Talk:List of storms in the 2006 Pacific hurricane season/Ioke

01C.Ioke

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91C.INVEST
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91C just appeared. Chacor 19:02, 16 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

You can clearly see it on the CPHC satellite, but they're uninterested in it. Chacor 19:24, 16 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
That could be a mistake; I think it has a pretty decent chance of development into a rare CPac storm. Could we really be headed for El Nino? CrazyC83 19:39, 16 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
WOW, that looks good. When did the last CPac storm form? -- WmE 20:28, 16 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Depression was 01C last year. Storm was 2002 Pacific hurricane season. Chacor 20:30, 16 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Thanks. -- WmE 20:33, 16 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

They mention it now:

1000 AM HST WED AUG 16 2006
FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

No tropical cyclones are expected through early Friday morning. 
An area of disturbed weather is centered near 107N 144.7W or about 930 miles southeast of Hilo.
This area of disturbed weather is moving toward the west at around 15 mph. A recent quickscat
pass did not indicate any low level circulation, only the presence of an east west oriented
surface trough. Development if any is expected to be slow to occur.

--Ajm81 20:29, 16 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

GFDL calls for a major hurricane with 120+ mph winds... CrazyC83 00:24, 18 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
That would be an impressive break to the long dearth of Central Pacific hurricanes. —Cuiviénen 01:32, 18 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Really, its very sheary out there for cyclones. But its seems to be organized alright. Alastor Moody (talk) 04:32, 18 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Automatic Tropical Cyclone Formation alert has been issued. -- グリフオーザー 19:06, 19 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Would this be Ilena or is there another list. guitarhero777777 21:29, 19 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
If it devellops into a TC and a TS to be named it will be Ioke Lists of tropical cyclone names#Central North Pacific (Date line to 140W), the fourth name of list I.Tropische Storm Sven 22:00, 19 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Dvorak T-numbers initialized with numbers 1.0/1.0. -- RattleMan 23:31, 19 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

NRL has Ioke as a cat.3 again RQSTR 08:48, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

01C.NONAME
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91C has disappeared off NRL, but it you click the "All Storms" tab you'll find 01C. –Chacor 02:03, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Of course, to reiterate - nothing is official until the RSMC (in this case the CPHC) says so. –Chacor 02:10, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

It's still very much likely. Remember that NRL is right 95% of the time (if not more). bob rulz 02:45, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
The system certainly is recording sustained winds to be considered a depression, and its structure reminds me of 16E last year... –Chacor 02:48, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Tropical Depression One-C
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CPHC has it up. – Chacor 03:05, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Here we go. -- WmE 03:06, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Forecast discussion peaks One-C as a low-end 65-knot hurricane. – Chacor 03:09, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Wow, this is getting interesting! CrazyC83 05:12, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
01C.IOKE
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Ioke up on NRL. Waiting for CPHC advisory. -- RattleMan 07:35, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Yay, the first Central Pacific storm in 4 years. I think the fact that there's a storm in the Central Pacific forecast to reach hurricane strength is a sign that there could be at least a mild El Nino trying to form. bob rulz 07:39, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Still about an hour or so away from that advisory. This PDF detailling operations and procedures of the U.S. TC centers has this for the pronunciation: IOKE ee-OH-kehChacor 07:44, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
NRL has Ioke at 35kt/1002mb btw. – Chacor 07:56, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
01C's first discussion had this storm at 30kt in twelve hours... that's way off if NRL has got this right... Johnston Atoll is in the path of this storm, so hopefully it doesn't get too bad. – Chacor 07:59, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
According to the Johnston Atoll page, nobody lives there anymore. The military left it 3 years ago. bob rulz 08:09, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Doesn't have to be people, heh, I meant the (apparent) coral reef that's there. – Chacor 08:12, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

This 06Z model run from the National Hurricane Center refers to "TROPICAL STORM IOKE (CP012006)". – Chacor 08:15, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Tropical Storm Ioke
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As noted above, Johnston Atoll is in the path of the storm. Discussion 2: ONE IMPORTANT ITEM TO NOTE...BASED ON CURRENT FORECAST...IOKE WILL PASS BY ABOUT 75 MILES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND MID DAY ON THE 22ND. THIS WOULD PUT THE ISLAND AND THE NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE THERE INTO THE 50KT PLUS WINDS THREAT. JOHNSTON IS ALSO SUCCEPTIBLE TO HIGH SURF FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST AND IOKE hAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING THAT AS WELL. INTERESTS IN AND AROUND JOHNSTON SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO LATER FORECASTS FROM CPHC.Chacor 09:02, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Wow! Will Loke be a hurricane? cause the NRL forecastes this to be a least a minimal Cat. 1 hurricane. If its true, then it will be about 4 years since the CPac had a hurricane, with the most recent one from 2002. Alastor Moody (talk) 09:06, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
"NRL forecast" = CPHC forecast in graphical format. Discussion 2 peaks Ioke at 70 knots. GFDL peaks Ioke at 95 kt. – Chacor 09:09, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Okay, I know they still both forecast Ioke to be a hurricane at whatever category it is (the CHPC forecasts it to peak at 81 mph). But they doubt it will cross the dateline. Alastor Moody (talk) 09:16, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
That's actually not true. They just doubt it'll cross the dateline within the forecast period, as they don't issue forecasts beyond 120 hours. 70 knots is a Category 1 hurricane, by the way. – Chacor 09:26, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
By the way it's Ioke not Loke. ;)Chacor 09:27, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I think it will basically do as forecast for now but after crossing the dateline, I smell Super Typhoon Ioke. CrazyC83 15:29, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
a possible Category 2 storm by Tuesday. -- グリフオーザー 15:33, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Not going to happen, Crazy - shear is quite high, and it almost definitely won't make it across the date line as anything more than a minimal 65 or 70-kt hurricane, according to the latest discussion. One more thing: keep the wild predictions to yourself or off Wikipedia, please, per the deletion of the AOIs. – Chacor 15:35, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Well look at the Central Pacific getting in on the action! In cync with the Atlantic's eerie silence, the Pacific gets more and more interesting. I agree with Chacor, Crazy is living up to his(neutral gender) name, but I'm still very much impressed. I don't expect it to be anything more than a minimal hurricane, but the prospect of having a hurricane at all in the Central Pacific is exciting. Hawaii's not scared and there are only a couple military guys and some birds on Johnston Island. That place is a rock in the middle of the middle of nowhere. -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 17:21, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Why should Hawaii be scared? It has cleared them already... CrazyC83 19:20, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Johnston Atoll might be in the middle of nowhere, and has been completely empty (there's not even military guys there, as far as I can determine) for over a year, but it is a place for transpacific airliners to make emergency landings if needed, and if one had to occur just before or during Ioke, that could be an issue. I believe that's why the advisory mentions PJON - that's the ICAO code for the airstrip on Johnston. There's also the possibility of tourists being on the atoll - with no one around, it's not like there's anyone to tell them "You can't come here". Any time an island like that is in the path of a hurricane, it's good to mention it. --Golbez 20:24, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

