2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

The 2010 congressional elections in Kentucky were held on November 2, 2010, and determined who would represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky in the United States House of Representatives. Kentucky has six seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the elected served in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. As of 2021, this is the last time the Democrats won more than one congressional district in Kentucky.

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

← 2008 November 2, 2010 2012 →

All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 4 2
Seats won 4 2
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 844,369 506,319
Percentage 62.35% 37.39%
Swing Increase 7.76% Decrease 6.11%

Overview

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United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky, 2010[1]
Party Votes Percentage Seats +/–
Republican 844,369 62.35% 4
Democratic 506,319 37.39% 2
Libertarian 2,029 0.15% 0
Independents 1,581 0.12% 0
Totals 1,354,298 100.00% 6

By district

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Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky by district:[2]

District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 153,840 73.12% 62,090 26.88% 0 0.00% 215,930 100.0% Republican hold
District 2 155,906 69.19% 73,749 30.81% 0 0.00% 229,655 100.0% Republican hold
District 3 112,627 44.01% 139,940 54.68% 3,363 1.31% 255,930 100.0% Democratic hold
District 4 151,813 69.48% 66,694 30.52% 0 0.00% 218,507 100.0% Republican hold
District 5 151,019 77.42% 44,034 22.58% 0 0.00% 195,053 100.0% Republican hold
District 6 119,164 49.81% 119,812 50.08% 247 0.01% 239,223 100.0% Democratic hold
Total 844,369 62.35% 506,319 37.38% 3,610 0.27% 1,354,298 100.0%

District 1

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2010 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
 
← 2008
2012 →
     
Nominee Ed Whitfield Charles Hatchett
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 153,840 62,090
Percentage 71.2% 28.8%

 
County results
Whitfield:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Ed Whitfield
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ed Whitfield
Republican

Running for his ninth term in this conservative[3] district based in western Kentucky, incumbent Republican Congressman Ed Whitfield faced a trivial challenge from Democratic candidate Charles Hatchett. As expected, Congressman Whitfield was overwhelmingly re-elected to another term in Congress.

Results

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Kentucky's 1st congressional district election, 2010[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ed Whitfield (incumbent) 153,840 71.25
Democratic Charles Kendall Hatchett 62,090 28.75
Total votes 215,930 100.00
Republican hold

District 2

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2010 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2008
2012 →
     
Nominee Brett Guthrie Ed Marksberry
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 155,906 73,749
Percentage 67.9% 32.1%

 
County results
Guthrie:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Though incumbent Republican Congressman Brett Guthrie was elected by a slim margin in 2008, he did not face a serious challenge in his bid for a second term from Democratic candidate Ed Marksberry. As was expected, Congressman Guthrie was re-elected in a landslide in this conservative[3] district based in west-central Kentucky.

Results

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Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election, 2010[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent) 155,906 67.89
Democratic Ed Marksberry 73,749 32.11
Total votes 229,655 100.00
Republican hold

District 3

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2010 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
 
← 2008
2012 →
     
Nominee John Yarmuth Todd Lally
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 139,940 112,627
Percentage 54.7% 44.0%

 
Results by state house district
Yarmuth:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Lally:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

John Yarmuth
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

John Yarmuth
Democratic

Campaign

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Two-term Democratic incumbent Congressman John Yarmuth has represented this liberal-leaning[3] district based in metro Louisville since he was first elected in 2006. Yarmuth defeated Republican Congresswoman Anne Northup in 2006, and defeated her again in a rematch in 2008, but she declined to run again in 2010. Instead, Congressman Yarmuth faced Republican candidate Todd Lally, an airline pilot and a failed State House candidate.

Lally attacked Yarmuth for being a "liberal follower" of Nancy Pelosi who voted with her "San Francisco agenda 99 percent of the time," charges that Yarmuth called "ignorant and irresponsible."[4] The Courier-Journal, the largest newspaper in the district, strongly endorsed Congressman Yarmuth in his bid for re-election,[5] and in the end, Yarmuth was able to best Lally by a surprisingly wide margin.

Polling

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Poll source Dates administered John
Yarmuth (D)
Todd
Lally (R)
Undecided
SurveyUSA[6] October 21–25, 2010 50% 46% 1%
Rivercity Polling[7] October 19–23, 2010 41% 37% -
Braun Research[8] October 18–19, 2010 57.9% 31.4% 2.6%
Braun Research[9] September 20–21, 2010 53% 30% 12%
Survey USA[10] August 27–30, 2010 47% 45% 5%
Braun Research[11] August 9–10, 2010 52% 29% 17%
Rivercity Polling[12] June 20–29, 2010 44% 43% -
Cooper & Secrest Associates[13] June 21–23, 2010 58% 32% -

Results

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Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election, 2010[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Yarmuth (incumbent) 139,940 54.68
Republican Todd Lally 112,627 44.01
Libertarian Edward A. Martin 2,029 0.79
Independent Michael D. Hansen 1,334 0.52
Total votes 255,930 100.00
Democratic hold

District 4

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2010 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
 
← 2008
2012 →
     
Nominee Geoff Davis John Waltz
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 151,813 66,694
Percentage 69.5% 30.5%

 
County results
Davis:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Waltz:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Geoff Davis
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Geoff Davis
Republican

Campaign

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This conservative[3] district based in northern Kentucky, including some of metropolitan Cincinnati, has been represented by Republican Congressman Geoff Davis since he was first elected in 2004. Seeking a fourth term, Congressman Davis faced Democratic candidate John Waltz, an Iraq War veteran in the general election, who was not given much of a chance given the conservative nature of the district. As expected, Davis was overwhelmingly re-elected.

