2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the three U.S. Representatives from the state, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election.
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All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
editUnited States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2012[1] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | |
Democratic | 422,189 | 55.11% | 2 | 2 | - | |
Republican | 343,269 | 44.81% | 1 | 1 | - | |
Independent (Write-in) | 173 | 0.02% | - | |||
Green Party (Write-in) | 459 | 0.06% | - | |||
Totals | 766,090 | 100% | 3 | 3 | - |
District 1
editThe redrawn 1st district serves the central area of New Mexico, including almost three-fourths of Albuquerque. Incumbent Democrat Martin Heinrich, first elected in 2008, did not seek reelection, but instead ran for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Jeff Bingaman.[2]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Michelle Lujan Grisham, Bernalillo County Commissioner and candidate for this seat in 2008[3]
Eliminated in primary
editDeclined
edit- Hector Balderas, State Auditor[6]
- Terry Brunner, head of rural development for the U.S. Department of Agriculture in New Mexico and Jeff Bingaman’s former state director[7]
- Diane Denish, former lieutenant governor and nominee for governor in 2010[8]
- Martin Heinrich, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Timothy M. Keller, state senator[7]
- James B. Lewis, State Treasurer
- Moe Maestas, state representative[9]
- Stuart Paisano, former governor of Sandia Pueblo[4]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Michelle Lujan Grisham | 19,111 | 40.1 | |
Democratic | Eric Griego | 16,702 | 35.0 | |
Democratic | Martin Chávez | 11,895 | 24.9 | |
Total votes | 47,708 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editWithdrawn
edit- Dan Lewis, Albuquerque City Councilmember[12]
Disqualified
editDeclined
editPrimary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Janice Arnold-Jones | 26,198 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 26,198 | 100.0 |
General election
editEndorsements
editOrganizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[16]
- EMILY's List[17]
Organizations
Polling
editPoll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) |
Janice Arnold-Jones (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research & Polling Inc[19] | October 23–25, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Research & Polling Inc[20] | October 9–11, 2012 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)[21] | October 8–9, 2012 | 407 | ± 5.0% | 55% | 40% | 5% |
Research & Polling Inc[22] | September 3–6, 2012 | 409 | ± 4.8% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)[23] | July 10–15, 2012 | 502 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 42% | 8% |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[24] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[25] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[26] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[28] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[29] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[30] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Michelle Lujan Grisham | 162,924 | 59.1 | |
Republican | Janice Arnold-Jones | 112,472 | 40.8 | |
Green | Jeanne Pahls (write-in) | 459 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 275,855 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
editIncumbent Republican Steve Pearce was elected in 2010, having previously served from 2003 until 2009. Pearce sought reelection in 2012.[31]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Steve Pearce, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Pearce (incumbent) | 29,911 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 29,911 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Evelyn Madrid Erhard, former teacher at New Mexico State University[32][33]
Withdrawn
edit- Martin Resendiz, mayor of Sunland Park[34]
Disqualified
editDeclined
edit- Nate Cote, state representative[36]
- Edgar Lopez, head of a real estate company[37]
- Harry Teague, former U.S. Representative[38]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Evelyn Madrid Erhard | 24,175 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 24,175 | 100.0 |
General election
editPolling
editPoll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Pearce (R) |
Evelyn Madrid Erhard (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research & Polling Inc[19] | October 23–25, 2012 | 113 | ± 9.2% | 56% | 38% | 6% |
Research & Polling Inc[20] | October 9–11, 2012 | 116 | ± 9.1% | 55% | 31% | 15% |
Research & Polling Inc[22] | September 3–6, 2012 | 119 | ± 9.0% | 56% | 30% | 14% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Pearce (incumbent) | 133,180 | 59.0 | |
Democratic | Evelyn Madrid Erhard | 92,162 | 40.9 | |
Independent | Jack A. McGrann (write-In) | 173 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 225,515 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
editIncumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján was first elected in 2008. In April 2011 Luján declined to enter the U.S. Senate race and instead chose to seek reelection to the House of Representatives.[39]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Ben Ray Luján, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
edit- Sean Closson, artist and hotel worker[40]
- Harry Montoya, Santa Fe County Executive[41]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ben R. Luján (incumbent) | 53,908 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 53,908 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Jefferson Byrd, rancher[42]
Eliminated in primary
editPrimary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jefferson L. Byrd | 13,055 | 53.5 | |
Republican | Frederick L. Newton | 11,340 | 46.5 | |
Total votes | 24,395 | 100.0 |
General election
editPolling
editPoll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ben Ray Luján (D) |
Jefferson Byrd (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research & Polling Inc[19] | October 23–25, 2012 | 148 | ± 8.0% | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Research & Polling Inc[20] | October 9–11, 2012 | 140 | ± 8.3% | 58% | 34% | 8% |
Research & Polling Inc[22] | September 3–6, 2012 | 139 | ± 8.3% | 57% | 31% | 12% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ben Ray Luján (incumbent) | 167,103 | 63.1 | |
Republican | Jefferson Byrd | 97,616 | 36.9 | |
Total votes | 264,719 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
References
edit- ^ a b c d "Statewide Results" (PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 4, 2013.