How would tourists be able to get to Johnston Atoll in the first place? Right now, only Robinson Crusoe has to worry about Ioke. Pobbie Rarr 20:33, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Pobbie, boats are amazing machines. Anyone with a boat, a map and a compass could find their way to Johnston, should they set their mind to it. -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 23:23, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Right. After all, if you lived in Hawaii, owned a boat and wanted to get away from it all, going to one of the uninhabited atolls like Johnston or Palmyra could be a very nice weekend. It happens a lot. There might also be a few personnel there checking on the wildlife refuge. --Golbez 00:02, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I agree with mentioning such - and putting it in infoboxes if articles are made (highly unlikely here). CrazyC83 23:17, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Nice eye! [1] -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 23:25, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Will become a hurricane if it shows a developing eye. --Irfanfaiz 23:37, 20 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Wow, can you do that in Hawaii? Just stroll out into the ocean at your heart's content? In that case, we can never be sure that the atoll is unoccupied. What's more, I'd say those out boating in the region are even more at risk. Pobbie Rarr 00:22, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Hurricane Ioke
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With Dvorak clasifications of 4.0, Ioke is now at 65 knot 'cane. -- RattleMan 01:47, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Changed header - not yet from RSMC HNL ;)Chacor 01:59, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
NRL has it at 65kt, and an eye is clearly visible. I'll eat my hat if they're wrong about it. Pobbie Rarr 02:17, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Official now. – Chacor 02:58, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

That was fast! It is rapidly developing for sure! CrazyC83 03:32, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Wow. Tropical depression to hurricane in 24 hours, with the forecast having it close to major hurricane status at its peak. This isn't supposed to happen in a non-El Nino year... bob rulz 03:33, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
My goodness, look at this thing go! This is a very healthy storm. This is quite unusual for the Central Pacific to have conditions so good that a storm would be this vigorous. None of the recent storms out there: Huko, Alika, Upana, Wene or even Ele; were this healthy. By healthy I mean a deep circulation, established outflow channels and expansive central dense overcast. Ele eventually became a strong, well established hurricane, but it didn't start looking impressive until it was crossing the international dateline into the West Pacific. Oliwa and Paka were all West Pacific giants. The latest time I could find a storm this healthy looking in the Central Pacific was in 1994 with a couple of storms: Emilia and John. Ioke won't be able to hold a candle to John but still, that's impressive company to be with. But I don't want to overstate myself. Remember, Ioke is still a minimal hurricane, but in general appearance, it's unusually impressive. -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 05:50, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Well the CPHC and the NHC both forecasts this storm to continue to intensify, maybe even to major hurricane status. I'd also say that Ioke must have been one of the most luckiest storms in this season, cause would a tropical cyclone exist in this sheary basin? Alastor Moody (talk) 08:39, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Discussion/Forecast-Advisory 6 peaks Ioke at 100 knots, which would make it a Category 3 hurricane. – Chacor 08:40, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

