mitt Romney 49% 7
42% Rick Santorum 49% 7

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Other candidates % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[258] January 12–15, 2012 Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 47% Gary Johnson 7% 8 700 RV ±3.7%
Barack Obama 38% Mitt Romney 40% Ron Paul* 17% 2
  • – Ron Paul was running as a Republican candidate.

Utah

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Deseret News/KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates[259] June 21, 2012 Barack Obama 26% Mitt Romney 68% 42 1,222 RV ±2.8%

Vermont

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3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Castleton University[260] August 11–21, 2012 Barack Obama 62% Mitt Romney 25% 37 477 RV ±4.5%
WDEV/WCAX/Vermont Business Magazine/Castleton University[261] May 7–16, 2012 Barack Obama 59.3% Mitt Romney 27.5% 31.8 607 RV ±4.0%
Castleton University[262] February 11–22, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 31% 26 800 RV ±3.5%
59% Rick Santorum 30% 29
58% Ron Paul 28% 30

Virginia

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13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[263] August 23, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[264] August 16–19, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 855 LV ±3.4%
Purple Strategies[28] August 13–14, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] August 7, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 500 LV ±4.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[266] July 31 – August 6, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 1,412 LV ±2.6%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] July 16–17, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 46% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
Quinnipiac University[267] July 10–16, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 44% Tied 1,673 RV ±2.4%
Purple Strategies[52] July 9–13, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% 2 600 LV ±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[195] July 5–8, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 42% 8 647 RV ±3.9%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group[32] June 25 – July 3, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43% 3 608 LV ±4%
We Ask America[33] June 25, 2012 Barack Obama 43.3% Mitt Romney 48.0% 4.7 1,106 LV ±2.95%
Virginian Pilot/Old Dominion University[268] May 16 – June 15, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 776 RV ±3.5%
Purple Strategies[57] May 31 – June 5, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 600 LV ±4.0%
Quinnipiac University[269] May 30 – June 4, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 42% 5 1,282 RV ±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] June 3, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied 500 LV ±4.5%
NBC News/Marist College[270] May 17–20, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4 1,076 RV ±3.0%
Washington Post[271] April 28 – May 2, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 44% 7 964 RV ±4%
Public Policy Polling[272] April 26–29, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Newt Gingrich 37% 16 680 RV ±3.8%
50% Ron Paul 39% 11
51% Mitt Romney 43% 8
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] April 23, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 45% 1 500 LV ±4.5
Purple Strategies[63] April 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46% 2 Not reported ±4.1%
Roanoke College[273] March 26 – April 5, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 46% 6 603 A ±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[274] March 20, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 42% 9 500 LV ±4.5%
Quinnipiac University[275] March 13–18, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 42% 8 1,034 RV ±3.1%
54% Newt Gingrich 35% 19
49% Rick Santorum 40% 9
49% Ron Paul 39% 10
NBC News/Marist College[276] February 29 – March 2, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 35% 17 1,273 RV ±2.8%
57% Newt Gingrich 31% 26
54% Rick Santorum 32% 22 1,245 RV
53% Ron Paul 32% 21
Roanoke College[277] February 13–26, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Newt Gingrich 37% 11 607 A ±4%
45% Rick Santorum 39% 6
45% Ron Paul 35% 10
Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 43% 1
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] February 21, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6 500 LV ±4.5%
51% Rick Santorum 43% 8
Richmond Times-Dispatch/Muhlenberg College/Christopher Newport University[278] February 4–13, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Newt Gingrich 40% 5 1,018 RV ±3.1%
Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 46% 2
Barack Obama 42% Rick Santorum 46% 4
Barack Obama 43% Ron Paul 43% Tie
Quinnipiac University[279] February 1–6, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4 1,544 RV ±2.5%
51% Newt Gingrich 37% 14
49% Rick Santorum 41% 8
47% Ron Paul 40% 7
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[280] January 16–18, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44% 1 625 RV ±3.9%
49% Newt Gingrich 38% 11

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Constitution Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[195] July 5–8, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 35% Virgil Goode 9% 14 647 ±3.9%
Public Policy Polling[272] April 26–29, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 38% Virgil Goode 5% 12 680 ±3.8%

