2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election. Primary elections were held on May 22, 2012.[1]
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All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
editUnited States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky, 2012[2] | |||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
Republican | 1,027,582 | 58.87% | 5 | +1 | |
Democratic | 684,744 | 39.23% | 1 | -1 | |
Libertarian | 4,914 | 0.28% | 0 | — | |
Others | 28,137 | 1.61% | 0 | — | |
Totals | 1,745,377 | 100.00% | 6 | — |
Redistricting
editRedistricting legislation was passed by both houses of the Kentucky General Assembly and signed into law by Governor Steve Beshear on February 10, 2012.[3]
District 1
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County results Whitfield: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hatchett: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Ed Whitfield, who had represented the 1st district since 1995, ran for re-election.[4] In redistricting, the 1st district was made slightly more competitive, but continues to strongly favor Republicans.[5]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Ed Whitfield, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Charles Kendall Hatchett, real estate broker and nominee for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
edit- James Buckmaster
Declined
editPrimary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Charles Kendall Hatchett | 19,127 | 59.1 | |
Democratic | James Buckmaster | 13,239 | 40.9 | |
Total votes | 32,366 | 100.0 |
General election
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ed Whitfield (incumbent) | 199,956 | 69.6 | |
Democratic | Charles Kendall Hatchett | 87,199 | 30.4 | |
Total votes | 287,155 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
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County results Guthrie: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Brett Guthrie, who had represented the 2nd district since 2009, ran for re-election.[7] In redistricting, the 2nd district was made slightly more favourable to Republicans.[5]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Brett Guthrie, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- David Lynn Williams, perennial candidate[8]
Declined
editLibertarian primary
editCraig Astor ran as a Libertarian:[9]
General election
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | 181,508 | 64.3 | |
Democratic | David Lynn Williams | 89,541 | 31.7 | |
Independent | Andrew R. Beacham | 6,304 | 2.2 | |
Libertarian | Craig R. Astor | 4,914 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 282,267 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
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County result Yarmuth: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democrat John Yarmuth, who had represented the 3rd district since 2007, ran for re-election.[10] The 3rd district was made more favorable to Democrats in redistricting.[5]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- John Yarmuth, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
edit- Burrel Charles Farnsley, perennial candidate[11]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Yarmuth (incumbent) | 43,635 | 86.7 | |
Democratic | Burrel Charles Farnsley | 6,716 | 13.3 | |
Total votes | 50,351 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editGeneral election
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Yarmuth (incumbent) | 206,385 | 64.0 | |
Republican | Brooks Wicker | 111,452 | 34.5 | |
Independent | Robert L. DeVore, Jr. | 4,819 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 322,656 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 4
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Massie: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Adkins: 40–50% 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Geoff Davis, who had represented 4th district from 2005 to 2012, resigned due to family health issues.[7] In redistricting, the 4th district was made more favorable to Republicans.[5]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editEliminated in primary
edit- Walter Christian Schumm, building contractor
- Marcus Carey, lawyer
- Gary Moore, Boone County judge-executive[13]
- Brian Oerther, teacher
- Alecia Webb-Edgington, state representative
- Tom Wurtz, business consultant
Declined
edit- Hunter Bates, former chief of staff to Senator Mitch McConnell[14]
- Kenny Brown, Boone County Clerk[15]
- Ben Dusing, lawyer and former assistant U.S. Attorney[16]
- Trey Grayson, former Secretary of State of Kentucky;[17]
- Adam Koenig, state representative[18]
- K. Lance Lucas, lawyer and son of former Democratic U.S. Representative Ken Lucas[13]
- Rick Robinson, aide to former senator Jim Bunning[15]
- Kevin Sell, businessman[19]
- Katie Stine, President Pro Tempore of the Kentucky Senate[13][20][21]
- Damon Thayer, state senator[21]
Primary results
edit- Massie—50–60%
- Massie—40–50%
- Massie—30–40%
- Webb-Edgington—40–50%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Thomas Massie | 19,689 | 44.8 | |
Republican | Alecia Webb-Edgington | 12,557 | 28.6 | |
Republican | Gary Moore | 6,521 | 14.8 | |
Republican | Walter Christian Schumm | 3,514 | 8.0 | |
Republican | Marc Carey | 783 | 1.8 | |
Republican | Tom Wurtz | 598 | 1.4 | |
Republican | Brian D. Oerther | 257 | 0.6 | |
Total votes | 43,919 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Bill Adkins, lawyer and chair of the Grant County Democratic Party[22]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Greg Frank, military veteran
Declined
edit- Kenny French, former Gallatin County Judge-Executive[17]
- Patrick Hughes, attorney[23]
- Linda Klembara, president of the Kentucky Women's Network[20][23]