If Ioke ever reaches 115 mph status, the 2006 EPac season will beat the 2005 EPac seaon for #'s of major hurricanes. —The preceding unsigned comment was added by Alastor Moody (talkcontribs).
Hurricanes, are, AGAIN, NOT GOOD. This is threatening the national wildlife refuge and the coral reef in the Pacific. On your point though, no it won't, because the Central North Pacific isn't the Eastern North Pacific. – Chacor 08:56, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
We don't even know if it's going to hit Johnston Island. Hurricanes are fun to track, and they're not bad if they don't do anything; there's very little on Johnston Island it could affect. Honestly, you need to lighten up every once in a while...especially considering he never said hurricanes were good. You made a broad assumption based on nothing...again... bob rulz 09:25, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Might I remind you of WP:CIV? No, he didn't say they were good, but he said this: "Will Ioke break the 2005 EPac #'s of major hurricanes?" This is getting old, fast. Also note that Johnston Island is directly in the path of the 34-knot (to 50-knot) wind radius of Ioke. – Chacor 09:34, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Please stop referring to a rule that I am not violating. You're way too sensitive if you think that that I am being uncivil towards you. bob rulz 09:58, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
If you've read the page, you wouldn't have said what you just did, which does violate CIV. And the bit I was referring to was "You made a broad assumption based on nothing...again..." – Chacor 10:10, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
And I was referring to the fact that "If Ioke ever reached 115 mph status, the 2006 EPac season will beat the 2005 EPac season for #'s of major hurricanes" in no way implies that he said hurricanes were a good thing. It also does not imply that he was predicting that if would happen, hence the if is does. Again Chacor, I find no reason to get worked up over something this trivial...this time he never even predicted it to happen. He simply states if it does and will it? which both seem entirely harmless to me. bob rulz 10:29, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Hurricanes are what they are, not all predictions are correct. If this things end-up harmlessly into sea and rapidly weekening, there is nothing to worry about. --Irfanfaiz 10:50, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Major Hurricane Ioke
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...models and the NRL show Ioke at 100 knots...already... -- RattleMan 19:27, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Yeah just saw it too. Incredible. -- WmE 19:29, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I almost feel it warrants an article. Does Johnston Atoll count as land? CrazyC83 21:06, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Maybe, but we should wait until after the storm. What if it does nothing? Hurricanehink (talk) 21:11, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
First major CPAC hurricane since when? Titoxd(?!?) 21:12, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Ele in 2002, which reached the same exact peak intensity that Ioke is forecast to peak at. Well, go Ioke! Watching a storm become a beast is an incredible thing to see. The power of these storms never ceases to amaze me. "I am the God of Thunder//in my kingdom of the skies. I am a being of rage//And I choose who lives and who dies." (A quote from Shakespeare's The Tempest would be perfect here but I didn't have one handy). -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 21:30, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Wow! A 40mph increase in 6 hours. This is something you don't see often in the Central Pacific, and given the storm's history I wouldn't be surprised if it became more powerful than is currently forecast. This went from tropical depression to major hurricane in 42 hours! Truly this is a phenomenal storm. bob rulz 21:40, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
True, it's very impressive, though we should wait until re-analysis. IMO, the storm always looked stronger than what the CPHC stated it was. Hurricanehink (talk) 21:42, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

What a beautiful storm. -- WmE 23:23, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Indeed, the inner-ring of convection is very impressive. It essentially looks like an annular hurricane with spiral bands added on. Pobbie Rarr 23:38, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Wow! Look at Ioke go! It looks so beautiful. It even looks almost like an annular storm with its clearly visible eyewall. Its even impressive to see another major hurricane in the CPac from 4 years ago.Alastor Moody (talk) 23:52, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
LOL, "annular storm with spiral bands added on". An annular hurricane is a powerful hurricane without bands. Hurricane Ioke still has its bands, so looks like, and is, a powerful hurricane. Hurricanehink (talk) 23:57, 21 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Okay Hink, I didn't say that, all I said was it was impressive seeing a major hurricane in the CPac from the most recent one in 2002. Alastor Moody (talk) 00:09, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I don't know why, but it reminds me of Emily last year. -- WmE 00:10, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Hehe, I know annular hurricanes lack bands. What I was trying to say is that the inner-ring of convection looks so impressive. Pobbie Rarr 00:16, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Impressive storm, looks like El Nino is coming up. --Irfanfaiz 01:09, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

115kts per NRL. --Ajm81 01:17, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Not looking good for Johnston Atoll and the reserve... and the coral reef. – Chacor 01:42, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Holy cow, when's this intensification cycle going to end? Pobbie Rarr 02:44, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I don't know!!! CrazyC83 03:03, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
The GFS has also been consistently forecasting this to turn westward into the WPAC and threaten Japan. I don't entirely trust forecasts out that far, but it's something to keep an eye on, since the forecast tracks have also been tending westward. bob rulz 03:11, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
The CPHC thinks it will end soon with Ioke peaking as a 140-mph Cat 4. It's possible but unlikely that Ioke will become a Cat 5; it would be the first Cat 5 in the CPac since 1994 and the first storm that formed in the CPac to become a Cat 5. (Unless Patsy in 1959 was originally a CPac storm.) —Cuiviénen 03:10, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
AFAIK, the only CPac storms to reach Cat 5 were Oliwa and Paka, but they did so in the WPac as super typhoons. No homegrown storm has ever reached Cat 5 within the CPac. CrazyC83 04:29, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
What the? Category 4 already? --Irfanfaiz 03:34, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Ioke seems to be a re-run of Hurricane Daniel (only that Ioke is in the CPac, not the EPac). Alastor Moody (talk) 06:43, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Also, when was the most recent CPac Category 4 hurricane (before Ioke of 2006) that did not cross the dateline? Alastor Moody (talk) 06:50, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Cat 4 in the CPac is difficult to obtain, and I think even counting EPac to CPac crossovers you'd have a hard time finding it. Daniel was a Cat 2 when it crossed over earlier this year. I'll go have a look. – Chacor 06:51, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Looks like Iniki in 1992, but that formed as a TD in the EPac. --Ajm81 06:58, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
1994 Pacific hurricane season - Emilia, Gilma and John, all EPac storms, crossed into the CPac and obtained Category Five status. However, John did cross the date line. – Chacor 07:01, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Looking through the CPHC's archives, there are no storms that reached Cat 4 intensity in the CPac that started as a depression/storm in the CPac (unlike Iniki, TD18E) and did not cross the dateline. The only possibility is Hurricane Dot (1959), but the formation of Dot is unclear, and might have been in the EPac. – Chacor 07:21, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Ioke is now coming annular, it has a visible round eyewall but with still some small spiral bands around it. Alastor Moody (talk) 07:39, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Well so much for the disscussion above cause the NRL forecasts Ioke to edge the dateline was a minimal Category 3 hurricane while Ioke probably enters JMA's grounds within 5 days. Alastor Moody (talk) 08:10, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Here's something funny. All the Hawaiian names beginning with 'I' (and only 'I') have been retired. Is there any chance that Ioke will be worthy enough to have its name retired? ANY? RaNdOm26 08:55, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Is it just me or is it having an eyewall replacement cycle. 24.83.98.3 20:05, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
That looks right. It looks like the eye is reforming. Hurricanehink (talk) 20:34, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
It's falling in intensity pretty fast now (almost as fast as it dropped) but there's still a lot of uncertainty in how strong it could be and where it could go in the future. This could either be another very interesting storm or just completely die as it moves north. bob rulz 20:56, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
If an eye forms this might survive as a cat 2 into the west pacific. Hello32020 21:24, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
(will keep predictions in low quanity) Yea it's definely undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle now. Hello32020 22:56, 22 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Hello, I was just passing through and I noticed that the file "Image:Ioke Error.gif" is out of date. I don't have an account on Commons so I just thought I'd come here ask if someone could upload the most recent error cone image of Ioke for use in the article. 青い(Aoi) 09:11, 23 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