Washington

edit

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Moore Information[281] August 6–7, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 36% 10 500 LV ±4%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[282] August 2–3, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 37% 17 524 LV ±4.4%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA July 16–18, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 37% 9 630 RV ±4%
Public Policy Polling[283] June 14–17, 2012 Barack Obama 54% Mitt Romney 41% 13 1,073 RV ±3.0%
Elway Research[284] June 13–16, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 41% 8 408 RV ±5%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[285] May 8–9, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 36% 14 557 RV ±4.2%
Public Policy Polling[286] February 16–19, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Newt Gingrich 35% 20 1,264 RV ±2.76%
53% Mitt Romney 38% 15
51% Ron Paul 38% 13
52% Rick Santorum 40% 12
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[287] February 13–15, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Newt Gingrich 34% 22 572 RV ±4.2%
50% Mitt Romney 39% 11
50% Ron Paul 37% 13
51% Rick Santorum 38% 13

West Virginia

edit

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
R.L. Repass & Partners[288] August 22–25, 2012 Barack Obama 38% Mitt Romney 52% 14 401 LV ±4.9%
R.L. Repass & Partners[289] April 25–28, 2012 Barack Obama 37% Mitt Romney 54% 17 410 RV ±4.8%

Wisconsin

edit

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[45] August 15–21, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2 1,190 LV ±3%
Marquette Law School[290] August 16–19, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 576 LV ±4.2%
Public Policy Polling[291] August 16–19, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 1,308 LV ±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] August 15, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 500 LV ±4.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[293] August 13–14, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 920 RV ±3.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[266] July 31 – August 6, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 45% 6 1,428 ±2.6%
Marquette Law School[294] August 2–5, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 45% 5 1,188 LV ±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] July 25, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America[151] July 17–18, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7 1,162 LV ±2.93%
Marquette Law School[295] July 5–8, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 43% 8 810 LV ±3.5%
Public Policy Polling[296] July 5–8, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 44% 6 1,057 LV ±3.3%
Marquette Law School[297] June 13–16, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6 594 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] June 12, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 47% 3 500 LV ±4.5%
We Ask America[298] June 3, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 43% 5 1,275 LV ±2.75%
Marquette Law School[299] May 23–26, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 43% 8 600 LV ±4%
St. Norbert College[300] May 17–22, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6 406 LV ±5.0%
Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling[301] May 11–13, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 46% 1 851 RV ±3.4%
Marquette Law School[302] May 9–12, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 46% Tied 600 LV ±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] May 9, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4 500 LV ±4.5%
Marquette Law School[303] April 26–29, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 42% 9 705 RV ±3.8%
Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling[304] April 13–15, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 44% 6 1,136 RV ±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] March 27, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Newt Gingrich 31% 25 500 LV ±4.5%
52% Mitt Romney 41% 11
NBC News/Marist College[305] March 22–27, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 35% 17 1,391 RV ±2.6%
51% Rick Santorum 38% 13
51% Rick Santorum 39% 12 1,400 RV
51% Ron Paul 36% 15
Marquette Law School[306] March 22–25, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 43% 5 707 RV ±3.7%
51% Rick Santorum 39% 12
53% Newt Gingrich 36% 17
50% Ron Paul 40% 10
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] February 27, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 42% 5 500 LV ±4.5%
46% Rick Santorum 41% 5
Public Policy Polling[307] February 23–26, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Newt Gingrich 37% 18 900 RV ±3.27%
53% Ron Paul 37% 16
53% Mitt Romney 39% 14
49% Rick Santorum 43% 6
Marquette Law School[308] February 16–19, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 38% 15 716 RV ±3.7%
51% Rick Santorum 40% 11
56% Newt Gingrich 33% 23
52% Ron Paul 36% 16
Marquette Law School[309] January 19–22, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 40% 8 701 RV ±3.8%

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Reason-Rupe[310] May 14–18, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 36% Gary Johnson 6% 10 708 ±3.7%

See also

edit

Notes

edit
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