2024 Abruzzo regional election

2024 Abruzzo regional election
All 31 seats to the Regional Council of Abruzzo
Turnout	52.4% ( 0.7%)
	Maps of the results of the presidential election and legislative election
President before election; Marco Marsilio; FdI	Elected President ; Marco Marsilio; FdI

The 2024 Abruzzo regional election took place on 10 March 2024. The elction was for all 29 elected seats of the Regional Council of Abruzzo, as well as the president of Abruzzo who, along with the second placed presidential candidate, automatically became members of the Regional Council. It was the second election of the 2024 Italian regional elections.

The election was won by the centre-right coalition's incumbent president, Marco Marsilio of Brothers of Italy, over the independent centre-left coalition candidate, Luciano D'Amico, an economist and professor at the University of Teramo, 53.5% to 46.5%. The centre-left coalition, which remains divided at the national level but came from an upset win and gain in the 2024 Sardinian regional election, included both the Five Star Movement and the Action and Italia Viva parties. Despite this combination, known as campo larghissimo, it was not enough for the opposition to win in Abruzzo, although it lost by 7% in what was the fourth most right-wing region of Italy.

Background edit

In the 2019 Abruzzo regional election, Marco Marsilio and the centre-right coalition won over the Democratic Party and centre-left coalition candidate Giovanni Legnini 48.0% to 31.3%, with 20.2% of the votes going to the Five Star Movement candidate Sara Marcozzi, who later in July 2023 joined Forza Italia within the centre-right coalition.^[1]^[2] In January 2022, the election was called for 10 March 2024.^[3]

Electoral system edit

The electoral law is based on proportional representation and is thus proportional to the share of the votes each party receives, with an electoral threshold of 4% of the vote for parties that are not members of coalitions and 2% for those included in a coalition. The election of the Regional Council occurs on a regional basis within the four districts of Abruzzo, coinciding with the four provinces of the region. The district of Chieti elects eight councilors, while Pescara, L'Aquila, and Teramo each elect seven councillors. The president of the Regional Council and the presidential candidate who received the second largest number of votes also become members of the regional council. The candidate who obtains the majority of valid votes at the regional level becomes president. Every candidate must be linked to a party list or an electoral coalition running for the Regional Council. A majority of 60% to 65% of the seats is then allocated to the party or coalition of the elected president.^[4]

Political parties and candidates edit

Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		Previous result		Candidate
Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		Votes (%)	Seats	Candidate
	Centre-right coalition		League (Lega) (incl. AP)	27.5	10	Marco Marsilio
			Forza Italia (FI)	9.0	3
			Brothers of Italy (FdI)	6.5	2
			Union of the Centre–Christian Democracy (UDC–DC)	2.9	1
			Marsilio for President	—	—
			Us Moderates	—	—
	Centre-left coalition		Five Star Movement (M5S)	19.7	7	Luciano D'Amico
			Democratic Party (PD)	11.1	3
			Reformists and Civics (Abruzzo in Common–Abruzzo Alive–PSI) (incl. +E)	3.9	1
			Greens and Left Alliance – Progressive and Solidary Abruzzo (incl. EV, SI, and DemoS)	2.8	0
			Abruzzo Together	2.7	0
			Action–Socialists Populars Reformists	—	—

Opinion polls edit

Date	Polling firm	Marsilio	D'Amico	Lead
Date	Polling firm			Lead
21 Feb 2024	Noto	53.0	47.0	6
17–21 Feb 2024	Winpoll	50.6	49.4	1.2
12–16 Feb 2024	Bidimedia	52.6	47.4	5.2
10–15 Jan 2024	EMG	54.5	45.5	9.0
18–22 Dec 2023	Winpoll	50.8	49.2	1.6

Political parties edit

Date	Polling firm	Centre-right							Centre-left								Italexit	UP	Others	Lead
		FdI	FI	Lega	Marsilio	NM	UdC–DC	Others	PD	M5S	AVS	Action	AI	IV	+E	Others	Italexit	UP
								Others								Others
21 Feb 2024	Noto	31.5	9	5	3.5	3	1.5	—	19.0	15.0	4.0	4.0	3.0	1.5		—	—	—	—	12.5
17–21 Feb 2024	Winpoll	25.2	10.2	6.3	5.9	2.2	0.8	—	17.8	13.4	5.8	4.2	5.2	3.0		—	—	—	—	7.4
12–16 Feb 2024	Bidimedia	29.6	10.2	7.9	3.3	1.2	1.1	—	18.7	10.8	4.1	4.0	6.0	3.1		—	—	—	—	10.9
10–15 Jan 2024	EMG	31.0	10.0	8.0	3.0	—	1.0	2.0	15.5	18.0	2.5	4.5	—	2.0	1.5	2.0	—	—	—	13.0
18–22 Dec 2023	Winpoll	29.2	11.6	5.8	—	—	—	—	18.6	17.1	3.5	2.9	—	3,5	1.3	—	2.4	0.6	3.6	10.6

Approval ratings edit

Marco Marsilio
Date	Polling firm	Approve	Disapprove	Undecided
21 Feb 2024	Noto	40	60
17-21 Feb 2024	Winpoll	47	53
12–16 Feb 2024	Bidimedia	40	56	4
8–13 Dec 2023	Lab2101	51.4	48.6
Oct 2023	Piepoli	18	82
Aug 2023	Lab2101	51.2	48.8
Jul 2023	Noto	45	55
May 2023	SWG	35	65
10–23 Aug 2022	Lab2101	50.9	49.1
Jul 2022	Noto	46	54
May 2022	SWG	36	64
Jul 2021	Noto	45	55

Luciano D'Amico
Date	Polling firm	Approve	Disapprove	Undecided
21 Feb 2024	Noto	41	59
17-21 Feb 2024	Winpoll	59	41
12–16 Feb 2024	Bidimedia	45	50	5

Results edit

10 March 2024 Abruzzo regional election results
Candidates		Votes	%	Seats	Parties		Votes	%	Seats

	Marco Marsilio	326,660	53.50	1		Brothers of Italy	139,578	24.10	8
						Forza Italia	77,841	13.44	4
						League	43,816	7.56	2
						Marsilio for President	33,102	5.72	2
						Us Moderates	15,516	2.68	1
						Union of the Centre–Christian Democracy	6,784	1.17	–
					Total		316,637	54.67	17
	Luciano D'Amico	284,748	46.50	1		Democratic Party	117,497	20.29	6
						Abruzzo Together	44.353	7.66	2
						Five Star Movement	40.629	7.01	2
						Action–Socialists Populars Reformists	23,156	4.00	1
						Greens and Left Alliance	20,655	3.57	1
						Reformists and Civics	16,275	2.81	–
					Total		262,565	45.33	12

Invalid votes		18,197	–
Total candidates		612,408	100.00	2	Total parties		579,202	100.00	29
Registered voters		1,208,207	51.19
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Results

Popular vote

FdI			24.10%
PD			20.29%
FI			13.44%
AI			7.66%
Lega			7.56%
M5S			7.01%
Marsilio			5.72%
Az			4.00%
AVS			3.57%
RC			2.81%
NM			2.68%
UDC			1.17%

President

Marsilio			53.5%
D'Amico			46.5%

Voter turnout edit

Region	Time
Region	12:00	19:00	23:00
Abruzzo	15.90%	43.93%	52.38%
Province	Time
Province	12:00	19:00	23:00
Chieti	14.88%	40.47%	48.48%
L'Aquila	16.79%	47.51%	55.50%
Pescara	16.13%	44.45%	53.40%
Teramo	16.19%	44.67%	53.15%
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Turnout

Notes edit

^ Compared to the combined vote share achieved in the 2019 Abruzzo regional election by the centre-left coalition and the Five Star Movement, which at the time were not allied.

References edit

^ "Marcozzi, ex candidata M5S Abruzzo, aderisce a Forza Italia". Agenzia ANSA (in Italian). 27 July 2023. Retrieved 26 March 2024.
^ "La consigliera regionale Sara Marcozzi aderisce a Forza Italia". ChietiToday (in Italian). 28 July 2023. Retrieved 26 March 2024.
^ Litterio, Natalfrancesco (22 January 2024). "Elezioni regionali Abruzzo 2024, le liste e i candidati". Il Capoluogo (in Italian). Retrieved 14 March 2024.
^ "Osservatorio elettorale – Normativa Regionale". Regione Abruzzo (in Italian). 2024. Archived from the original on 26 March 2024. Retrieved 26 March 2024.

[1] Compared to the combined vote share achieved in the 2019 Abruzzo regional election by the centre-left coalition and the Five Star Movement, which at the time were not allied.

[2] "Marcozzi, ex candidata M5S Abruzzo, aderisce a Forza Italia". Agenzia ANSA (in Italian). 27 July 2023. Retrieved 26 March 2024.

[3] "La consigliera regionale Sara Marcozzi aderisce a Forza Italia". ChietiToday (in Italian). 28 July 2023. Retrieved 26 March 2024.

[4] Litterio, Natalfrancesco (22 January 2024). "Elezioni regionali Abruzzo 2024, le liste e i candidati". Il Capoluogo (in Italian). Retrieved 14 March 2024.

[5] "Osservatorio elettorale – Normativa Regionale". Regione Abruzzo (in Italian). 2024. Archived from the original on 26 March 2024. Retrieved 26 March 2024.

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