I've already left a request at the Commons Help Desk that a new image be uploaded; new accounts cannot upload new versions of images, which is a pain. – Chacor 09:17, 23 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Well, we now have a little preparations/impact. Here's a story of a plane that stayed on Johnston Island to ride out the storm. Should we add this to the section? Hurricanehink (talk) 20:05, 23 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

I guess. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 20:31, 23 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Category 3 again, i had a strange feeling that this storm will cross the date line. --Irfanfaiz 09:21, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Cat.4 according to NRL - 135mph/945mb. Impressive! Pobbie Rarr 14:47, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
NRL is overforecasting it, as CPHC has put it at 110kt (Cat 3). – Chacor 14:49, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
T6.5/6.5=130kts! Now a strong Cat4! -- WmE 19:10, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

NRL has Ioke up to 125 knots now. Assuming the CPHC does the same, then Ioke will be tied with Iniki for the strongest CPAC hurricane to form in the basin. Hurricanehink (talk) 19:54, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Indeed it is 125 knots (145 mph). How much stronger can she get? CrazyC83 21:18, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Wow! Truly impressive. bob rulz 21:33, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Hello! This would qualify as a bona-fide hurricane, your honor. My goodness, what a beast. Note, the entire world has had just 3 Cat. 5's so far this year (Glenda, Monica, and Saomai). Ioke probably won't get there, but this is one very impressive storm. Daniel still takes the cake though. He challenges Monica for the most impressive storm this year. Just so you know, there hasn't been a storm this strong in the Central Pacific since 1994, when there were three that were at least this strong, but all of them formed in the East Pacific. -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 21:53, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
GFDL explodes Ioke to 180 mph and 914 mb... CrazyC83 22:13, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Question: can the name "Ioke" be retired for land impacts in the Western Pacific if it makes it to Asia and is destructive there? CrazyC83 22:05, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

I doubt it. Oliwa and Paka weren't retired. Miss Madeline | Talk to Madeline 22:20, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

If Ioke drops 3 mbars and becomes stronger then Daniel, will that be in the strongest storm of the EPAC season (even though its CPAC) or will Daniel?guitarhero777777 22:55, 24 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

We'd just list it seperately in the article from Daniel, as we have done with storm numbers and ACE. If it obtains it in the WPac, then nothing doing, even in the WPac article, unless the JMA (who are notoriously conservative) recognise the numbers. – Chacor 00:49, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Hehe, looks like Ioke could be turning annular after all. I see only one rain band at the moment. Pobbie Rarr 03:01, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

The storm is larger than before, NASA didn't have Ioke's MODIS image yet. -Irfanfaiz 03:35, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
NRL listed as 140 knots??? CPHC dosen't say anything about that. --Irfanfaiz 07:31, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Yes, see the new section below (you didn't see it because the Pronunctiation and article sections threw you off) -- RattleMan 07:37, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Ioke at Category 5
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NRL shows 140 knots, 921 mb, and the Cyclone Fixes [2] support it (T7.0)! -- RattleMan 07:27, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

CPHC dosen't show anything but lets wait until the 22nd advisorie. --Irfanfaiz 07:41, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Most recent SSD position/intensity report was still T6.5 (127 kt), at 06Z (a half hour before the fix linked above). – Chacor 08:09, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

CPHC confirms that.Momoko 08:45, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

WOW. This is unbelievable!!!! RaNdOm26 10:26, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
What? This is the strongest CPAC storm ever! --<font color="black"Irfanfaiz 10:49, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
It's the strongest CPac storm to form in the CPac. -- WmE 11:36, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Source? Otherwise it's OR. – Chacor 10:54, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
[3], this is the strongest CPAC storm not the strongest storm in the CPAC (John). --Irfanfaiz 10:57, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I see nothing in that that says this is the strongest CPac. – Chacor 11:41, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Read the CPHC archives. No indigenous CPAC storm has reached this strength while still in the basin. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 16:13, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Anyway, Discussion #24 mentions this specifically so we can cite that. --Ajm81 21:08, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Chacor, it's not original research, it's derivative research. All sources that list category 5 storms include no Central Pacific names; all lists of Central Pacific names include no category 5 storms. We are *extensively* sourced in the hurricane articles here. Thus, when we can look at our sourced articles and find no central cat5, it's not original research to say it's the first one - though sadly it's uncitable, since we cannot cite ourselves. --Golbez 16:46, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

The GFDl predicts to strengthen into a 195-mph storm! íslenskur fellibylur #12 (samtal) 12:57, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Computer models are subject to large errors; SHIP calls for a 19-kt low in 120 hours. – Chacor 13:04, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
This is unbelieveable, especially in a non-El Nino year! CrazyC83 15:38, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Pay attention to the disclaimer on the GFDL run, Icelandic - it says those windspeeds are at the 950mb layer. At 10m above surface (which is where winds are measured) you have to subtract 10%-15% from that (I think that's the typical amount). So 170 kt becomes ~150kt - still formidable, but not quite 195mph.

Should we add Ioke to the List of Category 5 Pacific hurricanes, or wait until it has reached its peak? —The preceding unsigned comment was added by WotGoPlunk (talkcontribs).

I say we wait, because there's an entry for "time spent as Cat 5" - which Ioke still is. – Chacor 16:33, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I agree, there's no reason to turn that list into some polemic me-first. --Golbez 16:46, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

This is the first Pacific cat 5 I've had the pleasure of seeing since I started paying such close attention to hurricanes; it's nice to be able to see one and appreciate it without having to worry about it crushing into a coastline. --Golbez 16:46, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Ioke is now appearing on the JMA's weather summaries (as a hurricane), so we should probably get ready for the crossover. This is probably a fairly good indicator that the JMA will consider it a typhoon when it does cross over. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 23:26, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

which should be about Saturday night, Sunday morning for them. -- グリフオーザー 01:07, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Well then the JMA should be monitoring Ioke at Cat. 2 status by 10-minute wind-speed means. Just like what happened to Saomai. Alastor Moody (talk) 01:20, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Indeed, the CPHC has confirmed the records it has broken, for both homegrown intensity and pressure. This is the strongest storm ever in the Central Pacific at 921mb.[4] CrazyC83 21:34, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Wow, this is amazing! It's got nothing but even warmer waters and very low shear in its way. bob rulz 21:53, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Umm...holy shit. This is unbelievable. John and Patsy still had stronger winds but this is absolutely incredible. 140 kts, 921 millibars. Wow! I'm just speachless. I would like to have something amazing or clever to say but I don't. We're watching history guys. I don't know if you know this, but we've been watching a whole bunch of storms reach historic intensities in the past several years. Ioke. Monica: April 24, 2006; 155 kts, 885 mb...ties South Indian record (set in 1995). Wilma: October 19, 2005; 160 kts, 882 mb...Atlantic record. Zoe: December 27, 2002; 155 kts, 879 mb...South Pacific record. Five-B: October 28, 1999; 140 kts, 898 mb...ties North Indian record (set in 1991). Linda: September 12, 1997; 160 kts, 902 mb...East Pacific record. Most of us missed Super Typhoon Tip in 1979, but were alive to see Ivan, Joan and Keith come close in 1997. These are all incredible storms and it's amazing to watch them become unrivaled monsters. This is the kind of thing many generations before us never got to see. -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 22:32, 25 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Thank god we can see history thanks to wikipedia and sattelites. guitarhero777777 22:44, 25 August 2006 (UTC}
I'll already put up Ioke's entry in the List of Category 5 Pacific hurricanes, i didn't know about her (right? it is Joyce in Hawaiian right?) time as Category 5 and will somebody add her pressure and some additional information? --Irfanfaiz 00:12, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
One model has it going to 182 kt in 108 hrs [5] Hello32020 00:24, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
At 35 meters, where windspeeds are considerably higher than are recorded by NHC. At 35 meters, Ioke's wind speed is way higher than the 160 at recording level. guitarhero777777 02:05, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
182kt, lol! That could certainly uproot a tree or two. Anyway, it's down to 130kt but if anything the satellite imagery is even more impressive. Pobbie Rarr 02:12, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
What a way to end four years of no tropical storms in the CPac basin. This is unbelievable. Jake52 My talk 06:46, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
BIG ISSUE WITH THE TRACK GUIDANCE FOR THE 06Z MODEL SUITE IS THAT THE UKMET TRACK
BOUNCED OFF THE DATE LINE...RESULTING IN AN ERRONEOUS MIRROR IMAGE
TRACK...EASTBOUND BACK INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THIS THREW ALL OF THE CONSENSUS
MODEL TRACKS OFF...BENDING THEM BACK SHARPLY EASTWARD. 

Nice one!--Keith Edkins ( Talk ) 09:38, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Outer rain bands are dissipating [6], could it become an annular? --Irfanfaiz 14:26, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I was womdering that myself as I saw the latest sattelite imagery. guitarhero777777 17:04, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Once again a Cat 5 and IF INDEED IOKE MAINTAINS CATEGORY 4 OR 5 STATUS FOR THE NEXT 96 HOURS...A PRELIMINARY SURVEY OF THE RECORDS SHOW THAT THIS COULD BE A WORLD RECORD FOR LONGEVITY OF A CATEGORY 4 OR GREATER STORM. What an unbeliveable storm! -- WmE 15:18, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Once again, the 12Z model run has UKMET bouncing Ioke off the dateline, forcing the CPHC to disregard computer models. – Chacor 15:19, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Sticking to reliable data, the only hurricanes which spring to mind as being very powerful for a long time are Isabel & Ivan. Ivan was Cat.4 or higher from 0000 (UTC) on September 8 (having just cleared Grenada) to 1800 (UTC) on September 15 (just before landfall in Alabama) - nearly 8 days. Pobbie Rarr 15:37, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Amazing. This storm has a chance to break a world record! If only storms way out in the middle of the Pacific Ocean got more press coverage; it's certainly deserving of it. bob rulz 15:45, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I guess this conversation will move to the W Pac board in a few days... I love storms that crossover(aka Hurricane-Typhoons), and so few do it. -Winter123 16:20, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Sooner than that, it's almost there now. Pobbie Rarr 16:34, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
This is not a board. Please stop treating it as such. And no, for continuity's sake, the discussion should, and probably will, stay here. – Chacor 16:22, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Its very close to the dateline, almost half of the circulation has in fact, crossed it. Also, I think its going under another eyewall recycle stage (my way of saying, eyewall replacement cycle). Alastor Moody (talk) 20:44, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