- Darrell Link, Grant County Judge-Executive[17]
- Ken Rechtin, Campbell County Commissioner[20][23]
- Nathan Smith, vice chairman of the Kentucky Democratic Party[20][17][23]
- Diane Whalen, Mayor of Florence[24]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bill Adkins | 17,209 | 68.6 | |
Democratic | Greg Frank | 7,869 | 31.4 | |
Total votes | 25,078 | 100.0 |
Special election
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Thomas Massie | 174,092 | 59.9 | |
Democratic | Bill Adkins | 106,598 | 36.7 | |
Independent | David Lewis | 9,987 | 3.4 | |
Total votes | 290,677 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
General election
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Thomas Massie | 186,036 | 62.1 | |
Democratic | Bill Adkins | 104,734 | 35.0 | |
Independent | David Lewis | 8,674 | 2.9 | |
Total votes | 299,444 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5
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County results Rogers: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Stepp: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Hal Rogers, who had represented the 5th district since 1981, ran for re-election.[7] The 5th district was made slightly more competitive in redistricting.[5]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Kenneth Stepp, lawyer[26]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Michael Ackerman[27]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kenneth S. Stepp | 12,275 | 52.7 | |
Democratic | Michael Ackerman | 11,016 | 47.3 | |
Total votes | 23,291 | 100.0 |
General election
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 195,408 | 77.9 | |
Democratic | Kenneth S. Stepp | 55,447 | 22.1 | |
Total votes | 250,855 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 6
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County results Barr: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Chandler: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democrat Ben Chandler, who had represented the 6th district since 2004, ran for re-election.[7] In redistricting, the 6th district was modified with the effect that, had the 2008 presidential election been held under the new boundaries, Democratic nominee Barack Obama would have received a share of the vote 1.5 percentage points greater than that which he achieved under the former boundaries.[5]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Ben Chandler, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editEliminated in primary
editPrimary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Barr | 20,104 | 82.8 | |
Republican | Patrick J. Kelly, II | 2,823 | 11.6 | |
Republican | Curtis Kenimer | 1,354 | 5.6 | |
Total votes | 24,281 | 100.0 |
General election
editRandolph S. Vance ran as a write-in candidate.[30]
Endorsements
editOrganizations
- Blue Dog Coalition[31]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program[32]
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[33]
Polling
editPoll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ben Chandler (D) |
Andy Barr (R) |
Randolph Vance (I) |
Undecided |
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Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr)[34] | September 30–October 1, 2012 | 400 | ± % | 49% | 46% | — | 5% |
Mellman (D-Chandler)[35] | September 10–13, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 37% | 3% | 9% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr)[36] | June 24–26, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 42% | — | 13% |
Mellman (D-Chandler)[37] | March 26–28, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 54% | 30% | — | 16% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr)[38] | February 20–21, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[40] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[41] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[42] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[43] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[44] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[45] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
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Republican | Andy Barr | 153,222 | 50.6 | |||
Democratic | Ben Chandler (incumbent) | 141,438 | 46.7 | |||
Independent | Randolph Vance | 8,340 | 2.7 | |||
Total votes | 303,000 | 100.0 | ||||
Republican gain from Democratic |
References
edit- ^ "2012 Kentucky Election Calendar" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 15, 2010. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
- ^ a b c d e f g "2012 Primary and General Election Results". Kentucky State Board of Elections. Retrieved November 6, 2012.
- ^ Brammer, Jack (February 10, 2012). "Beshear approves new congressional map that splits Jessamine". Lexington Herald-Leader. Retrieved February 19, 2012.
- ^ Alessi, Ryan (December 29, 2011). "U.S. Rep. Whitfield to run again in 2012, responds to questions about donations and residency". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved December 29, 2011.
- ^ a b c d e f Alessi, Ryan (February 12, 2012). "Analysis: New congressional map only slightly moves the political needle in the 6 districts". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved February 19, 2012.
- ^ a b Alessi, Ryan (August 22, 2011). "It's not too soon for 2014 and beyond for these potential Democratic candidates". Pure Politics. Retrieved August 23, 2011.
- ^ a b c d e f g "7 Republicans file to run for Davis' 4th District seat". The Courier-Journal. February 17, 2012. Retrieved February 19, 2012.
- ^ a b AP primary results
- ^ Candidate fillings
- ^ Alessi, Ryan (September 5, 2011). "U.S. Rep. John Yarmuth to run for fourth term in 2012". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved September 6, 2011.
