2025 Kosovan parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Kosovo on 9 February 2025.^[1]

Background

In the 2021 elections Lëvizja Vetëvendosje (LVV) won 58 seats.^[2] They created a coalition with minority parties to form a Government.^[3]

Electoral system

The 120 members of the Assembly of Kosovo are elected by open list proportional representation, with 20 seats reserved for national minorities.^[4] An electoral threshold of 5% is in place for non-minority parties. Seats are allocated using the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.^[5] To form a government, a party or coalition must have a majority of 61 MPs out of 120 seats in the Assembly of Kosovo.

Opinion polls

Graphic representation

National polls

Pollster	Date	LVV			LDK		PDK	AAK-NISMA-CL (Coalition)			SL	Other	Abstention	Lead
		LVV	A	Guxo	LDK	AKR	PDK	AAK	NISMA	CLK	SL

UBO	3–15 June 2024	49.6	–	0.7	15.5	–	17.0	8.6			3.0	7.4	2.6	32.6
Albanian Post	1-10 June 2024	41.1	–	–	19.2	–	19.6	5.8			–	5.1	9.2	21.5
ISRN	6 May 2024	38	–	1.5	18.2	1.7	17.2	12.4			–	3.7	2.2	19.8
UBO	5 April 2024	49.5	–	0.6	16	–	17.1	6.9			5.6	4.3	–	32.4
27 March 2024		Bedri Hamza is nominated by the Democratic Party of Kosovo for Prime Minister
PIPOS	22 February 2024	40.9	0.1	0.4	21.5	–	20.4	9.0			–	0.4	4.6	19.4
17 January 2024		AAK, Social Democratic NISMA and Conservative List of Kosovo form an electoral alliance
UBO	16–23 December 2023	48.5	0.1	0.8	17.9	–	18.2	6.8	1.5	–	3.2	3.0	–	30.3
UBO	23 December 2022	42.6	0.2	1.3	19.8	0.2	19	7.3	2	–	4.3	3.4	–	22.8
PIPOS	December 2022	35.5	–	1	22.2	0.4	21.5	6	2.4	–	–	0.2	–	13.3
UBO	September 2022	37.3	0.3	1.5	22.3	0.3	21.7	7.7	1.2	–	5.1	2.1	–	15
PIPOS	August 2022	33.2	0.2	0.9	21.6	0.2	18.3	10.1	1.5	–	–	–	–	11.6
PIPOS	7 July 2022	38.1	–	1.2	25.1	–	21.3	11.9	2.1	–	–	–	–	13
UBO	18 June 2022	39.6	–	1.3	20.3	–	21.9	6.7	1.9	–	4.2	3.5	–	17.7
UBO	May 2022	38.3	–	–	17.7	–	19.7	6.5	–	–	–	–	–	18.6
UBO	7–15 March 2022	41.9	–	1.1	19.4	0.4	21.6	7.2	1	–	4.2	2.8	–	20.3
PIPOS	12 February 2022	34.7	–	–	24.1	–	21.3	7.7	0.4	–	–	0.5	–	10.6
2021 election	14 February 2021	50.3			12.73		17.01	7.2	2.52	–	5.09	–	–	33.29

Seat projections

The projections below are calculated according to the opinion polls from above.

Date	LVV	LDK	PDK	AAK	SL	Other	Lead
Date							Lead
June 2024	55	17	19	9^[b]	10	10	36
June 2024	49	22	23	6^[b]	10	10	26
May 2024	45	21	20	14^[b]	10	10	24
April 2024	56	18	19	7^[b]	10	10	37
February 2024	45	23	22	10^[b]	10	10	22
December 2023	53	20	20	7	10	10	33
January 2023	48	22	22	8	10	10	26
December 2022	42	26	25	7	10	10	16
September 2022	42	25	24	9	10	10	17
August 2022	40	26	22	12	10	10	14
July 2022	40	26	22	12	10	10	14
June 2022	44	23	25	8	10	10	19
May 2022	47	21	24	8	10	10	23
March 2022	46	22	24	8	10	10	22
February 2022	40	27	24	9	10	10	13

Leadership approval

Dates conducted	Pollster	Sample size	Vjosa Osmani			Albin Kurti			Lumir Abdixhiku			Memli Krasniqi			Ramush Haradinaj

			Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net
6-27 May 2024	UBO	1,200	64%	30%	+34%	59%	35%	+24%	35%	54%	-19%	28%	63%	-35%	21%	66%	-45%

Pollster	Date	Kurti	Abdixhiku	Krasniqi	Hamza	Haradinaj	Limaj	Osmani	Pacolli	Kusari-Lila	Lead
Pollster	Date										Lead
Albanian Post	June 2024	56.4	40.5	28.9	43.7	25.4	–	67.8	–	–	– ^[c]
Albanian Post	June 2024	45.6	18.6	–	20.5	6.2	–	–	–	–	25.1
PIPOS	February 2024	3.07	2.13	2.05	–	1.89	1.65	3.06	–	–	0.01
PIPOS	December 2022	26.7	20	17	–	7.2	2.9	11.8	0.4	0.4	6.7
PIPOS	August 2022	2.98	2.92	2.60	–	2.38	2.13	3.37	2.33	2.31	0.39
PIPOS	February 2022	28.9	18.6	13.3	–	6.2	1.5	7.3	0.5	–	10.3

Albin Kurti

The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Albin Kurti, prime minister of Kosovo since March 2021.

Pollster	Date	Approve	Disapprove	Lead
Pollster	Date			Lead
UNDP	25 July 2024	58.3	41.7	16.6
UNDP	28 February 2024	48.9	51.1	-2.6
UNDP	25 April 2023	51.5	48.5	3.0

Glauk Konjufca

The polls below asked voters for their opinion of Glauk Konjufca, chairman of Assembly of the Republic of Kosovo since March 2021.

Pollster	Date	Approve	Disapprove	Lead
Pollster	Date			Lead
UNDP	25 July 2024	64.4	35.6	28.8
UNDP	28 February 2024	52.2	47.8	4.7
UNDP	25 April 2023	58.3	41.7	16.6

^ Although Memli Krasniqi is leader of the PDK, Bedri Hamza will be its candidate for Prime Minister
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e AAK-NISMA-CL coalition
^ Poll asked for the positive opinion and isn't a comparison of leaders

References

^ "Presidentja Osmani nxjerr dekretin: Zgjedhjet e rregullta parlamentare mbahen më 9 shkurt 2025". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-08-16. Retrieved 2024-08-16.
^ ndi.org
^ prishtinainsight.com
^ Kosovo IFES
^ Law No. 03/L-073 on General Elections in the Republic of Kosovo, Article 111.2

[1] Although Memli Krasniqi is leader of the PDK, Bedri Hamza will be its candidate for Prime Minister

[coalition-7] AAK-NISMA-CL coalition

[opinion-8] Poll asked for the positive opinion and isn't a comparison of leaders

[2] "Presidentja Osmani nxjerr dekretin: Zgjedhjet e rregullta parlamentare mbahen më 9 shkurt 2025". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-08-16. Retrieved 2024-08-16.

[3] .org

[4] rishtinainsight.com

[5] Kosovo IFES

[6] Law No. 03/L-073 on General Elections in the Republic of Kosovo, Article 111.2

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