GFDL now brings Ioke up to 870 mb, tying Super Typhoon Tip... CrazyC83 20:48, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

It would be slightly sad if that happened. Tip earned that record. Tip was the biggest badass in history, not only the most intense storm but the largest. Yes, I thought it was a ripoff when Wilma beat Gilbert's record, too. She cheated. :P I note that the GFDL run also brings her up to 179 kt - a sustained windspeed of 200-205mph, which I believe would be unprecedented. Tip, Camille, and Allen all topped out at 190mph. Thank god almighty she isn't headed anywhere inhabited, but I would be surprised if anything is left of Wake after this. (According to the CIA, there are typically about 200 contractor personnell on Wake; I'm sure they're already making plans to clear out.) --Golbez 20:55, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
(edit conflict) Tip was a unofficial Category 6 super-cyclone in 1979, but it is possible Ioke could reach for the same intensity. Also, it was surely amazing how a 2 mile eyed hurricane became the most intense Atlantic hurricane recorded. Alastor Moody (talk) 21:03, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
It was not an unofficial Category 6 because such a category does not exist. Please don't perpetuate that. A lot of storms have reached a threshhold that would supposedly be called Category 6, but it doesn't exist, nor should it. That Tip made it means nothing. --Golbez 21:21, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Yes, I think a wind speed of 179 kt would be quite an extreme. — Super-Magician (talk • contribs • count) ★ 20:57, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
But fascinating if it happens. --Golbez 21:01, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Also, in the main article for the 2006 EPac season, what does it mean when it says "Record" on Ioke as strongest storm? Alastor Moody (talk) 21:07, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Lowest pressure ever seen in CPac. --Golbez 21:21, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Then what was the second lowest pressure in the CPac? (I'm just wondering and want's to know, not demanding.) Alastor Moody (talk) 22:50, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
You guys seem to have lost your minds. Ioke is a 140 kt system and is not forecast to get any stronger. Guessing anything higher is just speculation. It could do it. But it could do a helluva lot of things. Tip's record is untouchable. Nancy in 1960 is thought to have had somewhere around 200 mph winds but most of its wind readings were contaminated. Tip had gale force winds that extended 600 miles out from the eye in each direction. Its eye was 60-90 nmi in diameter. It clocked wind speeds of 190 mph sustained. Gusts were estimated at around 210 mph. Ioke can't hold a candle to that. Tip is untouchable. Ivan, Joan and Keith all tried and failed. They had the best conditions the world had to offer but couldn't get those extra three millibars needed for them to break the record. Tip's unusually low pressure gradiant gave him the edge. A storm would have to have at least as good a pressure gradiant if not better and even more ideal conditions than Tip had. That situation might show up only once every 500 years. Not good odds. Ioke is still a very impressive storm, but it's no Tip. -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 21:52, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

At this point, I think it's safe to say that Ioke will be a typhoon (and not a STS) after it crosses over. The JMA has issued a marine typhoon warning for that area:

TYPHOON WARNING. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 115 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS RELATED TO HURRICANE IOKE. HURRICANE IOKE : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPA22 PHFO).

Sure, I may be quoting the obvious, but it definitely shows that the JMA considers Ioke to be quite a serious deal, stronger than Saomai and Ewiniar. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 00:27, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Well, at least we now know that JMA can pick up the obvious. I would imagine a huge day-ruiner like Ioke would certainly catch your attention. 160 mph is a stiff breeze. -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 04:52, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Things in Ioke's way
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Looking at the latest NRL track map (It has the smaller islands on it, unlike the CPHC's),[7] it looks like the bubble of uncertainty passes very near the Marshall Islands, and the line goes straight over Wake Island. The NRL map says it will hit Wake in 72 hours. --Golbez 20:46, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Small atolls like that seldom have any effect on monster storms like this. Eyewall replacement cycles will inhibit strengthening but toward the end of the forecast period, CPHC says that shear will increase somewhat and start a weakening trend. That sounds like it may eventually be the end of Ioke. -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 21:59, 26 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Correct. I just cannot believe the GFDL, which continues to get insane (even I cannot see such insanity). Now it is saying 864 mbar and 210 mph, which is pushing the limits of physics... CrazyC83 01:41, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
The GFDL does indeed appear to be on crack this evening. It'll be interesting to see what the CPHC thinks of this in the 5 PM advisory. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 02:04, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

From what I know, Wake Island is virtually a carbon copy of Johnston Atoll. I know it had a U.S. military base there, but I'm not sure if it's still occupied or not. The Marshall Islands should escape Ioke, lying significantly enough to the south. Ditto for the Mariana Islands. In the long-term, it could hit Japan or it could just recurve back out to sea and dissipate. Pobbie Rarr 02:48, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Wake is a bit larger than Johnston I think, and according to the CIA there's a semipermanent population of 200 contractors. --Golbez 03:11, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Well then, I think evacuation could be an outstanding career move at this point. Pobbie Rarr 03:13, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I would say so. I may start a shell of an article soon if I catch a break in all this activity. They'd better have somewhere to go, after all this is a potentially catastrophic hurricane-turning-typhoon... CrazyC83 03:38, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Yeah, semi-perminant. I think storms like Ioke would make the post even less perminant (or non-existant, depending on how close a shave we're talking about here). I would imagine any sane human being would run from Ioke like the citizens of Tokyo ran from Godzilla. -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 04:58, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Super Typhoon Ioke
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It's about to cross 180 now. When are the first JMA and JTWC advisories? CrazyC83 03:38, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

JTWC will issue at 04Z (normal release time for EPac/CPac systems), 09Z (normnal release time for WPac systems), 15Z etc. JMA will likely pick it up at its 03Z intermediate (which will be released at about 0500Z) or 06Z full advisory. – Chacor 03:41, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

User:CrazyC83/Ioke to check out a sandbox article I created on Ioke. Should it be published? To where? CrazyC83 04:02, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Not until it dies, imo. Not enough info yet, and the practice for WPac is to hold off on articles while active, even if they cause major damage (like Saomai and Ewiniar). – Chacor 04:08, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Also, Nilfanion's doing an article too, you might want to co-ordinate with him. – Chacor 04:09, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
NRL showed Ioke's pressure down to 900 mbar. --Irfanfaiz 06:57, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Waiting on the JMA's 06Z advisory. – Chacor 06:59, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

GFDL has it at 191 kts/860 mb which I believe is going against the laws of physics.Code1390 07:02, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

I think the GFDL is about to OD on crack. bob rulz 07:10, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

JMA advisory: 105 knots, 920 hPa, which makes Ioke the strongest WPac storm yet this year. – Chacor 07:11, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Let's hope this thing spins off to nowhere, if it hits anywhere at even reduced strength, many people are going to die... Typhoonchaser 07:31, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
--sigh-- How many times must we come in and temper the speculation here, people? bob rulz 07:35, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
The people in the WPTC IRC channel agreed earlier that all comments/predictions etc. should stay off Wikipedia, so we created this. It's a compromise, we keep most stupidity off here (we can still discuss the systems here), but the n00bs get their AOIs back. Back on topic, Ioke's not heading for land at the moment. Interestingly, the JMA 06Z and CPHC 03Z forecast tracks seem to differ, but maybe that's because JMA only does 3 days. – Chacor 07:38, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Are guys at GFDL crazy? It is still 920 mbar (JMA) and 140 kts (1-min). Lets stick to official advisories/forecasts/predictions. --Irfanfaiz 07:49, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

JTWC 09Z advisory puts Ioke at 179.7 W, meaning a hurricane. – Chacor 08:36, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

GFDL is a computer model, Irfanfaiz. -- §HurricaneERIC§ archive 17:30, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
It is weakening right now, i hope i didn't go for to Tokyo. --IrfanFaiz 09:20, 28 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

To answer the questions about the GFDL's problems, Dr. Masters says this: "[T]he GFDL model in the Central Pacific is not being run with its full coupled ocean model, so these extreme forecasts of Ioke's intensification are probably overdone." [8]BazookaJoe 17:32, 27 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

JMA 12Z and JTWC 06Z forecasts using Google Earth. Forecast positions of the JMA are the yellow warning signs. Forecast positions of the JTWC are the yellow warning signs with red circle. Past positions from the JMA are in yellow. – Chacor 14:15, 28 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Ioke now seems to be an annular hurricane. Alastor Moody (talk) 21:37, 28 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I guess no, look at those rainbands on the eastern part of the storm, everything is reforming i guess. --IrfanFaiz 22:25, 28 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Where do you see it becoming annular, Alastor? It still looks very much non-annular to me, although it's possible that it could be on its way there. Either way it looks just as impressive as it ever has, and I wouldn't be surprised if this was back up to category 5 intensity at the next advisory. bob rulz 22:29, 28 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

JMA down to 100 kt for the 00Z. – Chacor 01:52, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

They do do it under the 10 min sustained rule. (that's a long time!) If it was still in CPAC, it would be a cat 4, i think. guitarhero777777 03:34, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Another eyewall replacement cycle? [9]

--IrfanFaiz 05:59, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Isnt something missing for the article, this is only the 2nd time a storm has hit category 5 status twice in the EPac-the other being Emilia 12 years ago. Shouldnt that be mentioned?Mitchazenia 16:28, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Well bob rulz, then what do you think how Ioke is still retaining Category 4 status? --§ Alastor "Mad-Eye" Moody (talk + contribs + userboxes) 18:31, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

What is the obsession with annularity? It doesn't actually mean anything significant. A TC can maintain a high intensity for a long time with or without annular structure, its just less prone to eyewall replacement with an annular structure.--Nilfanion (talk) 18:34, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Well, a few days ago Ioke did look like turning annular (diminishing rain bands, symmetric appearance), but an eyewall-replacement cycle stopped that from happening. But yeah, just like post-2005 hype we now have post-Daniel hype. Annular hurricanes aren't all that common. Pobbie Rarr 20:00, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Now up again to 140kts on NRL. 24.85.160.56 19:26, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I agree with Nilfanion. Being obsessed with annularity is a nutsy thing to do because 1, it gets VERY annoying. 2) Being obsessed with one small thing is ridiculous. So Ioke is going through a possible annual hurricane thing, I didnt see nutsy things like this with Daniel.Mitchazenia 20:28, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Like I said, since Daniel some people have become over-expectant of annular hurricanes. They need to realise that they just don't occur that often (though it IS possible to have more than one per season - like Darby & Howard in the 1998 EPac season). Pobbie Rarr 20:33, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Just edited Ioke's status from the advisory fom the JTWC. Category 5 Super Typhoon again 140 knots//160 mph.Mitchazenia 21:13, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
This thing cant stop intensifying and this thing is a fairly LARGE system, 705 km (380 nm). --IrfanFaiz 22:44, 29 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Impressive system, looks like it will deserve the reward of the longest tropical cyclone to maintain Category 4+ status. --IrfanFaiz 15:41, 30 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I agree. She just doesn't want to slow down! Who would have thought when we first had Ioke forming that this would have happened? CrazyC83 20:58, 30 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Great find from someone on Storm2k. It's a NOAA site with observations from Wake Island - updates every 12 minutes. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 01:41, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Awesome, thanks. It's been skipping out the last few hours - windspeeds are up to 43 knots and pressure is down to 989. This is weird, watching a super typhoon in text form in real time. Based on my math, it should be passing over Wake at 2am EDT. --Golbez 02:19, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Winds are approaching typhoon force now. Last report was 57 kt, gusts to 74 kt. Pressure is 972 mbar. Also note how the water temperatures are cooling as the center of Ioke approaches. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 05:41, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
JTWC forecast tracks shows here to move towards Japan! I hope it will turn at the last moment! --IrfanFaiz 08:10, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Have you read the latest JTWC prognostic reasoning? I'm assuming you haven't, because there's a mention about a recurvature past TAU 72. – Chacor 08:13, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Wake weather station seems to be offline. Final good report was received at 0618Z, with sustained winds of 68kt, gusts of 87kt, and pressure down to 964.3. The next report was received at 0642Z, but showed minimal windspeeds, so either the eye passed over (which wasn't supposed to happen yet I didn't think) or the anemometer broke. The pressure was down to 960.0. --Golbez 08:38, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply

Maybe the personnel at the station was evacuated from the island. --IrfanFaiz 09:57, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Uh, yeah, we knew that. The islane was completely evacuated. The weather station is automated, though. --Golbez 10:00, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
The station last recorded 934.30 mbar [10], after that no data is available. --IrfanFaiz 12:47, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
There is a french guy staying on Wake to submit these data plots. I hope he's ok. -- WmE 19:43, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
I think Japan could be in danger for Ioke. Ioke shows no mercy at any landmass it coming to. --§ Alastor "Mad-Eye" Moody (talk + contribs + userboxes) 22:14, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Now 984.40 mbar from that station, Ioke has passed it i guess. --IrfanFaiz 22:15, 31 August 2006 (UTC)Reply
Ioke is now undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle, [11]

i hope that will weaken it and finally ending this annular tropical cyclone-like behaviour. --12:37, 1 September 2006 (UTC)

Ioke is NOT annular. Anyway, it's down to 115 kt/927mb - just about hanging onto Cat. 4 status now. Pobbie Rarr 13:34, 1 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
What does that mean? Ioke was never annular. Hurricanehink (talk) 13:35, 1 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
I know she's not annular but she behaved like annular. --IrfanFaiz 23:08, 1 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
How? If you're refering to her retaining high intensity, that's irrelevant; Ioke still went through (and still is going through) eyewall-replacement cycles, which is why she has moved between Categories 4 and 5 a number of times. A true annular hurricane would typically retain uniform intensity for a considerable period of time. Pobbie Rarr 02:20, 2 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
Now a Category 3, with the eyewalls still contracting. I hope it would not restrengthen. --IrfanFaiz 12:27, 2 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
Size now 925 km in diameter, is it ever going to expand? --IrfanFaiz 12:29, 2 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
I think its beginning to weaken. --§ Alastor "Mad-Eye" Moody (talk + contribs + userboxes) 05:34, 3 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
It's probably the end of Ioke. (finally!) --IrfanFaiz 03:24, 4 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
Not yet. It still has several days of life ahead of it. It's just not expected to affect anymore land, as far as I know. bob rulz 04:03, 4 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
I thought it was headed for Tokyo. guitarhero777777 04:24, 4 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
Jeez, people.Chacor 04:26, 4 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
I forgot to mention the curving away from land. The surf should be affected by Ioke though.guitarhero777777 04:29, 4 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
It's looking a bit better now, it still needs more convection though... 24.85.160.56 06:16, 4 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
Cat 1 now! --IrfanFaiz 10:07, 4 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
Extratropical Ioke
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Latest from SSD: 05/1933 UTC 41.5N 152.0E EXTRATROPICAL IOKE -- RattleMan 00:11, 6 September 2006 (UTC)Reply

Ioke now seems to be a mid-latitude cyclone as I see it. --§ Alastor "Mad-Eye" Moody (talk + contribs + userboxes) 00:16, 6 September 2006 (UTC)Reply
Winds down to tropical storm strength. --§ Alastor "Mad-Eye" Moody (talk + contribs + userboxes) 02:57, 6 September 2006 (UTC)Reply

JMA has finally ended Ioke: "final position PSTN 070000UTC 54N 170E" -- RattleMan 02:14, 7 September 2006 (UTC)Reply

Final track made in google earth. Unfortunately this will count as OR, but total distance travelled by Ioke is about 5,875 miles - 9400 km. – Chacor 04:24, 7 September 2006 (UTC)Reply