Opinion polling for the 2008 Italian general election

In the years running up to the 2008 Italian general election, various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in Italy. Results of such polls are given in this article. Poll results are reported at the dates when the fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; if such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. Under the Italian par condicio (equal conditions) law, publication of opinion polls is forbidden in the last two weeks of an electoral campaign.[1][2]

Party vote

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Graphical summary

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4-point average trend line of poll results from April 2006 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.
  FI/PdL
  PD
  Lega
  UDC
  IdV
  PRC/SA
  AN
  FdV
  PdCI
  LD

2008

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Date Polling firm PD PdL UDC SA LN IdV LD Others Lead
13–14 April Election results 33.2 37.4 5.6 3.1 8.3 4.4 2.4 5.6 4.2
26–27 Mar Crespi 32.9 37.2 5.5 6.3 5.0 4.0 4.0 5.1 4.3
25–26 Mar Demos&Pi 34.8 39.8 5.8 6.0 5.9 4.3 3.4 5.0
21–25 Mar Lorien 32.5 39.1 7.1 7.2 5.4 3.0 2.2 3.5 6.6
21–22 Mar ISPO 35.0 39.5 5.5 7.0 4.5 3.5 1.5 3.5 4.5
17–21 Mar Quaeris 32.5 37.2 6.0 6.5 6.0 3.8 3.7 4.3 4.7
17–21 Mar Euromedia 32.2 38.3 5.1 7.8 5.5 3.8 2.5 4.8 6.1
13–17 Mar Demoskopea 34.5 40.5 6.0 7.5 5.0 2.5 2.5 1.5 6.0
15–16 Mar Digis 34.5 40.4 6.9 6.7 4.1 3.7 1.6 2.1 5.9
14 Mar ClandestinoWeb 32.0 35.0 7.4 7.2 5.5 3.0 4.0 3.9 3.0
11–13 Mar Lorien 32.9 39.2 7.3 7.3 4.8 3.0 1.9 3.6 6.3
10–13 Mar Demopolis 33.5 38.0 6.5 7.5 5.0 3.5 2.5 4.5 4.5
5–13 Mar Quaeris 32.0 37.0 7.0 6.5 6.0 4.0 3.5 4.0 5.0
11 Mar ISPO 33.5 39.0 5.5 9.5 4.5 3.0 3.5 2.5 5.5
7–11 Mar Dinamiche 33.2 37.9 6.1 7.7 5.6 3.7 2.0 3.9 4.7
10 Mar Crespi 31.8 34.8 7.4 7.0 6.0 3.0 4.2 6.0 3.0
5–10 Mar Demos&Pi 34.0 39.3 6.0 6.2 5.5 4.5 1.9 2.7 5.3
8–9 Mar Digis 33.4 41.1 7.0 7.1 4.6 3.3 1.5 2.0 7.7
6–7 Mar IPR 32.0 38.0 7.0 7.5 4.5 4.0 2.5 3.5 6.0
3–6 Mar Lorien 33.7 37.0 7.4 7.9 6.0 2.9 2.1 3.2 3.3
20 Feb–4 Mar ISPO 35.0 39.5 5.5 6.0 5.0 3.0 2.5 3.5 4.5
3 Mar Crespi 30.8 37.9 6.9 6.5 5.0 4.2 4.0 4.3 6.9
28 Feb–3 Mar Demoskopea 33.5 40.5 7.5 8.0 4.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 7.0
29 Feb–1 Mar Euromedia 32.4 40.0 5.7 7.0 5.0 3.0 2.2 4.5 7.6
28–29 Feb IPR 32.0 38.0 7.0 7.5 4.5 4.0 2.5 4.2 6.0
25–28 Feb Demopolis 33.5 39.0 5.0 8.0 5.0 3.5 6.0 5.5
25 Feb Crespi 32.5 37.0 6.5 7.0 5.3 3.0 3.6 5.1 4.5
21–25 Feb Demoskopea 34.5 39.5 6.0 8.5 4.0 2.0 1.0 3.5 5.0
22–23 Feb Euromedia 32.9 40.6 3.8 7.9 5.6 3.5 1.2 4.3 7.7
18 Feb Crespi 31.0 37.5 7.0 8.0 5.5 3.2 3.3 4.5 6.5
14–18 Feb Demoskopea 32.5 40.0 7.0 8.5 4.5 2.0 2.0 3.5 7.5
11–12 Feb Crespi 32.0 37.0 6.5 9.0 6.0 2.5 3.5 3.5 5.0
10–12 Feb Ferrari Nasi 32.0 41.0 2.9 4.1 7.0 6.5 2.7 3.8 9.0
11 Feb Ipsos 34.8 40.2 5.3 7.1 5.9 3.8 1.6 1.3 5.4
4–11 Feb Piepoli 29.0 40.5 8.0 8.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 11.5
25–31 Jan Demopolis 29.0 40.5 6.5 10.0 5.0 3.0 1.5 4.5 11.5
21–22 Jan Ekma 26.4 38.0 7.2 9.2 7.0 3.8 3.3 6.3 11.6
9–10 Jan Ekma 27.0 40.0 3.5 7.8 7.0 4.0 3.0 5.7 13.0

2007

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Date Polling firm Ulivo/
PD
FI AN UDC PRC LN PdCI IdV FdV LD Others Lead
13–14 Dec Ekma 31.0 33.0 9.0 2.8 3.0 5.0 1.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 6.2 2.0
3–7 Dec Dinamiche 25.7 27.1 12.5 6.3 5.3 5.2 2.3 3.4 2.0 3.5 7.9 1.4
19 Nov Ekma 30.0 33.2 9.0 2.8 3.0 4.8 1.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 8.2 3.2
9–11 Nov Ekma 29.2 28.5 11.0 4.2 3.5 5.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 3.4 8.2 0.7
19 Nov Ekma 26.0 26.5 14.0 4.5 5.5 7.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 8.5 0.5
27–30 Sep ISPO 26.6 28.2 14.2 5.0 5.3 5.0 1.8 3.5 2.1 6.3 1.6
11–13 Sep Eurisko 26.2 27.0 14.2 6.8 5.5 5.0 2.2 3.1 2.7 8.1 0.8
7–10 Sep Ekma 28.0 30.0 9.0 3.5 3.0 5.7 1.0 4.2 3.5 2.8 8.3 2.0
2–3 Jul Ekma 27.5 29.9 10.8 5.0 4.0 6.0 1.2 3.9 3.0 8.7 2.4
4–5 Jul Ekma 27.5 30.0 8.2 5.0 4.0 6.0 1.2 3.9 3.0 3.2 8.0 2.5
25–27 Jun Eurisko 24.3 26.3 13.7 6.6 6.6 5.7 2.2 2.7 2.3 9.6 2.0
8–9 Jun Euromedia 25.4 32.0 11.4 5.4 5.3 5.5 2.3 2.4 2.0 8.3 6.6
1 Jun Ekma 25.0 30.0 11.0 5.5 4.0 5.9 1.4 4.1 3.0 10.1 5.0
2 May Ekma 26.0 30.0 10.0 7.0 4.0 5.9 2.0 4.3 3.3 7.5 4.0
2–3 Apr Ekma 23.0 29.5 11.0 7.5 4.0 5.0 2.0 4.7 3.5 8.8 6.5
29–31 Mar IPR 25.0 27.0 13.0 5.5 5.0 4.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 12.0 2.0
1–2 Mar Ekma 24.0 28.5 12.0 7.0 4.0 5.0 2.5 4.0 3.0 9.0 4.5
8 Jan–2 Mar Euromedia 26.8 33.0 11.3 4.8 5.1 5.1 2.1 2.4 2.0 7.4 6.2
21 Feb Unicab 25.9 29.3 13.6 7.2 4.2 4.3 1.8 2.8 2.0 8.9 3.4
1–2 Feb Ekma 26.0 28.0 12.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 2.5 4.0 2.5 10.0 2.0
8–9 Jan Ekma 26.0 30.0 11.5 5.5 4.5 5.0 2.7 3.5 2.2 8.1 4.0
8 Jan Euromedia 26.0 32.6 11.8 4.1 5.8 5.3 2.2 2.3 1.9 8.0 6.6

2006

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Date Polling firm Ulivo FI AN UDC PRC LN PdCI IdV FdV Others Lead
15 Dec Euromedia 28.1 31.5 12.2 3.9 5.7 4.8 2.1 2.4 2.0 7.4 3.4
30 Nov–1 Dec Ekma 26.0 30.0 12.0 6.0 4.5 5.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 8.5 4.0
17 Nov Unicab 26.4 28.1 14.0 7.6 4.9 5.0 1.9 1.7 2.0 8.4 1.7
9–10 Nov Ekma 27.0 28.0 10.0 6.0 5.0 6.0 3.0 3.5 2.0 8.0 1.0
19 Oct Euromedia 28.3 29.4 12.0 4.7 5.0 5.1 2.5 2.8 2.3 7.9 1.1
13 Oct Euromedia 29.0 29.0 11.4 5.3 5.3 4.7 2.1 2.3 2.1 9.1 0.0
26 Sep–3 Oct Eurisko 30.0 23.2 13.2 6.4 6.2 3.7 2.3 2.9 2.1 8.6 6.8
28–29 Sep Eurisko 30.0 27.0 11.0 5.0 5.0 5.5 2.0 3.0 2.0 9.5 3.0
12 Jul–15 Sep Ekma 30.0 28.0 11.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 2.5 3.5 2.0 9.0 2.0
17–18 Jul IPR 30.0 20.5 11.5 9.0 7.0 4.5 2.0 3.5 1.5 10.5 9.5
12–13 Jul Ekma 30.0 28.0 10.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 9.0 2.0
9–10 April Election results 31.3 23.7 12.3 6.8 5.8 4.6 2.3 2.3 2.1 8.8 7.6

References

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  1. ^ "Diffusione dei sondaggi" (in Italian). AGCOM. Archived from the original on 20 February 2018. Retrieved 3 November 2022.
  2. ^ Crespi, Luigi (20 February 2018). "Il blocco dei sondaggi è il trionfo dell'ipocrisia". HuffPost (in Italian). Archived from the original on 20 February 2018. Retrieved 3 November 2022.