The Division of Moncrieff is an Australian Electoral Division in Queensland.

Moncrieff
Australian House of Representatives Division
Map
Map
Interactive map of boundaries
Created1984
MPAngie Bell
PartyLiberal National
NamesakeGladys Moncrieff
Electors122,636 (2022)
Area100 km2 (38.6 sq mi)
DemographicProvincial

Geography

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Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[1]

History

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Gladys Moncrieff, the division's namesake

The division was created in 1984 and is named after Gladys Moncrieff, an Australian singer who resided in the Gold Coast.

Moncrieff is based on Surfers Paradise and the central portion of the Gold Coast. While the Gold Coast has always been a rather conservative area, Surfers Paradise is considered particularly conservative even by Gold Coast standards. As a result, Moncrieff has been a comfortably safe Liberal seat for its entire existence. Indeed, most of the area has been represented by centre-right MPs without interruption since 1906; the Surfers Paradise area was part of Moreton before 1949, and then part of McPherson from 1949 to 1984. The Liberals have never won less than 59 percent of the two-party vote, and from 1993 until 2019 have won enough primary votes to retain the seat without the need for preferences.

It is currently the ninth-safest Coalition seat in Australia and the third-safest for either side of politics in Queensland, with a 17-point swing needed for Labor to win it.

Although Labor to date has never won Moncrieff, it did win the primary vote in 1984 and 1987. This was due to the Liberal and National parties fielding candidates against each other and therefore splitting the anti-Labor primary vote. On both those occasions, however, the Liberals retained the seat after Nstional preferences flowed overwhelmingly to them.

In 2022, sitting Liberal National MP Angie Bell was reelected with less than 50% of the primary vote, the first time that a non-Labor candidate has done so without the presence of a second major party non-Labor candidate.

Members

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Image Member Party Term Notes
    Kathy Sullivan
(1942–)
Liberal 1 December 1984
8 October 2001
Previously a member of the Senate. Retired
    Steven Ciobo
(1974–)
10 November 2001
19 July 2010
Served as minister under Turnbull and Morrison. Retired
  Liberal National 19 July 2010 –
11 April 2019
    Angie Bell
(1968–)
18 May 2019
present
Incumbent

Election results

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2022 Australian federal election: Moncrieff[2]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal National Angie Bell 45,104 45.94 −5.58
Labor Glen Palmer 20,430 20.81 −0.75
Greens April Broadbent 11,850 12.07 +2.39
One Nation Leeanne Schultz 6,981 7.11 +0.67
United Australia Diane Happ 5,482 5.58 +1.86
Liberal Democrats Diane Demetre 4,305 4.38 +2.42
Animal Justice Sonia Berry-Law 2,384 2.43 −1.43
Informed Medical Options Timothy Cudmore 997 1.02 +1.02
Federation James Tayler 645 0.66 +0.66
Total formal votes 98,178 94.22 +0.66
Informal votes 6,020 5.78 −0.66
Turnout 104,198 85.03 −3.17
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal National Angie Bell 60,080 61.19 −4.17
Labor Glen Palmer 38,098 38.81 +4.17
Liberal National hold Swing −4.17
Primary vote results in Moncrieff (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted)
  Liberal National/Liberal
  National
  Labor
  Greens
  Australian Democrats
  Family First
  One Nation
  Palmer United/United Australia Party
Two-candidate-preferred results in Moncrieff

References

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  1. ^ Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
  2. ^ Moncrieff, QLD, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
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28°00′29″S 153°23′06″E / 28.008°S 153.385°E / -28.008; 153.385