The 2024 São Paulo municipal election will take place in the city of São Paulo, Brazil on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, vice mayor, and 55 city council members. The incumbent mayor, Ricardo Nunes of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), intends to run for reelection.[1]
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Candidates edit
Presumptive candidates edit
| Party | Mayoral candidate | Vice mayoral candidate[a] | Coalition | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
.svg) Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB 15) |
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Ricardo Nunes Mayor of São Paulo (since 2021) Vice Mayor of São Paulo (2021) Councillor (2013–2021) |
TBA |
| ||
.png) Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL 50) |
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Guilherme Boulos Federal Deputy (since 2023) |
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Marta Suplicy (PT) Senator (2011–2019) Mayor of São Paulo (2001–2005) |
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Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB 40) |
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Tabata Amaral Federal Deputy (since 2019) |
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José Luiz Datena (PSDB) | ||
Potential candidates edit
Free Brazil Movement (part of Brazil Union)
- Kim Kataguiri - Anti-corruption activist, MBL leader, and federal deputy from São Paulo since 2019.
New Party
- Marina Helena - Former director of the Special Secretariat of Privatizations, founder of Brazil Without Privileges movement.[2]
Brazilian Labour Renewal Party
- Pablo Marçal - Businessman, digital influencer, and politician for the former party PROS.
United Socialist Workers' Party
- Altino Prazeres - Chemical worker. Former president of the Chemical Industries' Workers Union of Pernambuco and the São Paulo Metro Workers Union. PSTU candidate for mayor of São Paulo in 2016 and candidate for governor of São Paulo in 2022.[3]
Brazilian Woman's Party
- Abraham Weintraub - Former Minister of Education; World Bank Group Executive Director from the 15th district (2020–2022); candidate for federal deputy from São Paulo in 2022.[4]
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Withdrawn candidates edit
- Ricardo Salles (PL) - Former Minister of the Environment and Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2023.[5][6]
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Outgoing Municipal Chamber edit
The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:
| Affiliation | Members | +/– | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elected[7] | Current[8] | |||
| MDB | 3 | 11 |  8
| |
| PT | 8 | 9 | 1
| |
| UNIÃO | didn't exist | 7 | 7
| |
| PL | 2 | 6 | 4
| |
| PSD | 3 | 6 | 3
| |
| PSOL | 6 | 5 |  1
| |
| Republicanos | 4 | 3 | 1
| |
| PP | 1 | 2 | 1
| |
| PSB | 2 | 2 | 
| |
| PODE | 3 | 2 | 1
| |
| PV | 1 | 1 |
| |
| NOVO | 2 | 1 | 1
| |
| PSL | 1 | extinct party[b] | 1
| |
| PTB | 1 | extinct party[c] | 1
| |
| PSC | 1 | extinct party[d] | 1
| |
| Patriota | 3 | extinct party[c] | 3
| |
| DEM | 6 | extinct party[b] | 6
| |
| PSDB | 8 | 0 | 8
| |
| Total | 55 | |||
Opinion polls edit
First Round edit
2024 edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
Marina NOVO |
Kelmon DC |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May | 1,200 | 27.3% | 25.7% | 8.2% | 4% | 3.6% | — | 17.9%[e] | 13.5% | 1.6% |
| 35.2% | 29.8% | 10.6% | — | 5.7% | — | 1.7%[f] | 17.2% | 5.4% | |||
| AtlasIntel | 18–22 April | 1,629 | 33.7% | 35.6% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Instituto Badra | 11–13 April | 1,500 | 26% | 17% | 10% | 2% | 4% | — | 5%[g] | 36% | 9% |
| 30% | 20% | 16% | — | — | — | — | 33% | 10% | |||
| 30%[h] | 21%[i] | 17%[j] | — | — | — | — | 31% | 9% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March | 1,350 | 32% | 30.1% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | — | 1%[k] | 15.7% | 1.9% |
| 34.3% | 30.6% | 10.5% | — | 6.3% | — | 1.3%[l] | 17% | 3.7% | |||
| Datafolha | 7–8 March | 1,090 | 29% | 30% | 8% | 4% | 7% | — | 2%[m] | 20% | 1% |
| 30% | 29% | 9% | — | 7% | — | 1%[n] | 23% | 1% | |||
| 33% | 33% | — | — | 8% | — | 2%[o] | 24% | Tie | |||
| RealTime Big Data | 1–2 March | 2,000 | 29% | 34% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 1% | — | 19% | 5% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February | 1,502 | 32% | 33% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | — | 16.1% | 1% |
| 34.7% | 33.4% | 10.5% | — | 3.8% | — | — | 17.6% | 1.3% |
2023 edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
Marina NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 25–30 December | 1,600 | 18% | 29.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 18.4%[p] | 22.1% | 11.5% |
| 23.1% | 37.9% | 8% | 6.8% | 0.7% | 23.5%[q] | — | 14.8% | |||
| ABC Dados | 18 December | 1,061 | 16% | 29% | 8% | 10% | — | 12%[r] | 25% | 13% |