Results

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Kentucky's 4th congressional district election, 2010[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Geoff Davis (incumbent) 151,813 69.48
Democratic John Waltz 66,694 30.52
Total votes 218,507 100.00
Republican hold

District 5

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2010 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
 
← 2008
2012 →
     
Nominee Hal Rogers Jim Holbert
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 151,019 44,034
Percentage 77.4% 22.6%

 
County results
Rogers:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Hal Rogers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican

Campaign

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Republican Congressman Hal Rogers, the dean of the Kentucky congressional delegation, has represented this conservative[3] district based in eastern Kentucky, faced Democratic candidate Jim Holbert in his bid for a sixteenth term. Holbert had previously run against Congressman Rogers in 2008 as an independent candidate. However, Holbert was defeated by Rogers in a landslide for the second time in the general election.

Results

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Kentucky's 5th congressional district election, 2010[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 151,019 77.42
Democratic Jim Holbert 44,034 22.58
Total votes 195,053 100.00
Republican hold

District 6

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2010 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
 
← 2008
2012 →
     
Nominee Ben Chandler Andy Barr
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 119,812 119,164
Percentage 50.1% 49.8%

 
County results
Chandler:      50–60%      60–70%
Barr:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Ben Chandler
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ben Chandler
Democratic

Campaign

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This conservative[3] district based around the Lexington metropolitan area has been represented by incumbent Democratic Congressman Ben Chandler since he was first elected in a 2004 special election. This year, Chandler faced a serious threat to bid for a fifth term in Congress from Republican attorney Andy Barr.

In the general election, both candidates started releasing television ads in August 2010, with Barr attacking Chandler for being part of "politics as usual" while Chandler countered by proclaiming his independence, saying, "If the Republican Party is going to suggest that I'm a tool of somebody else, there is no basis in fact for that."[14] As election day grew nearer, both sides ramped up attacks, with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee releasing an ads slamming Barr for his criminal record and plans to privatize Social Security.[15] Barr, meanwhile, attacked Chandler for supporting gun control, even though Chandler was endorsed in his bid for re-election by the National Rifle Association of America.[16] Polls predicted a tight race, and on election night, those polls were vindicated; no media organization called the race that night because Chandler led Barr by only a few hundred votes.[17] It was only a few days later that Chandler was proclaimed the winner.

Polling

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Poll source Dates administered Ben
Chandler (D)
Andy
Barr (R)
Undecided
Braun Research[18] October 20–21, 2010 46.6% 42.3% 11%
Mason-Dixon[19] October 15–19, 2010 48% 44% 8%
Tarrance Group[20] October 4–5, 2010 47% 48% -
Mellman Group[21] September 29–30, 2010 52% 40% -
Braun Research[22] September 21–22, 2010 50.7% 36.5% 12.5%
Tarrance Group[23] September 20–21, 2010 49% 42% 9%
Mellman Group[24] September 13–14, 2010 53% 33% 14%
Grove Insight[25] September 7–9, 2010 52% 38% -
Braun Research[26] July 26–27, 2010 46.1% 32.2% 21%
Tarrance Group[27] May 24–25, 2010 45% 38% 17%

Results

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Kentucky's 6th congressional district election, 2010[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ben Chandler (incumbent) 119,812 50.08
Republican Andy Barr 119,164 49.81
Write-in 247 0.10
Total votes 239,223 100.00
Democratic hold

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e f g Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010" (PDF). p. 20.
  2. ^ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  3. ^ a b c d e f "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 111th Congress." The Cook Political Report. N.p., n.d. Web. 19 June 2011. <http://www.cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/pvistate.pdf> Archived 2011-07-15 at the Wayback Machine.
  4. ^ "Louisville - Jefferson County Democratic Party | John Yarmuth, Todd Lally go on the attack at Louisville debate". Archived from the original on February 5, 2011. Retrieved June 22, 2011.
  5. ^ "The Courier-Journal: Archives". Archived from the original on November 7, 2012.
  6. ^ SurveyUSA
  7. ^ Rivercity Polling
  8. ^ Braun Research
  9. ^ Braun Research
  10. ^ Survey USA
  11. ^ Braun Research [dead link]
  12. ^ Rivercity Polling
  13. ^ Cooper & Secrest Associates
  14. ^ "Ben Chandler and Andy Barr both hit the airwaves : Bluegrass Politics". Archived from the original on August 26, 2010.
  15. ^ "Ben Chandler hammers Andy Barr's criminal record | Moonage Political Webdream". Archived from the original on March 26, 2012. Retrieved June 22, 2011.
  16. ^ "Barefoot and Progressive: Andy Barr's Outlandish Attacks on Ben Chandler Have "Gun" Too Far!". Barefootandprogressive.blogspot.com. October 27, 2010. Archived from the original on October 29, 2010. Retrieved December 5, 2021.
  17. ^ "Voters might have to wait for official winner between Ben Chandler, Andy Barr - Vote results - Kentucky.com". Archived from the original on November 5, 2010.
  18. ^ Braun Research [permanent dead link]
  19. ^ Mason-Dixon
  20. ^ Tarrance Group
  21. ^ Mellman Group
  22. ^ Braun Research
  23. ^ Tarrance Group Archived September 27, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
  24. ^ Mellman Group
  25. ^ Grove Insight
  26. ^ Braun Research
  27. ^ Tarrance Group
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Preceded by
2008 elections
United States House elections in Kentucky
2010
Succeeded by
2012 elections