2004 United States Senate election in Indiana

The 2004 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Evan Bayh won re-election to a second term. To date, this was the last time the Democrats have won the Class 3 Senate seat from Indiana. Bayh won 86 of the state's 92 counties.

2004 United States Senate election in Indiana

← 1998 November 2, 2004 2010 →
 
Nominee Evan Bayh Marvin Scott
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,496,976 903,913
Percentage 61.65% 37.23%

County results
Bayh:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Scott:      40–50%      50–60%

U.S. senator before election

Evan Bayh
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Evan Bayh
Democratic

Major candidates

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Democratic

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Republican

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General Election

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Campaign

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In September, Bayh had $6.5 million cash on hand.[1] Scott's strategy of trying to paint Bayh as too liberal failed to gain traction.[2]

In early 2004, Bayh was considered a serious contender for the Vice Presidency as the running mate of Massachusetts Senator John Kerry. Although Bayh was on the final shortlist, North Carolina Senator John Edwards was ultimately chosen instead.[3]

Bayh easily won reelection, defeating Scott by more than 24 percentage points and carrying all but six counties, even while Kerry lost the state by more than 20 percentage points in the concurrent presidential election.

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] Safe D November 1, 2004

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Evan
Bayh (D)
Marvin
Scott (R)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[5] October 27–29, 2004 586 (LV) ± 4.0% 61% 34% 5%

Results

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General election results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Evan Bayh (incumbent) 1,496,976 61.65%
Republican Marvin Scott 903,913 37.23%
Libertarian Albert Barger 27,344 1.13%
Total votes 2,428,233 100.0%
Democratic hold

By county

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Bayh won 86 of Indiana's counties compared to 6 for Scott.[7]

