2024 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun federal by-election

A by-election is set to be held in the federal riding of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun in Quebec, Canada, on September 16, 2024, following the resignation of incumbent Liberal MP David Lametti.

2024 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun by-election

← 2021 September 16, 2024 (2024-09-16) 45th →

Riding of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun
 
LPC
BQ
Candidate Laura Palestini Louis-Philippe Sauvé
Party Liberal Bloc Québécois
Last election 42.9% 22.1%

 
NDP
CPC
Candidate Craig Sauvé Louis Ialenti
Party New Democratic Conservative
Last election 19.4% 7.5%

Incumbent MP

Vacant



While the riding is considered a "stronghold" for the Liberals, the by-election is expected by some to be a close race between the Liberals and the NDP, who are running "well known" Montreal city councillor Craig Sauvé.[1]

The by-election will be held on the same day as one in Elmwood—Transcona in Manitoba.[2]

Background

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The riding of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun was vacated on February 1, 2024, following the resignation of Liberal MP David Lametti.[3] Lametti, who previously served as Minister of Justice and Attorney General in the government of Justin Trudeau, won the seat in 2015.

Constituency

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The constituency is an urban Francophone riding located in the southwestern part of Montreal containing parts of the boroughs of Le Sud-Ouest, Verdun and LaSalle.[4]

Candidates

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On July 19, Montreal city councillor Laura Palestini was selected by the Liberals as their candidate despite others seeking the nomination[5] such as Eddy Kara, a political strategist,[6] Christopher Baenninger, Quebec Liberal candidate in Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques in 2022 and Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne in 2023,[7] and Lori Morrison, Electoral Division 1 Commissioner of the Lester B. Pearson School Board.[7]

On March 28, Craig Sauvé, independent city councillor for the district of Saint-Henri—Little-Burgundy—Pointe-Saint-Charles announced that he was standing for nomination for the New Democratic Party's candidate.[8] He was officially nominated as the candidate on April 28.[9]

On July 19, the Conservative Party announced that their candidate would be Louis Ialenti, a small business owner. He was previously the Conservative candidate for Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel in 2021.[10]

The Bloc Québécois candidate will be Louis-Philippe Sauvé, the communications and administration coordinator at the Institute for Research in Contemporary Economics.[11]

Gregory Yablunovsky will be the PPC candidate. He was previously the party's candidate in Saint-Laurent in 2021 and La Prairie in 2019.[12]

On May 27, it was announced that Jency Mercier had won the nomination race for the Green Party.[13]

Alain Paquette will be the Christian Heritage Party candidate.[14]

On July 17, the Rhinoceros Party announced that party leader Sébastien CoRhino would be the candidate.[15]

Polling

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Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling
Link LPC BQ NDP CPC PPC Green Margin
of Error[1]
Sample
Size[2]
Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet Research July 9, 2024 X 29 26 25 14 1 3 ±5.4 pp 329 IVR

Results

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Canadian federal by-election, September 16, 2024: LaSalle—Émard—Verdun
Resignation of David Lametti
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Laura Palestini
Bloc Québécois Louis-Philippe Sauvé
New Democratic Craig Sauvé
Conservative Louis Ialenti
People's Gregory Yablunovsky
Green Jency Mercier
Free
Communist
Christian Heritage Alain Paquette
Independent Tina JiuRu Zhu
Rhinoceros Sébastien CoRhino
Total valid votes
Total rejected ballots
Turnout
Eligible voters

2021 results

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2021 Canadian federal election: LaSalle—Émard—Verdun
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David Lametti 20,330 42.9 -0.6 $55,842.59
Bloc Québécois Raphaël Guérard 10,461 22.1 -3.0 $9,992.28
New Democratic Jason De Lierre 9,168 19.4 +2.9 $2,674.57
Conservative Janina Moran 3,530 7.5 +0.5 $714.88
People's Michel Walsh 1,600 3.4 +2.5 $2,295.27
Green Sarah Carter 1,439 3.0 -3.8 $0.00
Free Pascal Antonin 636 1.3 N/A $2.73
Communist J.P. Fortin 196 0.4 N/A $0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 47,360 97.9 $110,554.58
Total rejected ballots 1,036 2.1
Turnout 48,396 60.8
Registered voters 79,625
Liberal hold Swing +1.2
Source: Elections Canada[16]

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Montreal byelection expected to be a tight race between Liberals, NDP: analyst". CTV News. 29 July 2024. Retrieved 2 August 2024.
  2. ^ "Trudeau déclenche deux élections partielles, dont une dans LaSalle—Émard—Verdun". La Presse (in Canadian French). 2024-07-28. Retrieved 2024-08-03.
  3. ^ "Former justice minister David Lametti resigning as Liberal MP to join law firm". The Province. Retrieved January 25, 2024.
  4. ^ "Canada election results: LaSalle–Émard–Verdun | Globalnews.ca". Global News. Retrieved 2024-08-03.
  5. ^ "Montreal city councillor to represent Liberals in byelection". CBC News. 19 July 2024. Retrieved 19 July 2024.
  6. ^ Saba, Michel (23 July 2024). "Decision to parachute Trudeau's choice into Montreal byelection shocks would-be candidates". Montreal Gazette. The Canadian Press. Retrieved 24 July 2024.
  7. ^ a b Labbé, Jérôme (19 July 2024). "Le PLC recrute une conseillère municipale pour la partielle dans LaSalle–Émard–Verdun". Radio-Canada. Retrieved 19 July 2024.
  8. ^ @CraigSauve (March 28, 2024). "Grosse annonce aujourd'hui ! 🧡 Merci tout le monde pour les très nombreux messages de soutien ! 🙏 // Big announcement today! 🧡 Thank you for the many messages of support! 🙏 #polcan #cdnpoli #polmtl" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  9. ^ "Lasalle--Émard--Verdun NDP Nomination Meeting". New Democratic Party of Canada. Retrieved 12 April 2024.
  10. ^ Serebrin, Jacob (19 July 2024). "Liberals, Conservatives select candidates for Montreal byelection". Montreal Gazette. Postmedia Network. Retrieved 19 July 2024.
  11. ^ Séguin, Charles (2024-07-28). "Deux élections partielles fédérales auront lieu le 16 septembre". Radio-Canada (in French). Retrieved 2024-07-31.
  12. ^ "Gregory Yablunovsky". People's Party of Canada. Retrieved 12 April 2024.
  13. ^ "Jency Mercier to run in LaSalle—Émard—Verdun". Green Party of Canada. 27 May 2024. Retrieved 28 May 2024.
  14. ^ "Alain Paquette - LaSalle—Émard—Verdun". Christian Heritage Party of Canada. Retrieved 19 July 2024.
  15. ^ "The people of LaSalle - Ville Émard - Verdun have endorsed Sébastien CoRhino as their candidate for the soon to be announced by-election". Facebook. Rhinoceros Party. 17 July 2024. Retrieved 19 July 2024.
  16. ^ "Confirmed candidates — LaSalle—Émard—Verdun". Elections Canada. Retrieved 20 September 2021.