- ^ a b c Carroll, James R. (May 22, 2012). "Three U.S. House races in Kentucky will be reruns this fall". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved May 25, 2012.
- ^ Alessi, Ryan (October 6, 2011). "Republican Brooks Wicker to run for Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved October 23, 2011.
- ^ a b c Alessi, Ryan (December 20, 2011). "4th District Update: Moore announces; Sen. Stine, Rep. Koeing and Lance Lucas considering it". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved December 22, 2011.
- ^ Toeplitz, Shira (December 19, 2011). "Hunter Bates Won't Run to Succeed Geoff Davis in Kentucky". Roll Call. Retrieved December 19, 2011.
- ^ a b Alessi, Ryan (December 15, 2011). "Potential GOP 4th District candidates praise Geoff Davis as they mull running in '12". Pure Politics. Retrieved December 16, 2011.
- ^ Alessi, Ryan (January 2, 2012). "4th District Update: Ben Dusing out; Webb-Edgington hires Davis' spokesman as manager". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved January 3, 2012.
- ^ a b c d Gerth, Joseph (December 16, 2011). "Candidates stampede to fill open 4th District congressional seat". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved December 19, 2011.
- ^ Alessi, Ryan (December 29, 2011). "N.Ky. Update: Koenig runs for re-election not Congress; Shawn Baker's 1st fundraiser for Senate". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved December 31, 2011.
- ^ Van Benschoten, Amanda (December 17, 2011). "Sell will not run for Congress in 2012". The Cincinnati Enquirer. Retrieved December 19, 2011.[permanent dead link]
- ^ a b c d Weber, Don (December 20, 2011). "Boone Judge-Exec Gary Moore tells fellow official he is in the 4th Congressional race". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved December 21, 2011.
- ^ a b Toeplitz, Shira (December 15, 2011). "Former McConnell Staffer Considers Kentucky House Run". Roll Call. Retrieved December 16, 2011.
- ^ "Lewis Countian Thomas Massie Wins GOP Nomination in Ky. 4th District". WSAZ-TV. AP. May 22, 2012. Archived from the original on February 9, 2013. Retrieved May 25, 2012.
- ^ a b c d Van Benschoten, Amanda (December 17, 2011). "NKY Dems: We'll field a candidate for Congress". The Cincinnati Enquirer. Retrieved December 19, 2011.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Weber, Don (December 22, 2011). "4th District Update: GOP's Ben Dusing preparing to run; Florence Mayor not running". Pure Politics. cn|2. Retrieved December 22, 2011.
- ^ "Official Results" (PDF). Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
- ^ "Manchester Attorney Files to Challenge Congressman Hal Rogers". WFPL. February 1, 2012. Retrieved February 19, 2012. [permanent dead link]
- ^ Adams, Steve (May 22, 2012). "Kentucky's primary election has low turnout". WOWK-TV. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved May 25, 2012.
- ^ "Andy Barr: Walking a fine line for Congress - State Government and Politics - Kentucky.com". Archived from the original on April 17, 2010.
- ^ Hohmann, James (June 9, 2011). "Barr launching a rematch with Chandler". Politico. Retrieved June 10, 2011.
- ^ Carroll, James R. (February 7, 2012). "4 Kentucky congressmen are unopposed in primary". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved February 20, 2012.
- ^ "Blue Dog Membership". bluedogdems.ngpvanhost.com. Blue Dog Coalition. Archived from the original on October 28, 2012. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
- ^ "2012 Frontline Democrats". actblue.com. DCCC. Archived from the original on July 29, 2012. Retrieved March 6, 2023.
- ^ "CANDIDATES". gopyoungguns.com. Archived from the original on October 29, 2012. Retrieved March 6, 2023.
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr)
- ^ Mellman (D-Chandler)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr)
- ^ Mellman (D-Chandler)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr)
- ^ "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 5, 2012. Retrieved November 6, 2012.
- ^ "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. November 2, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
- ^ [1], as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ Crystal Ball, as of November 5, 2012[update]
- ^ House Race Ratings, The New York Times, as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ [2], as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ "House Ratings". The Hill. November 3, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
External links
edit- Elections from the Kentucky Secretary of State
- United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky, 2012 at Ballotpedia
- Kentucky U.S. House at OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Kentucky at OpenSecrets
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation
- House and Senate Campaign Finance at the Federal Election Commission - House and Senate Campaigns
Preceded by 2010 elections |
United States House elections in Kentucky 2012 |
Succeeded by 2014 elections |