| Futura Inteligência | 11–13 December | 1,015 | 21% | 25.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 9.4%[s] | 27.8% | 4.6% |
| 21% | 24.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | — | 16.1%[t] | 27.6% | 3.6% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 6–9 December | 1,046 | 25.4% | 31.1% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 8.9%[u] | 17.3% | 5.7% |
| 29.1% | 32.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | — | 19.0% | 3.3% | |||
| Badra | 2–4 October | 2,500 | 21% | 29% | 7% | 5% | — | 3%[v] | 35% | 8% |
| 20% | 28% | — | 4% | — | 12%[w] | 36% | 8% | |||
| 25% | 30% | 9% | — | — | — | 36% | 5% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 21–24 September | 1,066 | 29% | 35.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | — | 2.8%[x] | 20.3% | 6.1% |
| 20 September 2023 | The party Solidariedade announces support to Nunes' reelection.[12] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
Poit NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Datafolha | 29–30 August | 1,092 | 24% | 32% | 11% | 8% | 2% | — | 23% | 8% |
| 5 August 2023 | Workers' Party (PT) announces support to Boulos' candidacy.[13] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
E. Bolsonaro PL |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Instituto Gerp | 10–17 July | 800 | 6% | 26% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 4%[y] | 39% | 8% |
| 28 June 2023 | José Luiz Datena withdraws from the race.[14] | |||||||||
| 5 June 2023 | Ricardo Salles withdraws from the race.[15] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PDT |
Salles PL |
Amaral PSB |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 30 Apr–4 May | 1,208 | 17.8% | 31.5% | — | 10.9% | 7.1% | 5.4%[z] | 27.3% | 13.7% |
| 13.6%[aa] | 39.2%[ab] | — | 20.4%[ac] | 7.7%[ad] | 5%[ae] | — | 18.8% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 23–26 Feb | 1,012 | 7.9% | 26.3% | 24.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 13.4%[af] | 19.4% | 2.0% |
| 8.6% | 32% | — | — | 5.1% | 33.6%[ag] | 20.7% | 12.1% | |||
| 11.1% | 32.9% | — | 7.5% | 5.2% | 17.4%[ah] | 25.9% | 21.8% | |||
| 15% | 36.7% | — | 10.1% | — | 8.4%[ai] | 29.8% | 11.7% | |||
Second Round edit
Guilherme Boulos and Ricardo Nunes edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May 2024 | 1,200 | 46.8% | 37.6% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
| Atlas/Intel | 18–22 April 2024 | 1,629 | 44.8% | 44.3% | 10.9% | 0.5% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March 2024 | 1,350 | 46% | 39.1% | 14.9% | 6.9% |
| RealTime Big Data | 1–2 March 2024 | 2,000 | 40% | 38% | 22% | 2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February 2024 | 1,502 | 43.3% | 39.6% | 17.1% | 3.7% |
| AtlasIntel | 25–30 December 2023 | 1,600 | 37.2% | 33.8% | 29% | 3.4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 6–9 December 2023 | 1,046 | 41.3% | 39.8% | 19% | 1.5% |
Guilherme Boulos and Kim Kataguiri edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Boulos PSOL |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 25–30 December 2023 | 1,600 | 34.2% | 24.4% | 41.4% | 9.8% |
Guilherme Boulos and Tabata Amaral edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Boulos PSOL |
Amaral PSB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May 2024 | 1,200 | 43.6% | 33.9% | 22.5% | 9.7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March 2024 | 1,350 | 43.3% | 34.3% | 22.4% | 9% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February 2024 | 1,502 | 43.4% | 30.4% | 26.1% | 13% |
Ricardo Nunes and Tabata Amaral edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Amaral PSB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May 2024 | 1,200 | 49.6% | 30.8% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| Atlas/Intel | 18–22 April 2024 | 1,629 | 42.6% | 44.3% | 13.1% | 1.7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March 2024 | 1,350 | 48.4% | 30% | 21.6% | 18.4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February 2024 | 1,502 | 48.3% | 28.8% | 22.9% | 19.5% |
| AtlasIntel | 25–30 December 2023 | 1,600 | 36.5% | 26.3% | 37.1% | 10.2% |
Tabata Amaral and Kim Kataguiri edit
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 25–30 December 2023 | 1,600 | 27.6% | 21.5% | 50.9% | 6.1% |
Notes edit
- ^ Same party as the mayoral candidate, unless mentioned in parentheses
- ^ a b Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022.[11]
- ^ a b Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged in the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023.[9]
- ^ Social Christian Party (PSC) merged into Podemos (PODE) in June 2023.[10]
- ^ José Luiz Datena (PSDB) with 15.3%; Pablo Marçal (PRTB) with 2.3% and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3%
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Pablo Marçal (PRTB) with 4% and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 1%
- ^ With Sonaira Fernandes (Republicanos) as his running mate.
- ^ With Marta Suplicy (PT) as his running mate.
- ^ With José Luiz Datena (PSDB) as her running mate.
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Ricardo Salles (PL) with 17.6% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 0.8%
- ^ Ricardo Salles (PL) with 22.5% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 1%
- ^ Ricardo Salles (PL)
- ^ Ricardo Salles (PL)
- ^ Marcos Pontes (PL) with 13% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3.1%
- ^ Ricardo Salles (PL) with 8.3% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 0.6%
- ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
- ^ Márcio França (PSB) with 9% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3%
- ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
- ^ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 3% and Fernando Holiday (PL) with 1%.
- ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
- ^ If endorsed by Planning Minister Simone Tebet (MDB)
- ^ If endorsed by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT)
- ^ If endorsed by former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL)
- ^ If endorsed by Vice President Geraldo Alckmin (PSB)
- ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 5%, if endorsed by Minas Gerais Governor Romeu Zema (NOVO)
- ^ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.5%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1.6%
- ^ Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL) with 19.1%, Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.9%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.1%
- ^ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 10.3%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 4.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.6%
- ^ Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 5.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3.1%
References edit
- ^ Ribeiro, Bruno (3 April 2023). "De olho na reeleição, Nunes "refina" loteamento para agradar caciques". Metrópoles (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
- ^ Fernandes, Danielly (16 November 2023). "Quem são os possíveis candidatos a prefeito de São Paulo nas eleições municipais de 2024". JOTA (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 10 December 2023.
- ^ PSTU-SP (2024-03-04). "Altino Prazeres é pré-candidato pelo PSTU à Prefeitura de São Paulo | Opinião SocialistaOpinião Socialista". Opinião Socialista (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-03-11.
- ^ "Weintraub lança pré-candidatura em SP e diz que irá à Justiça para concorrer sem partido". CNN Brasil. Retrieved 2024-03-11.
- ^ Ghirotto, Edoardo (3 March 2023). "Salles manda recado a prefeito de SP e diz que será candidato em 2024". Metrópoles (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
- ^ "Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira". UOL Notícias (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 June 2023. Retrieved 5 June 2023.
- ^ "São Paulo/SP - Eleição 2020 definida para prefeito e vereadores". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). 15 November 2020. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
- ^ "Vereadores da Câmara - Novo Site da Câmara Municipal de São Paulo". Câmara Municipal de São Paulo. Archived from the original on 2024-04-24. Retrieved 2024-04-24.
- ^ Pontes, Felipe (9 November 2023). "TSE aprova criação do PRD, resultado de fusão entre PTB e Patriota". Agência Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 16 November 2023.
- ^ "TSE aprova incorporação do Partido Social Cristão pelo Podemos". Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (in Brazilian Portuguese). 16 June 2023. Retrieved 22 February 2024.
- ^ Vivas, Fernanda (8 February 2022). "TSE aprova registro e estatuto do União Brasil, partido resultante da fusão entre DEM e PSL". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 5 June 2023.
- ^ "Datafolha: Boulos lidera com 32% das intenções de voto para Prefeitura de SP; Nunes aparece em segundo, com 24%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 31 August 2023. Retrieved 25 September 2023.
- ^ "PT oficializa apoio a Boulos para eleição à prefeitura de SP". Carta Capital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 August 2023. Retrieved 5 August 2023.
- ^ CASTRO, DANIEL (2023-06-28). "Para não pagar mico, Datena manda cancelar festa de candidatura a prefeito". Notícias da TV (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-07-30.
- ^ "Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira". UOL Notícias (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 June 2023. Retrieved 18 July 2023.