- ^ Blake, Aaron (April 2, 2011). "Heinrich to run for Senate in New Mexico". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 20, 2011.
- ^ "Lujan Grisham wins hotly contested CD-1 primary". KOAT-TV. June 6, 2012. Archived from the original on October 22, 2013. Retrieved June 5, 2013.
- ^ a b Trygstad, Kyle (June 29, 2011). "Ex-Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez Running in 1st District". Roll Call. Retrieved June 29, 2011.
- ^ Miller, Sean J. (May 2, 2011). "Field grows in race for Heinrich's NM House seat". The Hill. Retrieved May 4, 2011.
- ^ Reichbach, Matthew (April 13, 2011). "Balderas won't seek Heinrich's seat". The New Mexico Independent. Retrieved April 20, 2011.
- ^ a b Haussamen, Heath (April 19, 2011). "Keller won't run for Congress". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved April 20, 2011.
- ^ Haussamen, Heath (June 29, 2011). "Chávez is running for Congress; Denish isn't". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved June 30, 2011.
- ^ "No Moe in US House race". Capitol Report New Mexico. June 8, 2011. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Flores, Danielle (July 16, 2011). "Second Republican enters Congressional race". KOB. Retrieved July 18, 2011.
- ^ a b Reichbach, Matthew (March 20, 2012). "Dan Lewis drops out of congressional race". New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on March 22, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ Haussamen, Heath (April 4, 2011). "Lewis formally enters congressional race". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved April 20, 2011.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (November 3, 2011). "Sierra Club Backs Eric Griego in New Mexico Primary". Roll Call. Retrieved November 7, 2011.
- ^ Reichbach, Matthew (April 16, 2012). "CD1: District court judge takes Smith off GOP primary ballot". New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on April 19, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ Haussamen, Heath (January 21, 2012). "Barela won't run for CD1 seat". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved January 25, 2012.
- ^ "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC. Archived from the original on October 26, 2012. Retrieved March 5, 2023.
- ^ "Help Our Candidates Win!". emilyslist.org. Archived from the original on November 14, 2012. Retrieved January 31, 2023.
- ^ "Maggie's List is pleased to endorse these conservative women candidates". maggieslist.org. Maggie's List. Archived from the original on August 26, 2012. Retrieved March 4, 2023.
- ^ a b c Research & Polling Inc
- ^ a b c Research & Polling Inc
- ^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)
- ^ a b c Research & Polling Inc
- ^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)
- ^ "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 5, 2012. Retrieved November 6, 2012.
- ^ "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. November 2, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
- ^ [1], as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ Crystal Ball, as of November 5, 2012[update]
- ^ House Race Ratings, The New York Times, as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ [2], as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ "House Ratings". The Hill. November 3, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
- ^ "Pearce re-election committee has balance of $682K". Las Cruces Sun-News. April 17, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Mesilla Democrat Seeks 2nd Congressional District Seat". Las Cruces Sun-News. Albuquerque Journal. December 1, 2011. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ a b Reichbach, Matthew (March 10, 2012). "Heinrich, Griego win pre-primaries, Balderas with a strong showing". New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on March 17, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ "Sunland Park mayor won't run for Congress". Alamogordo Daily News. Associated Press. October 7, 2011. Retrieved October 11, 2011.
- ^ "Democratic longshot takes on Steve Pearce". Capitol Report New Mexico. November 5, 2011. Archived from the original on March 9, 2016. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Haussamen, Heath (June 29, 2011). "Congressional run isn't likely, Cote says". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved July 18, 2011.
- ^ Haussamen, Heath (May 5, 2011). "Sunland Park mayor running for Congress; Cote might too". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved May 7, 2011.
- ^ "Harry Teague: I won't run again". KRQE. Associated Press. January 7, 2011. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Catanese, David (April 25, 2011). "Ben Ray Lujan won't run for Senate". Politico. Retrieved April 25, 2011.
- ^ Terrell, Steve (November 18, 2011). "Artist, hotel worker takes on Luján in Democratic primary". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved December 3, 2011.
- ^ Haussamen, Heath (January 20, 2012). "Montoya to challenge Luján in CD3 Dem primary". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved January 25, 2012.
- ^ Simonich, Milan (May 11, 2012). "Congressional candidate urges 2,000-mile barricade along US southern border". Carlsbad Current-Argus. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Terrell, Steve (October 31, 2011). "Security-tech entrepreneur seeks to challenge Rep. Luján". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved November 2, 2011.
- ^ AP results
External links
edit- Elections from the New Mexico Secretary of State
- United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2012 at Ballotpedia
- New Mexico U.S. House at OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in New Mexico at OpenSecrets
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation