In the run up to the Indian general election, 2019 , various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in India . Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the Jan 2018 to April 2019. Many organisations have gone on to conduct exit polls and post-poll surveys as well, which too are displayed.
Opinion polls in India can be controversial. These charges include partisan manipulation.[ 1]
Opinion poll methodology has heavily improved and agencies like CSDS have got it absolutely correct on 16 occasions, roughly correct on 7 occasions and wrong on 4 occasions.[ 2]
Post-poll surveys or Exit polls, widely published, are fundamentally different from opinion polls.[ 3]
Number of seats projected in opinion polls per alliance over time.
Indian General Election Trends - 2019
Various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in India. The results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election , held in April and May 2014, to the present day. The ECI banned the release of exit polls from 11 April to 19 May, the last phase of the elections.[ 4] The commission also banned the publication or broadcast in the media of predictions made by astrologers and tarot card readers.[ 5]
Poll type
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Majority
Ref
NDA
UPA
Opinion polls
8 April 2019
Times Now-VMR
279
149
115
7
[ 6]
6 April 2019
India TV -CNX
275
126
142
3
[ 7]
Mar 2019
Times Now-VMR
283
135
125
11
[ 8]
Mar 2019
News Nation
270
134
139
Hung
[ 9]
Mar 2019
CVoter
264
141
138
Hung
[citation needed ]
Mar 2019
India TV-CNX
285
126
132
13
[ 10]
Mar 2019
Zee 24 Taas
264
165
114
Hung
[ 11]
Feb 2019
VDP Associates
242
148
153
Hung
[ 12]
Jan 2019
Times Now-VMR
252
147
144
Hung
[ 13]
Jan 2019
ABP News-CVoter
233
167
143
Hung
[ 14]
Jan 2019
India Today -Karvy
237
166
140
Hung
[ 15]
Jan 2019
VDP Associates
225
167
150
Hung
[ 16]
Dec 2018
India Today
257
146
140
Hung
[ 17]
Dec 2018
ABP News-CVoter
247
171
125
Hung
[ 18]
Dec 2018
India TV-CNX
281
124
138
9
[ 19]
Nov 2018
ABP News-CVoter
261
119
163
Hung
[ 20]
Oct 2018
ABP News
276
112
155
4
[ 21]
Aug 2018
India Today -Karvy
281
122
140
9
[ 22]
May 2018
ABP News-CSDS
274
164
105
2
[ 23]
Jan 2018
CVoter
335
89
119
63
[citation needed ]
Jan 2018
India Today
309
102
132
37
[ 24]
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Mar 2019
News Nation[ 9]
34%
28%
38%
6%
Mar 2019
ABP News – C voter[ 25] [ 26]
41%
31%
28%
10%
Jan 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 27]
38.7%
32.6%
28.7%
6.1%
Jan 2019
CVoter[citation needed ]
37.6%
32.2%
30.2%
5.4%
Jan 2019
India Today -Karvy[ 15]
35%
33%
32%
2%
April–May 2014
2014 General election results
36.0%
23.0%
42.0%
13.0%
Polling on politicians
edit
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
Narendra Modi
Rahul Gandhi
Jan 2019
India Today[ 28]
60%
24%
36%
Jan 2019
India TV - CNX[ 29]
41%
23%
18%
Nov 2018
ABP News- C Voter[ 20]
56%
36%
20%
Oct 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 30]
60%
34%
26%
Jan 2018
66%
28%
38%
2017
69%
26%
43%
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
Yes
No
Feb 2019
ABP news - Cvoter[ 31]
60%
32%
28%
Best Alternative to Narendra Modi amongst the Opposition leaders in 2019 Election
edit
Date published
Polling agency
Don't know
Lead
Better
Worse
Jan 2019
India Today -Karvy[ 34]
49%
28%
23%
21%
Aug 2018
India Today -Karvy[ 34]
51%
24%
25%
27%
Jan 2018
India Today -Karvy[ 34]
56%
21%
23%
34%
Date published
Polling agency
Unemployment
Price rise
Corruption
Farmers' plight
Jan 2019
India today - Karvy[ 35]
37%
19%
15%
12%
Farm distress; Low crop causing farm distress
edit
Date published
Polling agency
Don't know
Lead
Yes
No
Jan 2019
India today - Karvy[ 35]
65%
25%
10%
40%
Jobs; Enough created
edit
Date published
Polling agency
Don't know
Lead
Yes
No
Jan 2019
India today - Karvy[ 35]
12%
76%
12%
64%
Date published
Polling agency
Yes
No
Not aware of deal
Can't say
Jan 2019
India today - Karvy[ 36]
30%
32%
23%
15%
Statewise opinion polling
edit
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
TDP
YSRCP
6 April 2019
IndiaTV-CNX [ 37]
7
18
11
Arunachal Pradesh (2)
edit
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
AIUDF
6 April 2019
IndiaTV-CNX [ 37]
5
5
2
–
Mar 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 38]
8
4
2
4
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
AIUDF
Mar 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 38]
37.0%
32.4%
12.8%
14.3%
4.60%
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
6 April 2019
IndiaTV-CNX [ 37]
29
11
18
Jan 2019
ABP News - Cvoter[ 39]
35
5
30
Nov 2018
ABP News- C Voter[ 20]
34
6
28
Oct 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 30]
22
18
4
31
9
22
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 37]
3
8
5
March 2019
News Nation[ 9]
5
6
1
Jan 2019
India TV - CNX[ 40]
5
6
1
Oct 2018
Times Now[ 41]
8
3
5
Oct 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 30]
9
2
7
Oct 2018
Times Now[ 41]
8
3
5
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
JCC
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 42]
2
–
2
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
6 April 2019
India TV-CNX[ 42]
24
2
22
March 2019
News Nation[ 9]
21
5
16
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
INLD
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 42]
9
1
–
8
Jan 2019
ABP News - Cvoter[ 39]
7
3
–
4
Oct 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 30]
6
3
1
3
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
INLD
Himachal Pradesh (4)
edit
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Jammu and Kashmir (6)
edit
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 42]
2
4
2
Mar 2019
Times Now[ 38]
2
4
2
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
JKPDP
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
9 April 2019
Times Now - VMR[ 43]
11
3
8
8 April 2019
News Nation[ 44]
9
5
4
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 45]
10
4
6
30 March 2019
VDP Associates[ 46]
7
7
–
5 January 2019
VDP Associates[ 47]
4
10
6
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 37]
16
12
4
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
UDF
LDF
NDA
15–19 April 2019
Twenty Four News[ 48]
10-12
8-10
0-2
0-4
14 April 2019
Asianet News - AZ Research[ 49]
13
6
1
7
8 April 2019
Mathrubhoomi News - Nielson[ 50]
14
5
1
9
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 37]
14
5
1
9
March 2019
News Nation[ 9]
15
4
1
11
March 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 38]
16
3
1
12
Oct 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 51]
12
6
2
6
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
UDF
LDF
NDA
15-19 Apr 2019
Twenty Four News[ 48]
42%
39%
15%
3%
14 April 2019
Asianet News – AZ Research[ 49]
41%
34%
19%
7%
8 April 2019
Mathrubhoomi News – Nielson[ 50]
41%
37%
16%
4%
Mar 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 38]
45%
29.2%
21.7%
15.8%
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
6 April 2019
IndiaTV-CNX[ 37]
21
8
13
Mar 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 38]
24
5
19
Jan 2019
ABP News -Cvoter[ 39]
23
6
17
Jan 2019
India TV - CNX[ 40]
18
11
7
Nov 2018
ABP News - C Voters[ 20]
22
7
15
Oct 2018
Times Now[ 41]
21
8
13
Oct 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 30]
23
6
17
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Mar 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 38]
49.20%
39.70%
4.30%
9.5%
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
SHS
UPA
NCP
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 52]
34
13
21
Jan 2019
ABP News - Cvoter[ 39]
28
20
8
Jan 2019
VDP Associates[ 53]
23
2
23
–
Jan 2019
India TV - CNX[ 54]
22
8
18
4
Nov 2018
ABP News- C Voter[ 20]
23
5
14
6
9
Oct 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 30]
16
2
30
14
36
12
24
22
7
11
8
11
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
UPA
NDA
NPF
Mar 2019
Times Now[ 38]
1
1
0
–
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
UPA
MNF
NDA
Mar 2019
Times Now[ 38]
0
1
1
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
UPA
NPF
NDA
March 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 38]
0
1
0
1
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
UPA
NPF
Others
Mar 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 38]
30.1%
68.7%
5.9%
38.6%
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
BJD
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 37]
6
1
14
8
Jan 2019
ABP News - Cvoter[ 39]
12
–
9
3
Nov 2018
ABP News- C Voter[ 20]
13
3
5
6
Oct 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 30]
13
2
6
7
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
BJD
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
AAP
6 April 2019
India TV[ 37]
3
9
1
6
Mar 2019
Zee 24 Taas[ 11]
1
10
2
6
Mar 2019
India TV[ 55]
3
9
1
6
Jan 2019
ABP News - Cvoter[ 39]
1
12
0
11
Oct 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 30]
1
12
0
11
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
AAP
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 37]
17
8
9
March 2019
News Nation[ 9]
17
8
9
Jan 2019
India TV - CNX[ 40]
15
10
5
Jan 2019
VDP Associates[ 56]
12
13
1
Nov 2018
ABP News- C Voters[ 20]
17
8
9
Oct 2018
Times Now[ 41]
24
1
23
Oct 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 30]
18
7
11
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
UPA
SDF
NDA
8 April 2019
News X[ 57]
0
1
1
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 37]
0
1
1
March 2019
Times Now[ 38]
0
1
1
AIADMK is part of NDA alliance in Tamil Nadu.
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
TRS
UPA
BJP
AIMIM
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 37]
12
4
0
1
8
Mar 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 38]
12
1
2
1
10
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
UPA
TRS
AIMIM
NDA
Mar 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 38]
30.30%
41.20%
7.4%
17.60%
10.9%
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
LDF
NDA
UPA
Mar 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 38]
0
2
0
2
March 2019
India TV-CNX[ 55]
1
1
0
–
Jan 2019
Times Now-VMR[ 62]
0
2
0
2
Dec 2018
India Today[ 17]
1
1
0
–
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
MGB
8 April 2019
News Nation[ 63]
37
2
41
4
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 37]
41
4
35
6
3 April 2019
ABP News - Nielsen[ 64]
36
2
42
6
1 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 65]
46
4
30
16
19 March 2019
Times Now - VMR[ 38]
42
2
36
6
12 March 2019
News Nation[ 9]
35
2
43
8
8 March 2019
India TV - CNX[ 66]
41
4
35
6
31 January 2019
Times Now - VMR[ 62]
27
2
51
24
24 January 2019
ABP News - Cvoter[ 39]
25
4
51
26
23 January 2019
India Today[ 67]
18
4
58
40
2 November 2018
ABP News - CVoter[ 20]
31
5
44
13
5 October 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 30]
36
2
42
6
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
MGB
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
Jan 2019
India TV - CNX[ 40]
4
1
3
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
AITC
LF
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 42]
12
1
28
1
16
Mar 2019
ABP News- Nielsen[ 68]
8
3
31
–
23
Jan 2019
Spick Media[ 69]
8
4
30
0
22
Nov 2018
Spick Media[ 70]
5
4
32
1
27
Nov 2018
ABP News- C Voter[ 20]
9
1
32
–
23
Andaman and Nicobar Islands (1)
edit
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
AAP
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
AAP
Dadra and Nagar Haveli (1)
edit
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
NDA
UPA
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
UPA
NDA
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
UPA
NDA
NCP
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
UPA
NDA
Date published
Polling agency
Others
Lead
UPA
NDA
Date published
Polling agency
Lead
NDA
UPA
AAP
6 April 2019
India TV - CNX[ 42]
7
0
0
7
March 2019
News Nation[ 9]
6
0
1
5
Jan 2019
India TV - CNX[ 40]
5
1
1
4
Oct 2018
ABP News- CSDS[ 30]
4
–
3
1
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^ Karandikar, Rajeeva (2 April 2014). "Power and Limitations of Opinion Polls: My Experiences" . The Hindu Center . Retrieved 20 March 2019 .
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^ "Predicting election results by astrologers, tarot card, others violation of law: EC to media" . Business Today . 9 April 2019. Retrieved 11 April 2019 .
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^ Taneja, Nidhi (6 April 2019). "Lok Sabha Election 2019: NDA may get thin majority with 275 seats, BJD may retain Odisha, YSR Congress may win Andhra, says India TV-CNX pre-poll survey" . indiatvnews.com .
^ "Times Now-VMR Opinion Poll : Modi govt again with 283 seats, predicts survey" . timesnownews.com . 19 March 2019.
^ a b c d e f g h i "Lok Sabha elections 2019 - Modi govt to retain power at Centre, NDA likely to win 270 seats: Opinion poll - News Nation" . newsnation.in . 11 March 2019.
^ Taneja, Nidhi (10 March 2019). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: NDA may get thin majority with 285 seats in Lok Sabha elections" . indiatvnews.com .
^ a b "BJP-led NDA will be single largest bloc but short of majority in Lok Sabha election, predicts Zee 24 Taas survey" . Zee News . 9 March 2019.
^ VDPAssociates (7 February 2019). "All India Seat Share Forecast if Loksabha election held now(543 Seats) #NationalTrackerPoll NDA-242 UPA-148 Others-153pic.twitter.com/ScDMXHXyCJ" .
^ "2019 Lok Sabha Elections Times Now-VMR Opinion Poll: NDA may fall 20 seats short of magic mark of 272" . timesnownews.com . 31 January 2019.
^ Bureau, ABP News (24 January 2019). "ABP News-CVoter survey Highlights: NDA, UPA won't get clear majority in LS polls, hung parliament projected" . abplive.in .
^ a b "Hung Parliament if elections held today, NDA would lose 99 seats: Mood of the Nation poll" . India Today . Ist.
^ Suares, Coreena (6 January 2019). "VDP Associates predicts 16 Lok Sabha seats for TRS" . Deccan Chronicle .
^ a b "If polls held now, NDA may fall short of majority by 15 seats, says survey" . Delhi: India Today. 6 January 2019.
^ "देश का मूड: UP में महागठबंधन बना तो मोदी की राह होगी मुश्किल" . abpnews.abplive.in . 25 December 2018.
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^ a b c d e f g h i न्यूज, एबीपी (1 November 2018). "अभी देश का मूड पीएम मोदी के साथ, यूपी में महागठबंधन नहीं बना तो एनडीए को 300 सीट: एबीपी न्यूज-सी वोटर सर्वे" . abpnews.abplive.in .
^ "Audio Bulletin: BJP-led NDA will return to power if Lok Sabha elections are held today" . abplive.in . 4 October 2018.
^ Ajit Kumar Jha (18 August 2018). "A clash of coalitions" . India Today . New Delhi.
^ "Advantage BJP in Lok Sabha 2019 polls, Congress might get a boost: ABP-CSDS survey" . Moneycontrol . 24 May 2018.
^ "India Today Mood of the Nation Poll: Is Narendra Modi still India's first choice as PM?" . India Today . Ist.
^ न्यूज़, एबीपी (10 March 2019). "ABP न्यूज़-C Voter सर्वे: NDA बहुमत के करीब, लेकिन यूपी में सपा-बसपा के आगे BJP की राह मुश्किल" . abpnews.abplive.in .
^ "CVoter survey 2019: NDA will marginally fall short of majority but form government - India News - Times of India" . The Times of India . 10 March 2019.
^ "Times Now-VMR poll predicts hung House, with Advantage NDA" . The Economic Times . 31 January 2019.
^ "Modi's popularity at all-time low; Rahul Gandhi closing in: Poll" . www.msn.com .
^ Khushbu (13 January 2019). "India TV-CNX Opinion poll 2019: प्रधानमंत्री की रेस में नरेंद्र मोदी नंबर वन, राहुल गांधी दूसरे नंबर पर" . India TV Hindi .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k न्यूज, एबीपी (4 October 2018). "बीजेपी अकेले बहुमत से दूर, 80 सीटों पर सिमट जाएगी कांग्रेस: सर्वे" . abpnews.abplive.in .
^ Bureau, ABP News (8 February 2019). "60% want to witness a Priyanka vs Modi battle in Varanasi: ABP News-CVoter Survey" . www.abplive.in .
^ Ajit Kumar Jha (4 February 2019). "Mood of the Nation: Will 2019 see the making of a grand alliance?" . India Today .
^ "Mood of the Nation: 46 per cent say Rahul Gandhi best alternative to Narendra Modi in 2019" . India Today . Ist.
^ a b c Today, India (28 January 2019). "#Voternomics2019 How has been the Economic performance of NDA govt ? Take a look at the #MoodOfTheNation graph. (@narendrataneja)" .
^ a b c Today, India (28 January 2019). "#Voternomics2019 #MoodOfTheNation Is govt doing enough to create jobs? This is what the #MoodOfTheNation survey shows (@rajeevdubey , @shwwetapunj)" .
^ Today, India (28 January 2019). "#MoodOfTheNation: Do you think there was corruption in Rafale deal?" .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Taneja, Nidhi (6 April 2019). "Lok Sabha Election 2019: NDA may get thin majority with 275 seats, BJD may retain Odisha, YSR Congress may win Andhra, says India TV-CNX pre-poll survey" . www.indiatvnews.com .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p "Times Now-VMR Opinion Poll : Modi govt again with 283 seats, predicts survey" . www.timesnownews.com . 19 March 2019.
^ a b c d e f g Bureau, ABP News (24 January 2019). "ABP News-CVoter survey Highlights: NDA, UPA won't get clear majority in LS polls, hung parliament projected" . www.abplive.in .
^ a b c d e Thomas, Soumya (12 January 2019). "IndiaTV-CNX Opinion Poll post-Grand Alliance: NDA may fail to repeat its 2014 win in LS elections, likely to fall short of clear majority" . www.indiatvnews.com .
^ a b c d "EXCL SURVEY: BJP ahead in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh; Congress in Rajasthan" . www.timesnownews.com . 9 October 2018.
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