County Bayh Votes Scott Votes Barger Votes Total
Adams 57.4% 7,551 41.6% 5,476 1.0% 126 13,153
Allen 57.8% 74,011 41.3% 52,845 0.9% 1,126 127,982
Bartholomew 58.4% 16,507 40.4% 11,422 1.1% 316 28,245
Benton 63.0% 2,501 35.3% 1,400 1.7% 69 3,970
Blackford 69.1% 3,694 30.1% 1,609 0.8% 42 5,345
Boone 48.8% 11,074 50.0% 11,343 1.1% 255 22,672
Brown 59.7% 4,336 38.6% 2,803 1.7% 125 7,264
Carroll 59.7% 5,067 39.3% 3,331 1.0% 85 8,483
Cass 56.8% 7,873 42.1% 5,829 1.1% 159 13,861
Clark 62.8% 26,054 36.4% 15,091 0.9% 368 41,513
Clay 64.9% 6,928 34.0% 3,629 1.0% 112 10,669
Clinton 56.3% 6,600 42.8% 5,011 0.9% 108 11,719
Crawford 63.6% 2,832 35.3% 1,572 1.1% 47 4,451
Daviess 56.4% 5,891 42.6% 4,447 1.0% 107 10,445
Dearborn 45.7% 9,264 52.7% 10,675 1.5% 311 20,250
Decatur 61.3% 6,173 37.8% 3,808 0.9% 88 10,069
DeKalb 56.2% 8,529 43.0% 6,523 0.9% 132 15,184
Delaware 69.5% 32,312 29.3% 13,627 1.2% 580 46,519
Dubois 66.2% 11,166 33.0% 5,560 0.8% 136 16,862
Elkhart 51.2% 31,186 47.9% 29,168 0.9% 546 60,900
Fayette 64.0% 5,961 34.5% 3,212 1.4% 134 9,307
Floyd 62.1% 20,898 36.9% 12,412 1.0% 332 33,642
Fountain 60.1% 4,532 39.2% 2,955 0.8% 60 7,547
Franklin 53.5% 5,247 44.8% 4,395 1.7% 171 9,813
Fulton 60.7% 5,264 38.3% 3,324 1.0% 91 8,679
Gibson 69.6% 10,110 29.5% 4,289 0.9% 129 14,528
Grant 61.4% 16,620 37.6% 10,189 0.9% 256 27,065
Greene 64.7% 8,336 34.2% 4,402 1.1% 137 12,875
Hamilton 46.4% 48,001 52.6% 54,408 0.9% 970 103,379
Hancock 52.3% 14,548 46.6% 12,941 1.1% 309 27,798
Harrison 59.0% 10,094 39.9% 6,824 1.1% 180 17,098
Hendricks 48.0% 24,844 51.1% 26,441 0.9% 486 51,771
Henry 62.6% 12,666 36.1% 7,312 1.3% 254 20,232
Howard 58.9% 21,732 40.1% 14,776 1.0% 368 36,876
Huntington 52.8% 8,125 46.2% 7,103 1.0% 160 15,388
Jackson 62.2% 10,071 36.7% 5,944 1.1% 171 16,186
Jasper 49.2% 5,727 49.6% 5,772 1.1% 130 11,629
Jay 63.5% 5,117 35.3% 2,845 1.2% 94 8,056
Jefferson 61.4% 7,794 37.5% 4,764 1.1% 142 12,700
Jennings 60.9% 6,349 37.9% 3,944 1.2% 125 10,418
Johnson 53.2% 27,149 45.8% 23,330 1.0% 506 50,985
Knox 71.5% 11,130 27.5% 4,275 1.0% 155 15,560
Kosciusko 45.7% 12,554 53.0% 14,574 1.3% 369 27,497
LaGrange 54.3% 4,865 44.7% 4,006 1.0% 90 8,961
Lake 71.4% 130,450 27.3% 49,919 1.3% 2,320 182,689
LaPorte 69.7% 28,826 28.3% 11,685 2.0% 840 41,351
Lawrence 52.4% 9,132 46.2% 8,064 1.4% 242 17,438
Madison 64.3% 34,379 34.7% 18,541 1.0% 524 53,444
Marion 66.0% 210,107 33.0% 104,819 1.0% 3,047 317,973
Marshall 57.5% 10,111 41.5% 7,293 1.0% 174 17,578
Martin 66.7% 3,297 32.1% 1,587 1.2% 58 5,058
Miami 54.5% 7,339 44.3% 5,967 1.2% 168 13,474
Monroe 68.9% 33,821 29.3% 14,396 1.8% 880 49,097
Montgomery 59.9% 8,651 39.0% 5,635 1.1% 159 14,445
Morgan 50.1% 12,878 48.7% 12,498 1.2% 313 25,689
Newton 55.7% 3,225 42.7% 2,475 1.6% 91 5,791
Noble 57.0% 8,853 42.0% 6,527 1.0% 160 15,540
Ohio 54.4% 1,572 44.3% 1,282 1.3% 37 2,891
Orange 61.1% 5,056 37.8% 3,127 1.1% 89 8,272
Owen 60.5% 4,538 38.0% 2,851 1.5% 114 7,503
Parke 65.9% 4,480 33.0% 2,249 1.1% 78 6,807
Perry 71.6% 5,790 27.6% 2,234 0.8% 62 8,086
Pike 69.8% 4,209 29.3% 1,765 1.0% 59 6,033
Porter 63.9% 39,876 34.3% 21,411 1.9% 1,159 62,446
Posey 69.0% 8,052 30.2% 3,523 0.8% 88 11,663
Pulaski 59.1% 3,328 39.7% 2,236 1.2% 65 5,629
Putnam 59.1% 7,683 39.9% 5,185 1.0% 134 13,002
Randolph 61.9% 6,625 36.8% 3,943 1.2% 133 10,701
Ripley 53.3% 6,212 45.3% 5,282 1.4% 168 11,662
Rush 58.7% 4,316 40.2% 2,962 1.1% 83 7,361
Saint Joseph 70.0% 75,340 29.2% 31,372 0.8% 886 107,598
Scott 70.7% 6,070 28.3% 2,435 1.0% 85 8,590
Shelby 56.7% 8,986 42.4% 6,717 0.9% 136 15,839
Spencer 65.7% 6,495 33.6% 3,317 0.7% 74 9,886
Starke 67.8% 6,108 30.6% 2,762 1.6% 142 9,012
Steuben 58.7% 7,447 40.0% 5,070 1.3% 169 12,686
Sullivan 73.6% 6,072 25.4% 2,099 1.0% 79 8,250
Switzerland 59.6% 2,148 38.9% 1,404 1.5% 53 3,605
Tippecanoe 63.5% 32,766 34.9% 18,002 1.6% 837 51,605
Tipton 58.5% 4,557 40.4% 3,142 1.1% 87 7,786
Union 54.6% 1,777 43.6% 1,417 1.8% 58 3,252
Vanderburgh 67.6% 46,088 31.2% 21,242 1.2% 817 68,147
Vermillion 78.0% 5,468 21.1% 1,480 0.9% 66 7,014
Vigo 75.3% 29,828 23.5% 9,307 1.2% 492 39,627
Wabash 51.6% 6,853 47.5% 6,313 0.8% 111 13,277
Warren 61.1% 2,357 37.7% 1,454 1.2% 48 3,859
Warrick 62.2% 15,572 37.0% 9,260 0.8% 205 25,037
Washington 58.4% 6,270 40.1% 4,304 1.5% 156 10,730
Wayne 58.5% 16,081 39.4% 10,821 2.1% 584 27,486
Wells 53.5% 6,532 45.7% 5,583 0.8% 103 12,218
White 64.4% 6,667 34.6% 3,589 1.0% 108 10,364
Whitley 55.6% 7,405 43.3% 5,761 1.1% 146 13,312

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

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  1. ^ http://0-infoweb.newsbank.com/iw-search/we/InfoWeb?p_product=NewsBank&p_theme=aggregated5&p_action=doc&p_docid=1053DC1A4A663CC3&p_docnum=4&p_queryname=29 [dead link]
  2. ^ http://0-infoweb.newsbank.com/iw-search/we/InfoWeb?p_product=NewsBank&p_theme=aggregated5&p_action=doc&p_docid=10C85E772BA661DD&p_docnum=3&p_queryname=23 [dead link]
  3. ^ "Evan Bayh: The New Perennial Bridesmaid?". The New York Observer. August 19, 2008.
  4. ^ "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  5. ^ SurveyUSA
  6. ^ "United States Senator". Indiana of Secretary of State. November 2, 2004. Retrieved November 8, 2008.
  7. ^ "United States Senator by County". Indiana Secretary of State. November 2, 2004. Retrieved November 8, 2008.